Final · 5 setsSun, Nov 1, 2026Watch on SECN

Mississippi St. def. Alabama 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Mississippi St. 75.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Mississippi St. won at Alabama 3-2 (15-25, 22-25, 25-14, 25-14, 15-8) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. Mississippi St.'s Lindsey Mangelson led with 16 kills, and McKenna Yates added 19 digs.

Data through · final Nov 1

Set12345Sets
MISSST15222525153
ALA2525141482

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Mississippi St. dropped the first two sets and won the next three.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Mississippi St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave Mississippi St. 75% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Mississippi St. 0–0 Alabama

    Alabama scored 7 straight to open the set 7–0. The match swung to Alabama.

    Mississippi St. 55% → 35%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Mississippi St. 22–21 Alabama

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to Alabama, enough to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–0. The match swung to Alabama.

    Mississippi St. 58% → 26%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Mississippi St. 6–5 Alabama

    Up 6–5, Mississippi St. scored 4 straight to make it 10–5.

    Mississippi St. 71% → 96%

Alabama above 50Mississippi St. belowMax swing 10.0%

Mississippi St.Alabama

Sideout %
Mississippi St. 60.5·Alabama 51.0
Break %
Mississippi St. 49.0·Alabama 39.5
Hitting
Mississippi St. .232·Alabama .128
Longest run
Mississippi St. 7·Alabama 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Alabama above 50 · Mississippi St. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.0% ALArally 188 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Alabama — set 2, MISSST 22-24 ALA. Kill by Maddie Snider (set by Ava Wallis). ALA win probability 58% → 68%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISSST 76.8%23.2% ALA

Mississippi St. wins

3-0
28.6%
3-1
29.3%
3-2
19.0%

Alabama wins

3-0
4.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-2
11.3%
MISSST break %
46.8% vs this opp
ALA break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maddie SniderKill+10.0%

    Kill by Maddie Snider (set by Ava Wallis)

    Set 2 · MISSST 22-24 ALA · ALA 58% → 68%

  2. 02
    Noella ObiBad set+9.5%

    Bad set by Noella Obi

    Set 2 · MISSST 22-23 ALA · ALA 48% → 58%

  3. 03

    Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Erin Kline)

    Set 5 · MISSST 6-4 ALA · MISSST 68% → 77%

  4. 04
    Ava AndersonBlock+8.3%

    Lily Gervase stuffed by Ava Anderson

    Set 5 · MISSST 3-2 ALA · MISSST 60% → 69%

  5. 05
    Mary NealKill+7.7%

    Kill by Mary Neal (set by McKenna Yates)

    Set 5 · MISSST 8-5 ALA · MISSST 77% → 85%

  6. 06
    Lily GervaseKill+7.1%

    Kill by Lily Gervase (set by Hannah Parant)

    Set 5 · MISSST 4-4 ALA · ALA 32% → 39%

  7. 07

    Kill by Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss (set by Erin Kline)

    Set 5 · MISSST 5-4 ALA · MISSST 61% → 68%

  8. 08

    Kill by Laney Hennessee (set by Tea Simic)

    Set 5 · MISSST 1-2 ALA · ALA 39% → 46%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516448.2500114212219
512620.3000003012214
56214.28600320376.512.5
5219.111000000213
5001.0002000700000
22320-.050000100002
513332.31341210004216
5416.500210800005
5000–152290010.52.5
5001.0008101910001
3000–001000000
Team totals5520151.232496963651814102
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513532.25010012102114
57516.1250011034512
57937-.05400010031.58.5
58530.100101830008
5013-.3332063700006
5408.50000010010.54.5
59422.227000310009
5000–1600600000
5000–4031610000
4000–000000000
2000–102300000
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4829149.12843610586310886

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MISSST · ALA 7

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 MISSSTALA 6

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 MISSSTALA 7

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 4 MISSSTALA 2

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 7 MISSSTALA 2

Set 5

15-8

Longest run 4 MISSSTALA 1

Bars above the line = Alabama leads, below = Mississippi St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%11/26
47%8/17
2
71%10/14
61%17/28
3
82%9/11
57%12/21
4
75%9/12
18%2/11
5
54%7/13
33%4/12
6
60%6/10
54%7/13
All
60%52/86
49%50/102

Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%11/31
62%13/21
2
50%11/22
42%8/19
3
69%9/13
17%2/12
4
75%9/12
18%2/11
5
60%6/10
38%5/13
6
43%6/14
40%4/10
All
51%52/102
40%34/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

188 rallies

#MISSST-ALASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MISSSTMISSSTBlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Ava Anderson, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.8
21-1MISSSTALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Lindsey Brown+1.5
32-1ALAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.4
42-2MISSSTALABlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Kaleigh Palmer, Lily Gervase+1.5
52-3ALAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+2.1
63-3ALAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.6
73-4MISSSTALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Lindsey Brown+1.7
84-4ALAMISSSTAttack errMya Allen+1.6
94-5MISSSTALAKillMya Allenset Noella Obi+1.7
105-5ALAMISSSTServe errMya Allen+1.6
115-6MISSSTALAKillAudrey Simpsonset Ava Wallis+1.8
126-6ALAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.7
136-7MISSSTALAKillLily Gervaseset Ava Wallis+1.8
147-7ALAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline+1.7
157-8MISSSTALA×6KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+1.9
167-9ALAALA×6Attack errPaloma Routaboul+2.6
177-10ALAALA×6BlockedGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossblk Lily Gervase+2.6
187-11ALAALA×6Attack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+2.5
197-12ALAALA×6Attack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+2.4
207-13ALAALA×6Attack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+2.1
218-13ALAMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline+1.2
228-14MISSSTALAKillMya Allenset Lindsey Brown+1.7
239-14ALAMISSSTServe errLily Gervase+1.2
249-15MISSSTALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.7
259-16ALAALABad setCayley Hanson+1.7
2610-16ALAMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset McKenna Yates+0.9
2710-17MISSSTALAKillMaddie Sniderset Ava Wallis+1.3
2811-17ALAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.8
2911-18MISSSTALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Ava Wallis+1.2
3011-19ALAALA×3KillMaddie Sniderset Ava Wallis+1.0
3111-20ALAALA×3BlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Lily Gervase, Laney Hennessee+0.6
3212-20ALAMISSSTAttack errLaney Hennessee+0.2
3312-21MISSSTALA×3Serve errBernardita Aguilar+0.4
3412-22ALAALA×3AceHannah Parantaced Lindsey Mangelson+0.2
3512-23ALAALA×3BlockedAva Andersonblk Lily Gervase, Kaleigh Palmer+0.1
3613-23ALAMISSSTBlockedLily Gervaseblk Ava Anderson·
3714-23MISSSTMISSSTBlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss·
3814-24MISSSTALAKillLily Gervaseset Mya Allen+0.1
3915-24ALAMISSSTAttack errMya Allen·
4015-25MISSSTALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant·
Set 2
10-1ALAALA×7AceHannah Parant+2.8
20-2ALAALA×7KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+3.0
30-3ALAALA×7KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+3.1
40-4ALAALA×7KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+3.1
50-5ALAALA×7AceHannah Parant+3.0
60-6ALAALA×7AceHannah Parant+2.8
70-7ALAALA×7AceHannah Parantaced Lindsey Mangelson+2.5
81-7ALAMISSST×3Serve errHannah Parant+1.6
92-7MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedLaney Hennesseeblk Lindsey Mangelson, Ava Anderson+2.3
103-7MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errKaleigh Palmer+2.6
113-8MISSSTALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+2.5
124-8ALAMISSST×3BlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Lindsey Mangelson, Ava Anderson+2.0
135-8MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedMya Allenblk Ava Anderson, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+2.9
146-8MISSSTMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Bernardita Aguilar+3.1
156-9MISSSTALAAttack errLindsey Mangelson+2.8
167-9ALAMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Mary Neal+2.5
177-10MISSSTALAKillAudrey Simpsonset Hannah Parant+2.9
188-10ALAMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Erin Kline+2.5
