Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on SECN+

Vanderbilt def. Mississippi St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Vanderbilt 80.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Vanderbilt beat visiting Mississippi St. 3-1 (25-11, 18-25, 27-25, 25-19) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Vanderbilt's Samantha Wunsch led with 16 kills, and Hailee Mack added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set1234Sets
MISSST112525191
VANDY251827253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Hailee Mack, and Vanderbilt needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Vanderbilt's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Vanderbilt went in as RallyIQ's 80% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Mississippi St. 13–10 Vanderbilt

    Vanderbilt scored 7 straight to turn a 10–13 deficit into a 17–13 lead.

    Vanderbilt 61% → 85%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Mississippi St. 20–24 Vanderbilt

    4 straight Mississippi St. points erased a 20–24 deficit: 24–24.

    Vanderbilt 89% → 72%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Mississippi St. 24–24 Vanderbilt

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Vanderbilt, enough to take the set 27–25 and lead 2–1.

    Vanderbilt 72% → 89%

Vanderbilt above 50Mississippi St. belowMax swing 10.7%

Mississippi St.Vanderbilt

Sideout %
Mississippi St. 50.0·Vanderbilt 59.3
Break %
Mississippi St. 40.7·Vanderbilt 50.0
Hitting
Mississippi St. .214·Vanderbilt .301
Longest run
Mississippi St. 4·Vanderbilt 7

Samantha Wunsch
16 kills on .400, 18.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Vanderbilt above 50 · Mississippi St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.7% MISSSTrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Mississippi St. — set 3, MISSST 24-24 VANDY. Attack error by Kayla Dunlap. VANDY win probability 83% → 72%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISSST 24.4%75.6% VANDY

Mississippi St. wins

3-0
4.3%
3-1
8.3%
3-2
11.8%

Vanderbilt wins

3-0
27.5%
3-1
28.9%
3-2
19.2%
MISSST break %
38.2% vs this opp
VANDY break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kayla DunlapAttack error+10.7%

    Attack error by Kayla Dunlap

    Set 3 · MISSST 24-24 VANDY · MISSST 17% → 28%

  2. 02

    Kill by Samantha Wunsch (set by Avery Scoggins)

    Set 3 · MISSST 25-27 VANDY · VANDY 79% → 89%

  3. 03

    Kill by Reese Animashaun (set by Avery Scoggins)

    Set 3 · MISSST 24-25 VANDY · VANDY 72% → 79%

  4. 04

    Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Erin Kline)

    Set 3 · MISSST 25-25 VANDY · MISSST 21% → 28%

  5. 05
    Gha'Naye Whitfield-MossAttack error+7.5%

    Attack error by Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss

    Set 3 · MISSST 25-26 VANDY · VANDY 72% → 79%

  6. 06

    Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Cayley Hanson)

    Set 3 · MISSST 20-20 VANDY · MISSST 22% → 28%

  7. 07

    Kill by Reese Animashaun (set by Avery Scoggins)

    Set 3 · MISSST 20-22 VANDY · VANDY 77% → 82%

  8. 08
    Kayla DunlapKill+4.4%

    Kill by Kayla Dunlap (set by Avery Scoggins)

    Set 3 · MISSST 20-21 VANDY · VANDY 72% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414641.1950002102115
413240.2750118402115
48016.50000010153.511.5
43323.00032040031.56.5
4136-.33300220052.53.5
4000–2413500001
41011.000013620002
4000–3211410002
3314.50000010031.54.5
3000–1100100000
Team totals4315131.214417104481201180
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416430.40010050052.518.5
415737.2161129202117
410520.25000000073.513.5
410331.226210121010.511.5
48211.545000110219
4204.5004611141010.53.5
4000–3401810004
4000–011100001
4000–203600000
1000–000010000
Team totals6121133.3015587667018995

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MISSST · VANDY 7

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 3 MISSSTVANDY 6

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 3 MISSSTVANDY 2

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 MISSSTVANDY 7

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 MISSSTVANDY 6

Bars above the line = Vanderbilt leads, below = Mississippi St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%9/22
38%5/13
2
41%9/22
47%8/17
3
47%8/17
18%2/11
4
62%8/13
47%7/15
5
64%7/11
59%10/17
6
67%6/9
13%1/8
All
50%47/94
41%33/81

