CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026
Rice logo

AwayAMERICAN

1:3
TCU logo

HomeBIG-12

TCU def. Rice 31

(25-22, 21-24, 25-19, 25-21)
Set12*3*4Sets
RICE222419211
TCU252125253
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TCU above 50 · RICE below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100TCURICEBiggest swing +3.1% RICE · S4 16-14rally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Rice — set 4, RICE 16-14 TCU. Attack error by Kinsley Young. TCU win probability 90%87%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

RICE 7.2%92.8% TCU

Rice wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.2%

TCU wins

3-0
49.8%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
12.0%
RICE break %
33.5% vs this opp
TCU break %
44.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Kinsley YoungAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Kinsley Young

    Set 4 · RICE 16-14 TCU · RICE 10%13%

  2. 02
    TCU serverAce+3.0%

    TCU ace on Sydnee Peterson

    Set 4 · RICE 17-17 TCU · TCU 88%91%

  3. 03

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Kaia Mateo)

    Set 3 · RICE 10-9 TCU · RICE 14%17%

  4. 04
    Evan HendrixKill+2.8%

    Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Reese Wilburn)

    Set 4 · RICE 17-18 TCU · TCU 91%94%

  5. 05
    Unlogged pointFeed gap+2.6%

    Point TCU (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 3 · RICE 11-12 TCU · TCU 85%87%

  6. 06
    Ashlyn SeayAttack error+2.5%

    Ashlyn Seay stuffed by Jalyn Gibson

    Set 1 · RICE 20-21 TCU · TCU 90%93%

  7. 07
    Kinsley YoungKill+2.3%

    Kill by Kinsley Young (set by Reese Wilburn)

    Set 4 · RICE 17-19 TCU · TCU 94%96%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Kaia Mateo)

    Set 2 · RICE 24-21 TCU · RICE 11%13%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Riceaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417644.2503024100017
49221.33310000153.512.5
410017.5880003002111
4317.2864410900215
44316.06300040010.54.5
4116.000000200001
49521.19000010031.510.5
44213.15400000010.54.5
4000122800002
4000000100000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
40002011110000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000100000000
Team totals5720145.2555235432114887
TCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422446.391311100111.524.5
415124.58300130073.518.5
414129.44820250111.515.5
413934.11800181031.514.5
4114.000480070010.51.5
4013-.33300000010.50.5
4314.50000000031.54.5
41011.00000000010.51.5
4000010100001
4001.000000200000
4000000000000
40004021820000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000800100000
Team totals6918146.34965275532181196

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 RICE · TCU 9

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 8 RICETCU 4

Set 2*

24-21

Longest run 5 RICETCU 4

Set 3*

19-25

Longest run 4 RICETCU 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 RICETCU 9

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = Rice leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%5/11
20%1/5
2
80%4/5
17%1/6
3
100%4/4
43%3/7
4
24%4/17
71%10/14
5
43%3/7
50%4/8
6
60%3/5
25%1/4
All
47%23/49
45%20/44

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
60%6/10
2
80%4/5
33%2/6
3
29%4/14
0%0/4
4
50%4/8
43%3/7
5
50%4/8
75%12/16
6
100%3/3
50%3/6
All
55%24/44
53%26/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

