Syracuse vs NC State Volleyball: NC State Wins 3-1 (Oct 9)

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026ACCNX

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: NC State 94.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

NC State beat visiting Syracuse 3-1 (25-21, 22-25, 25-14, 25-12) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Talia Francom and Rebecca Ring led NC State with 14 kills each; Syracuse's Kiernan Stamey had a match-high 16.

Data through Nov 3, 8:05 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
SYR	21	25	14	12	1
NC ST	25	22	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the third set broke it open for NC State.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.4 points, and Syracuse's high was 10% in Set 2. The gap came from these numbers. NC State went in as RallyIQ's 95% pick.

SyracuseNC State

Break %+15.8 pts
38.454.2
52 of 96 on serve vs 28 of 73, so Syracuse's sideout was 45.8%.
Hitting+.216
.037.253
59 K / 20 E against 31 K / 26 E.
Longest run+-1
87
NC State scored 7 straight in the third set to stretch a 15–12 lead to 22–12. The set finished 25–14.

NC State above 50Syracuse belowMax swing 1.4%

SyracuseNC State

Aces: Syracuse 5·NC State 7
Serve err: Syracuse 5·NC State 14
Blocks: Syracuse 8·NC State 90 BS · 16 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs: Syracuse 62·NC State 64

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

NC State above 50 · Syracuse below

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Syracuse — set 2, SYR 24-21 NC ST. Rebecca Ring stuffed by Emma Williams & Bo Nijenhuis. NC ST win probability 92% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SYR 3.6%96.4% NC ST

Syracuse wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.0%

3-2

2.2%

NC State wins

3-0

60.1%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

8.2%

SYR break %: 36.0% vs this opp
NC ST break %: 49.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Emma Williams&Bo NijenhuisBlock+1.4%
Rebecca Ring stuffed by Emma Williams & Bo Nijenhuis
Set 2 · SYR 24-21 NC ST · SYR 8% → 9%
02
Marie LaurioKill+1.4%
Kill by Marie Laurio (set by Charis Burge)
Set 2 · SYR 25-22 NC ST · SYR 9% → 10%
03
Talia FrancomKill+1.3%
Kill by Talia Francom (set by Eva Long)
Set 3 · SYR 0-1 NC ST · NC ST 90% → 91%
04
Talia Francom&Rebecca RingBlock+1.1%
Emma Williams stuffed by Talia Francom & Rebecca Ring
Set 3 · SYR 0-2 NC ST · NC ST 91% → 92%
05
Kiernan Stamey&Abby NicholsonBlock+1.1%
Makenna Kowren stuffed by Kiernan Stamey & Abby Nicholson
Set 1 · SYR 5-1 NC ST · SYR 8% → 9%
06
Clara VondranKill+1.0%
Kill by Clara Vondran (set by Eva Long)
Set 3 · SYR 3-6 NC ST · NC ST 92% → 93%
07
Makenna KowrenAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Makenna Kowren
Set 3 · SYR 12-15 NC ST · SYR 6% → 7%
08
NC StateService error+1.0%
NC State service error
Set 3 · SYR 3-4 NC ST · SYR 8% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Syracuseaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Kiernan StameyOH	4	16	5	45	.244	0	0	2	10	3	4	2	18
6Marie LaurioOH	4	7	7	30	.000	0	1	0	10	0	0	0	8
23Abby NicholsonMB	4	2	3	13	-.077	0	0	0	1	0	6	3	5
1Charis BurgeS	4	1	0	6	.167	25	3	2	12	0	2	1	5
10Bo NijenhuisMB	4	1	3	11	-.182	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2
21Bella RodriguezOH	2	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
19Emma WilliamsOH	4	4	6	21	-.095	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	5
18Yuka UranoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	19	0	0	0	1
16Shalena Queen HowseL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0
15Emma FaerberMB	1	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Keila GabrielOPP	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	26	134	.037	29	5	5	62	7	16	8	72

