Final · 5 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Rice def. UTSA 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Rice 72.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rice won at UTSA 3-2 (25-18, 20-25, 19-25, 25-18, 15-11) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Rice's Sydnee Peterson and Ashlyn Seay led with 16 kills each.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set12345Sets
RICE25201925153
UTSA18252518112

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Outhit .198 to .186, Rice won anyway.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Rice's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Rice went in as RallyIQ's 72% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Rice 5–5 UTSA

    From 5–5, Rice had 3 straight kills to lead 8–5.

    Rice 60% → 86%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Rice 8–6 UTSA

    Up 8–6, Rice scored 3 straight to make it 11–6.

    Rice 81% → 97%

UTSA above 50Rice belowMax swing 10.1%

RiceUTSA

Sideout %
Rice 63.3·UTSA 59.2
Break %
Rice 40.8·UTSA 36.7
Hitting
Rice .186·UTSA .198
Longest run
Rice 4·UTSA 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UTSA above 50 · Rice below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+10.1% RICErally 201 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.1% to Rice — set 5, RICE 5-4 UTSA. Kill by Amalia Simmons (set by Zora Bello). UTSA win probability 43% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RICE 69.8%30.2% UTSA

Rice wins

3-0
23.1%
3-1
26.8%
3-2
19.9%

UTSA wins

3-0
5.8%
3-1
10.6%
3-2
13.8%
RICE break %
41.8% vs this opp
UTSA break %
37.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Amalia SimmonsKill+10.1%

    Kill by Amalia Simmons (set by Zora Bello)

    Set 5 · RICE 5-4 UTSA · RICE 57% → 67%

  2. 02
    Giada ObregonAce+10.0%

    Ace by Giada Obregon on Campbell Love

    Set 5 · RICE 1-3 UTSA · UTSA 48% → 58%

  3. 03

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Zora Bello)

    Set 5 · RICE 7-5 UTSA · RICE 67% → 77%

  4. 04
    Zora BelloAce+9.7%

    Ace by Zora Bello on Giada Obregon

    Set 5 · RICE 3-3 UTSA · RICE 48% → 58%

  5. 05

    Ashlyn Seay stuffed by Ledisi Kpea & Gigi Mason

    Set 5 · RICE 0-1 UTSA · UTSA 38% → 48%

  6. 06

    Kill by Amalia Simmons (set by Zora Bello)

    Set 5 · RICE 8-5 UTSA · RICE 77% → 86%

  7. 07

    Kill by Isabella Arroyave (set by Valeria Ortiz)

    Set 5 · RICE 3-4 UTSA · UTSA 42% → 49%

  8. 08

    Kill by Amalia Simmons (set by Sydnee Peterson)

    Set 5 · RICE 6-5 UTSA · RICE 60% → 67%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Riceaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516347.27710272132.518.5
514333.33300030010.514.5
54516-.06312120174.510.5
55310.20000020010.55.5
5028-.2504612150132.53.5
5000–101500000
516853.1510005002117
5000–2201500002
5000–0011220000
2318.250000100214
2000–51000010.51.5
2000–000000000
1112.000000000001
Team totals5926177.186566767432013104
UTSAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
59520.2000001026514
510426.23101110132.513.5
513538.21100315200013
58727.03700030233.511.5
56121.238100100217
5104.2502901800001
5000–1221220002
5001.0002610700001
5000–1002720000
5000–003200000
413528.2860003004215
1002.000000000000
Team totals6027167.198584108065181497

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 RICE · UTSA 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 RICEUTSA 2

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 RICEUTSA 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 2 RICEUTSA 2

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 4 RICEUTSA 3

Set 5

15-11

Longest run 3 RICEUTSA 3

Bars above the line = UTSA leads, below = Rice leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%13/20
9%1/11
2
65%11/17
48%10/21
3
63%10/16
41%7/17
4
56%10/18
33%5/15
5
63%10/16
50%10/20
6
73%8/11
47%9/19
All
63%62/98
41%42/103

