North Carolina def. FGCU 3–1
North Carolina beat FGCU 3-1 (25-21, 25-16, 20-25, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Safi Hampton led North Carolina with 12 kills; FGCU's Katie Gielas had a match-high 15.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 21 | 16 | 25 | 22 | 1 |
| UNC | 25 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 3.1% to North Carolina — set 4, FGCU 19-20 UNC. Kill by Lauren Schutter (set by Laynie Smith). UNC win probability 91% → 94%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
FGCU wins
North Carolina wins
- FGCU break %
- 35.9% vs this opp
- UNC break %
- 47.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Lauren SchutterKill+3.1%
Kill by Lauren Schutter (set by Laynie Smith)
Set 4 · FGCU 19-20 UNC · UNC 91% → 94%
- 02Maju HildebrandAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Maju Hildebrand
Set 4 · FGCU 19-21 UNC · UNC 94% → 97%
- 03Julija Grubisic caboKill+2.5%
Kill by Julija Grubisic cabo (set by Dinara Sabitova)
Set 4 · FGCU 19-18 UNC · FGCU 9% → 11%
- 04
- 05Lauren SchutterAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Lauren Schutter
Set 4 · FGCU 18-17 UNC · FGCU 8% → 11%
- 06Safi HamptonKill+2.2%
Kill by Safi Hampton (set by Sienna Cozza)
Set 4 · FGCU 19-19 UNC · UNC 89% → 91%
- 07North CarolinaAce+2.1%
North Carolina ace on Julija Grubisic cabo
Set 4 · FGCU 13-13 UNC · UNC 90% → 93%
- 08Maju HildebrandKill+2.1%
Kill by Maju Hildebrand (set by Dinara Sabitova)
Set 4 · FGCU 17-16 UNC · FGCU 8% → 10%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 28 | .286 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 17.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 4 | 27 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 33 | .091 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .067 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 33 | .212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 27 | 148 | .196 | 50 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 84 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 30 | .233 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 4 | 9 | 0 | 13 | .692 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 14 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 22 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 22 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .389 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 21 | .095 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 16 | 120 | .317 | 52 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 95 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
21-25
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
25-20
Set 4
22-25
Bars above the line = North Carolina leads, below = FGCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
FGCU
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%8/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 2 | 73%8/11 | 20%2/10 |
| 3 | 62%8/13 | 20%2/10 |
| 4 | 58%7/12 | 50%7/14 |
| 5 | 41%7/17 | 13%1/8 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 46%6/13 |
| All | 61%43/70 | 32%20/63 |
North Carolina
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89%8/9 | 13%1/8 |
| 2 | 73%8/11 | 11%1/9 |
| 3 | 62%8/13 | 50%8/16 |
| 4 | 64%7/11 | 38%5/13 |
| 5 | 70%7/10 | 56%9/16 |
| 6 | 56%5/9 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 68%43/63 | 39%27/70 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
179 rallies
| # | FGCU-UNC | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FGCU | FGCU | Ace | FGCU | aced Julia Bohlinger | +0.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | FGCU | UNC×3 | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UNC | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.8 | |||
| 6 | 2-4 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Julia Bohlinger | +0.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UNC | FGCU×4 | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | FGCU | FGCU×4 | Blocked | Laynie Smith | blk Katie Gielas, Abby Toeniskoetter | +0.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | FGCU | FGCU×4 | Kill | Camila Soto | set Anna Marzella | +1.1 |
| 10 | 6-4 | FGCU | FGCU×4 | Ace | FGCU | aced Carly Markham | +1.2 |
| 11 | 6-5 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.8 |
| 12 | 7-5 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | FGCU | FGCU | Attack err | Laynie Smith | +1.4 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | FGCU | UNC×6 | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | UNC | UNC×6 | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Julia Bohlinger | +1.2 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UNC | UNC×6 | Blocked | Abby Toeniskoetter | blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith | +1.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | UNC | UNC×6 | Blocked | Camila Soto | blk Jackie Taylor, Bridget Malone | +1.0 |
| 18 | 8-10 | UNC | UNC×6 | Attack err | Katie Gielas | +0.9 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | UNC | UNC×6 | Attack err | Katie Gielas | +0.7 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.5 |
| 21 | 9-12 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +0.5 |
| 22 | 10-12 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.5 |
| 23 | 10-13 | FGCU | UNC | Serve err | FGCU | +0.5 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Maju Hildebrand | +0.6 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Julija Grubisic cabo | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | UNC | FGCU×3 | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.4 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | FGCU | FGCU×3 | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Abby Toeniskoetter, Maju Hildebrand | +0.8 |
| 29 | 14-15 | FGCU | FGCU×3 | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Anna Marzella | +1.1 |
| 30 | 14-16 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.8 |
| 31 | 14-17 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Lauren Schutter | +1.0 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.6 |
