Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

TCU def. Rice 3–1

TCU beat visiting Rice 3-1 (25-22, 21-25, 25-19, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. TCU's Evan Hendrix led with 21 kills, and Alice Volpe added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
RICE222519211
TCU252125253

Win probability

TCU above 50 · Rice below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.5% RICErally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.5% to Rice — set 4, RICE 16-14 TCU. Attack error by Kinsley Young. TCU win probability 88% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RICE 11.2%88.8% TCU

Rice wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
6.2%

TCU wins

3-0
42.4%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.7%
RICE break %
35.7% vs this opp
TCU break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kinsley YoungAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Kinsley Young

    Set 4 · RICE 16-14 TCU · RICE 12% → 16%

  2. 02
    TCUAce+3.3%

    TCU ace on Sydnee Peterson

    Set 4 · RICE 17-17 TCU · TCU 86% → 89%

  3. 03

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Kaia Mateo)

    Set 3 · RICE 10-9 TCU · RICE 18% → 21%

  4. 04
    Evan HendrixKill+3.2%

    Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Reese Wilburn)

    Set 4 · RICE 17-18 TCU · TCU 89% → 92%

  5. 05
    Jalyn GibsonBlock+3.2%

    Ashlyn Seay stuffed by Jalyn Gibson

    Set 1 · RICE 20-21 TCU · TCU 86% → 89%

  6. 06

    Ashlyn Seay stuffed by Jalyn Gibson & Kinsley Young

    Set 1 · RICE 21-23 TCU · TCU 89% → 92%

  7. 07
    Amalia SimmonsAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Amalia Simmons

    Set 3 · RICE 11-12 TCU · TCU 80% → 83%

  8. 08
    Kinsley YoungKill+2.8%

    Kill by Kinsley Young (set by Reese Wilburn)

    Set 4 · RICE 17-19 TCU · TCU 92% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Riceaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417644.2503024100017
49221.33310000153.512.5
410017.5880003002111
4317.2864410900215
34316.06300040010.54.5
3116.000000200001
49521.19000010031.510.5
4000–122800002
4000–2011110000
24213.15400000010.54.5
2000–000100000
1000–100000000
Team totals5720145.2555235432114887
TCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421445.378311100111.523.5
416125.60000130073.519.5
414129.44820250111.515.5
413934.11800181031.514.5
4114.000480070010.51.5
3013-.33300000010.50.5
4000–010100001
4001.000000200000
4000–4021820000
3314.50000000031.54.5
21011.00000000010.51.5
2000–800100000
Team totals6918146.34965275532181196

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 RICE · TCU 9

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 8 RICETCU 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 RICETCU 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 RICETCU 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 RICETCU 9

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = Rice leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
40%6/15
2
59%10/17
21%3/14
3
67%10/15
23%3/13
4
35%8/23
55%11/20
5
58%7/12
33%4/12
6
78%7/9
50%7/14
All
56%53/95
39%34/88