UTSA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
27%4/15
2
50%10/20
40%8/20
3
71%10/14
23%3/13
4
63%10/16
38%6/16
5
45%10/22
44%8/18
6
64%9/14
44%7/16
All
59%61/103
37%36/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

201 rallies

#RICE-UTSASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UTSAUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+2.3
21-1UTSARICE×4KillEllie Schneiderset Zora Bello+1.5
32-1RICERICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrez+2.2
43-1RICERICE×4KillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+2.1
54-1RICERICE×4KillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+1.9
64-2RICEUTSAAttack errSydnee Peterson+1.2
75-2UTSARICE×3Serve errUTSA+1.2
86-2RICERICE×3Attack errLedisi Kpea+1.7
97-2RICERICE×3BlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Zora Bello, Stephanie Gutierrez+1.4
107-3RICEUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+0.8
117-4UTSAUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+1.5
128-4UTSARICEServe errUTSA+1.1
139-4RICERICEAttack errCaroline Tredwell+1.4
149-5RICEUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+0.8
1510-5UTSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Stephanie Gutierrez+0.9
1611-5RICERICEAceRiceaced Alyssa Manitzas+1.1
1711-6RICEUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+0.6
1812-6UTSARICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+0.7
1913-6RICERICE×3Attack errSydney Bryant+0.8
2014-6RICERICE×3Attack errCaroline Tredwell+0.5
2114-7RICEUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins+0.2
2214-8UTSAUTSAAttack errAshlyn Seay+0.6
2315-8UTSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+0.5
2416-8RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+0.5
2516-9RICEUTSAAttack errEllie Schneider+0.2
2617-9UTSARICEBlockedSydney Bryantblk Amalia Simmons, Ellie Schneider+0.3
2718-9RICERICEAttack errSydney Bryant+0.2
2818-10RICEUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+0.1
2919-10UTSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Zora Bello+0.1
3020-10RICERICEAceRiceaced Giada Obregon+0.1
3120-11RICEUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz·
3221-11UTSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello·
3321-12RICEUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Brooke Elliott·
3421-13UTSAUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins·
3522-13UTSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+0.1
3622-14RICEUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins·
3722-15UTSAUTSABlockedZora Belloblk Caroline Tredwell, Sydney Bryant+0.1
3823-15UTSARICEServe errUTSA+0.1
3923-16RICEUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins·
4024-16UTSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello·
4124-17RICEUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Megan Hawkins·
4224-18UTSAUTSAAttack errAshlyn Seay·
4325-18UTSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello·
Set 2
10-1RICEUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+1.3
21-1UTSARICEAttack errIsabella Arroyave+1.2
32-1RICERICEBlockedBrooke Elliottblk Sydnee Peterson+1.8
42-2RICEUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+1.2
52-3UTSAUTSAAttack errStephanie Gutierrez+1.9
63-3UTSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+1.2
73-4RICEUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+1.4
83-5UTSAUTSABlockedZora Belloblk Caroline Tredwell+2.1
94-5UTSARICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+1.3
105-5RICERICE×3BlockedGigi Masonblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Ashlyn Seay+2.0
116-5RICERICE×3BlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Zora Bello+2.0
126-6RICEUTSA×4Serve errRice+1.3
136-7UTSAUTSA×4BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Caroline Tredwell, Gigi Mason+2.2
146-8UTSAUTSA×4BlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Sydney Bryant+2.3
156-9UTSAUTSA×4KillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+2.3
167-9UTSARICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.3
178-9RICERICE×4Attack errCaroline Tredwell+2.2
189-9RICERICE×4BlockedGigi Masonblk Ashlyn Seay, Maggie Croft+2.2
1910-9RICERICE×4BlockedSydney Bryantblk Kaia Mateo, Maggie Croft+2.2
2010-10RICEUTSA×4KillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+1.5
2110-11UTSAUTSA×4AceUTSAaced Campbell Love+2.5