Vanderbilt

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
62%13/21
2
69%9/13
44%7/16
3
62%8/13
53%9/17
4
47%8/17
58%11/19
5
64%7/11
20%2/10
6
75%6/8
45%5/11
All
59%48/81
50%47/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#MISSST-VANDYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1VANDYVANDYAttack errPaloma Routaboul+1.7
20-2VANDYVANDYAceHailee Mackaced Lindsey Mangelson+1.6
31-2VANDYMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+1.1
41-3MISSSTVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+1.1
52-3VANDYMISSSTServe errElli Kinney+1.1
62-4MISSSTVANDY×4Serve errMississippi St.+1.1
72-5VANDYVANDY×4KillKayla Dunlap+1.4
82-6VANDYVANDY×4KillReese Animashaun+1.2
92-7VANDYVANDY×4Bad setGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.0
103-7VANDYMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.6
113-8MISSSTVANDY×3BlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Kayla Dunlap, Reese Animashaun+0.7
123-9VANDYVANDY×3AceVanderbiltaced Mary Neal+0.8
133-10VANDYVANDY×3KillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+0.6
144-10VANDYMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.3
154-11MISSSTVANDY×3Attack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+0.4
164-12VANDYVANDY×3AceVanderbiltaced Paloma Routaboul+0.4
174-13VANDYVANDY×3KillSamantha Wunschset Hailee Mack+0.3
185-13VANDYMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+0.1
195-14MISSSTVANDYKillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+0.2
205-15VANDYVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+0.1
216-15VANDYMISSSTBlockedSamantha Wunschblk Paloma Routaboul, Noella Obi+0.1
227-15MISSSTMISSSTAttack errMaya Witherspoon+0.1
237-16MISSSTVANDY×6Serve errMississippi St.+0.1
247-17VANDYVANDY×6KillSamantha Wunschset Hailee Mack+0.1
257-18VANDYVANDY×6BlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Samantha Wunsch, Kayla Dunlap+0.1
267-19VANDYVANDY×6Attack errPaloma Routaboul·
277-20VANDYVANDY×6KillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins·
287-21VANDYVANDY×6AceVanderbiltaced Lindsey Mangelson·
298-21VANDYMISSST×3KillPaloma Routaboulset Bernardita Aguilar·
309-21MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errSamantha Wunsch·
3110-21MISSSTMISSST×3AceMississippi St.aced Reese Animashaun·
3210-22MISSSTVANDY×3Serve errMississippi St.·
3310-23VANDYVANDY×3BlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Maya Witherspoon, Kayla Dunlap·
3410-24VANDYVANDY×3KillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins·
3511-24VANDYMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson·
3611-25MISSSTVANDYKillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins·
Set 2
11-0MISSSTMISSSTBlockedMaya Witherspoonblk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi+1.4
22-0MISSSTMISSSTBad setAvery Scoggins+1.5
32-1MISSSTVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+1.0
43-1VANDYMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Bernardita Aguilar+1.1
54-1MISSSTMISSSTBlockedSamantha Wunschblk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Lindsey Mangelson+1.7
64-2MISSSTVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+1.0
74-3VANDYVANDYKillAvery Scogginsset Reese Animashaun+1.5
85-3VANDYMISSSTServe errElli Kinney+1.2
96-3MISSSTMISSSTBlockedMaya Witherspoonblk Ava Anderson, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.7
106-4MISSSTVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+1.0
117-4VANDYMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Erin Kline+1.3
127-5MISSSTVANDYServe errMississippi St.+1.1
138-5VANDYMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline+1.3
148-6MISSSTVANDYServe errMississippi St.+1.1
159-6VANDYMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Erin Kline+1.3
1610-6MISSSTMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset McKenna Yates+1.9
1710-7MISSSTVANDYKillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+1.1
1811-7VANDYMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+1.3
1911-8MISSSTVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+1.1
2012-8VANDYMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.4
2112-9MISSSTVANDYKillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+1.1