NC Statehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Talia FrancomMB	4	14	0	28	.500	1	0	1	1	0	0	7	3.5	17.5
3Clara VondranOH	4	12	4	33	.242	2	0	0	13	3	1	1	1.5	13.5
12Makenna KowrenOPP	4	11	5	26	.231	0	1	2	2	0	0	3	1.5	13.5
4Sophia GroomMB	4	5	4	15	.067	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
22Eva LongS	4	2	0	8	.250	39	0	2	13	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Kate KilpatrickL/DS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	1	2	3	5	1	0	0	0	2
27Rebecca RingOH	4	14	4	39	.256	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	15.5
1Zuzanna MaciejewiczL/DS	4	0	1	2	-.500	2	3	3	18	0	0	0	0	3
31Elaisa VillarL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	3	7	0	0	0	0	1
14Norah BuschMB	2	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		59	20	154	.253	46	7	14	64	5	1	16	9	97

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 SYR · NC ST 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 SYRNC ST 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 8 SYRNC ST 3

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 4 SYRNC ST 7

Set 4

12-25

Longest run 2 SYRNC ST 6

Bars above the line = NC State leads, below = Syracuse leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Syracuse

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%10/18	20%2/10
2	53%9/17	44%7/16
3	58%7/12	36%5/14
4	50%6/12	53%8/15
5	43%6/14	0%0/6
6	26%6/23	50%6/12
All	46%44/96	38%28/73