2210-12UTSAUTSA×4KillGigi Mason+2.6
2310-13UTSAUTSA×4KillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+2.6
2411-13UTSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Kaia Mateo+1.5
2511-14RICEUTSAKillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+1.8
2612-14UTSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.5
2712-15RICEUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+1.9
2812-16UTSAUTSAAceUTSAaced Sydnee Peterson+2.5
2913-16UTSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Kaia Mateo+1.3
3013-17RICEUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+1.7
3114-17UTSARICEServe errUTSA+1.3
3214-18RICEUTSA×3KillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+1.8
3314-19UTSAUTSA×3Attack errStephanie Gutierrez+2.0
3414-20UTSAUTSA×3BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Caroline Tredwell, Gigi Mason+1.4
3515-20UTSARICEKillEllie Schneiderset Zora Bello+0.5
3616-20RICERICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+1.2
3716-21RICEUTSA×3KillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+1.3
3816-22UTSAUTSA×3KillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+1.1
3916-23UTSAUTSA×3BlockedEllie Schneiderblk Sydney Bryant+0.5
4017-23UTSARICEServe errUTSA+0.1
4117-24RICEUTSAKillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+0.2
4218-24UTSARICE×3Attack errMaggie Croft·
4319-24RICERICE×3Attack errLedisi Kpea+0.1
4420-24RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+0.2
4520-25RICEUTSABlockedAshlyn Seayblk Ledisi Kpea, Gigi Mason+0.4
Set 3
11-0UTSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+2.0
22-0RICERICEAceRiceaced Alyssa Manitzas+2.9
32-1RICEUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+1.9
42-2UTSAUTSAAttack errMaggie Croft+3.2
53-2UTSARICEAttack errIsabella Arroyave+2.1
63-3RICEUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+2.2
74-3UTSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Zora Bello+2.1
84-4RICEUTSAServe errRice+2.2
94-5UTSAUTSAAceUTSAaced Sydnee Peterson+3.6
105-5UTSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+2.3
115-6RICEUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins+2.5
126-6UTSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+2.4
136-7RICEUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+2.6
146-8UTSAUTSABlockedEllie Schneiderblk Ledisi Kpea+4.0
157-8UTSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+2.5
167-9RICEUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+2.8
178-9UTSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+2.5
188-10RICEUTSAAttack errAaliyah Smith+2.9
199-10UTSARICEServe errUTSA+2.6
209-11RICEUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+3.0
2110-11UTSARICEKillAaliyah Smithset Jordan Hummel+2.7
2210-12RICEUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+3.1
2311-12UTSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+2.8
2411-13RICEUTSAKillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+3.2
2512-13UTSARICEServe errUTSA+2.9
2613-13RICERICEAttack errGigi Mason+4.6
2713-14RICEUTSAServe errRice+3.3
2814-14UTSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+3.1
2914-15RICEUTSAServe errRice+3.5
3014-16UTSAUTSAAttack errAmalia Simmons+5.4
3115-16UTSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+3.2
3215-17RICEUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+3.9
3315-18UTSAUTSAAttack errAmalia Simmons+5.5
3416-18UTSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+2.8
3516-19RICEUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+3.9
3616-20UTSAUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+4.7
3717-20UTSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+2.0
3817-21RICEUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+3.2
3918-21UTSARICEAttack errIsabella Arroyave+1.9
4018-22RICEUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+3.2
4118-23UTSAUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+2.7
4219-23UTSARICEAttack errCaroline Tredwell+0.6
4319-24RICEUTSAServe errZora Bello+1.4
4419-25UTSAUTSABlockedAmalia Simmonsblk Ledisi Kpea, Sydney Bryant+0.5
Set 4
10-1RICEUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+2.8
21-1UTSARICE×4Bad setValeria Ortiz+2.7
32-1RICERICE×4AceStephanie Gutierrezaced Isabella Arroyave+3.9
43-1RICERICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+3.7
54-1RICERICE×4Attack errLedisi Kpea+3.4
