Mississippi State def. Ole Miss 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 30)

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026SECN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Mississippi St. 83.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Mississippi St. won at Ole Miss 3-0 (25-17, 25-18, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Mississippi St.'s Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss led with 12 kills, and McKenna Yates added 14 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:00 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MISSST	25	25	25	3
MISS	17	18	16	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.550 and 12 kills for Gha'naye Whitfield-moss as Mississippi St. rolled past Ole Miss.

Win probability never moved more than 1.6 points on one rally; Ole Miss topped out at 16% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Mississippi St. at 83%.

Mississippi St.Ole Miss

Break %+23.1 pts
50.026.9
Points won on own serve: 37 of 74 vs 14 of 52. Ole Miss sided out 50.0% of the time.
Hitting+.188
.245.057
41 K / 16 E against 27 K / 21 E.
Longest run+1
65
Mississippi St. scored 6 straight in the third set to open the set 6–0. Final score of the set: 25–16.

Ole Miss above 50Mississippi St. belowMax swing 1.6%

Mississippi St.Ole Miss

Aces: Mississippi St. 5·Ole Miss 1
Serve err: Mississippi St. 6·Ole Miss 5
Blocks: Mississippi St. 2·Ole Miss 91 BS · 2 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs: Mississippi St. 51·Ole Miss 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ole Miss above 50 · Mississippi St. below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Ole Miss — set 1, MISSST 9-8 MISS. Lindsey Mangelson stuffed by Keirstyn Carlton & Shayla Meyer. MISS win probability 14% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISSST 87.0%13.0% MISS

Mississippi St. wins

3-0

39.7%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.7%

Ole Miss wins

3-0

1.9%

3-1

4.1%

3-2

7.1%

MISSST break %: 46.1% vs this opp
MISS break %: 37.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Keirstyn Carlton&Shayla MeyerBlock+1.6%
Lindsey Mangelson stuffed by Keirstyn Carlton & Shayla Meyer
Set 1 · MISSST 9-8 MISS · MISS 14% → 15%
02
Jorda Crook&Keirstyn CarltonBlock+1.6%
Paloma Routaboul stuffed by Jorda Crook & Keirstyn Carlton
Set 1 · MISSST 2-2 MISS · MISS 15% → 16%
03
Jaidyn Hartsfield&Ryea JacksonBlock+1.5%
Bernardita Aguilar stuffed by Jaidyn Hartsfield & Ryea Jackson
Set 1 · MISSST 7-6 MISS · MISS 14% → 15%
04
Vivianna SamaniegoBad set+1.5%
Bad set by Vivianna Samaniego
Set 1 · MISSST 11-8 MISS · MISSST 86% → 88%
05
Paloma RoutaboulKill+1.5%
Kill by Paloma Routaboul (set by Erin Kline)
Set 1 · MISSST 1-0 MISS · MISSST 83% → 85%
06
Gha'Naye Whitfield-MossKill+1.4%
Kill by Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss (set by Erin Kline)
Set 1 · MISSST 4-2 MISS · MISSST 85% → 86%
07
Mississippi St.Ace+1.4%
Mississippi St. ace on Jaidyn Hartsfield
Set 1 · MISSST 9-6 MISS · MISSST 86% → 87%
08
Jaidyn HartsfieldAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Jaidyn Hartsfield
Set 1 · MISSST 2-0 MISS · MISSST 85% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Mississippi St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Gha'Naye Whitfield-MossMB	3	12	1	20	.550	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	1	13
10Paloma RoutaboulOH	3	10	2	24	.333	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	10
3Lindsey MangelsonOH	3	8	6	31	.065	2	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	9
20Noella ObiOPP	3	6	2	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
21Ava AndersonMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	1	3	4	0	0	0	0	4
5Erin KlineS	3	0	0	0	–	24	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
1Bernardita AguilarOH	3	2	3	11	-.091	1	1	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Mary NealDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	0	1
4McKenna YatesDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	14	1	0	0	0	1
24Cayley HansonS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
17Kyla ScharfmanDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	16	102	.245	40	5	6	51	1	1	2	2	75

