FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayBIG-WEST

3:0

HomeSWAC

Cal St. Fullerton def. Bethune-Cookman 3–0

(25-16, 25-16, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CSFULL	25	25	25	3
BECOOK	16	16	23	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BECOOK above 50 · CSFULL below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Cal St. Fullerton — set 3, CSFULL 25-23 BECOOK. Kill by Bella Risling (set by Italia Bernal). BECOOK win probability 3% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CSFULL 73.3%26.7% BECOOK

Cal St. Fullerton wins

3-0

25.7%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

19.5%

Bethune-Cookman wins

3-0

4.8%

3-1

9.2%

3-2

12.6%

CSFULL break %: 46.9% vs this opp
BECOOK break %: 42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Bella RislingKill+2.5%
Kill by Bella Risling (set by Italia Bernal)
Set 3 · CSFULL 25-23 BECOOK · CSFULL 97% → 100%
02
Sofia ShineAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Sofia Shine
Set 1 · CSFULL 1-2 BECOOK · BECOOK 26% → 28%
03
BECOOK serverAce+2.1%
Bethune-Cookman ace on Team
Set 2 · CSFULL 8-9 BECOOK · BECOOK 15% → 17%
04
Alaya RhodesAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Alaya Rhodes
Set 1 · CSFULL 4-3 BECOOK · CSFULL 73% → 75%
05
Bella RislingKill+1.9%
Kill by Bella Risling (set by Italia Bernal)
Set 2 · CSFULL 10-9 BECOOK · CSFULL 84% → 86%
06
Bella RislingKill+1.9%
Kill by Bella Risling (set by Italia Bernal)
Set 3 · CSFULL 24-22 BECOOK · CSFULL 97% → 99%
07
Hannah HassAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Hannah Hass
Set 2 · CSFULL 4-6 BECOOK · BECOOK 17% → 19%
08
Sydnee RodriguezAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Sydnee Rodriguez
Set 1 · CSFULL 5-3 BECOOK · CSFULL 75% → 77%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Cal St. Fullertonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Bella RislingOH	3	12	4	20	.400	1	0	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
3Sofia ShineOH	3	6	4	17	.118	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
17Marisa NakataL/DS	3	5	4	19	.053	0	0	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
9Hannah HassMB	3	4	3	10	.100	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	5
13Emilia GrahamMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	1	4	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
12Italia BernalS	3	1	1	8	.000	28	1	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Parys TaylorOH	3	7	4	14	.214	0	1	1	6	0	1	0	1	9
11Mia FeldhausL/DS	3	1	0	4	.250	4	1	2	18	0	0	0	0	2
7Jaiden MojicaS	3	0	0	1	.000	8	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
21Ava PondOH	2	4	1	6	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
18Zariah CrosbyMB	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
15Kaieva ChristensenL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	22	110	.200	42	3	8	54	2	2	6	5	75

Bethune-Cookmanhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Laura Lino dos SantosOH	3	6	5	25	.040	0	0	2	7	0	2	0	2	8
1Kaleigh WilliamsMB	3	4	1	15	.200	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	4
12Sienna LawrenceMB	3	2	4	8	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
11Alaya RhodesOH	3	2	3	9	-.111	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
10Sydnee RodriguezOH	3	1	1	10	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
19Nola HemphillS	3	0	0	4	.000	10	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	1
13Moriah JohnsonOH	3	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3
17Leila HargroveOH	3	2	3	13	-.077	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Kylynn WhiteS	3	0	0	4	.000	7	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
5Taylor EllisL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
8Kaycee PennieMB	2	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
16Aaniya ThorntonL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
7Isabella PedrosaL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		20	17	100	.030	20	2	5	30	3	3	4	5	55

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 CSFULL · BECOOK 3

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 CSFULLBECOOK 2

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 5 CSFULLBECOOK 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 6 CSFULLBECOOK 3

Bars above the line = Bethune-Cookman leads, below = Cal St. Fullerton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Cal St. Fullerton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	46%6/13
2	73%8/11	38%5/13
3	75%6/8	45%5/11
4	55%6/11	54%7/13
5	100%6/6	45%5/11
6	71%5/7	62%8/13
All	70%39/56	49%36/74

