Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

North Carolina def. FGCU 3–1

North Carolina beat FGCU 3-1 (25-21, 25-16, 20-25, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Safi Hampton led North Carolina with 12 kills; FGCU's Katie Gielas had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set1234Sets
FGCU211625221
UNC252520253

Win probability

North Carolina above 50 · FGCU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.1% UNCrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.1% to North Carolina — set 4, FGCU 19-20 UNC. Kill by Lauren Schutter (set by Laynie Smith). UNC win probability 91% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FGCU 6.8%93.2% UNC

FGCU wins

3-0
0.8%
3-1
2.0%
3-2
4.0%

North Carolina wins

3-0
50.8%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
11.6%
FGCU break %
35.9% vs this opp
UNC break %
47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Lauren Schutter (set by Laynie Smith)

    Set 4 · FGCU 19-20 UNC · UNC 91% → 94%

  2. 02
    Maju HildebrandAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Maju Hildebrand

    Set 4 · FGCU 19-21 UNC · UNC 94% → 97%

  3. 03

    Kill by Julija Grubisic cabo (set by Dinara Sabitova)

    Set 4 · FGCU 19-18 UNC · FGCU 9% → 11%

  4. 04
    Safi HamptonAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Safi Hampton

    Set 4 · FGCU 13-11 UNC · FGCU 9% → 11%

  5. 05
    Lauren SchutterAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Lauren Schutter

    Set 4 · FGCU 18-17 UNC · FGCU 8% → 11%

  6. 06
    Safi HamptonKill+2.2%

    Kill by Safi Hampton (set by Sienna Cozza)

    Set 4 · FGCU 19-19 UNC · UNC 89% → 91%

  7. 07
    North CarolinaAce+2.1%

    North Carolina ace on Julija Grubisic cabo

    Set 4 · FGCU 13-13 UNC · UNC 90% → 93%

  8. 08

    Kill by Maju Hildebrand (set by Dinara Sabitova)

    Set 4 · FGCU 17-16 UNC · FGCU 8% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FGCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415728.28601382031.517.5
413427.33310020031.514.5
48533.091010720009
43110.20000100073.56.5
44315.067000100215
4011-1.0002511600001
413633.21200020031.514.5
4001.0001910800001
4000–5021010000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–001100000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals5627148.1965048455018984
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412530.2331214100014
49013.6920021018514
49322.2730003004211
4417.429000100004
4000–000110000
4000–2200600000
48118.38900020031.59.5
48621.095100400219
42021.000000100213
4000–5221610002
4104.25000131010.51.5
4103.333000000001
4000–2311200001
4000–000000000
4000–000100000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals5416120.31752574541201195

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 FGCU · UNC 8

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 FGCUUNC 6

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 FGCUUNC 8

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 FGCUUNC 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 FGCUUNC 3

Bars above the line = North Carolina leads, below = FGCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FGCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
25%2/8
2
73%8/11
20%2/10
3
62%8/13
20%2/10
4
58%7/12
50%7/14
5
41%7/17
13%1/8
6
71%5/7
46%6/13
All
61%43/70
32%20/63

North Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
89%8/9
13%1/8
2
73%8/11
11%1/9
3
62%8/13
50%8/16
4
64%7/11
38%5/13
5
70%7/10
56%9/16
6
56%5/9
38%3/8
All
68%43/63
39%27/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#FGCU-UNCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FGCUFGCUAceFGCUaced Julia Bohlinger+0.9
21-1FGCUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.6
32-1UNCFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+0.7
42-2FGCUUNC×3KillLauren Schutterset Zoe Behrendt+0.6
52-3UNC
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
62-4UNCUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Julia Bohlinger+0.7
73-4UNCFGCU×4KillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+0.5
84-4FGCUFGCU×4BlockedLaynie Smithblk Katie Gielas, Abby Toeniskoetter+0.9
95-4FGCUFGCU×4KillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+1.1
106-4FGCUFGCU×4AceFGCUaced Carly Markham+1.2
116-5FGCUUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.8
127-5UNCFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+0.9
138-5FGCUFGCUAttack errLaynie Smith+1.4
148-6FGCUUNC×6KillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.8
158-7UNCUNC×6KillBridget Maloneset Julia Bohlinger+1.2
168-8UNCUNC×6BlockedAbby Toeniskoetterblk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith+1.1
178-9UNCUNC×6BlockedCamila Sotoblk Jackie Taylor, Bridget Malone+1.0
188-10UNCUNC×6Attack errKatie Gielas+0.9
198-11UNCUNC×6Attack errKatie Gielas+0.7
209-11UNCFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+0.5
219-12FGCUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.5
2210-12UNCFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+0.5
2310-13FGCUUNCServe errFGCU+0.5
2410-14UNCUNCAttack errMaju Hildebrand+0.6
2511-14UNCFGCUKillJulija Grubisic caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.4
2611-15FGCUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
2712-15UNCFGCU×3Serve errNorth Carolina+0.4
2813-15FGCUFGCU×3BlockedSafi Hamptonblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Maju Hildebrand+0.8
2914-15FGCUFGCU×3KillKatie Gielasset Anna Marzella+1.1
3014-16FGCUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.8
3114-17UNCUNCKillLauren Schutter+1.0
3215-17UNCFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+0.6
3316-17FGCUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+1.2
3416-18FGCUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+0.9
3516-19UNCUNCAttack errKatie Gielas+1.1
3617-19UNCFGCUBad setSienna Cozza+0.6
3718-19FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+1.4
3818-20FGCUUNCServe errFGCU+1.1
3918-21UNCUNCAttack errCamila Soto+1.2
4019-21UNCFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetter+0.6
4119-22FGCUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Sienna Cozza+0.8
4219-23UNCUNCBlockedJulija Grubisic caboblk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor+0.7
4320-23UNCFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+0.2
4421-23FGCUFGCUAttack errChelsea Thorpe+0.7
4521-24FGCUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.9
4621-25UNCUNCBlockedAmany Kuwablk Jackie Taylor+0.4
Set 2
11-0UNCFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+0.4
21-1FGCUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
32-1UNCFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+0.5
42-2FGCUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
52-3UNCUNCAceNorth Carolinaaced Anna Marzella+0.5
63-3UNCFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+0.4
73-4FGCUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Julia Bohlinger+0.4
83-5UNCUNCAceNorth Carolinaaced Julija Grubisic cabo+0.5
94-5UNCFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+0.4
105-5FGCUFGCUAttack errBridget Malone+0.6
115-6FGCUUNCServe errFGCU+0.4
126-6UNCFGCUKillJulija Grubisic caboset Eliska Vytiskova+0.5
136-7FGCUUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.4
146-8UNCUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Julia Bohlinger+0.5
157-8UNCFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+0.4
167-9FGCUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
178-9UNCFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+0.4
188-10FGCUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
199-10UNCFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+0.4
2010-10FGCUFGCUBlockedSafi Hamptonblk Camila Soto, Abby Toeniskoetter+0.7
2110-11FGCUUNC×4KillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
2210-12UNCUNC×4KillSafi Hampton+0.6
2310-13UNCUNC×4KillMackenzie Boyer+0.5
2410-14UNCUNC×4Attack errCamila Soto+0.4
2511-14UNCFGCU×4BlockedLaynie Smithblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Camila Soto+0.3
2612-14FGCUFGCU×4KillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+0.5
2713-14FGCUFGCU×4KillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+0.7
2814-14FGCUFGCU×4BlockedSafi Hamptonblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Camila Soto+0.9
2914-15FGCUUNCKillMackenzie Boyerset Sienna Cozza+0.6
3014-16UNCUNCBlockedCamila Sotoblk Bridget Malone, Mackenzie Boyer+0.8
3115-16UNCFGCUServe errNorth Carolina+0.6
3215-17FGCUUNC×8BlockedCamila Sotoblk Bridget Malone, Mackenzie Boyer+0.6
3315-18UNCUNC×8BlockedJulija Grubisic caboblk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith+0.7
3415-19UNCUNC×8AceNorth Carolinaaced Katie Gielas+0.5
3515-20UNCUNC×8Attack errCamila Soto+0.3
3615-21UNCUNC×8Attack errKatie Gielas+0.2
3715-22UNCUNC×8Attack errDinara Sabitova+0.1
3815-23UNCUNC×8Attack errAmany Kuwa·
3915-24UNCUNC×8KillHailey Pearceset Sienna Cozza·
4016-24UNCFGCUServe errNorth Carolina·
4116-25FGCUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Sienna Cozza·
Set 3
10-1FGCUUNCServe errFGCU+0.2