Ole Misshome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Ryea JacksonMB	3	4	1	7	.429	0	1	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
1Jaidyn HartsfieldOH	3	5	5	25	.000	0	0	1	8	2	0	3	1.5	6.5
12Keirstyn CarltonMB	3	4	3	13	.077	0	0	0	3	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
23Jorda CrookOPP	3	5	7	26	-.077	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
13Melia JohnsonOH	3	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	2
6Tenesyn FryeS	3	0	1	3	-.333	16	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
14Shayla MeyerOH	3	7	3	23	.174	1	0	1	1	1	0	3	1.5	8.5
11Bella BonannoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	0
5Rileigh ButlerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Tessa JonesMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Vivianna SamaniegoS	2	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
9Coco NatarajanS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	21	106	.057	27	1	5	42	5	1	16	9	51

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MISSST · MISS 5

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 4 MISSSTMISS 2

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 MISSSTMISS 5

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 MISSSTMISS 3

Bars above the line = Ole Miss leads, below = Mississippi St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	70%14/20
2	100%7/7	50%7/14
3	100%6/6	25%2/8
4	67%6/9	33%3/9
5	75%6/8	45%5/11
6	43%6/14	50%6/12
All	73%38/52	50%37/74

Ole Miss

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	28%7/25	36%4/11
2	75%6/8	13%1/8
3	75%6/8	0%0/6
4	67%6/9	14%1/7
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	43%6/14	50%6/12
All	50%37/74	27%14/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	MISSST-MISS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+1.5
2	2-0	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+1.3
3	2-1	MISSST	MISS	Attack err	Ava Anderson		+1.0
4	2-2	MISS	MISS	Blocked	Paloma Routaboul	blk Jorda Crook, Keirstyn Carlton	+1.6
5	3-2	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+1.1
6	4-2	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+1.4
7	4-3	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Bella Bonanno	+1.0
8	5-3	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+1.0
9	5-4	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Ryea Jackson	set Tenesyn Frye	+1.1
10	6-4	MISS	MISSST	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+1.0
11	7-4	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+1.3
12	7-5	MISSST	MISS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.9
13	7-6	MISS	MISS	Blocked	Bernardita Aguilar	blk Jaidyn Hartsfield, Ryea Jackson	+1.5
14	8-6	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+1.1
15	9-6	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Jaidyn Hartsfield	+1.4
16	9-7	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.0
17	9-8	MISS	MISS	Blocked	Lindsey Mangelson	blk Keirstyn Carlton, Shayla Meyer	+1.6
18	10-8	MISS	MISSST×4	Blocked	Jaidyn Hartsfield	blk Bernardita Aguilar, Cayley Hanson	+1.2
19	11-8	MISSST	MISSST×4	Bad set	Vivianna Samaniego		+1.5
20	12-8	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Keirstyn Carlton		+1.2
21	13-8	MISSST	MISSST×4	Ace	Mississippi St.		+0.9
22	13-9	MISSST	MISS	Blocked	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	blk Keirstyn Carlton, Jaidyn Hartsfield	+0.6
23	14-9	MISS	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.7
24	15-9	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+0.7
25	16-9	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+0.5
26	16-10	MISSST	MISS	Attack err	Paloma Routaboul		+0.2
27	17-10	MISS	MISSST	Serve err	Ole Miss		+0.3
28	17-11	MISSST	MISS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.2
29	18-11	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Erin Kline	+0.3
30	18-12	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Ryea Jackson	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.2
31	19-12	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set McKenna Yates	+0.3
32	19-13	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.2
33	20-13	MISS	MISSST×4	Serve err	Ole Miss		+0.2
34	21-13	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+0.2
35	22-13	MISSST	MISSST×4	Bad set	Vivianna Samaniego		+0.1
36	23-13	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Melia Johnson		·
37	23-14	MISSST	MISS	Blocked	Bernardita Aguilar	blk Jaidyn Hartsfield, Ryea Jackson	·
38	23-15	MISS	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	·
39	24-15	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	·
40	24-16	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	·
41	24-17	MISS	MISS	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton	set Tenesyn Frye	·
42	25-17	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	·
Set 2
1	1-0	MISS	MISSST×4	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+0.8
2	2-0	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+1.0
3	3-0	MISSST	MISSST×4	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Jaidyn Hartsfield	+0.9
4	4-0	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+0.7
5	4-1	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.5
6	5-1	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Erin Kline	+0.5
7	6-1	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Keirstyn Carlton		+0.6
8	6-2	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.4
9	7-2	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.4
10	8-2	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.5
