Mississippi St. def. Wake Forest 3–1
(25-18, 25-14, 21-25, 25-18)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISSST | 25 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 3 |
| WAKE | 18 | 14 | 25 | 18 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.7% to Wake Forest — set 1, MISSST 13-13 WAKE. Attack error by Lindsey Mangelson. WAKE win probability 23% → 26%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Mississippi St. wins
Wake Forest wins
- MISSST break %
- 46.4% vs this opp
- WAKE break %
- 41.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Lindsey MangelsonAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Lindsey Mangelson
Set 1 · MISSST 13-13 WAKE · WAKE 23% → 26%
- 02Lyla StewartAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Lyla Stewart
Set 1 · MISSST 16-14 WAKE · MISSST 76% → 79%
- 03
- 04Lindsey MangelsonKill+2.4%
Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 1 · MISSST 9-9 WAKE · MISSST 72% → 74%
- 05Bernardita AguilarAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Bernardita Aguilar
Set 1 · MISSST 4-8 WAKE · WAKE 32% → 34%
- 06Lyla StewartKill+2.4%
Kill by Lyla Stewart (set by Ava Roddey)
Set 4 · MISSST 3-3 WAKE · WAKE 11% → 13%
- 07MISSST serverAce+2.4%
Mississippi St. ace on Dhru Lalaji
Set 1 · MISSST 17-14 WAKE · MISSST 79% → 81%
- 08Lindsey MangelsonAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Lindsey Mangelson
Set 1 · MISSST 3-6 WAKE · WAKE 29% → 32%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 5 | 47 | .234 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 4 | 12 | 4 | 36 | .222 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 0 | 13 | .538 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 25 | .160 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | .308 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 53 | 14 | 146 | .267 | 51 | 3 | 9 | 69 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 96 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 37 | .189 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| 4 | 9 | 8 | 36 | .028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 17 | .353 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 28 | .036 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -.600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 47 | 26 | 158 | .133 | 44 | 3 | 9 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-18
Set 2
25-14
Set 3
21-25
Set 4
25-18
Bars above the line = Wake Forest leads, below = Mississippi St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Mississippi St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56%10/18 | 50%8/16 |
| 2 | 64%9/14 | 52%11/21 |
| 3 | 67%8/12 | 43%6/14 |
| 4 | 80%8/10 | 43%6/14 |
| 5 | 57%8/14 | 33%4/12 |
| 6 | 88%7/8 | 61%11/18 |
| All | 66%50/76 | 48%46/95 |
Wake Forest
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%10/20 | 50%9/18 |
| 2 | 47%8/17 | 25%3/12 |
| 3 | 62%8/13 | 33%4/12 |
| 4 | 47%8/17 | 33%4/12 |
| 5 | 57%8/14 | 20%2/10 |
| 6 | 50%7/14 | 33%4/12 |
| All | 52%49/95 | 34%26/76 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
171 rallies
Rally log
| # | MISSST-WAKE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WAKE | MISSST | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +1.4 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | MISSST | WAKE×3 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Andrea Roman | +1.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Bernardita Aguilar | +2.1 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +2.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Cayley Hanson | +1.6 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MISSST | WAKE | Serve err | MISSST server | +1.8 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | WAKE | MISSST | Serve err | WAKE server | +1.6 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | MISSST | WAKE | Serve err | MISSST server | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Lindsey Mangelson | +2.4 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | WAKE | MISSST | Serve err | WAKE server | +1.6 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +1.9 |
| 12 | 4-8 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Bernardita Aguilar | +2.4 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Kill | McKenna Yates | set Paloma Routaboul | +1.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Kill | Paloma Routaboul | set Cayley Hanson | +2.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +2.3 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +2.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Paloma Routaboul | set Cayley Hanson | +1.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Cayley Hanson | +2.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MISSST | WAKE | Serve err | MISSST server | +2.0 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +1.9 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Bad set | Emma Keeping | +2.5 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Kill | Cayley Hanson | set Mary Neal | +2.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 24 | 13-11 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Cayley Hanson | +1.8 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 26 | 13-13 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Lindsey Mangelson | +2.7 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | WAKE | MISSST | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | +2.1 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +2.2 |
| 29 | 15-14 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Serve err | WAKE server | +2.2 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | +2.7 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Ace | MISSST server | aced Dhru Lalaji | +2.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.6 |
| 33 | 18-15 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Serve err | WAKE server | +1.9 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +1.9 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Kill | Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss | set Cayley Hanson | +1.3 |