198-11MISSSTALAServe errAva Anderson+3.0
209-11ALAMISSSTAttack errMaddie Snider+2.6
219-12MISSSTALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Ava Wallis+3.1
2210-12ALAMISSST×3KillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+2.6
2311-12MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedLaney Hennesseeblk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi+3.6
2412-12MISSSTMISSST×3AceMississippi St.aced Maddie Snider+3.8
2512-13MISSSTALA×3KillMaddie Sniderset Ava Wallis+3.2
2612-14ALAALA×3AceHannah Parantaced McKenna Yates+4.3
2712-15ALAALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset McKenna Yates+4.3
2813-15ALAMISSST×5KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.8
2914-15MISSSTMISSST×5Attack errKaleigh Palmer+4.1
3015-15MISSSTMISSST×5KillLindsey Mangelsonset McKenna Yates+4.3
3116-15MISSSTMISSST×5BlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Ava Anderson, Cayley Hanson+4.3
3217-15MISSSTMISSST×5Attack errLily Gervase+4.0
3317-16MISSSTALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+3.0
3417-17ALAALA×3BlockedBernardita Aguilarblk Lily Gervase+4.6
3517-18ALAALA×3KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+5.3
3618-18ALAMISSST×3Attack errLily Gervase+4.0
3719-18MISSSTMISSST×3KillAva Andersonset Lindsey Brown+5.2
3820-18MISSSTMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset McKenna Yates+4.8
3920-19MISSSTALAServe errBernardita Aguilar+3.4
4020-20ALAALAKillAudrey Simpsonset Hannah Parant+5.8
4121-20ALAMISSSTAttack errKaleigh Palmer+4.9
4221-21MISSSTALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+5.1
4322-21ALAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+5.6
4422-22MISSSTALA×4Attack errPaloma Routaboul+5.7
4522-23ALAALA×4Bad setNoella Obi+9.5
4622-24ALAALA×4KillMaddie Sniderset Ava Wallis+10.0
4722-25ALAALA×4BlockedNoella Obiblk Audrey Simpson, Laney Hennessee+6.4
Set 3
11-0MISSSTMISSSTAttack errLaney Hennessee+2.3
22-0MISSSTMISSSTAttack errMaddie Snider+2.2
32-1MISSSTALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Ava Wallis+1.7
43-1ALAMISSSTServe errLindsey Brown+1.7
54-1MISSSTMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+2.0
64-2MISSSTALAKillMaddie Sniderset Ava Wallis+1.6
75-2ALAMISSST×3Serve errHannah Parant+1.6
86-2MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedLily Gervaseblk Ava Anderson+1.8
97-2MISSSTMISSST×3AceMississippi St.aced Lindsey Brown+1.6
107-3MISSSTALABad setGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.1
118-3ALAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.2
129-3MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Mya Allen+1.3
139-4MISSSTALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.9
149-5ALAALAAttack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.4
1510-5ALAMISSST×3KillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.3
1611-5MISSSTMISSST×3KillNoella Obiset Hannah Parant+1.3
1712-5MISSSTMISSST×3KillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.0
1812-6MISSSTALAServe errAva Anderson+0.6
1912-7ALAALAKillMya Allenset Lindsey Brown+1.1
2013-7ALAMISSST×4KillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.0
2114-7MISSSTMISSST×4KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.0
2215-7MISSSTMISSST×4KillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+0.7
2316-7MISSSTMISSST×4Attack errMya Allen+0.4
2416-8MISSSTALAServe errCayley Hanson+0.2
2516-9ALAALAKillMaddie Sniderset Lindsey Brown+0.4
2617-9ALAMISSST×3KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.5
2718-9MISSSTMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.3
2819-9MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedMaddie Sniderblk Lindsey Mangelson+0.2
2919-10MISSSTALAAttack errLindsey Mangelson+0.1
3020-10ALAMISSSTServe errLindsey Brown+0.1
3121-10MISSSTMISSSTAttack errMaddie Snider+0.1
3221-11MISSSTALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Ava Wallis·
3322-11ALAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson·
3422-12MISSSTALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant·
3523-12ALAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline·
3624-12MISSSTMISSSTAttack errHannah Parant·