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%11/15
47%8/17
2
77%10/13
41%7/17
3
50%10/20
9%1/11
4
62%8/13
53%10/19
5
57%8/14
62%13/21
6
54%7/13
30%3/10
All
61%54/88
44%42/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#RICE-TCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TCUTCU×4KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.1
20-2TCUTCU×4BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Kinsley Young, Evan Hendrix+1.0
30-3TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.9
40-4TCUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.7
51-4TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.5
61-5RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.5
72-5TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.5
82-6RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.5
93-6TCURICE×8KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.5
104-6RICERICE×8KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.9
115-6RICERICE×8KillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.1
126-6RICERICE×8BlockedBecca Kelleyblk Kaia Mateo, Stephanie Gutierrez+1.4
137-6RICERICE×8KillStephanie Gutierrez+1.6
148-6RICERICE×8KillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.8
159-6RICERICE×8KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.9
1610-6RICERICE×8KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.0
1710-7RICETCUServe errRice+1.1
1811-7TCURICEServe errTCU+1.4
1912-7RICERICEBlockedReese Robinsblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Ashlyn Seay+2.0
2012-8RICETCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+1.0
2112-9TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.7
2212-10TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.9
2313-10TCURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.6
2413-11RICETCUAttack errSydnee Peterson+1.2
2514-11TCURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.6
2615-11RICERICEAttack errDe'Andrea McMillian+2.3
2715-12RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.2
2816-12TCURICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.6
2916-13RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.2
3017-13TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.7
3117-14RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.2
3218-14TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.7
3318-15RICETCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+1.2
3418-16TCUTCU×4KillReese Robinsset Kaia Mateo+2.2
3518-17TCUTCU×4AceTCUaced Mari Furoyama+2.5
3618-18TCUTCU×4BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Reese Robins+2.7
3719-18TCURICEBad setReese Wilburn+2.1
3819-19RICETCUServe errRice+1.9
3920-19TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Zora Bello+2.3
4020-20RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+2.1
4120-21TCUTCUBlockedAshlyn Seayblk Jalyn Gibson+3.2
4221-21TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Evan Hendrix+2.2
4321-22RICETCUAttack errKellen Dorotik+2.4
4421-23TCUTCUBlockedAshlyn Seayblk Jalyn Gibson, Kinsley Young+3.0
4522-23TCURICEServe errTCU+1.4
4622-24RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.2
4722-25TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+1.5
Set 2
11-0RICERICE×3Attack errBecca Kelley+0.9
22-0RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.0
33-0RICERICE×3Attack errBecca Kelley+1.1
43-1RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.7
54-1TCURICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+0.8
64-2RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.7
75-2TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+0.8
85-3RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.7
95-4TCUTCUKillRosemary Archerset Evan Hendrix+1.1
106-4TCURICEServe errTCU+0.8
116-5RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.7
127-5TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.9
137-6RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.7
148-6TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.9
158-7RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.8
169-7TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+0.9
179-8RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.8
1810-8TCURICE×3Serve errTCU+0.9
1911-8RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Becca Kelley+1.5
2012-8RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.5
2112-9RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.8
2212-10TCUTCUAttack errKaia Mateo+1.3
2313-10TCURICEServe errTCU+1.1
2413-11RICETCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.9
2513-12TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Jalyn Gibson+1.4
2613-13TCUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.4
2713-14TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.3
2814-14TCURICEServe errTCU+0.9
2914-15RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.9
3015-15TCURICEServe errTCU+1.0
3115-16RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.9
3216-16TCURICE×5KillAmalia Simmonsset Sydnee Peterson+1.0
3317-16RICERICE×5Attack errRosemary Archer+1.8
3418-16RICERICE×5BlockedEvan Hendrixblk Arissa Smith+2.0
3519-16RICERICE×5KillAmalia Simmonsset Arissa Smith+2.1
3620-16RICERICE×5Attack errBecca Kelley+1.8
3720-17RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.8
3821-17TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.3
3921-18RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.7
4022-18TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+1.3
4122-19RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.6
4223-19TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.2
4323-20RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.5
