Mississippi State vs Texas Volleyball: Texas Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026SECN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Texas 90.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 6:36 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Texas beat visiting Mississippi St. 3-0 (25-16, 25-21, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Texas' Torrey Stafford led with 20 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 2

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MISSST	16	21	19	0
TEXAS	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Torrey Stafford needed just 3 sets for 20 kills. Texas swept Mississippi St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.3 points. Mississippi St. peaked at 11% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Texas 90% before first serve.

Mississippi St.Texas

Break %+18.4 pts
24.142.5
31 of 73 on serve vs 14 of 58, so Mississippi St.'s sideout was 57.5%.
Hitting+.193
.245.438
53 kills, 7 errors vs 34 kills, 10 errors.
Longest run+1
56
Texas scored 6 straight in the first set to go from 8–8 to a 14–8 lead. That set ended 25–16.

Texas above 50Mississippi St. belowMax swing 1.3%

Mississippi St.Texas

Aces: Mississippi St. 3·Texas 2
Serve err: Mississippi St. 8·Texas 12
Blocks: Mississippi St. 3·Texas 40 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Mississippi St. 40·Texas 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Texas above 50 · Mississippi St. below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Mississippi St. — set 1, MISSST 8-8 TEXAS. Kill by Paloma Routaboul (set by Adriana Jeanpierre). TEXAS win probability 91% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISSST 15.5%84.5% TEXAS

Mississippi St. wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-2

8.2%

Texas wins

3-0

36.5%

3-1

31.2%

3-2

16.8%

MISSST break %: 36.7% vs this opp
TEXAS break %: 44.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Paloma RoutaboulKill+1.3%
Kill by Paloma Routaboul (set by Adriana Jeanpierre)
Set 1 · MISSST 8-8 TEXAS · MISSST 9% → 11%
02
Torrey StaffordKill+1.2%
Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Rella Binney)
Set 1 · MISSST 8-10 TEXAS · TEXAS 90% → 92%
03
Cari SpearsAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Cari Spears
Set 1 · MISSST 7-8 TEXAS · MISSST 8% → 9%
04
Torrey StaffordKill+1.0%
Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Ramsey Gary)
Set 1 · MISSST 8-11 TEXAS · TEXAS 92% → 92%
05
Mississippi St.Service error+0.9%
Mississippi St. service error
Set 1 · MISSST 8-9 TEXAS · TEXAS 89% → 90%
06
Henley AndersonKill+0.9%
Kill by Henley Anderson (set by Rella Binney)
Set 1 · MISSST 0-2 TEXAS · TEXAS 91% → 92%
07
Torrey StaffordAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Torrey Stafford
Set 2 · MISSST 7-7 TEXAS · MISSST 4% → 5%
08
Sydnie WallerKill+0.9%
Kill by Sydnie Waller (set by Adriana Jeanpierre)
Set 1 · MISSST 6-8 TEXAS · MISSST 7% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Mississippi St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Lindsey MangelsonOH	3	14	2	35	.343	0	1	0	4	0	1	0.5	15.5
1Bernardita AguilarOH	3	5	1	15	.267	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	6
20Noella ObiOPP	3	5	2	10	.300	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	5
22Gha'Naye Whitfield-MossMB	3	2	0	9	.222	1	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
5Erin KlineS	3	0	0	0	–	18	1	3	4	0	0	0	1
8Mary NealDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	7	1	0	0	1
10Paloma RoutaboulOH	3	5	3	23	.087	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	5
4McKenna YatesDS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	2	9	1	0	0	0
2Adriana JeanpierreS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
21Ava AndersonMB	2	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
17Kyla ScharfmanDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
13Sydnie WallerOH	1	1	2	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		34	10	98	.245	33	3	8	40	2	6	3	56

Texashome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
4Torrey StaffordOH	3	20	2	43	.419	0	0	1	13	2	1	0.5	20.5
22Henley AndersonOH	3	12	2	25	.400	1	0	2	2	0	1	0.5	12.5
23Cari SpearsOH	3	9	3	20	.300	0	1	5	7	0	1	0.5	10.5
10Taylor HarveyMB	3	6	0	9	.667	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	7.5
7Mackenzie CollinsMB	3	5	0	5	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
3Rella BinneyS	3	1	0	2	.500	39	0	0	7	0	1	0.5	1.5
16Anja KujundzicL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
32Ramsey GaryL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	8	0	1	10	0	0	0	0
17Emma CuginoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	0
5Genevieve HarrisS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	7	105	.438	49	2	12	46	3	8	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MISSST · TEXAS 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 5 MISSSTTEXAS 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 MISSSTTEXAS 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 2 MISSSTTEXAS 3

