FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Virginia Tech def. Virginia 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Virginia 69.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:07 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Virginia Tech beat visiting Virginia 3-0 (25-18, 25-11, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Virginia Tech's Frances Torres led with 13 kills, and Ivy Cooper added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
UVA1811210
VT2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Virginia Tech held Virginia to -.018 hitting.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.2 points, and Virginia's high was 76% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ had Virginia at 69% before first serve.

VirginiaVirginia Tech
  • Break %+22.1 pts
    32.754.8

    40 of 73 on serve vs 17 of 52, so Virginia's sideout was 45.2%.

  • Hitting+.261
    -.018.243

    Kills and errors: 40–14 vs 21–23.

Virginia Tech above 50Virginia belowMax swing 5.2%

VirginiaVirginia Tech

Aces
Virginia 3·Virginia Tech 5
Serve err
Virginia 4·Virginia Tech 6
Blocks
Virginia 1·Virginia Tech 61 BS · 0 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Virginia 32·Virginia Tech 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Virginia Tech above 50 · Virginia below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.2% VTrally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Virginia Tech — set 3, UVA 21-24 VT. Virginia Tech ace on Reese Wuebker. VT win probability 93% → 98%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UVA 53.7%46.3% VT

Virginia wins

3-0
14.1%
3-1
20.3%
3-2
19.3%

Virginia Tech wins

3-0
11.0%
3-1
17.2%
3-2
18.1%
UVA break %
43.4% vs this opp
VT break %
42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Virginia TechAce+5.2%

    Virginia Tech ace on Reese Wuebker

    Set 3 · UVA 21-24 VT · VT 93% → 98%

  2. 02

    Kill by Frances Torres (set by Camilla Brandalise)

    Set 3 · UVA 21-23 VT · VT 88% → 93%

  3. 03
    Reese HazeltonAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Reese Hazelton

    Set 3 · UVA 21-22 VT · UVA 8% → 12%

  4. 04

    Kill by Frances Torres (set by Camilla Brandalise)

    Set 3 · UVA 14-16 VT · VT 82% → 86%

  5. 05

    MaryGrace Gonyeau stuffed by Frances Torres & Isabella Mishler

    Set 3 · UVA 14-17 VT · VT 86% → 90%

  6. 06
    Lauryn BowieAttack error+3.8%

    Attack error by Lauryn Bowie

    Set 3 · UVA 14-15 VT · VT 79% → 82%

  7. 07

    Kill by Reese Hazelton (set by Olivia Siskin)

    Set 3 · UVA 16-20 VT · VT 92% → 95%

  8. 08

    Kill by MaryGrace Gonyeau (set by Lauryn Bowie)

    Set 3 · UVA 14-13 VT · UVA 21% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
34828-.143000200004
34520-.050102810004
3229.000010100003
3116.000000101012
31510-.400000000001
3104.250401600001
36115.333100000006
3003.0002201020002
3108.125900200001
3002.000001100000
2000–000100000
1105.200000000001
1012-.500000000000
Team totals2123112-.018173432510150
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313226.42301170031.515.5
310323.3040008202111
38528.107111100010.59.5
38010.800000100219
31112.0002722700003
3035-.600000000422
3003.0004121100001
3000–000100000
Team totals4014107.2433256453012675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Virginia vs Virginia Tech

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UVA · VT 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 UVAVT 6

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 1 UVAVT 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 UVAVT 4

Bars above the line = Virginia Tech leads, below = Virginia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%4/6
0%0/3
2
40%4/10
50%4/8
3
44%4/9
20%1/5
4
36%4/11
0%0/4
5
44%4/9
43%3/7
6
50%2/4
33%2/6
All
45%22/49
30%10/33

