Final · 4 setsSun, Aug 30, 2026 · Neutral site

Rice def. Mississippi St. 3–1

Rice beat Mississippi St. 3-1 (25-20, 25-22, 26-28, 25-17) on Sun, Aug 30, 2026 at a neutral site. Rice's Ashlyn Seay led with 21 kills, and Kaia Mateo added 12 digs.

Data through · final Aug 30

Set1234Sets
MISSST202228171
RICE252526253

Win probability

Rice above 50 · Mississippi St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.9% RICErally 188 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.9% to Rice — set 3, MISSST 24-25 RICE. Attack error by Lindsey Mangelson. RICE win probability 77% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISSST 74.3%25.7% RICE

Mississippi St. wins

3-0
26.5%
3-1
28.4%
3-2
19.4%

Rice wins

3-0
4.6%
3-1
8.8%
3-2
12.3%
MISSST break %
43.2% vs this opp
RICE break %
38.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lindsey MangelsonAttack error+10.9%

    Attack error by Lindsey Mangelson

    Set 3 · MISSST 24-25 RICE · RICE 77% → 88%

  2. 02

    Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Cayley Hanson)

    Set 3 · MISSST 26-25 RICE · MISSST 20% → 30%

  3. 03

    Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Sydnee Peterson)

    Set 3 · MISSST 24-23 RICE · MISSST 20% → 30%

  4. 04

    Sydnee Peterson stuffed by Ava Anderson & Cayley Hanson

    Set 3 · MISSST 28-26 RICE · MISSST 30% → 39%

  5. 05

    Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Cayley Hanson)

    Set 3 · MISSST 25-25 RICE · MISSST 12% → 20%

  6. 06
    Mississippi St.Service error+7.2%

    Mississippi St. service error

    Set 2 · MISSST 22-24 RICE · RICE 62% → 69%

  7. 07

    Ava Anderson stuffed by Ashlyn Seay & Arissa Smith

    Set 4 · MISSST 15-18 RICE · RICE 77% → 84%

  8. 08
    Ashlyn SeayKill+6.9%

    Kill by Ashlyn Seay (set by Kaia Mateo)

    Set 4 · MISSST 14-16 RICE · RICE 69% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418960.15012113202121
48112.5830030014311
44318.056000000215
4112.0004502800212
2113.00000000010.51.5
1114.000000000001
410630.13300000111.511.5
4000–022400002
4000–0101210001
4001.000002800000
35310.200000100216
2224.000000000002
1000–000000000
Team totals5027144.16046510463214987
Ricehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415527.3700002010116
411440.175114110031.513.5
48317.29400140153.511.5
44210.200000102659
4218.1255304120052.54.5
4001.000212900001
421130.66700041031.522.5
4000–001520000
4000–102920000
2000–010000001
Team totals6116133.3385731457542215101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MISSST · RICE 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 MISSSTRICE 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 MISSSTRICE 4

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 2 MISSSTRICE 4

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 5 MISSSTRICE 5

Bars above the line = Rice leads, below = Mississippi St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
33%5/15
2
59%10/17
39%7/18
3
71%10/14
23%3/13
4
50%9/18
50%9/18
5
47%9/19
25%3/12
6
57%8/14
25%3/12
All
57%57/100
34%30/88

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
50%9/18
2
58%11/19
31%5/16
3
64%9/14
33%5/15
4
64%9/14
40%6/15
5
69%9/13
55%11/20
6
75%9/12
44%7/16
All
66%58/88
43%43/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

