Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

FGCU def. Bellarmine 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: FGCU 87.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FGCU beat visiting Bellarmine 3-2 (16-25, 25-9, 22-25, 25-15, 15-4) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. FGCU's Maju Hildebrand and Julija Grubisic Cabo led with 13 kills each, and Dinara Sabitova added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set12345Sets
BELLAR259251542
FGCU16252225153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

FGCU won 6 of the last 8 rallies to close out Bellarmine.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows FGCU's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave FGCU 88% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Bellarmine 14–15 FGCU

    Down 14–15, Bellarmine scored 5 straight to lead 19–15.

    FGCU 82% → 61%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Bellarmine 22–21 FGCU

    Bellarmine closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–1.

    FGCU 68% → 52%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Bellarmine 2–4 FGCU

    5 straight FGCU points stretched a 4–2 lead to 9–2.

    FGCU 84% → 99%

FGCU above 50Bellarmine belowMax swing 6.8%

BellarmineFGCU

Sideout %
Bellarmine 47.1·FGCU 62.0
Break %
Bellarmine 38.0·FGCU 52.9
Hitting
Bellarmine .077·FGCU .261
Longest run
Bellarmine 8·FGCU 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FGCU above 50 · Bellarmine below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+6.8% BELLARrally 181 · set 5

Biggest swing: 6.8% to Bellarmine — set 3, BELLAR 24-21 FGCU. Maju Hildebrand stuffed by Natalie Bland. FGCU win probability 62% → 55%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELLAR 14.4%85.6% FGCU

Bellarmine wins

3-0
2.1%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
7.7%

FGCU wins

3-0
37.9%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
16.3%
BELLAR break %
38.3% vs this opp
FGCU break %
46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Natalie BlandBlock+6.8%

    Maju Hildebrand stuffed by Natalie Bland

    Set 3 · BELLAR 24-21 FGCU · BELLAR 38% → 45%

  2. 02

    Kill by Abby Toeniskoetter (set by Dinara Sabitova)

    Set 5 · BELLAR 0-2 FGCU · FGCU 76% → 82%

  3. 03
    Mya WhiteKill+6.2%

    Kill by Mya White (set by Maddie Carnes)

    Set 3 · BELLAR 23-21 FGCU · BELLAR 32% → 38%

  4. 04

    Mady Yaden stuffed by Abby Toeniskoetter & Katie Gielas

    Set 3 · BELLAR 22-21 FGCU · FGCU 63% → 68%

  5. 05

    Kill by Maju Hildebrand (set by Dinara Sabitova)

    Set 5 · BELLAR 1-4 FGCU · FGCU 82% → 88%

  6. 06

    Kill by Maju Hildebrand (set by Dinara Sabitova)

    Set 5 · BELLAR 0-1 FGCU · FGCU 71% → 76%

  7. 07
    Julija Grubisic CaboAttack error+4.9%

    Attack error by Julija Grubisic Cabo

    Set 3 · BELLAR 18-15 FGCU · BELLAR 30% → 35%

  8. 08
    Mya WhiteKill+4.9%

    Kill by Mya White (set by Maddie Carnes)

    Set 3 · BELLAR 25-22 FGCU · BELLAR 43% → 48%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
59324.2500021024413
58437.1080134122312
59832.03100030010.59.5
55531.00000031031.56.5
5229.000020100215
5117.0002702900212
5000–140310004
5000–003820000
5000–2001510000
2002.000000000000
2000–100100000
Team totals3423142.077317104874141178
FGCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513833.1520000006316
513527.296012141010.514.5
59015.6000010008413
57731.00002312504211
58414.2861000004210
5012-.50025221900002
511016.68800010010.511.5
5000–2221600002
5000–9011310000
5000–102200000
1000–000000000
Team totals6125138.2615871267702412103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Bellarmine vs FGCU

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 BELLAR · FGCU 7

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 8 BELLARFGCU 3

Set 2

9-25

Longest run 2 BELLARFGCU 6

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 BELLARFGCU 5

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 BELLARFGCU 7

Set 5

4-15

Longest run 1 BELLARFGCU 5

Bars above the line = FGCU leads, below = Bellarmine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bellarmine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
0%0/9
2
53%10/19
29%4/14
3
57%8/14
50%9/18
4
40%8/20
53%9/17
5
60%6/10
13%1/8
6
33%6/18
54%7/13
All
47%48/102
38%30/79

FGCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%11/15
64%14/22
2
60%9/15
57%13/23
3
45%9/20
31%4/13
4
78%7/9
43%6/14
5
50%7/14
65%13/20
6
100%6/6
40%4/10
All
62%49/79
53%54/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#BELLAR-FGCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FGCUBELLAR×3Attack errMaju Hildebrand+1.0
22-0BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errKatie Gielas+1.5
33-0BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Abby Julius, Maddie Carnes+1.6
43-1BELLARFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.0
53-2FGCUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+1.4
64-2FGCUBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.2
75-2BELLARBELLARAttack errMaju Hildebrand+1.7
85-3BELLARFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+1.1
96-3FGCUBELLAR×4KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.3
107-3BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errDinara Sabitova+1.9
118-3BELLARBELLAR×4BlockedAmany Kuwablk Mary Herman+1.8
129-3BELLARBELLAR×4AceBellarmineaced Katie Gielas+1.8
139-4BELLARFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.0
149-5FGCUFGCUBad setMaddie Carnes+1.5
1510-5FGCUBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.4
1611-5BELLARBELLARAceBellarmineaced Katie Gielas+1.8
1711-6BELLARFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+1.0
1811-7FGCUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+1.6
1912-7FGCUBELLAR×8Attack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+1.5
2013-7BELLARBELLAR×8BlockedAmany Kuwablk Mary Herman+1.8
2114-7BELLARBELLAR×8KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.6
2215-7BELLARBELLAR×8BlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Maddie Carnes, Mary Herman+1.3
2316-7BELLARBELLAR×8AceBellarmineaced Julija Grubisic Cabo+0.9
2417-7BELLARBELLAR×8Attack errAmany Kuwa+0.6
2518-7BELLARBELLAR×8Attack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+0.4
2619-7BELLARBELLAR×8KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.2
2719-8BELLARFGCUServe errBellarmine+0.1
2819-9FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+0.1
2920-9FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU+0.2
3020-10BELLARFGCU×3Serve errBellarmine+0.1
3120-11FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCUaced Natalie Bland+0.2
3220-12FGCUFGCU×3KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.2
3321-12FGCUBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.3
3421-13BELLARFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.1
3521-14FGCUFGCUAceFGCUaced Mya White+0.3
3622-14FGCUBELLARBlockedKatie Gielasblk Mady Yaden, Abby Julius+0.4
3722-15BELLARFGCUServe errBellarmine+0.1
3823-15FGCUBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.3
3924-15BELLARBELLARBlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Mary Herman, Natalie Bland+0.1
4024-16BELLARFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova·
4125-16FGCUBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes·
Set 2
10-1BELLARFGCU×3BlockedMya Whiteblk Maju Hildebrand, Abby Toeniskoetter+1.5
20-2FGCUFGCU×3BlockedMady Yadenblk Katie Gielas, Abby Toeniskoetter+2.0
30-3FGCUFGCU×3KillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+1.7
41-3FGCUBELLARAttack errKatie Gielas+1.2
51-4BELLARFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+1.2
62-4FGCUBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Devynn Schulze+1.3
73-4BELLARBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.1
83-5BELLARFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Amany Kuwa+1.5
94-5FGCUBELLARKillMya Whiteset Payton Parsons+1.6
104-6BELLARFGCU×6KillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+1.6
114-7FGCUFGCU×6KillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+1.9
124-8FGCUFGCU×6Attack errMaddie Carnes+1.6
134-9FGCUFGCU×6BlockedNatalie Blandblk Amany Kuwa, Camila Soto+1.3
144-10FGCUFGCU×6BlockedMary Hermanblk Julija Grubisic Cabo, Amany Kuwa+1.0
154-11FGCUFGCU×6AceFGCUaced Ava Long+0.7
165-11FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU+0.4
175-12BELLARFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+0.5
185-13FGCUFGCUAttack errMady Yaden+0.5
196-13FGCUBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.3
206-14BELLARFGCU×5KillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+0.3
216-15FGCUFGCU×5KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Anna Marzella+0.3
226-16FGCUFGCU×5Attack errMady Yaden+0.2
236-17FGCUFGCU×5AceFGCU+0.1
246-18FGCUFGCU×5BlockedMady Yadenblk Maju Hildebrand, Abby Toeniskoetter·
257-18FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU·
267-19BELLARFGCU×4Serve errBellarmine·
277-20FGCUFGCU×4KillMaju Hildebrandset Anna Marzella·
287-21FGCUFGCU×4Attack errAbby Julius·
297-22FGCUFGCU×4BlockedMya Whiteblk Maju Hildebrand, Abby Toeniskoetter·
308-22FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU·
318-23BELLARFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova·
329-23FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU·
339-24BELLARFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova·
349-25FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella·
Set 3
