Mississippi State def. Oklahoma 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 23)

FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026SECN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Mississippi St. 56.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Mississippi St. beat visiting Oklahoma 3-0 (25-18, 28-26, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Bernardita Aguilar led Mississippi St. with 11 kills; Oklahoma's Alyssa Flack had a match-high 17.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 23

Set	1	2	3	Sets
OKLA	18	26	16	0
MISSST	25	28	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

7 of the last 8 rallies went to Mississippi St., closing out Oklahoma.

The match turned once; each line shows Mississippi St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Mississippi St. went in as RallyIQ's 57% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Oklahoma 25–25 Mississippi St.
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Mississippi St., enough to take the set 28–26 and lead 2–0.
Mississippi St. 75% → 90%

Mississippi St. above 50Oklahoma belowMax swing 9.5%

OklahomaMississippi St.

Sideout %: Oklahoma 55.8·Mississippi St. 72.1
Break %: Oklahoma 27.9·Mississippi St. 44.2
Hitting: Oklahoma .177·Mississippi St. .339
Longest run: Oklahoma 4·Mississippi St. 6

Mary Neal
2 kills on 1.000, 4 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Mississippi St. above 50 · Oklahoma below

Biggest swing: 9.5% to Oklahoma — set 2, OKLA 26-25 MISSST. Attack error by Bernardita Aguilar. MISSST win probability 75% → 65%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OKLA 30.6%69.4% MISSST

Oklahoma wins

3-0

5.9%

3-1

10.8%

3-2

14.0%

Mississippi St. wins

3-0

22.8%

3-1

26.6%

3-2

19.9%

OKLA break %: 37.6% vs this opp
MISSST break %: 41.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Bernardita AguilarAttack error+9.5%
Attack error by Bernardita Aguilar
Set 2 · OKLA 26-25 MISSST · OKLA 25% → 35%
02
Mary NealKill+9.3%
Kill by Mary Neal (set by Bernardita Aguilar)
Set 2 · OKLA 26-27 MISSST · MISSST 72% → 81%
03
Alyssa FlackKill+9.2%
Kill by Alyssa Flack (set by Avaya Maga)
Set 2 · OKLA 24-24 MISSST · OKLA 16% → 25%
04
Mary NealKill+9.0%
Kill by Mary Neal (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 2 · OKLA 26-28 MISSST · MISSST 81% → 90%
05
OklahomaService error+6.4%
Oklahoma service error
Set 2 · OKLA 26-26 MISSST · MISSST 65% → 72%
06
Ava AndersonKill+6.2%
Kill by Ava Anderson (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 2 · OKLA 24-25 MISSST · MISSST 75% → 81%
07
Alyssa FlackKill+6.2%
Kill by Alyssa Flack (set by Avaya Maga)
Set 2 · OKLA 25-25 MISSST · OKLA 19% → 25%
08
Alyssa FlackKill+3.6%
Kill by Alyssa Flack (set by McKenna Brand)
Set 2 · OKLA 23-24 MISSST · OKLA 12% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Oklahomaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
19Alyssa FlackOH	3	17	1	34	.471	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	17
3Tekoa BarnesOH	3	8	9	34	-.029	2	1	3	8	0	0	0	9
8Carley ButlerMB	3	4	2	16	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
12Elise HaniMB	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
11Avaya MagaS	3	1	0	3	.333	29	1	4	16	0	0	0	2
6McKenna BrandL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
15Alaleh TolliverOH	3	10	8	30	.067	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	11
4Kinsley SingletonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
10Mikala YoungOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
16Aniya WarrenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	10	0	0	0	0
0Mari KingOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	21	130	.177	40	3	8	46	4	1	1	60

Mississippi St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Lindsey MangelsonOH	3	10	2	30	.267	1	0	0	15	0	0	0	0	10
10Paloma RoutaboulOH	3	8	2	28	.214	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
21Ava AndersonMB	3	6	2	10	.400	0	1	4	3	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
20Noella ObiOPP	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	6
22Gha'Naye Whitfield-MossMB	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	6
5Erin KlineS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
1Bernardita AguilarOH	3	11	1	19	.526	3	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	12
8Mary NealDS	3	2	0	2	1.000	1	2	0	10	0	0	0	0	4
4McKenna YatesDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	16	0	0	0	0	1
24Cayley HansonS	3	0	0	0	–	21	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	8	109	.339	40	4	5	53	3	2	10	7	78