Virginia Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%4/4
57%4/7
2
50%4/8
33%2/6
3
80%4/5
64%7/11
4
100%4/4
60%6/10
5
57%4/7
60%6/10
6
60%3/5
40%2/5
All
70%23/33
55%27/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#UVA-VTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UVAVTKillDestiny Walkerset Camilla Brandalise+1.7
20-2VTVTKillFrances Torresset Ivy Cooper+2.4
31-2VTUVAServe errVirginia Tech+1.6
42-2UVAUVAAttack errLayla Moore+2.3
52-3UVAVTKillReese Hazeltonset Reese Hazelton+1.8
63-3VTUVAServe errVirginia Tech+1.7
73-4UVAVTKillDestiny Walkerset Ivy Cooper+1.8
84-4VTUVAServe errVirginia Tech+1.7
94-5UVAVTServe errVirginia+1.8
105-5VTUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+1.8
115-6UVAVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+1.9
126-6VTUVA×4KillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+1.8
137-6UVAUVA×4Attack errLayla Moore+2.5
148-6UVAUVA×4Bad setIvy Cooper+2.4
159-6UVAUVA×4Bad setFrances Torres+2.1
169-7UVAVT×3Serve errVirginia+1.5
179-8VTVT×3Attack errReese Wuebker+2.4
189-9VTVT×3BlockedLauryn Bowieblk Reese Hazelton, Layla Moore+2.7
1910-9VTUVAServe errVirginia Tech+2.0
2010-10UVAVT×6KillDestiny Walkerset Camilla Brandalise+2.0
2110-11VT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.0
2210-12VTVT×6Attack errMaryGrace Gonyeau+3.1
2310-13VTVT×6AceVirginia Techaced Katie Barrier+3.1
2410-14VTVT×6Attack errLauryn Bowie+2.9
2510-15VTVT×6BlockedMaryGrace Gonyeaublk Frances Torres, Layla Moore+2.5
2611-15VTUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+1.4
2711-16UVAVTBlockedLauryn Bowieblk Destiny Walker+1.9
2811-17VTVTBlockedLauryn Bowieblk Isabella Mishler, Destiny Walker+2.0
2912-17VTUVAKillMaryGrace Gonyeauset Katie Barrier+1.0
3012-18UVAVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+1.4
3113-18VTUVA×3Bad setDestiny Walker+0.9
3214-18UVAUVA×3Attack errReese Hazelton+1.8
3315-18UVAUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Reese Wuebker+2.4
3415-19UVAVT×3Attack errBecca Wight+2.4
3515-20VTVT×3Attack errEmily Fowler+2.5
3615-21VTVT×3Attack errReese Wuebker+1.6
3716-21VTUVAAttack errDestiny Walker+0.6
3816-22UVAVT×3KillReese Hazeltonset Camilla Brandalise+1.0
3916-23VTVT×3KillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+0.7
4016-24VTVT×3KillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+0.2
4117-24VTUVAKillBecca Wightset Katie Barrier·
4218-24UVAUVAAttack errLayla Moore+0.1
4318-25UVAVTKillReese Hazeltonset Camilla Brandalise+0.1
Set 2
11-0VTUVAKillHannah Scott+1.9
21-1UVAVT×3KillCamilla Brandalise+2.0
31-2VTVT×3Attack errReese Wuebker+3.0
41-3VTVT×3KillDestiny Walkerset Camilla Brandalise+3.1
52-3VTUVAServe errVirginia Tech+2.1
62-4UVAVTKillFrances Torresset Ivy Cooper+2.3
73-4VTUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+2.1
83-5UVAVTKillFrances Torresset Destiny Walker+2.4
94-5VTUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+2.2
104-6UVAVTKillReese Hazeltonset Meredith Reeg+2.4
114-7VTVTKillReese Hazeltonset Camilla Brandalise+3.3
125-7VTUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+2.2
135-8UVAVTBad setMeredith Reeg+2.5
146-8VTUVAAttack errFrances Torres+2.2
156-9UVAVT×3Serve errVirginia+2.6
166-10VTVT×3AceVirginia Tech+3.4
176-11VTVT×3Attack errCaroline Lang+3.1
187-11VTUVAAttack errCamilla Brandalise+1.8
197-12UVAVTKillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+2.3