NC State

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%10/15	60%12/20
2	64%9/14	52%11/21
3	80%8/10	33%4/12
4	43%6/14	50%6/12
5	75%6/8	57%8/14
6	50%6/12	65%11/17
All	62%45/73	54%52/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#	SYR-NC ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NC ST	SYR×3	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.6
2	2-0	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+0.8
3	3-0	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	Syracuse	aced Clara Vondran	+0.9
4	3-1	SYR	NC ST	Blocked	Kiernan Stamey	blk Makenna Kowren, Talia Francom	+0.6
5	4-1	NC ST	SYR	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+0.8
6	5-1	SYR	SYR	Blocked	Makenna Kowren	blk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson	+1.1
7	5-2	SYR	NC ST	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+0.7
8	6-2	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.9
9	6-3	SYR	NC ST	Serve err	Syracuse		+0.7
10	6-4	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom		+0.9
11	7-4	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.9
12	7-5	SYR	NC ST×3	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.7
13	7-6	NC ST	NC ST×3	Ace	NC State	aced Shalena Queen Howse	+0.9
14	7-7	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Emma Williams		+0.8
15	8-7	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.7
16	8-8	SYR	NC ST×4	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.6
17	8-9	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Talia Francom	set Zuzanna Maciejewicz	+0.8
18	8-10	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Bo Nijenhuis		+0.7
19	8-11	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Emma Williams		+0.6
20	9-11	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.4
21	9-12	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+0.4
22	10-12	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.4
23	10-13	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Zuzanna Maciejewicz	+0.4
24	11-13	NC ST	SYR	Bad set	Makenna Kowren		+0.5
25	12-13	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Sophia Groom		+0.8
26	12-14	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+0.6
27	12-15	NC ST	NC ST	Ace	NC State	aced Shalena Queen Howse	+0.7
28	13-15	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.5
29	13-16	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+0.5
30	14-16	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.5
31	14-17	SYR	NC ST×3	Kill	Eva Long		+0.5
32	14-18	NC ST	NC ST×3	Ace	NC State		+0.5
33	14-19	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.4
34	15-19	NC ST	SYR×3	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Charis Burge	+0.2
35	16-19	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	Syracuse	aced Clara Vondran	+0.4
36	17-19	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.7
37	17-20	SYR	NC ST×3	Serve err	Syracuse		+0.6
38	17-21	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Talia Francom	+0.6
39	17-22	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Clara Vondran	+0.3
40	18-22	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.1
41	18-23	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+0.2
42	19-23	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.1
43	19-24	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.2
44	20-24	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	·
45	21-24	SYR	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Yuka Urano	+0.2
46	21-25	SYR	NC ST	Blocked	Marie Laurio	blk Makenna Kowren, Sophia Groom	+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	SYR	NC ST	Attack err	Emma Williams		+0.3
2	0-2	NC ST	NC ST	Blocked	Emma Faerber	blk Clara Vondran, Talia Francom	+0.3
3	1-2	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.3
4	1-3	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+0.2
5	2-3	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+0.3
6	3-3	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+0.4
7	3-4	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+0.3
8	4-4	NC ST	SYR×8	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.4
9	5-4	SYR	SYR×8	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.5
10	6-4	SYR	SYR×8	Attack err	Zuzanna Maciejewicz		+0.6
11	7-4	SYR	SYR×8	Attack err	Sophia Groom		+0.7
12	8-4	SYR	SYR×8	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.8
13	9-4	SYR	SYR×8	Blocked	Sophia Groom	blk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson	+0.8
14	10-4	SYR	SYR×8	Attack err	Kate Kilpatrick		+0.8
15	11-4	SYR	SYR×8	Ace	Syracuse	aced Kate Kilpatrick	+0.8
16	11-5	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+0.4
17	12-5	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.6
18	12-6	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.4
19	12-7	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Emma Faerber		+0.6
20	13-7	NC ST	SYR×4	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.7
21	14-7	SYR	SYR×4	Ace	Syracuse	aced Clara Vondran	+0.8
22	15-7	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Yuka Urano	+0.7
23	16-7	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.5
24	16-8	SYR	NC ST×3	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Elaisa Villar	+0.2
25	16-9	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.4
26	16-10	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.5
27	17-10	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Yuka Urano	+0.6
28	17-11	SYR	NC ST	Serve err	Syracuse		+0.3
29	17-12	NC ST	NC ST	Ace	NC State	aced Kiernan Stamey	+0.6
30	18-12	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Eva Long	+0.7
31	18-13	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+0.4
32	19-13	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+0.7
33	20-13	SYR	SYR	Blocked	Norah Busch	blk Abby Nicholson, Charis Burge	+0.6
34	20-14	SYR	NC ST	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+0.2
35	21-14	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.4
36	21-15	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+0.2