| 36 | 20-16 | MISSST | WAKE | Attack err | Paloma Routaboul | blk Emma Keeping, Sanaa Williams | +0.7 |
| 37 | 21-16 | WAKE | MISSST | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | blk Paloma Routaboul, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss | +1.0 |
| 38 | 22-16 | MISSST | MISSST | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | blk Cayley Hanson, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss | +0.7 |
| 39 | 22-17 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.3 |
| 40 | 23-17 | WAKE | MISSST | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +0.4 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.2 |
| 42 | 24-18 | WAKE | MISSST | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | +0.3 | |
| 43 | 25-18 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Bernardita Aguilar | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss | set Cayley Hanson | +1.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MISSST | MISSST | Attack err | Catherine Burke | blk Noella Obi | +1.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MISSST | WAKE | Serve err | MISSST server | +1.2 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Cayley Hanson | +1.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MISSST | WAKE | Serve err | MISSST server | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Cayley Hanson | +1.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Kill | Paloma Routaboul | set Cayley Hanson | +1.5 |
| 9 | 6-3 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Cayley Hanson | +1.3 |
| 10 | 6-4 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Emma Keeping | set Mattea Saunders | +1.0 |
| 11 | 7-4 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Cayley Hanson | +1.0 |
| 12 | 7-5 | MISSST | WAKE | Serve err | MISSST server | +1.0 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set McKenna Yates | +1.1 |
| 14 | 9-5 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Paloma Routaboul | set Cayley Hanson | +1.2 |
| 15 | 9-6 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 16 | 10-6 | WAKE | MISSST | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.9 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Cayley Hanson | +1.0 |
| 18 | 11-7 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.7 |
| 19 | 12-7 | WAKE | MISSST | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.8 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.7 |
| 21 | 12-9 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +1.2 |
| 22 | 13-9 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Kill | Noella Obi | set Cayley Hanson | +1.0 |
| 23 | 14-9 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Dhru Lalaji | +0.8 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +0.5 |
| 26 | 16-10 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Cayley Hanson | +0.6 |
| 27 | 16-11 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +0.5 |
| 28 | 17-11 | WAKE | MISSST | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.6 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +0.4 |
| 30 | 17-13 | WAKE | WAKE | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.8 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Cayley Hanson | +0.8 |
| 32 | 19-13 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Camille McCoy | +0.7 | |
| 33 | 20-13 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Camille McCoy | +0.4 | |
| 34 | 20-14 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +0.2 |
| 35 | 21-14 | WAKE | MISSST×5 | Kill | Ava Anderson | set Cayley Hanson | +0.3 |
| 36 | 22-14 | MISSST | MISSST×5 | Attack err | Emma Keeping | +0.2 | |
| 37 | 23-14 | MISSST | MISSST×5 | Attack err | Camille McCoy | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 24-14 | MISSST | MISSST×5 | Bad set | Andrea Roman | +0.0 | |
| 39 | 25-14 | MISSST | MISSST×5 | Kill | Ava Anderson | set Cayley Hanson | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 2 | 0-2 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Bernardita Aguilar | +0.9 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Dhru Lalaji | +0.9 |
| 4 | 0-4 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Team | +0.9 |
| 5 | 1-4 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Noella Obi | set Cayley Hanson | +0.6 |
| 6 | 1-5 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +0.8 |
| 7 | 1-6 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Mary Neal | +0.9 |
| 8 | 2-6 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Cayley Hanson | +0.6 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Noella Obi | set Cayley Hanson | +0.9 |
| 10 | 3-7 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Ava Roddey | +0.8 |
| 11 | 3-8 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Bernardita Aguilar | +1.0 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Noella Obi | set Cayley Hanson | +0.6 |
| 13 | 5-8 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Lindsey Mangelson | +0.9 |
| 14 | 5-9 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Ava Roddey | +0.8 |
| 15 | 6-9 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Paloma Routaboul | set Cayley Hanson | +0.7 |
| 16 | 7-9 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Paloma Routaboul | set Cayley Hanson | +1.0 |
| 17 | 7-10 | MISSST | WAKE | Attack err | Lindsey Mangelson | blk Sadie Poeck, Catherine Burke | +0.9 |
| 18 | 8-10 | WAKE | MISSST | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.8 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Ava Anderson | set Cayley Hanson | +1.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 21 | 10-11 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Cayley Hanson | +0.8 |
| 22 | 10-12 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +1.0 |
| 23 | 10-13 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Lindsey Mangelson | blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Sanaa Williams | +1.2 |
| 24 | 11-13 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Cayley Hanson | +0.8 |
| 25 | 12-13 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Sanaa Williams | blk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi | +1.2 |