Bethune-Cookman

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	25%2/8
2	89%8/9	33%4/12
3	40%6/15	27%3/11
4	55%6/11	50%6/12
5	45%5/11	14%1/7
6	45%5/11	17%1/6
All	51%38/74	30%17/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	CSFULL-BECOOK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Kaleigh Williams		+1.9
2	1-1	CSFULL	BECOOK	Attack err	Bella Risling		+1.6
3	1-2	BECOOK	BECOOK	Attack err	Sofia Shine		+2.1
4	2-2	BECOOK	CSFULL	Serve err	BECOOK server		+1.6
5	2-3	CSFULL	BECOOK	Bad set	Marisa Nakata		+1.7
6	3-3	BECOOK	CSFULL×4	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal	+1.6
7	4-3	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Attack err	Alaya Rhodes		+2.0
8	5-3	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Attack err	Sydnee Rodriguez		+1.9
9	6-3	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Bad set	Nola Hemphill		+1.7
10	6-4	CSFULL	BECOOK	Attack err	Sofia Shine		+1.4
11	7-4	BECOOK	CSFULL×3	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+1.4
12	8-4	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Leila Hargrove		+1.6
13	9-4	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Mia Feldhaus	+1.3
14	9-5	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Leila Hargrove	set Kylynn White	+1.0
15	10-5	BECOOK	CSFULL×3	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal	+1.1
16	11-5	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Italia Bernal	+1.1
17	12-5	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Italia Bernal	+0.8
18	12-6	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Sienna Lawrence	set Kylynn White	+0.5
19	13-6	BECOOK	CSFULL	Serve err	BECOOK server		+0.7
20	13-7	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Laura Lino dos Santos	set Kylynn White	+0.5
21	13-8	BECOOK	BECOOK	Attack err	Marisa Nakata		+0.9
22	14-8	BECOOK	CSFULL×3	Kill	Emilia Graham	set Italia Bernal	+0.9
23	15-8	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+0.8
24	16-8	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Emilia Graham	set Kaleigh Williams	+0.5
25	16-9	CSFULL	BECOOK	Attack err	Sofia Shine	blk Laura Lino dos Santos	+0.3
26	17-9	BECOOK	CSFULL	Serve err	BECOOK server		+0.4
27	18-9	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Alaya Rhodes		+0.3
28	18-10	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Laura Lino dos Santos	set Nola Hemphill	+0.1
29	19-10	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal	+0.2
30	19-11	CSFULL	BECOOK	Attack err	Italia Bernal		+0.1
31	20-11	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal	+0.2
32	20-12	CSFULL	BECOOK	Attack err	Bella Risling		+0.1
33	21-12	BECOOK	CSFULL	Attack err	Sienna Lawrence		+0.1
34	21-13	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Laura Lino dos Santos	set Kylynn White	+0.1
35	22-13	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
36	22-14	CSFULL	BECOOK	Serve err	CSFULL server		+0.0
37	23-14	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
38	23-15	CSFULL	BECOOK	Attack err	Bella Risling		+0.0
39	24-15	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Mia Feldhaus	+0.0
40	24-16	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Sydnee Rodriguez	set Nola Hemphill	+0.0
41	25-16	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	BECOOK	BECOOK	Ace	BECOOK server	aced Team	+1.6
2	1-1	BECOOK	CSFULL	Serve err	BECOOK server		+1.3
3	1-2	CSFULL	BECOOK	Serve err	CSFULL server		+1.4
4	2-2	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+1.3
5	2-3	CSFULL	BECOOK	Bad set	Sofia Shine		+1.4
6	3-3	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Hannah Hass	+1.3
7	4-3	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Sienna Lawrence	blk Hannah Hass	+1.6
8	4-4	CSFULL	BECOOK×3	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Nola Hemphill	+1.4
9	4-5	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Marisa Nakata	blk Leila Hargrove, Sienna Lawrence	+1.8
10	4-6	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Hannah Hass		+1.9
11	5-6	BECOOK	CSFULL×3	Kill	Italia Bernal	set Mia Feldhaus	+1.4
12	6-6	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Leila Hargrove	blk Italia Bernal, Emilia Graham	+1.8
13	7-6	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Ace	CSFULL server	aced Team	+1.8
14	7-7	CSFULL	BECOOK	Serve err	CSFULL server		+1.5
15	8-7	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Italia Bernal	+1.4
16	8-8	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Leila Hargrove	set Kylynn White	+1.5
17	8-9	BECOOK	BECOOK	Ace	BECOOK server	aced Team	+2.1
18	9-9	BECOOK	CSFULL	Attack err	Laura Lino dos Santos		+1.6
19	10-9	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+1.9
20	10-10	CSFULL	BECOOK	Serve err	CSFULL server		+1.6
21	11-10	BECOOK	CSFULL×5	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+1.6
22	12-10	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+1.9
23	13-10	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+1.7
24	14-10	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+1.5
25	15-10	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Bad set	Moriah Johnson		+1.2