182 rallies

Rally log

#RICE-TCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TCUTCU×4KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.8
20-2TCUTCU×4Attack errAshlyn Seayblk Evan Hendrix, Kinsley Young+0.7
30-3TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.6
40-4TCUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
51-4TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.3
61-5RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.3
72-5TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.3
82-6RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.3
93-6TCURICE×8KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.3
104-6RICERICE×8KillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+0.6
115-6RICERICE×8KillSydnee Peterson+0.8
126-6RICERICE×8Attack errBecca Kelleyblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Kaia Mateo+1.0
137-6RICERICE×8KillStephanie Gutierrez+1.2
148-6RICERICE×8KillStephanie Gutierrez+1.4
159-6RICERICE×8KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.6
1610-6RICERICE×8KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.6
1710-7RICETCUServe errRICE server+0.8
1811-7TCURICEServe errTCU server+1.1
1912-7RICERICEAttack errReese Robinsblk Ashlyn Seay, Stephanie Gutierrez+1.7
2012-8RICETCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+0.8
2112-9TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.4
2212-10TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.5
2313-10TCURICEKillAshlyn Seay+1.2
2414-10RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.9
2514-11RICETCUKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+0.9
2615-11TCURICEAttack errDe'andrea Mcmillian+1.3
2715-12RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.9
2816-12TCURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.3
2916-13RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.9
3017-13TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.4
3117-14RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
3218-14TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.4
3318-15RICETCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+0.9
3418-16TCUTCU×4KillSydnee Peterson+1.8
3518-17TCUTCU×4AceTCU serveraced Mari Furoyama+2.0
3618-18TCUTCU×4Attack errStephanie Gutierrezblk Reese Robins, Sydnee Peterson+2.1
3719-18TCURICEBad setReese Wilburn+1.6
3819-19RICETCUServe errRICE server+1.4
3920-19TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Zora Bello+1.8
4020-20RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.5
4120-21TCUTCUAttack errAshlyn Seayblk Jalyn Gibson+2.5
4221-21TCURICEKillJalyn Gibson+1.6
4321-22RICETCUAttack errKellen Dorotikset Sydnee Peterson+1.7
4421-23TCUTCUAttack errAshlyn Seayblk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson+2.3
4522-23TCURICEServe errTCU server+1.0
4622-24RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.6
4722-25TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+1.1
Set 2
11-0RICERICE×3Attack errBecca Kelleyset Jalyn Gibson+0.7
22-0RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.8
33-0RICERICE×3Attack errBecca Kelley+0.9
43-1RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.5
54-1TCURICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+0.6
64-2RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.5
75-2TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+0.6
85-3RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
95-4TCUTCUKillRosemary Archerset Evan Hendrix+0.8
106-4TCURICEServe errTCU server+0.6
116-5RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.5
127-5TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.6
137-6RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
148-6TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.6
158-7RICETCUBad setKaia Mateo+0.5
169-7TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+0.7
179-8RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
1810-8TCURICE×3Serve errTCU server+0.7
1911-8RICERICE×3AceRICE serveraced Becca Kelley+1.1
2012-8RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.2
2112-9RICETCUKillJalyn Gibson+0.6
2212-10TCUTCUAttack errKaia Mateo+1.0
2313-10TCURICEServe errTCU server+0.8
2413-11RICETCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.6
2513-12TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Jalyn Gibson+1.1
2613-13TCUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.0
2713-14TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.0
2814-14TCURICEServe errTCU server+0.7
2914-15RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.6
3015-15TCURICEServe errTCU server+0.7
3115-16RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.6
3216-16TCURICE×5KillAmalia Simmonsset Sydnee Peterson+0.7
3317-16RICERICE×5Attack errRosemary Archer+1.4
3418-16RICERICE×5Attack errEvan Hendrixblk Arissa Smith+1.6
3519-16RICERICE×5KillAmalia Simmonsset Arissa Smith+1.6
3620-16RICERICE×5Attack errBecca Kelley+1.5
3720-17RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.6
3821-17TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.0
3921-18RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.5
4022-18TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+1.0
4122-19RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.5
4223-19TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.0
4323-20RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.4
4423-21TCUTCUKillKinsley Young+1.1
4524-21TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.3
Set 3