| 33 | 16-17 | FGCU | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Eliska Vytiskova | +1.2 |
| 34 | 16-18 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +0.9 |
| 35 | 16-19 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Katie Gielas | +1.1 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | UNC | FGCU | Bad set | Sienna Cozza | +0.6 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | FGCU | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | set Eliska Vytiskova | +1.4 |
| 38 | 18-20 | FGCU | UNC | Serve err | FGCU | +1.1 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Camila Soto | +1.2 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Abby Toeniskoetter | +0.6 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Sienna Cozza | +0.8 |
| 42 | 19-23 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Julija Grubisic cabo | blk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor | +0.7 |
| 43 | 20-23 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.2 |
| 44 | 21-23 | FGCU | FGCU | Attack err | Chelsea Thorpe | +0.7 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.9 |
| 46 | 21-25 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Amany Kuwa | blk Jackie Taylor | +0.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Abby Toeniskoetter | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UNC | UNC | Ace | North Carolina | aced Anna Marzella | +0.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Julia Bohlinger | +0.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | UNC | UNC | Ace | North Carolina | aced Julija Grubisic cabo | +0.5 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | FGCU | FGCU | Attack err | Bridget Malone | +0.6 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | FGCU | UNC | Serve err | FGCU | +0.4 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Julija Grubisic cabo | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.5 |
| 13 | 6-7 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.4 |
| 14 | 6-8 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Julia Bohlinger | +0.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.4 |
| 16 | 7-9 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 17 | 8-9 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.4 |
| 18 | 8-10 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.4 |
| 20 | 10-10 | FGCU | FGCU | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Camila Soto, Abby Toeniskoetter | +0.7 |
| 21 | 10-11 | FGCU | UNC×4 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.5 |
| 22 | 10-12 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Safi Hampton | +0.6 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Mackenzie Boyer | +0.5 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | UNC | UNC×4 | Attack err | Camila Soto | +0.4 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | UNC | FGCU×4 | Blocked | Laynie Smith | blk Abby Toeniskoetter, Camila Soto | +0.3 |
| 26 | 12-14 | FGCU | FGCU×4 | Kill | Camila Soto | set Anna Marzella | +0.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | FGCU | FGCU×4 | Kill | Camila Soto | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.7 |
| 28 | 14-14 | FGCU | FGCU×4 | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Abby Toeniskoetter, Camila Soto | +0.9 |
| 29 | 14-15 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Mackenzie Boyer | set Sienna Cozza | +0.6 |
| 30 | 14-16 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Camila Soto | blk Bridget Malone, Mackenzie Boyer | +0.8 |
| 31 | 15-16 | UNC | FGCU | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.6 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | FGCU | UNC×8 | Blocked | Camila Soto | blk Bridget Malone, Mackenzie Boyer | +0.6 |
| 33 | 15-18 | UNC | UNC×8 | Blocked | Julija Grubisic cabo | blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith | +0.7 |
| 34 | 15-19 | UNC | UNC×8 | Ace | North Carolina | aced Katie Gielas | +0.5 |
| 35 | 15-20 | UNC | UNC×8 | Attack err | Camila Soto | +0.3 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | UNC | UNC×8 | Attack err | Katie Gielas | +0.2 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | UNC | UNC×8 | Attack err | Dinara Sabitova | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | UNC | UNC×8 | Attack err | Amany Kuwa | · | |
| 39 | 15-24 | UNC | UNC×8 | Kill | Hailey Pearce | set Sienna Cozza | · |
| 40 | 16-24 | UNC | FGCU | Serve err | North Carolina | · | |
| 41 | 16-25 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Sienna Cozza | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | FGCU | UNC | Serve err | FGCU | +0.2 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Abby Toeniskoetter | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | FGCU | UNC | Serve err | FGCU | +0.2 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Julija Grubisic cabo | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | FGCU | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Amany Kuwa | +0.2 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | UNC | FGCU | Attack err | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | FGCU | UNC | Serve err | FGCU | +0.2 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Katie Gielas | +0.3 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | UNC | FGCU×4 | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.2 |
| 13 | 7-6 | FGCU | FGCU×4 | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | +0.4 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | FGCU | FGCU×4 | Blocked | Laynie Smith | blk Abby Toeniskoetter, Maju Hildebrand | +0.4 |
| 15 | 9-6 | FGCU | FGCU×4 | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | +0.5 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +0.3 |
| 17 | 10-7 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | FGCU | FGCU | Ace | FGCU | aced Hailey Pearce | +0.5 |
| 19 | 11-8 | FGCU | UNC | Serve err | FGCU | +0.3 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.4 |