Bars above the line = Texas leads, below = Mississippi St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	22%2/9
2	67%8/12	20%2/10
3	53%8/15	20%2/10
4	73%8/11	11%1/9
5	42%5/12	33%4/12
6	42%5/12	38%3/8
All	58%42/73	24%14/58

Texas

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	45%5/11
2	73%8/11	20%2/10
3	100%8/8	38%5/13
4	89%8/9	38%5/13
5	54%7/13	30%3/10
6	83%5/6	69%11/16
All	76%44/58	42%31/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	MISSST-TEXAS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Mackenzie Collins	set Rella Binney	+0.7
2	0-2	TEXAS	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Rella Binney	+0.9
3	1-2	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.7
4	1-3	MISSST	TEXAS	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.6
5	1-4	TEXAS	TEXAS	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.8
6	2-4	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		+0.6
7	2-5	MISSST	TEXAS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.6
8	2-6	TEXAS	TEXAS	Ace	Texas	aced Mary Neal	+0.7
9	3-6	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		+0.5
10	3-7	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Rella Binney	set Henley Anderson	+0.5
11	3-8	TEXAS	TEXAS	Blocked	Sydnie Waller	blk Torrey Stafford, Taylor Harvey	+0.5
12	4-8	TEXAS	MISSST×5	Serve err	Texas		+0.4
13	5-8	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.7
14	6-8	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Sydnie Waller	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.9
15	7-8	MISSST	MISSST×5	Attack err	Cari Spears		+1.1
16	8-8	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+1.3
17	8-9	MISSST	TEXAS×6	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.9
18	8-10	TEXAS	TEXAS×6	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+1.2
19	8-11	TEXAS	TEXAS×6	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Ramsey Gary	+1.0
20	8-12	TEXAS	TEXAS×6	Kill	Torrey Stafford		+0.8
21	8-13	TEXAS	TEXAS×6	Attack err	Paloma Routaboul		+0.6
22	8-14	TEXAS	TEXAS×6	Attack err	Paloma Routaboul		+0.4
23	9-14	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.3
24	10-14	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Emma Cugino	+0.5
25	10-15	MISSST	TEXAS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.4
26	11-15	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Erin Kline	+0.4
27	11-16	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.4
28	12-16	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.4
29	12-17	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Mackenzie Collins	set Rella Binney	+0.5
30	12-18	TEXAS	TEXAS	Kill	Taylor Harvey	set Rella Binney	+0.4
31	13-18	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Erin Kline	+0.2
32	13-19	MISSST	TEXAS×5	Kill	Cari Spears	set Ramsey Gary	+0.3
33	13-20	TEXAS	TEXAS×5	Blocked	Sydnie Waller	blk Taylor Harvey, Henley Anderson	+0.2
34	13-21	TEXAS	TEXAS×5	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Rella Binney	+0.1
35	13-22	TEXAS	TEXAS×5	Kill	Taylor Harvey	set Rella Binney	·
36	13-23	TEXAS	TEXAS×5	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	·
37	14-23	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		·
38	15-23	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Torrey Stafford	·
39	15-24	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Ramsey Gary	·
40	16-24	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		·
41	16-25	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Cari Spears	set Rella Binney	·
Set 2
1	0-1	TEXAS	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Ramsey Gary	+0.7
2	1-1	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Erin Kline	+0.5
3	1-2	MISSST	TEXAS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.5
4	1-3	TEXAS	TEXAS	Kill	Cari Spears	set Rella Binney	+0.6
5	2-3	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.5
6	2-4	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.5
7	2-5	TEXAS	TEXAS	Attack err	Bernardita Aguilar		+0.5
8	3-5	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set McKenna Yates	+0.4
9	3-6	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Cari Spears	set Rella Binney	+0.4
10	4-6	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		+0.4
11	4-7	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Rella Binney	+0.4
12	5-7	TEXAS	MISSST×3	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.4
13	6-7	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.7
14	7-7	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Torrey Stafford		+0.9
15	7-8	MISSST	TEXAS×4	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.6
16	7-9	TEXAS	TEXAS×4	Bad set	Adriana Jeanpierre		+0.8
17	7-10	TEXAS	TEXAS×4	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.6
18	7-11	TEXAS	TEXAS×4	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.5
19	8-11	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.4
20	8-12	MISSST	TEXAS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.4
21	8-13	TEXAS	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.4
22	9-13	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Erin Kline	+0.3
23	9-14	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Mackenzie Collins	set Rella Binney	+0.3
24	10-14	TEXAS	MISSST×3	Serve err	Texas		+0.3