37	22-15	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.4
38	22-16	SYR	NC ST×3	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.1
39	22-17	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+0.3
40	22-18	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+0.5
41	23-18	NC ST	SYR	Attack err	Rebecca Ring		+0.7
42	23-19	SYR	NC ST×3	Kill	Clara Vondran		+0.2
43	23-20	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.6
44	23-21	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+0.9
45	24-21	NC ST	SYR	Blocked	Rebecca Ring	blk Emma Williams, Bo Nijenhuis	+1.4
46	24-22	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.5
47	25-22	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge	+1.4
Set 3
1	0-1	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+1.3
2	0-2	NC ST	NC ST	Blocked	Emma Williams	blk Talia Francom, Rebecca Ring	+1.1
3	1-2	NC ST	SYR	Attack err	Rebecca Ring		+0.9
4	1-3	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.8
5	2-3	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.9
6	2-4	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.9
7	3-4	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+1.0
8	3-5	SYR	NC ST×3	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+0.9
9	3-6	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+1.0
10	3-7	NC ST	NC ST×3	Ace	NC State		+0.8
11	4-7	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.6
12	4-8	SYR	NC ST	Serve err	Syracuse		+0.6
13	4-9	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.7
14	5-9	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+0.5
15	5-10	SYR	NC ST×4	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.5
16	5-11	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Clara Vondran	+0.5
17	5-12	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+0.3
18	5-13	NC ST	NC ST×4	Ace	NC State	aced Kiernan Stamey	+0.2
19	6-13	NC ST	SYR×3	Serve err	NC State		+0.1
20	7-13	SYR	SYR×3	Bad set	Eva Long		+0.3
21	8-13	SYR	SYR×3	Blocked	Rebecca Ring	blk Emma Williams, Abby Nicholson	+0.4
22	8-14	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.4
23	8-15	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+0.3
24	9-15	NC ST	SYR×4	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.2
25	10-15	SYR	SYR×4	Attack err	Makenna Kowren		+0.4
26	11-15	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Yuka Urano	+0.6
27	12-15	SYR	SYR×4	Attack err	Makenna Kowren		+1.0
28	12-16	SYR	NC ST×7	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.8
29	12-17	NC ST	NC ST×7	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+0.8
30	12-18	NC ST	NC ST×7	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+0.5
31	12-19	NC ST	NC ST×7	Kill	Talia Francom		+0.3
32	12-20	NC ST	NC ST×7	Ace	NC State	aced Kiernan Stamey	+0.1
33	12-21	NC ST	NC ST×7	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+0.1
34	12-22	NC ST	NC ST×7	Blocked	Marie Laurio	blk Makenna Kowren, Talia Francom	·
35	13-22	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		·
36	13-23	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	·
37	13-24	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Kate Kilpatrick	·
38	14-24	NC ST	SYR	Attack err	Sophia Groom		·
39	14-25	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	·
Set 4
1	0-1	SYR	NC ST×4	Blocked	Bo Nijenhuis	blk Talia Francom, Rebecca Ring	+0.7
2	0-2	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Zuzanna Maciejewicz	+0.8
3	0-3	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+0.7
4	0-4	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Talia Francom	set Charis Burge	+0.5
5	1-4	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.4
6	2-4	SYR	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.7
7	2-5	SYR	NC ST	Serve err	Syracuse		+0.5
8	2-6	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+0.6
9	3-6	NC ST	SYR	Blocked	Makenna Kowren	blk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson	+0.4
10	3-7	SYR	NC ST×4	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.4
11	3-8	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Sophia Groom		+0.5
12	3-9	NC ST	NC ST×4	Blocked	Abby Nicholson	blk Clara Vondran	+0.3
13	3-10	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Marie Laurio		+0.2
14	4-10	NC ST	SYR	Blocked	Clara Vondran	blk Abby Nicholson, Charis Burge	+0.2
15	5-10	SYR	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+0.3
16	5-11	SYR	NC ST×4	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Zuzanna Maciejewicz	+0.3
17	5-12	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+0.3
18	5-13	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Clara Vondran		+0.2
19	5-14	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+0.1
20	6-14	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		+0.1
21	6-15	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Eva Long		+0.1
22	7-15	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Charis Burge		+0.1
23	8-15	SYR	SYR	Ace	Syracuse		+0.1
24	8-16	SYR	NC ST×6	Kill	Norah Busch	set Eva Long	+0.1
25	8-17	NC ST	NC ST×6	Attack err	Emma Williams		+0.1
26	8-18	NC ST	NC ST×6	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	·
27	8-19	NC ST	NC ST×6	Blocked	Bo Nijenhuis	blk Talia Francom, Rebecca Ring	·
28	8-20	NC ST	NC ST×6	Blocked	Emma Williams	blk Talia Francom, Eva Long	·
29	8-21	NC ST	NC ST×6	Kill	Talia Francom	set Charis Burge	·
30	9-21	NC ST	SYR	Serve err	NC State		·
31	9-22	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	·
32	10-22	NC ST	SYR	Blocked	Makenna Kowren	blk Kiernan Stamey, Bo Nijenhuis	·
33	11-22	SYR	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	·
34	11-23	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	·
35	11-24	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Kiernan Stamey	·
36	12-24	NC ST	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	·
37	12-25	SYR	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	·

Score shown after each rally, Syracuse first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

NC State def. Syracuse 3–1

A 7–0 run in the third set broke it open for NC State.