11	8-3	MISSST	MISS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.3
12	8-4	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Noella Obi		+0.6
13	9-4	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.5
14	10-4	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Ryea Jackson		+0.5
15	10-5	MISSST	MISS	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.3
16	11-5	MISS	MISSST	Serve err	Ole Miss		+0.4
17	11-6	MISSST	MISS×5	Blocked	Lindsey Mangelson	blk Shayla Meyer, Ryea Jackson	+0.3
18	11-7	MISS	MISS×5	Ace	Ryea Jackson	aced McKenna Yates	+0.6
19	11-8	MISS	MISS×5	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.8
20	11-9	MISS	MISS×5	Bad set	Erin Kline		+1.0
21	11-10	MISS	MISS×5	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.3
22	12-10	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Erin Kline	+0.9
23	13-10	MISSST	MISSST	Blocked	Keirstyn Carlton	blk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	+1.2
24	13-11	MISSST	MISS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.8
25	14-11	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+0.8
26	14-12	MISSST	MISS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.8
27	15-12	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Erin Kline	+0.9
28	15-13	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.8
29	16-13	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.9
30	16-14	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Ryea Jackson	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.8
31	17-14	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.9
32	17-15	MISSST	MISS	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.9
33	18-15	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+1.0
34	18-16	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Shayla Meyer	+0.9
35	19-16	MISS	MISSST	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+1.0
36	20-16	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Erin Kline	+1.1
37	20-17	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.6
38	21-17	MISS	MISSST×4	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+0.7
39	22-17	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+0.6
40	23-17	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+0.3
41	24-17	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+0.1
42	24-18	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton	set Coco Natarajan	·
43	25-18	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	·
Set 3
1	1-0	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+0.5
2	2-0	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+0.5
3	3-0	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+0.4
4	4-0	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+0.4
5	5-0	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+0.3
6	6-0	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+0.2
7	6-1	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.2
8	7-1	MISS	MISSST	Serve err	Ole Miss		+0.2
9	7-2	MISSST	MISS	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.2
10	8-2	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	+0.2
11	8-3	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.2
12	9-3	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Lindsey Mangelson	+0.2
13	10-3	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Shayla Meyer	+0.2
14	10-4	MISSST	MISS	Attack err	Noella Obi		+0.1
15	10-5	MISS	MISS	Blocked	Bernardita Aguilar	blk Shayla Meyer, Ryea Jackson	+0.2
16	11-5	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.2
17	11-6	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.2
18	12-6	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.2
19	13-6	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+0.2
20	13-7	MISSST	MISS×3	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.1
21	13-8	MISS	MISS×3	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Bella Bonanno	+0.2
22	13-9	MISS	MISS×3	Blocked	Ava Anderson	blk Keirstyn Carlton	+0.3
23	14-9	MISS	MISSST	Attack err	Tenesyn Frye		+0.2
24	15-9	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Bella Bonanno	+0.2
25	15-10	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Bella Bonanno	+0.1
26	16-10	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	+0.2
27	16-11	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.1
28	17-11	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Lindsey Mangelson	+0.2
29	18-11	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
30	18-12	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Ryea Jackson	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.1
31	19-12	MISS	MISSST	Serve err	Ole Miss		+0.1
32	19-13	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.1
33	20-13	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
34	20-14	MISSST	MISS	Blocked	Lindsey Mangelson	blk Tenesyn Frye, Ryea Jackson	·
35	21-14	MISS	MISSST×3	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+0.1
36	22-14	MISSST	MISSST×3	Bad set	Tenesyn Frye		·
37	23-14	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Bernardita Aguilar	·
38	23-15	MISSST	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Tenesyn Frye	·
39	23-16	MISS	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Tenesyn Frye	·
40	24-16	MISS	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Erin Kline	·
41	25-16	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Erin Kline	·

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Mississippi St. def. Ole Miss 3–0

.550 and 12 kills for Gha'naye Whitfield-moss as Mississippi St. rolled past Ole Miss.