| 26 | 13-13 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Serve err | MISSST server | +1.2 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | MISSST | WAKE | Serve err | MISSST server | +1.0 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set McKenna Yates | +1.0 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Ava Roddey | +1.1 |
| 30 | 15-15 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Noella Obi | set Lyla Stewart | +1.0 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MISSST | WAKE | Serve err | MISSST server | +1.1 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Paloma Routaboul | +1.5 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Ava Anderson | set Cayley Hanson | +1.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | MISSST | MISSST | Bad set | Ava Roddey | +1.5 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | MISSST | WAKE | Attack err | Ava Anderson | blk Sadie Poeck, Catherine Burke | +1.3 |
| 36 | 17-19 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | +1.7 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Cayley Hanson | set Bernardita Aguilar | +1.2 |
| 38 | 19-19 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Bernardita Aguilar | +1.7 |
| 39 | 19-20 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.5 |
| 40 | 20-20 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Cayley Hanson | +1.4 |
| 41 | 20-21 | MISSST | WAKE×4 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +1.7 |
| 42 | 20-22 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Lindsey Mangelson | blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Sanaa Williams | +2.3 |
| 43 | 20-23 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Andrea Roman | +2.0 |
| 44 | 20-24 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.2 |
| 45 | 21-24 | WAKE | MISSST | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.3 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +0.7 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MISSST | MISSST | Kill | Ava Anderson | set Cayley Hanson | +2.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | WAKE | MISSST | Serve err | WAKE server | +1.7 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | MISSST | MISSST | Ace | MISSST server | aced Andrea Roman | +2.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +1.7 |
| 6 | 3-3 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Ava Roddey | +2.4 |
| 7 | 4-3 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Bernardita Aguilar | +1.8 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Kill | Noella Obi | set Cayley Hanson | +2.2 |
| 9 | 6-3 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Sanaa Williams | blk Noella Obi | +2.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | MISSST | WAKE | Serve err | MISSST server | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | WAKE | MISSST×4 | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Cayley Hanson | +1.6 |
| 12 | 8-4 | MISSST | MISSST×4 | Kill | Paloma Routaboul | set Cayley Hanson | +1.8 |
| 13 | 9-4 | MISSST | MISSST×4 | Kill | Ava Anderson | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 10-4 | MISSST | MISSST×4 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +1.2 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Ava Roddey | +0.8 |
| 16 | 11-5 | WAKE | MISSST | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | blk Bernardita Aguilar, Ava Anderson | +0.9 |
| 17 | 11-6 | MISSST | WAKE | Attack err | Paloma Routaboul | blk Sadie Poeck, Catherine Burke | +0.8 |
| 18 | 11-7 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Andrea Roman | +1.4 |
| 19 | 12-7 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Lindsey Mangelson | +1.2 |
| 20 | 12-8 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +1.1 |
| 21 | 12-9 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 22 | 13-9 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Ava Anderson | +1.5 |
| 23 | 13-10 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Andrea Roman | +1.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | WAKE | MISSST×6 | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Cayley Hanson | +1.6 |
| 25 | 15-10 | MISSST | MISSST×6 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Lindsey Mangelson, Noella Obi | +1.6 |
| 26 | 16-10 | MISSST | MISSST×6 | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Cayley Hanson | +1.2 |
| 27 | 17-10 | MISSST | MISSST×6 | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | +0.8 | |
| 28 | 18-10 | MISSST | MISSST×6 | Ace | MISSST server | aced Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.5 |
| 29 | 19-10 | MISSST | MISSST×6 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Lindsey Mangelson, Noella Obi | +0.3 |
| 30 | 19-11 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +0.1 |
| 31 | 20-11 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Bernardita Aguilar | set Cayley Hanson | +0.2 |
| 32 | 20-12 | MISSST | WAKE×3 | Kill | Sadie Poeck | set Ava Roddey | +0.1 |
| 33 | 20-13 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Ava Roddey | +0.2 |
| 34 | 20-14 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Ace | WAKE server | aced McKenna Yates | +0.4 |
| 35 | 21-14 | WAKE | MISSST | Kill | Noella Obi | set Cayley Hanson | +0.4 |
| 36 | 21-15 | MISSST | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Ava Roddey | +0.2 |
| 37 | 22-15 | WAKE | MISSST | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.4 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | MISSST | WAKE×3 | Kill | Sadie Poeck | set Ava Roddey | +0.2 |
| 39 | 22-17 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Ava Anderson | blk Catherine Burke | +0.4 |
| 40 | 22-18 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Bernardita Aguilar | blk Amina Ndiaye, Catherine Burke | +0.8 |
| 41 | 23-18 | WAKE | MISSST×3 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +1.0 | |
| 42 | 24-18 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set Sydnie Waller | +0.5 |
| 43 | 25-18 | MISSST | MISSST×3 | Kill | Lindsey Mangelson | set McKenna Yates | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Mississippi St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.