188 rallies

#MISSST-RICESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1RICERICE×5Attack errOlivia Stant+2.2
20-2RICERICE×5KillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+2.3
30-3RICERICE×5KillSydnee Peterson+2.4
40-4RICERICE×5KillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+2.4
50-5RICERICE×5AceRiceaced McKenna Yates+2.3
61-5RICEMISSSTServe errRice+1.3
72-5MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.1
82-6MISSSTRICEServe errMississippi St.+1.7
92-7RICERICEBlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Sydnee Peterson, Stephanie Gutierrez+2.3
103-7RICEMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+1.3
113-8MISSSTRICEServe errMississippi St.+1.7
123-9RICERICEAttack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+2.1
134-9RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.1
145-9MISSSTMISSSTBlockedSydnee Petersonblk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Cayley Hanson+2.0
155-10MISSSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.7
165-11RICERICEBlockedLindsey Mangelsonblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Kaia Mateo+2.1
176-11RICEMISSSTServe errRice+1.1
187-11MISSSTMISSSTAttack errStephanie Gutierrez+2.0
197-12MISSSTRICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.7
207-13RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+2.1
217-14RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.7
228-14RICEMISSST×3KillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Cayley Hanson+0.8
239-14MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errArissa Smith+1.5
2410-14MISSSTMISSST×3KillOlivia Stantset Cayley Hanson+1.9
2510-15MISSSTRICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.8
2610-16RICERICE×3BlockedLindsey Mangelsonblk Arissa Smith+2.1
2710-17RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.5
2811-17RICEMISSST×3KillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+0.6
2912-17MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi+1.3
3013-17MISSSTMISSST×3KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.8
3113-18MISSSTRICEAttack errBernardita Aguilar+1.8
3214-18RICEMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+1.2
3314-19MISSSTRICEAttack errLindsey Mangelson+1.8
3415-19RICEMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+1.1
3515-20MISSSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.7
3616-20RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.0
3717-20MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Jordan Hummel+2.2
3817-21MISSSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+2.3
3917-22RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.2
4018-22RICEMISSSTServe errRice+0.7
4118-23MISSSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.3
4219-23RICEMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+0.5
4319-24MISSSTRICEBlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Arissa Smith, Kaia Mateo+1.0
4420-24RICEMISSSTServe errRice+0.2
4520-25MISSSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.6
Set 2
11-0MISSSTMISSSTBlockedArissa Smithblk Noella Obi+2.7
21-1MISSSTRICEBlockedNoella Obiblk Arissa Smith+1.9
31-2RICERICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+3.0
42-2RICEMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+2.0
52-3MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+2.2
63-3RICEMISSSTServe errRice+2.1
73-4MISSSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+2.2
84-4RICEMISSST×4KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.1
95-4MISSSTMISSST×4Bad setKaia Mateo+3.0
106-4MISSSTMISSST×4AceMississippi St.aced Campbell Love+2.8
117-4MISSSTMISSST×4KillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+2.5
127-5MISSSTRICEServe errMississippi St.+1.7
137-6RICERICEAttack errPaloma Routaboul+2.8
148-6RICEMISSSTAttack errSydnee Peterson+2.0
159-6MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Ashlyn Seay+2.7
169-7MISSSTRICEKillKaia Mateo+1.7
179-8RICERICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+3.0
1810-8RICEMISSSTServe errRice+2.1
1911-8MISSSTMISSSTBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Paloma Routaboul+2.8
2011-9MISSSTRICEServe errMississippi St.+1.8
2112-9RICEMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.0
2212-10MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+1.9
2313-10RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.0
2413-11MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+1.9
2513-12RICERICEAttack errLindsey Mangelson+3.4
2614-12RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.5
2714-13MISSSTRICEServe errMississippi St.+2.4
2815-13RICEMISSSTKillAva Andersonset McKenna Yates+2.6
2916-13MISSSTMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+3.3
3016-14MISSSTRICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+2.0
3116-15RICERICE×3BlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Kaia Mateo, Arissa Smith+3.7
3216-16RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+4.6
3317-16RICEMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson+3.3
3417-17MISSSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+3.4
3518-17RICEMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+3.5
3618-18MISSSTRICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+3.6
3718-19RICERICE×4BlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Kellen Dorotik+6.1
3818-20RICERICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+6.4
3918-21RICERICE×4BlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Sydnee Peterson, Arissa Smith+5.8
4019-21RICEMISSSTKillSydnie Wallerset Cayley Hanson+2.7
4120-21MISSSTMISSSTBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Noella Obi, Lindsey Mangelson+5.6
4220-22MISSSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+5.4
4320-23RICERICEBlockedSydnie Wallerblk Sydnee Peterson, Stephanie Gutierrez+6.4
4421-23RICEMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+2.3
4522-23MISSSTMISSSTKillSydnie Wallerset Cayley Hanson+6.0
4622-24MISSSTRICEServe errMississippi St.+7.2
4722-25RICERICEAttack errSydnie Waller+6.0
Set 3
11-0RICEMISSSTServe errRice+1.6