3724-13MISSSTALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant·
3824-14ALAALAAttack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss·
3925-14ALAMISSSTKillMary Nealset Erin Kline·
Set 4
11-0ALAMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Mary Neal+2.7
22-0MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Bernardita Aguilar, Ava Anderson+3.3
33-0MISSSTMISSST×3KillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson+3.0
43-1MISSSTALAAttack errLindsey Mangelson+2.3
53-2ALAALABlockedAva Andersonblk Lily Gervase+3.4
64-2ALAMISSST×5KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.7
75-2MISSSTMISSST×5Bad setLaney Hennessee+3.2
86-2MISSSTMISSST×5KillLindsey Mangelsonset Bernardita Aguilar+2.8
97-2MISSSTMISSST×5KillLindsey Mangelsonset McKenna Yates+2.4
108-2MISSSTMISSST×5Attack errMya Allen+2.0
118-3MISSSTALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+1.3
129-3ALAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline+1.5
139-4MISSSTALAKillAudrey Simpsonset Hannah Parant+1.3
1410-4ALAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.5
1510-5MISSSTALAServe errAva Anderson+1.3
1611-5ALAMISSSTBad setLeilia Toailoa+1.5
1712-5MISSSTMISSSTBlockedLaney Hennesseeblk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi+1.5
1812-6MISSSTALAServe errCayley Hanson+0.9
1912-7ALAALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Mya Allen+1.6
2013-7ALAMISSSTServe errLindsey Brown+1.5
2113-8MISSSTALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Ava Wallis+1.3
2213-9ALAALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+2.2
2314-9ALAMISSST×7Serve errHannah Parant+2.0
2415-9MISSSTMISSST×7KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.0
2516-9MISSSTMISSST×7KillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson+1.4
2617-9MISSSTMISSST×7KillMary Nealset Bernardita Aguilar+0.9
2718-9MISSSTMISSST×7AceMississippi St.aced Mya Allen+0.5
2819-9MISSSTMISSST×7BlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Ava Anderson, Bernardita Aguilar+0.3
2920-9MISSSTMISSST×7KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.1
3020-10MISSSTALAAttack errBernardita Aguilar·
3121-10ALAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.1
3221-11MISSSTALABlockedLindsey Mangelsonblk Lily Gervase, Kaleigh Palmer·
3322-11ALAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline·
3422-12MISSSTALAServe errLindsey Mangelson·
3522-13ALAALAAttack errMary Neal·
3623-13ALAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+0.1
3724-13MISSSTMISSSTKillMary Nealset Erin Kline·
3824-14MISSSTALAServe errKyla Scharfman·
3925-14ALAMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Erin Kline+0.9
Set 5
10-1MISSSTALAKillMaddie Sniderset Ava Wallis+6.7
21-1ALAMISSSTServe errTea Simic+6.3
31-2MISSSTALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Tea Simic+7.0
42-2ALAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Bernardita Aguilar+6.5
53-2MISSSTMISSSTBlockedLily Gervaseblk Ava Anderson+8.3
63-3MISSSTALAKillMaddie Sniderset Ava Wallis+6.8
74-3ALAMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Erin Kline+6.7
84-4MISSSTALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+7.1
95-4ALAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+7.1
106-4MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline+8.5
116-5MISSSTALAKillMya Allenset Laney Hennessee+6.5
127-5ALAMISSST×4KillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+6.9
138-5MISSSTMISSST×4KillMary Nealset McKenna Yates+7.7
149-5MISSSTMISSST×4AceMississippi St.aced Mya Allen+6.1
1510-5MISSSTMISSST×4AceMississippi St.aced Laney Hennessee+4.2
1610-6MISSSTALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+2.2
1711-6ALAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+3.2
1811-7MISSSTALAKillMaddie Sniderset Ava Wallis+2.0
1912-7ALAMISSSTServe errTea Simic+3.0
2013-7MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.8
2113-8MISSSTALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Ava Wallis+0.5
2214-8ALAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.0
2315-8MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Bernardita Aguilar+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).