2213-9VANDYMISSSTBlockedKayla Dunlapblk Lindsey Mangelson, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.4
2313-10MISSSTVANDYKillAvery Scogginsset Elli Kinney+1.1
2414-10VANDYMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline+1.4
2514-11MISSSTVANDYKillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+1.1
2615-11VANDYMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline+1.5
2715-12MISSSTVANDYServe errMississippi St.+1.1
2816-12VANDYMISSSTBlockedRachel Ogunleyeblk Noella Obi, Ava Anderson+1.5
2916-13MISSSTVANDYServe errMississippi St.+1.1
3017-13VANDYMISSSTAttack errReese Animashaun+1.5
3117-14MISSSTVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+1.1
3218-14VANDYMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.6
3318-15MISSSTVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+1.1
3419-15VANDYMISSSTServe errElli Kinney+1.6
3519-16MISSSTVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Elli Kinney+1.1
3619-17VANDYVANDYKillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+2.1
3720-17VANDYMISSST×3Serve errMaya Witherspoon+2.0
3821-17MISSSTMISSST×3KillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+2.4
3922-17MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedKayla Dunlapblk Paloma Routaboul, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.6
4022-18MISSSTVANDYKillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+0.5
4123-18VANDYMISSST×3KillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+1.0
4224-18MISSSTMISSST×3KillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+0.6
4325-18MISSSTMISSST×3KillNoella Obi+0.1
Set 3
11-0VANDYMISSST×3KillNoella Obi+2.0
22-0MISSSTMISSST×3AceMississippi St.aced Rachel Ogunleye+3.1
33-0MISSSTMISSST×3KillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+3.3
43-1MISSSTVANDY×5KillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+2.0
53-2VANDYVANDY×5KillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+3.0
63-3VANDYVANDY×5BlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Maya Witherspoon, Kayla Dunlap+3.0
73-4VANDYVANDY×5KillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+2.8
83-5VANDYVANDY×5AceHailee Mackaced Lindsey Mangelson+2.6
94-5VANDYMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+1.8
105-5MISSSTMISSSTBlockedMaya Witherspoonblk Noella Obi, Bernardita Aguilar+3.0
115-6MISSSTVANDYServe errMississippi St.+2.0
126-6VANDYMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+2.1
137-6MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Maya Witherspoon+3.4
147-7MISSSTVANDYKillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+2.2
158-7VANDYMISSST×4Serve errMaya Witherspoon+2.5
169-7MISSSTMISSST×4AceMississippi St.aced Hailee Mack+3.8
1710-7MISSSTMISSST×4Attack errMaya Witherspoon+3.9
1811-7MISSSTMISSST×4BlockedReese Animashaunblk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Ava Anderson+3.9
1911-8MISSSTVANDYKillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+2.2
2012-8VANDYMISSSTServe errCarly Hendrickson+2.8
2112-9MISSSTVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+2.2
2212-10VANDYVANDYBlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Samantha Wunsch, Rachel Ogunleye+3.7
2313-10VANDYMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Erin Kline+3.0
2413-11MISSSTVANDY×7KillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+2.5
2513-12VANDYVANDY×7BlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Samantha Wunsch, Rachel Ogunleye+4.0
2613-13VANDYVANDY×7KillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+4.1
2713-14VANDYVANDY×7KillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+4.0
2813-15VANDYVANDY×7KillMaya Witherspoonset Samantha Wunsch+3.7
2913-16VANDYVANDY×7KillSamantha Wunsch+3.1
3013-17VANDYVANDY×7KillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+2.4
3114-17VANDYMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.3
3215-17MISSSTMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+2.7
3315-18MISSSTVANDYKillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+2.2
3415-19VANDYVANDYKillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+2.5
3516-19VANDYMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset McKenna Yates+1.3
3616-20MISSSTVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Hailee Mack+1.7