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 OKLA · MISSST 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 OKLAMISSST 4

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 4 OKLAMISSST 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 OKLAMISSST 6

Bars above the line = Mississippi St. leads, below = Oklahoma leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oklahoma

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	13%1/8
2	67%8/12	20%2/10
3	41%7/17	20%2/10
4	58%7/12	30%3/10
5	70%7/10	42%5/12
6	38%6/16	36%4/11
All	56%43/77	28%17/61

Mississippi St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	30%3/10
2	73%8/11	38%5/13
3	70%7/10	56%9/16
4	100%7/7	42%5/12
5	50%7/14	42%5/12
6	78%7/9	50%7/14
All	72%44/61	44%34/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#	OKLA-MISSST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MISSST	OKLA	Serve err	Ava Anderson		+1.8
2	1-1	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set McKenna Yates	+1.7
3	1-2	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+2.6
4	2-2	MISSST	OKLA	Attack err	Paloma Routaboul		+1.8
5	3-2	OKLA	OKLA	Ace	Oklahoma		+2.7
6	3-3	OKLA	MISSST	Serve err	Oklahoma		+1.8
7	4-3	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+1.9
8	4-4	OKLA	MISSST×4	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+1.8
9	4-5	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+2.8
10	4-6	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+2.7
11	4-7	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+2.6
12	5-7	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+1.6
13	5-8	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+1.7
14	6-8	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Carley Butler	set Avaya Maga	+1.6
15	7-8	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Aniya Warren	+2.7
16	7-9	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+2.0
17	7-10	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+2.7
18	8-10	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+1.7
19	8-11	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Erin Kline	+1.9
20	9-11	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+1.7
21	9-12	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+1.9
22	10-12	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Aniya Warren	+1.7
23	10-13	OKLA	MISSST	Serve err	Oklahoma		+2.0
24	10-14	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Aniya Warren	+2.6
25	11-14	MISSST	OKLA×3	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+1.4
26	12-14	OKLA	OKLA×3	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+2.7
27	13-14	OKLA	OKLA×3	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver		+3.2
28	13-15	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+2.4
29	14-15	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+2.3
30	14-16	OKLA	MISSST×3	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+2.5
31	14-17	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Bernardita Aguilar	+3.4
32	14-18	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+2.8
33	15-18	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Kinsley Singleton	+1.4
34	15-19	OKLA	MISSST	Serve err	Oklahoma		+1.9
35	16-19	MISSST	OKLA	Blocked	Ava Anderson	blk Alaleh Tolliver	+1.3
36	16-20	OKLA	MISSST	Blocked	Alyssa Flack	blk Ava Anderson, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	+1.9
37	17-20	MISSST	OKLA	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+1.3
38	17-21	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+1.9
39	18-21	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set McKenna Brand	+1.2
40	18-22	OKLA	MISSST×4	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Cayley Hanson	+1.8
41	18-23	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Mary Neal	+1.4
42	18-24	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set McKenna Yates	+0.5
43	18-25	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	OKLA	OKLA	Ace	Oklahoma	aced Paloma Routaboul	+2.4
2	1-1	OKLA	MISSST	Blocked	Tekoa Barnes	blk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Paloma Routaboul	+1.6
3	1-2	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	Mississippi St.		+2.4
4	2-2	MISSST	OKLA	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+1.6
5	3-2	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Paloma Routaboul		+2.5
6	3-3	OKLA	MISSST	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver		+1.7
7	3-4	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+2.5
8	4-4	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+1.7
9	4-5	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+1.7
10	4-6	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Alaleh Tolliver	+2.6
11	5-6	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+1.6
12	5-7	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Aniya Warren	+1.7
13	6-7	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Tekoa Barnes	+1.7
14	7-7	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+2.7
15	7-8	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+1.9
16	8-8	MISSST	OKLA	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+1.9
17	8-9	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+1.9
18	8-10	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Elise Hani		+2.8
19	9-10	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Aniya Warren	+1.8
20	9-11	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Erin Kline	+2.0
21	10-11	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+1.9
22	10-12	OKLA	MISSST	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver		+2.0
23	11-12	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Kinsley Singleton	+1.9