21-1UNCFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+0.2
31-2FGCUUNCServe errFGCU+0.2
42-2UNCFGCUKillJulija Grubisic caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.2
53-2FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+0.3
63-3FGCUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
74-3UNCFGCUKillAmany Kuwa+0.2
84-4FGCUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
95-4UNCFGCUAttack errChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
105-5FGCUUNCServe errFGCU+0.2
115-6UNCUNCAttack errKatie Gielas+0.3
126-6UNCFGCU×4KillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+0.2
137-6FGCUFGCU×4KillMaju Hildebrand+0.4
148-6FGCUFGCU×4BlockedLaynie Smithblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Maju Hildebrand+0.4
159-6FGCUFGCU×4KillMaju Hildebrand+0.5
169-7FGCUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+0.3
1710-7UNCFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+0.3
1811-7FGCUFGCUAceFGCUaced Hailey Pearce+0.5
1911-8FGCUUNCServe errFGCU+0.3
2011-9UNCUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.4
2112-9UNCFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+0.4
2213-9FGCUFGCUKillAmany Kuwa+0.5
2313-10FGCUUNC×4KillLaynie Smith+0.3
2413-11UNCUNC×4BlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Jackie Taylor, Hailey Pearce+0.5
2513-12UNCUNC×4KillChelsea Thorpeset Julia Bohlinger+0.5
2613-13UNCUNC×4BlockedAmany Kuwablk Jackie Taylor, Chelsea Thorpe+0.4
2714-13UNCFGCUKillJulija Grubisic caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.4
2814-14FGCUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.3
2915-14UNCFGCU×3Serve errNorth Carolina+0.4
3016-14FGCUFGCU×3KillAnna Marzella+0.6
3117-14FGCUFGCU×3KillAmany Kuwa+0.6
3217-15FGCUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
3318-15UNCFGCUServe errNorth Carolina+0.5
3418-16FGCUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
3519-16UNCFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+0.5
3619-17FGCUUNCKillAddison Westset Sienna Cozza+0.4
3720-17UNCFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+0.6
3820-18FGCUUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.4
3921-18UNCFGCUKillJulija Grubisic caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.6
4022-18FGCUFGCUAttack errLaynie Smith+0.7
4122-19FGCUUNCKillLaynie Smith+0.3
4223-19UNCFGCUKillJulija Grubisic caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.5
4323-20FGCUUNCBlockedJulija Grubisic caboblk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor+0.2
4424-20UNCFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+0.5
4525-20FGCUFGCUBlockedChelsea Thorpeblk Katie Gielas, Amany Kuwa+0.2
Set 4
10-1UNCUNCBlockedJulija Grubisic caboblk Jackie Taylor, Chelsea Thorpe+1.1
21-1UNCFGCUBlockedSafi Hamptonblk Maju Hildebrand, Abby Toeniskoetter+0.9
31-2FGCUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.8
42-2UNCFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Maju Hildebrand+0.9
52-3FGCUUNCKillLauren Schutterset Zoe Behrendt+0.8
63-3UNCFGCUServe errNorth Carolina+0.9
73-4FGCUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+0.8
84-4UNCFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+1.0
94-5FGCUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.9
105-5UNCFGCU×3Serve errNorth Carolina+1.0
116-5FGCUFGCU×3KillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+1.6
127-5FGCUFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Anna Marzella+1.9
137-6FGCUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+1.2
147-7UNCUNCAttack errMaju Hildebrand+1.6
158-7UNCFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.3
169-7FGCUFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.0
179-8FGCUUNCAttack errJulija Grubisic caboset Anna Marzella+1.3
1810-8UNCFGCUKillJulija Grubisic caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.6
1910-9FGCUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+1.3
2011-9UNCFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.6
2111-10FGCUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+1.4
2211-11UNCUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+1.9
2312-11UNCFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+1.6
2413-11FGCUFGCUAttack errSafi Hampton+2.4
2513-12FGCUUNCAttack errKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+1.5
2613-13UNCUNCAceNorth Carolinaaced Julija Grubisic cabo+2.1
2714-13UNCFGCUBlockedLaynie Smithblk Amany Kuwa, Katie Gielas+1.7
2814-14FGCUUNCServe errFGCU+1.5
2915-14UNCFGCUKillCamila Soto+1.8
3015-15FGCUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Safi Hampton+1.6
3116-15UNCFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.0
3216-16FGCUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+1.7
3317-16UNCFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.1
3417-17FGCUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+1.8
3518-17UNCFGCUAttack errLauren Schutterset Dinara Sabitova+2.3
3618-18FGCUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+2.0
3719-18UNCFGCUKillJulija Grubisic caboset Dinara Sabitova+2.5
3819-19FGCUUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+2.2
3919-20UNCUNC×3KillLauren Schutterset Laynie Smith+3.1
4019-21UNCUNC×3Attack errMaju Hildebrand+2.6
4120-21UNCFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+1.6
4220-22FGCUUNC×3Attack errKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+1.9
4320-23UNCUNC×3AceNorth Carolinaaced Katie Gielas+1.9
4420-24UNCUNC×3KillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.9
4521-24UNCFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+0.2
4622-24FGCUFGCUAceFGCUaced Safi Hampton+0.7
4722-25FGCUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+1.1

Score shown after each rally, FGCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).