3717-20VANDYMISSST×4KillMary Nealset Cayley Hanson+1.2
3818-20MISSSTMISSST×4KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.8
3919-20MISSSTMISSST×4AceMississippi St.aced Maya Witherspoon+4.3
4020-20MISSSTMISSST×4KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+6.0
4120-21MISSSTVANDY×4KillKayla Dunlapset Avery Scoggins+4.4
4220-22VANDYVANDY×4KillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+5.9
4320-23VANDYVANDY×4KillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+4.1
4420-24VANDYVANDY×4AceMaya Witherspoonaced Mary Neal+2.0
4521-24VANDYMISSST×4KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.4
4622-24MISSSTMISSST×4AceMississippi St.aced Avery Scoggins+1.5
4723-24MISSSTMISSST×4Attack errKayla Dunlap+4.0
4824-24MISSSTMISSST×4Attack errKayla Dunlap+10.7
4924-25MISSSTVANDYKillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+7.5
5025-25VANDYMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline+7.5
5125-26MISSSTVANDYAttack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+7.5
5225-27VANDYVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+9.6
Set 4
10-1MISSSTVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+1.4
21-1VANDYMISSSTServe errAvery Scoggins+1.5
32-1MISSSTMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+2.4
42-2MISSSTVANDYServe errMississippi St.+1.5
52-3VANDYVANDYAceReese Animashaunaced McKenna Yates+2.2
63-3VANDYMISSSTAttack errSamantha Wunsch+1.6
73-4MISSSTVANDY×6KillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+1.5
83-5VANDYVANDY×6BlockedLindsey Mangelsonblk Kayla Dunlap, Samantha Wunsch+2.1
93-6VANDYVANDY×6Attack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.8
103-7VANDYVANDY×6KillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+1.6
113-8VANDYVANDY×6BlockedLindsey Mangelsonblk Samantha Wunsch, Kayla Dunlap+1.3
123-9VANDYVANDY×6AceHailee Mackaced Lindsey Mangelson+1.0
134-9VANDYMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Cayley Hanson+0.6
144-10MISSSTVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Maya Witherspoon+0.7
155-10VANDYMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Erin Kline+0.6
165-11MISSSTVANDY×3KillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+0.7
175-12VANDYVANDY×3Attack errAva Anderson+0.7
185-13VANDYVANDY×3BlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Kayla Dunlap, Avery Scoggins+0.5
196-13VANDYMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline+0.2
206-14MISSSTVANDYKillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+0.3
217-14VANDYMISSST×3KillPaloma Routaboulset McKenna Yates+0.2
228-14MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedReese Animashaunblk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi+0.5
239-14MISSSTMISSST×3Bad setAvery Scoggins+0.7
249-15MISSSTVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.6
2510-15VANDYMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.5
2611-15MISSSTMISSSTBlockedRachel Ogunleyeblk Noella Obi+1.1
2711-16MISSSTVANDY×5KillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+0.9
2811-17VANDYVANDY×5KillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.9
2911-18VANDYVANDY×5KillMaya Witherspoonset Avery Scoggins+0.6
3011-19VANDYVANDY×5KillRachel Ogunleye+0.3
3111-20VANDYVANDY×5KillMaya Witherspoonset Reese Animashaun+0.1
3212-20VANDYMISSSTAttack errMaya Witherspoon·
3312-21MISSSTVANDYKillRachel Ogunleyeset Avery Scoggins+0.1
3413-21VANDYMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson·
3514-21MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Bernardita Aguilar+0.1
3614-22MISSSTVANDYKillSamantha Wunschset Avery Scoggins+0.1
3715-22VANDYMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline·
3816-22MISSSTMISSST×3AceMississippi St.aced Taylor Porter+0.1
3917-22MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errKayla Dunlap+0.3
4017-23MISSSTVANDYKillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+0.3
4118-23VANDYMISSSTAttack errMaya Witherspoon+0.1
4218-24MISSSTVANDYKillReese Animashaunset Avery Scoggins+0.2
4319-24VANDYMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline·
4419-25MISSSTVANDYServe errMississippi St.+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).