24	11-13	OKLA	MISSST	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver		+2.1
25	11-14	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+2.9
26	12-14	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Carley Butler	set Avaya Maga	+1.7
27	12-15	OKLA	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+2.0
28	12-16	MISSST	MISSST×3	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Alyssa Flack	+2.5
29	12-17	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Carley Butler		+1.9
30	13-17	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.9
31	14-17	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Ava Anderson		+1.9
32	14-18	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+1.7
33	15-18	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Avaya Maga	set Avaya Maga	+1.3
34	16-18	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+2.7
35	16-19	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+2.3
36	17-19	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+1.8
37	17-20	OKLA	MISSST	Blocked	Tekoa Barnes	blk Ava Anderson, Noella Obi	+2.4
38	17-21	MISSST	MISSST	Blocked	Alaleh Tolliver	blk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Noella Obi	+2.6
39	18-21	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+1.1
40	18-22	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+1.7
41	19-22	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Carley Butler	set Avaya Maga	+0.9
42	19-23	OKLA	MISSST	Blocked	Alaleh Tolliver	blk Bernardita Aguilar	+1.6
43	20-23	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Carley Butler	set Avaya Maga	+0.7
44	20-24	OKLA	MISSST	Blocked	Carley Butler	blk Noella Obi	+1.4
45	21-24	MISSST	OKLA×4	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
46	22-24	OKLA	OKLA×4	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+1.4
47	23-24	OKLA	OKLA×4	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set McKenna Brand	+3.6
48	24-24	OKLA	OKLA×4	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+9.2
49	24-25	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+6.2
50	25-25	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+6.2
51	26-25	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Bernardita Aguilar		+9.5
52	26-26	OKLA	MISSST×3	Serve err	Oklahoma		+6.4
53	26-27	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Mary Neal	set Bernardita Aguilar	+9.3
54	26-28	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Mary Neal	set Cayley Hanson	+9.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MISSST	OKLA	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+1.0
2	2-0	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Kinsley Singleton	+1.5
3	2-1	OKLA	MISSST×3	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+1.0
4	2-2	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+1.5
5	2-3	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+1.5
6	3-3	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+1.0
7	4-3	OKLA	OKLA	Ace	Oklahoma	aced Paloma Routaboul	+1.6
8	4-4	OKLA	MISSST	Serve err	Oklahoma		+1.0
9	5-4	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Avaya Maga	+1.1
10	6-4	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+1.6
11	6-5	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+1.0
12	7-5	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+1.1
13	7-6	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+1.1
14	7-7	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Bernardita Aguilar	+1.7
15	8-7	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+1.2
16	8-8	OKLA	MISSST	Serve err	Oklahoma		+1.2
17	8-9	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+1.8
18	9-9	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Erin Kline	+1.2
19	9-10	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+1.2
20	10-10	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Aniya Warren	+1.2
21	10-11	OKLA	MISSST	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver		+1.3
22	11-11	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alaleh Tolliver	set Tekoa Barnes	+1.3
23	11-12	OKLA	MISSST×5	Serve err	Oklahoma		+1.3
24	11-13	MISSST	MISSST×5	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver		+1.9
25	11-14	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Kinsley Singleton	+1.8
26	11-15	MISSST	MISSST×5	Attack err	Alaleh Tolliver		+1.5
27	11-16	MISSST	MISSST×5	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Mikala Young	+1.2
28	12-16	MISSST	OKLA	Attack err	Noella Obi		+0.6
29	12-17	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.8
30	13-17	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.6
31	13-18	OKLA	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.8
32	14-18	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack		+0.5
33	15-18	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+1.2
34	15-19	OKLA	MISSST×6	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+1.1
35	15-20	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Lindsey Mangelson	+1.1
36	15-21	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+0.6
37	15-22	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+0.3
38	15-23	MISSST	MISSST×6	Blocked	Tekoa Barnes	blk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Ava Anderson	+0.1
39	15-24	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	·
40	16-24	MISSST	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	·
41	16-25	OKLA	MISSST	Serve err	Oklahoma		·

Score shown after each rally, Oklahoma first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Mississippi St. def. Oklahoma 3–0

7 of the last 8 rallies went to Mississippi St., closing out Oklahoma.