10-1TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.7
21-1TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.2
31-2RICETCU×4KillEvan Hendrix+1.0
41-3TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Kaia Mateo+1.5
51-4TCUTCU×4Attack errSydnee Peterson+1.2
61-5TCUTCU×4Attack errAmalia Simmonsblk Evan Hendrix+1.0
72-5TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+0.6
82-6RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.6
93-6TCURICEAttack errBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.6
103-7RICETCUKillKinsley Young+0.6
114-7TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+0.6
124-8RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.7
135-8TCURICE×4KillKaia Mateoset Sydnee Peterson+0.7
146-8RICERICE×4Attack errJalyn Gibsonblk Amalia Simmons, Arissa Smith+1.3
157-8RICERICE×4KillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.8
168-8RICERICE×4AceRICE serveraced Alice Volpe+2.2
178-9RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.4
189-9TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+1.6
1910-9RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.8
2010-10RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.6
2111-10TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.0
2211-11RICETCU×3KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.7
2311-12TCUTCU×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.6
2411-13TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+2.2
2512-13TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.4
2612-14RICETCUAttack errSydnee Petersonblk Rosemary Archer, Kinsley Young+1.4
2713-14TCURICEKillKaia Mateoset Jordan Hummel+1.5
2813-15RICETCU×3KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.5
2913-16TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.9
3013-17TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+1.4
3114-17TCURICEKillBella Lopezset Kaia Mateo+0.7
3214-18RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
3314-19TCUTCUAttack errArissa Smithblk Becca Kelley, Morgan Holloman+0.9
3415-19TCURICEKillBella Lopezset Mari Furoyama+0.4
3515-20RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
3616-20TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+0.3
3716-21RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.5
3816-22TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.4
3917-22TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+0.1
4017-23RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.2
4118-23TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.1
4218-24RICETCUServe errRICE server+0.1
4319-24TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.0
4419-25RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Jalyn Gibson+0.0
Set 4
11-0RICERICEAttack errBecca Kelleyblk Amalia Simmons, Arissa Smith+1.5
21-1RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.9
32-1TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+1.0
43-1RICERICEAceRICE serveraced Alice Volpe+1.8
53-2RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Evan Hendrix+1.0
64-2TCURICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.2
75-2RICERICE×3Attack errBecca Kelley+2.0
86-2RICERICE×3KillKinsley Young+2.2
96-3RICETCUKillEvan Hendrix+1.1
107-3TCURICE×4Attack errEvan Hendrixset Jalyn Gibson+1.5
118-3RICERICE×4KillBella Lopezset Kaia Mateo+2.3
129-3RICERICE×4KillSydnee Peterson+2.2
1310-3RICERICE×4Attack errEvan Hendrixblk Arissa Smith, Kaia Mateo+2.0
1410-4RICETCU×3KillRosemary Archer+0.9
1510-5TCUTCU×3Attack errSydnee Petersonblk Becca Kelley, Kinsley Young+1.7
1610-6TCUTCU×3Attack errKaia Mateoblk Reese Robins, Bella Lopez+1.9
1711-6TCURICEAttack errEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+1.6
1811-7RICETCU×3Attack errAmalia Simmonsset Mari Furoyama+1.1
1911-8TCUTCU×3Attack errAmalia Simmons+2.1
2011-9TCUTCU×3KillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+2.2
2112-9TCURICEAttack errBecca Kelleyblk Bella Lopez, Arissa Smith+1.7
2212-10RICETCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+1.4
2312-11TCUTCUKillMorgan Hollomanset Rosemary Archer+2.3
2413-11TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.8
2513-12RICETCUServe errRICE server+1.4
2613-13TCUTCUAttack errAmalia Simmons+2.3
2714-13TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.7
2814-14RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.5
2915-14TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.8
3016-14RICERICEAttack errKinsley Young+3.1
3116-15RICETCUServe errRICE server+1.7
3217-15TCURICEKillBella Lopezset Kaia Mateo+2.2
3317-16RICETCU×9KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.7
3417-17TCUTCU×9AceTCU serveraced Sydnee Peterson+3.0
3517-18TCUTCU×9KillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+2.8
3617-19TCUTCU×9KillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+2.3
3717-20TCUTCU×9KillEvan Hendrixset Becca Kelley+1.7
3817-21TCUTCU×9Attack errBella Lopez+1.1
3917-22TCUTCU×9KillBecca Kelleyset Alice Volpe+0.5
4017-23TCUTCU×9Attack errSydnee Petersonblk Becca Kelley, Kinsley Young+0.2
4117-24TCUTCU×9Attack errArissa Smithblk Kinsley Young, Reese Robins+0.1
4218-24TCURICE×4KillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.0
4319-24RICERICE×4Attack errBecca Kelleyblk Amalia Simmons, Arissa Smith+0.0
4420-24RICERICE×4KillAmalia Simmonsset Sydnee Peterson+0.1
4521-24RICERICE×4KillAmalia Simmons+0.2
4621-25RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Rice first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.