| 21 | 12-9 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | FGCU | FGCU | Kill | Amany Kuwa | +0.5 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | FGCU | UNC×4 | Kill | Laynie Smith | +0.3 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | UNC | UNC×4 | Blocked | Maju Hildebrand | blk Jackie Taylor, Hailey Pearce | +0.5 |
| 25 | 13-12 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Julia Bohlinger | +0.5 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UNC | UNC×4 | Blocked | Amany Kuwa | blk Jackie Taylor, Chelsea Thorpe | +0.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Julija Grubisic cabo | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.4 |
| 28 | 14-14 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.3 |
| 29 | 15-14 | UNC | FGCU×3 | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.4 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | FGCU | FGCU×3 | Kill | Anna Marzella | +0.6 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | FGCU | FGCU×3 | Kill | Amany Kuwa | +0.6 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 33 | 18-15 | UNC | FGCU | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.5 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 35 | 19-16 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.5 |
| 36 | 19-17 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Addison West | set Sienna Cozza | +0.4 |
| 37 | 20-17 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.6 |
| 38 | 20-18 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.4 |
| 39 | 21-18 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Julija Grubisic cabo | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.6 |
| 40 | 22-18 | FGCU | FGCU | Attack err | Laynie Smith | +0.7 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | +0.3 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Julija Grubisic cabo | set Dinara Sabitova | +0.5 |
| 43 | 23-20 | FGCU | UNC | Blocked | Julija Grubisic cabo | blk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor | +0.2 |
| 44 | 24-20 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | set Anna Marzella | +0.5 |
| 45 | 25-20 | FGCU | FGCU | Blocked | Chelsea Thorpe | blk Katie Gielas, Amany Kuwa | +0.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Julija Grubisic cabo | blk Jackie Taylor, Chelsea Thorpe | +1.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNC | FGCU | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Maju Hildebrand, Abby Toeniskoetter | +0.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Amany Kuwa | set Maju Hildebrand | +0.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UNC | FGCU | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.9 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +0.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Eliska Vytiskova | +1.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +0.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | UNC | FGCU×3 | Serve err | North Carolina | +1.0 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | FGCU | FGCU×3 | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Dinara Sabitova | +1.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | FGCU | FGCU×3 | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Anna Marzella | +1.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +1.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Maju Hildebrand | +1.6 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +1.3 |
| 16 | 9-7 | FGCU | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +2.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | FGCU | UNC | Attack err | Julija Grubisic cabo | set Anna Marzella | +1.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Julija Grubisic cabo | set Dinara Sabitova | +1.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.3 |
| 20 | 11-9 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +1.6 |
| 21 | 11-10 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.4 |
| 22 | 11-11 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +1.9 |
| 23 | 12-11 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | set Eliska Vytiskova | +1.6 |
| 24 | 13-11 | FGCU | FGCU | Attack err | Safi Hampton | +2.4 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | FGCU | UNC | Attack err | Katie Gielas | set Eliska Vytiskova | +1.5 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UNC | UNC | Ace | North Carolina | aced Julija Grubisic cabo | +2.1 |
| 27 | 14-13 | UNC | FGCU | Blocked | Laynie Smith | blk Amany Kuwa, Katie Gielas | +1.7 |
| 28 | 14-14 | FGCU | UNC | Serve err | FGCU | +1.5 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Camila Soto | +1.8 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Safi Hampton | +1.6 |
| 31 | 16-15 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +2.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.7 |
| 33 | 17-16 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Maju Hildebrand | set Dinara Sabitova | +2.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.8 |
| 35 | 18-17 | UNC | FGCU | Attack err | Lauren Schutter | set Dinara Sabitova | +2.3 |
| 36 | 18-18 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +2.0 |
| 37 | 19-18 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Julija Grubisic cabo | set Dinara Sabitova | +2.5 |
| 38 | 19-19 | FGCU | UNC×3 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +2.2 |
| 39 | 19-20 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Laynie Smith | +3.1 |
| 40 | 19-21 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Maju Hildebrand | +2.6 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Eliska Vytiskova | +1.6 |
| 42 | 20-22 | FGCU | UNC×3 | Attack err | Katie Gielas | set Eliska Vytiskova | +1.9 |
| 43 | 20-23 | UNC | UNC×3 | Ace | North Carolina | aced Katie Gielas | +1.9 |
| 44 | 20-24 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +0.9 |
| 45 | 21-24 | UNC | FGCU | Kill | Katie Gielas | set Eliska Vytiskova | +0.2 |
| 46 | 22-24 | FGCU | FGCU | Ace | FGCU | aced Safi Hampton | +0.7 |
| 47 | 22-25 | FGCU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +1.1 |
Score shown after each rally, FGCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).