64-2RICEUTSAAttack errAshlyn Seay+2.2
75-2UTSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+2.2
86-2RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+3.0
96-3RICEUTSAKillValeria Ortizset Giada Obregon+1.8
107-3UTSARICEKillEllie Schneiderset Zora Bello+2.0
117-4RICEUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+1.9
127-5UTSAUTSAKillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+3.4
138-5UTSARICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+2.4
149-5RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+3.2
1510-5RICERICE×3AceJordan Hummelaced Isabella Arroyave+2.6
1610-6RICEUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins+1.5
1711-6UTSARICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+1.7
1812-6RICERICE×3BlockedGigi Masonblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson+2.0
1913-6RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+1.4
2013-7RICEUTSABlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Ledisi Kpea, Sydney Bryant+0.7
2114-7UTSARICEBlockedLedisi Kpeablk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson+0.9
2214-8RICEUTSABlockedAshlyn Seayblk Brooke Elliott, Ledisi Kpea+0.7
2315-8UTSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+0.9
2415-9RICEUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+0.6
2516-9UTSARICEServe errRaegan Ramirez+0.9
2617-9RICERICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+0.8
2717-10RICEUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+0.3
2817-11UTSAUTSAKillIsabella Arroyave+0.8
2918-11UTSARICEKillEllie Schneiderset Zora Bello+0.8
3018-12RICEUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins+0.5
3119-12UTSARICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+0.7
3220-12RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+0.5
3321-12RICERICE×3BlockedGigi Masonblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson+0.2
3421-13RICEUTSAKillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+0.1
3521-14UTSAUTSAKillGigi Masonset Megan Hawkins+0.2
3622-14UTSARICEServe errCaroline Tredwell+0.2
3722-15RICEUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+0.1
3823-15UTSARICEAttack errSydney Bryant+0.1
3923-16RICEUTSA×3BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Ledisi Kpea, Brooke Elliott·
4023-17UTSAUTSA×3Attack errStephanie Gutierrez+0.1
4123-18UTSAUTSA×3KillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+0.3
4224-18UTSARICEBlockedLedisi Kpeablk Stephanie Gutierrez+0.4
4325-18RICERICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+1.6
Set 5
10-1UTSAUTSABlockedAshlyn Seayblk Ledisi Kpea, Gigi Mason+9.2
21-1UTSARICEServe errValeria Ortiz+5.8
31-2RICEUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+6.4
41-3UTSAUTSAAceGiada Obregonaced Campbell Love+10.0
52-3UTSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+6.0
63-3RICERICEAceZora Belloaced Giada Obregon+9.7
73-4RICEUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+7.0
84-4UTSARICEKillEllie Schneiderset Zora Bello+6.6
95-4RICERICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+10.1
105-5RICEUTSAKillGigi Masonset Valeria Ortiz+6.9
116-5UTSARICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Sydnee Peterson+6.9
127-5RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+9.9
138-5RICERICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+8.4
148-6RICEUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+4.6
159-6UTSARICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Zora Bello+5.7
1610-6RICERICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrez+6.4
1711-6RICERICE×3BlockedSydney Bryantblk Zora Bello, Stephanie Gutierrez+4.0
1811-7RICEUTSAServe errCampbell Love+1.5
1912-7UTSARICEBlockedSydney Bryantblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Zora Bello+2.4
2012-8RICEUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Megan Hawkins+1.2
2113-8UTSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+2.0
2213-9RICEUTSA×3Serve errStephanie Gutierrez+0.8
2313-10UTSAUTSA×3KillGigi Masonset Valeria Ortiz+2.5
2413-11UTSAUTSA×3BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Ledisi Kpea+5.4
2514-11UTSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+6.6
2615-11RICERICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+3.3

Score shown after each rally, Rice first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).