21-1MISSSTRICEAttack errAva Anderson+1.7
32-1RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.7
42-2MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+1.8
53-2RICEMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson+1.7
64-2MISSSTMISSSTAttack errKaia Mateo+2.4
74-3MISSSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.6
84-4RICERICEBlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Kaia Mateo, Stephanie Gutierrez+2.6
95-4RICEMISSSTServe errRice+1.8
105-5MISSSTRICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.9
115-6RICERICE×4Attack errPaloma Routaboul+3.0
125-7RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+3.1
135-8RICERICE×4BlockedLindsey Mangelsonblk Arissa Smith, Ashlyn Seay+3.2
146-8RICEMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+1.9
156-9MISSSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+2.3
167-9RICEMISSSTServe errRice+2.0
177-10MISSSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Sydnee Peterson+2.4
188-10RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.0
198-11MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+2.4
208-12RICERICEBlockedAva Andersonblk Stephanie Gutierrez+3.3
219-12RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Jordan Hummel+1.9
2210-12MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Jordan Hummel+3.1
2310-13MISSSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+2.6
2411-13RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.2
2511-14MISSSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.7
2612-14RICEMISSSTServe errRice+2.2
2712-15MISSSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+2.8
2813-15RICEMISSSTServe errRice+2.3
2913-16MISSSTRICEServe errMississippi St.+2.9
3014-16RICEMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+2.3
3114-17MISSSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+3.0
3215-17RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.4
3315-18MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+3.1
3416-18RICEMISSSTServe errRice+2.4
3517-18MISSSTMISSSTAttack errKellen Dorotik+4.3
3617-19MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+3.6
3718-19RICEMISSSTKillCayley Hansonset Lindsey Mangelson+3.0
3819-19MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Campbell Love+5.2
3919-20MISSSTRICEBlockedCayley Hansonblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Kaia Mateo+4.1
4020-20RICEMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+3.8
4120-21MISSSTRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+4.5
4221-21RICEMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+4.2
4321-22MISSSTRICEKillKaia Mateoset Cayley Hanson+5.2
4422-22RICEMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+4.7
4522-23MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+6.1
4623-23RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+5.6
4724-23MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Sydnee Peterson+10.0
4824-24MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+6.7
4924-25RICERICEAttack errLindsey Mangelson+10.9
5025-25RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+7.6
5126-25MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+10.0
5226-26MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+6.7
5327-26RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+6.7
5428-26MISSSTMISSSTBlockedSydnee Petersonblk Ava Anderson, Cayley Hanson+8.9
Set 4
11-0MISSSTMISSSTBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Lindsey Mangelson, Noella Obi+3.8
21-1MISSSTRICEAttack errLindsey Mangelson+2.7
32-1RICEMISSST×5KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.6
43-1MISSSTMISSST×5Attack errStephanie Gutierrez+3.6
54-1MISSSTMISSST×5KillAva Anderson+3.3
65-1MISSSTMISSST×5Attack errStephanie Gutierrez+2.9
76-1MISSSTMISSST×5BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Ava Anderson, Bernardita Aguilar+2.4
86-2MISSSTRICEServe errMississippi St.+1.5
96-3RICERICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+2.7
107-3RICEMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.0
117-4MISSSTRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.9
128-4RICEMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson+2.1
138-5MISSSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.9
148-6RICERICEAceRiceaced Lindsey Mangelson+3.4
159-6RICEMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+2.5
1610-6MISSSTMISSSTAttack errKaia Mateo+3.2
1710-7MISSSTRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+2.0
1811-7RICEMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+2.2
1911-8MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+2.0
2011-9RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+3.6
2112-9RICEMISSSTBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Noella Obi, Paloma Routaboul+2.7
2212-10MISSSTRICEServe errMississippi St.+2.6
2313-10RICEMISSSTServe errRice+2.8
2413-11MISSSTRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+2.6
2513-12RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+4.7
2614-12RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+3.4
2714-13MISSSTRICE×4Serve errMississippi St.+3.4
2814-14RICERICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+5.8
2914-15RICERICE×4AceRiceaced Lindsey Mangelson+6.5
3014-16RICERICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+6.9
3115-16RICEMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+4.2
3215-17MISSSTRICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+5.1
3315-18RICERICE×3BlockedAva Andersonblk Ashlyn Seay, Arissa Smith+7.0
3415-19RICERICE×3BlockedLindsey Mangelsonblk Ashlyn Seay, Arissa Smith+6.1
3516-19RICEMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+2.9
3616-20MISSSTRICE×5KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+4.3
3716-21RICERICE×5KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+4.5
3816-22RICERICE×5Attack errLindsey Mangelson+2.6
3916-23RICERICE×5KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.2
4016-24RICERICE×5KillAshlyn Seayset Jordan Hummel+0.4
4117-24RICEMISSSTServe errRice·
4217-25MISSSTRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).