208-12VTUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Hannah Scott+1.8
218-13UVAVT×4KillDestiny Walkerset Camilla Brandalise+2.3
228-14VTVT×4AceVirginia Tech+2.7
238-15VTVT×4Attack errMaryGrace Gonyeau+2.1
248-16VTVT×4Attack errMaryGrace Gonyeau+1.5
259-16VTUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+0.7
269-17UVAVT×5KillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+1.0
279-18VTVT×5KillDestiny Walkerset Camilla Brandalise+0.9
289-19VTVT×5KillDestiny Walkerset Camilla Brandalise+0.5
299-20VTVT×5Attack errEmily Fowler+0.3
309-21VTVT×5Bad setEmily Fowler+0.1
3110-21VTUVABad setIvy Cooper·
3210-22UVAVT×3KillIsabella Mishlerset Ivy Cooper·
3310-23VTVT×3KillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise·
3410-24VTVT×3Attack errSkyler Gates·
3511-24VTUVAKillSarah Brodnerset Hannah Scott·
3611-25UVAVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise·
Set 3
10-1UVAVTServe errVirginia+1.8
21-1VTUVA×4Bad setFrances Torres+1.7
32-1UVAUVA×4Attack errReese Hazelton+2.3
43-1UVAUVA×4AceKatie Barrier+2.2
54-1UVAUVA×4AceKatie Barrieraced Destiny Walker+2.0
64-2UVAVTBad setLauryn Bowie+1.4
74-3VTVTAttack errMaryGrace Gonyeau+2.2
85-3VTUVAServe errVirginia Tech+1.7
96-3UVAUVAKillMaryGrace Gonyeauset Olivia Siskin+2.1
106-4UVAVT×3KillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+1.5
116-5VTVT×3Attack errMaryGrace Gonyeau+2.3
126-6VTVT×3AceVirginia Techaced Katie Barrier+2.6
137-6VTUVAAttack errDestiny Walker+1.9
147-7UVAVTKillDestiny Walkerset Frances Torres+2.0
157-8VTVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+2.9
168-8VTUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+2.0
179-8UVAUVA×3AceEmily Fowleraced Destiny Walker+2.8
1810-8UVAUVA×3Attack errReese Hazelton+2.7
1910-9UVAVT×3KillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+1.9
2010-10VTVT×3Attack errReese Wuebker+2.9
2110-11VTVT×3KillReese Hazeltonset Frances Torres+3.2
2211-11VTUVAKillOlivia Siskin+2.2
2311-12UVAVTKillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+2.4
2412-12VTUVAServe errVirginia Tech+2.3
2512-13UVAVTKillReese Hazeltonset Camilla Brandalise+2.5
2613-13VTUVABlockedReese Hazeltonblk Caroline Lang+2.4
2714-13UVAUVAKillMaryGrace Gonyeauset Lauryn Bowie+3.4
2814-14UVAVT×4BlockedMaryGrace Gonyeaublk Frances Torres, Layla Moore+2.5
2914-15VTVT×4Attack errLauryn Bowie+3.8
3014-16VTVT×4KillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+4.0
3114-17VTVT×4BlockedMaryGrace Gonyeaublk Frances Torres, Isabella Mishler+3.8
3215-17VTUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+2.3
3315-18UVAVTKillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+2.9
3416-18VTUVAKillMaryGrace Gonyeauset Becca Wight+2.3
3516-19UVAVT×3KillDestiny Walkerset Camilla Brandalise+3.1
3616-20VTVT×3KillReese Hazeltonset Olivia Siskin+3.5
3716-21VTVT×3KillFrances Torresset Reese Hazelton+2.5
3817-21VTUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+1.0
3918-21UVAUVAAttack errDestiny Walker+2.2
4018-22UVAVTKillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+2.6
4119-22VTUVA×3KillBecca Wightset Reese Wuebker+1.4
4220-22UVAUVA×3Attack errFrances Torres+3.1
4321-22UVAUVA×3Attack errReese Hazelton+4.7
4421-23UVAVT×3KillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+5.1
4521-24VTVT×3AceVirginia Techaced Reese Wuebker+5.2
4621-25VTVT×3Attack errReese Wuebker+2.1

Score shown after each rally, Virginia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).