26	15-11	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Laura Lino dos Santos	set Nola Hemphill	+0.8
27	16-11	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+0.9
28	16-12	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Nola Hemphill	+0.8
29	17-12	BECOOK	CSFULL×4	Kill	Ava Pond	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.9
30	18-12	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Attack err	Laura Lino dos Santos		+0.8
31	19-12	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Kill	Ava Pond	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.5
32	20-12	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Ace	CSFULL server	aced Team	+0.3
33	20-13	CSFULL	BECOOK×3	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Nola Hemphill	+0.1
34	20-14	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Marisa Nakata		+0.3
35	20-15	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Hannah Hass	blk Kaycee Pennie	+0.5
36	21-15	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.6
37	21-16	CSFULL	BECOOK	Attack err	Ava Pond		+0.3
38	22-16	BECOOK	CSFULL×4	Attack err	Leila Hargrove	blk Emilia Graham, Marisa Nakata	+0.5
39	23-16	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Bad set	Kylynn White		+0.3
40	24-16	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Ace	CSFULL server	aced Moriah Johnson	+0.1
41	25-16	CSFULL	CSFULL×4	Bad set	Kylynn White		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	CSFULL	BECOOK	Bad set	Mia Feldhaus		+0.7
2	0-2	BECOOK	BECOOK	Attack err	Marisa Nakata		+0.9
3	1-2	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+0.7
4	1-3	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Nola Hemphill	+0.8
5	1-4	BECOOK	BECOOK	Attack err	Hannah Hass	blk Kaycee Pennie, Sienna Lawrence	+1.0
6	2-4	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+0.7
7	3-4	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Sienna Lawrence	blk Parys Taylor	+0.9
8	3-5	CSFULL	BECOOK	Serve err	CSFULL server		+0.8
9	3-6	BECOOK	BECOOK	Attack err	Parys Taylor		+1.0
10	4-6	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Ava Pond	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.7
11	5-6	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Jaiden Mojica	+1.0
12	5-7	CSFULL	BECOOK	Attack err	Sofia Shine		+0.9
13	5-8	BECOOK	BECOOK	Kill	Laura Lino dos Santos	set Kylynn White	+1.1
14	6-8	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.8
15	7-8	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Laura Lino dos Santos		+1.0
16	7-9	CSFULL	BECOOK	Serve err	CSFULL server		+0.9
17	8-9	BECOOK	CSFULL×6	Bad set	Laura Lino dos Santos		+0.8
18	9-9	CSFULL	CSFULL×6	Bad set	Leila Hargrove		+1.1
19	10-9	CSFULL	CSFULL×6	Attack err	Alaya Rhodes		+1.0
20	11-9	CSFULL	CSFULL×6	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+1.0
21	12-9	CSFULL	CSFULL×6	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+0.9
22	13-9	CSFULL	CSFULL×6	Attack err	Laura Lino dos Santos		+0.8
23	13-10	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Kylynn White	+0.5
24	14-10	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+0.6
25	15-10	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Laura Lino dos Santos	blk Bella Risling, Emilia Graham	+0.6
26	15-11	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Alaya Rhodes	set Nola Hemphill	+0.4
27	16-11	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Mia Feldhaus		+0.5
28	16-12	CSFULL	BECOOK×3	Kill	Alaya Rhodes	set Sydnee Rodriguez	+0.4
29	16-13	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Parys Taylor		+0.7
30	16-14	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Zariah Crosby		+0.9
31	17-14	BECOOK	CSFULL	Serve err	BECOOK server		+0.8
32	18-14	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Sienna Lawrence		+0.9
33	18-15	CSFULL	BECOOK	Serve err	CSFULL server		+0.6
34	18-16	BECOOK	BECOOK	Attack err	Parys Taylor		+1.0
35	19-16	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Jaiden Mojica	+0.9
36	19-17	CSFULL	BECOOK	Serve err	CSFULL server		+0.8
37	20-17	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Mia Feldhaus	+1.0
38	20-18	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Laura Lino dos Santos	set Taylor Ellis	+0.8
39	21-18	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Ava Pond	set Jaiden Mojica	+1.0
40	21-19	CSFULL	BECOOK	Attack err	Bella Risling	blk Laura Lino dos Santos	+0.8
41	22-19	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Emilia Graham	set Italia Bernal	+1.1
42	23-19	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Bella Risling	+0.9
43	23-20	CSFULL	BECOOK×3	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Nola Hemphill	+0.4
44	23-21	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Kill	Sienna Lawrence	set Kaleigh Williams	+0.8
45	23-22	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Parys Taylor		+1.6
46	24-22	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+1.9
47	24-23	CSFULL	BECOOK	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Nola Hemphill	+1.2
48	25-23	BECOOK	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+2.5

Score shown after each rally, Cal St. Fullerton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.