4423-21TCUTCUKillKinsley Young+1.4
4524-21TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.9
4625-21RICERICEBad setMolly McCarthy+1.1
Set 3
10-1TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.0
21-1TCURICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+1.5
31-2RICETCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.4
41-3TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Kaia Mateo+1.9
51-4TCUTCU×4Attack errSydnee Peterson+1.6
61-5TCUTCU×4BlockedAmalia Simmonsblk Evan Hendrix+1.3
72-5TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+0.9
82-6RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.9
93-6TCURICEAttack errBecca Kelley+0.9
103-7RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.9
114-7TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+0.9
124-8RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
135-8TCURICE×4KillKaia Mateoset Sydnee Peterson+0.9
146-8RICERICE×4BlockedJalyn Gibsonblk Arissa Smith, Amalia Simmons+1.7
157-8RICERICE×4KillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+2.2
168-8RICERICE×4AceRiceaced Alice Volpe+2.6
178-9RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.7
189-9TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+1.9
1910-9RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+3.2
2010-10RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.0
2111-10TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.3
2211-11RICETCU×3KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+2.1
2311-12TCUTCU×3Attack errAmalia Simmons+3.0
2411-13TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+2.7
2512-13TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+1.8
2612-14RICETCUBlockedSydnee Petersonblk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer+1.8
2713-14TCURICEKillKaia Mateoset Jordan Hummel+1.9
2813-15RICETCU×3KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.9
2913-16TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.4
3013-17TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+1.8
3114-17TCURICEKillBella Lopezset Kaia Mateo+1.0
3214-18RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.2
3314-19TCUTCUBlockedArissa Smithblk Morgan Holloman, Becca Kelley+1.2
3415-19TCURICEKillBella Lopezset Mari Furoyama+0.6
3515-20RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.8
3616-20TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+0.5
3716-21RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.7
3816-22TCUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.5
3917-22TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+0.2
4017-23RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.3
4118-23TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.1
4218-24RICETCUServe errRice+0.2
4319-24TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo·
4419-25RICETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Jalyn Gibson+0.1
Set 4
11-0RICERICEBlockedBecca Kelleyblk Arissa Smith, Amalia Simmons+1.8
21-1RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.1
32-1TCURICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+1.3
43-1RICERICEAceRiceaced Alice Volpe+2.1
53-2RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Evan Hendrix+1.2
64-2TCURICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.5
75-2RICERICE×3Attack errBecca Kelley+2.3
86-2RICERICE×3KillKaia Mateoset Rosemary Archer+2.4
96-3RICETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+1.3
107-3TCURICE×4Attack errEvan Hendrix+1.7
118-3RICERICE×4KillBella Lopezset Kaia Mateo+2.5
129-3RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.3
1310-3RICERICE×4BlockedEvan Hendrixblk Kaia Mateo, Arissa Smith+2.1
1410-4RICETCU×3KillEvan Hendrix+1.0
1510-5TCUTCU×3BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley+1.8
1610-6TCUTCU×3BlockedBella Lopezblk Reese Robins+2.0
1711-6TCURICEAttack errEvan Hendrix+1.8
1811-7RICETCU×3Attack errAmalia Simmons+1.3
1911-8TCUTCU×3Attack errAmalia Simmons+2.3
2011-9TCUTCU×3KillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+2.4
2112-9TCURICEBlockedBecca Kelleyblk Arissa Smith, Bella Lopez+2.0
2212-10RICETCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+1.6
2312-11TCUTCUKillMorgan Hollomanset Rosemary Archer+2.6
2413-11TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.1
2513-12RICETCUServe errRice+1.7
2613-13TCUTCUAttack errAmalia Simmons+2.7
2714-13TCURICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.0
2814-14RICETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.8
2915-14TCURICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+2.2
3016-14RICERICEAttack errKinsley Young+3.5
3116-15RICETCUServe errRice+2.0
3217-15TCURICEKillBella Lopezset Kaia Mateo+2.6
3317-16RICETCU×9KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.1
3417-17TCUTCU×9AceTCUaced Sydnee Peterson+3.3
3517-18TCUTCU×9KillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+3.2
3617-19TCUTCU×9KillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+2.8
3717-20TCUTCU×9KillBella Lopez+2.1
3817-21TCUTCU×9Attack errBella Lopez+1.4
3917-22TCUTCU×9KillBecca Kelleyset Alice Volpe+0.8
4017-23TCUTCU×9BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley+0.3
4117-24TCUTCU×9BlockedArissa Smithblk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young+0.1
4218-24TCURICE×4KillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo·
4319-24RICERICE×4BlockedBecca Kelleyblk Arissa Smith, Amalia Simmons·
4420-24RICERICE×4KillAmalia Simmonsset Sydnee Peterson+0.1
4521-24RICERICE×4KillArissa Smith+0.3
4621-25RICETCUKillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Rice first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).