25	11-14	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Erin Kline	+0.5
26	12-14	MISSST	MISSST×3	Blocked	Cari Spears	blk Lindsey Mangelson, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	+0.7
27	12-15	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Mackenzie Collins	set Rella Binney	+0.6
28	12-16	TEXAS	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Anja Kujundzic	+0.6
29	13-16	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set McKenna Yates	+0.4
30	13-17	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Taylor Harvey	set Rella Binney	+0.4
31	14-17	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.4
32	14-18	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Ramsey Gary	+0.5
33	15-18	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.4
34	15-19	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Cari Spears	set Rella Binney	+0.5
35	15-20	TEXAS	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.4
36	16-20	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+0.2
37	16-21	MISSST	TEXAS	Attack err	Noella Obi		+0.3
38	17-21	TEXAS	MISSST	Attack err	Torrey Stafford		+0.2
39	18-21	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Cari Spears		+0.4
40	18-22	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Cari Spears	set Ramsey Gary	+0.5
41	19-22	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.3
42	19-23	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Rella Binney	+0.4
43	20-23	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.2
44	20-24	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Cari Spears	set Rella Binney	+0.4
45	21-24	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.1
46	21-25	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Rella Binney	+0.3
Set 3
1	1-0	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Torrey Stafford	+0.4
2	1-1	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Cari Spears	set Rella Binney	+0.3
3	2-1	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Erin Kline	+0.3
4	2-2	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Cari Spears	set Rella Binney	+0.3
5	3-2	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	+0.3
6	3-3	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Ramsey Gary	+0.3
7	4-3	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		+0.3
8	4-4	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Rella Binney	+0.3
9	5-4	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Paloma Routaboul	+0.3
10	5-5	MISSST	TEXAS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.3
11	5-6	TEXAS	TEXAS	Bad set	Adriana Jeanpierre		+0.4
12	6-6	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.3
13	6-7	MISSST	TEXAS×3	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.3
14	6-8	TEXAS	TEXAS×3	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Ramsey Gary	+0.4
15	6-9	TEXAS	TEXAS×3	Blocked	Noella Obi	blk Mackenzie Collins, Cari Spears	+0.3
16	7-9	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+0.2
17	8-9	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set McKenna Yates	+0.4
18	8-10	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.3
19	9-10	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Noella Obi	+0.3
20	10-10	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Rella Binney	+0.5
21	10-11	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Rella Binney	+0.3
22	11-11	TEXAS	MISSST	Blocked	Henley Anderson	blk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Bernardita Aguilar	+0.4
23	11-12	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Taylor Harvey	set Rella Binney	+0.4
24	12-12	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		+0.4
25	12-13	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Henley Anderson	set Rella Binney	+0.4
26	13-13	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		+0.4
27	13-14	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.4
28	14-14	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		+0.4
29	14-15	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.4
30	14-16	TEXAS	TEXAS	Kill	Mackenzie Collins		+0.5
31	15-16	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Erin Kline	+0.4
32	15-17	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.4
33	16-17	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.4
34	16-18	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.4
35	16-19	TEXAS	TEXAS	Ace	Texas	aced McKenna Yates	+0.5
36	17-19	TEXAS	MISSST	Blocked	Henley Anderson	blk Bernardita Aguilar, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	+0.3
37	17-20	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Taylor Harvey	set Rella Binney	+0.3
38	18-20	TEXAS	MISSST	Serve err	Texas		+0.3
39	18-21	MISSST	TEXAS×3	Kill	Taylor Harvey	set Rella Binney	+0.4
40	18-22	TEXAS	TEXAS×3	Blocked	Paloma Routaboul	blk Rella Binney, Taylor Harvey	+0.3
41	18-23	TEXAS	TEXAS×3	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.2
42	19-23	TEXAS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set McKenna Yates	·
43	19-24	MISSST	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Rella Binney	+0.1
44	19-25	TEXAS	TEXAS	Kill	Torrey Stafford	set Ramsey Gary	·

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Texas def. Mississippi St. 3–0

Torrey Stafford needed just 3 sets for 20 kills. Texas swept Mississippi St.