10-1FGCUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+2.0
21-1FGCUBELLARBlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Mya White, Natalie Bland+1.6
31-2BELLARFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+1.5
42-2FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU+1.6
53-2BELLARBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Maju Hildebrand+2.5
63-3BELLARFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.7
74-3FGCUBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+1.9
84-4BELLARFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+1.7
95-4FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU+2.0
105-5BELLARFGCUAttack errMary Herman+1.8
116-5FGCUBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+2.1
126-6BELLARFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+1.9
136-7FGCUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetter+2.5
147-7FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU+1.9
157-8BELLARFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.8
168-8FGCUBELLARAttack errKatie Gielas+2.0
179-8BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.1
189-9BELLARFGCU×5Serve errBellarmine+2.1
199-10FGCUFGCU×5KillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+2.8
209-11FGCUFGCU×5KillKatie Gielasset Devynn Schulze+2.5
219-12FGCUFGCU×5BlockedNatalie Blandblk Maju Hildebrand, Amany Kuwa+2.1
229-13FGCUFGCU×5Attack errMya White+1.7
2310-13FGCUBELLAR×5Attack errMaju Hildebrand+1.1
2411-13BELLARBELLAR×5KillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.0
2512-13BELLARBELLAR×5Attack errKatie Gielas+2.6
2613-13BELLARBELLAR×5AceBellarmineaced Katie Gielas+3.3
2714-13BELLARBELLAR×5Attack errMaju Hildebrand+3.9
2814-14BELLARFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.6
2914-15FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+3.5
3015-15FGCUBELLAR×5Serve errFGCU+2.7
3116-15BELLARBELLAR×5AceBellarmineaced Katie Gielas+4.3
3217-15BELLARBELLAR×5Attack errKatie Gielas+4.8
3318-15BELLARBELLAR×5Attack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+4.9
3419-15BELLARBELLAR×5AceBellarmineaced Anna Marzella+4.5
3519-16BELLARFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+2.2
3620-16FGCUBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+3.5
3720-17BELLARFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+2.2
3820-18FGCUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+4.1
3921-18FGCUBELLARKillMady Yadenset Ava Long+4.3
4021-19BELLARFGCUServe errBellarmine+2.8
4122-19FGCUBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+4.6
4222-20BELLARFGCUAttack errMady Yaden+2.8
4322-21FGCUFGCUBlockedMady Yadenblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Katie Gielas+5.6
4423-21FGCUBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+6.2
4524-21BELLARBELLARBlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Natalie Bland+6.8
4624-22BELLARFGCUServe errBellarmine+1.8
4725-22FGCUBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+4.9
Set 4
10-1BELLARFGCUBlockedMady Yadenblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Katie Gielas+2.5
21-1FGCUBELLARKillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes+2.7
31-2BELLARFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+2.5
42-2FGCUBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.8
52-3BELLARFGCUAttack errNatalie Bland+2.6
63-3FGCUBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.9
73-4BELLARFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+2.7
83-5FGCUFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+3.4
94-5FGCUBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.6
104-6BELLARFGCUServe errBellarmine+2.5
114-7FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+3.1
125-7FGCUBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.2
135-8BELLARFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+2.2
146-8FGCUBELLARKillMady Yadenset Payton Parsons+2.3
156-9BELLARFGCUAttack errMaju Hildebrand+2.3
166-10FGCUFGCUBlockedMya Whiteblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Maju Hildebrand+2.7
177-10FGCUBELLARKillAbby Juliusset Maddie Carnes+1.8
187-11BELLARFGCU×3BlockedNatalie Blandblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Maju Hildebrand+1.9
197-12FGCUFGCU×3Attack errAbby Julius+2.1
207-13FGCUFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.6
218-13FGCUBELLAR×3KillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+0.9
229-13BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedAmany Kuwablk Mary Herman, Mya White+1.8
2310-13BELLARBELLAR×3BlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Natalie Bland+2.6
2410-14BELLARFGCUAttack errMary Herman+2.1
2511-14FGCUBELLARBlockedKatie Gielasblk Mya White, Mary Herman+1.9
2612-14BELLARBELLARAceBellarmineaced Katie Gielas+3.6
2712-15BELLARFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+2.8
2812-16FGCUFGCUAceFGCUaced Abbie Lyttle+3.2
2913-16FGCUBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.0
3013-17BELLARFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+2.3
3114-17FGCUBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+2.0
3214-18BELLARFGCU×7KillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+2.3
3314-19FGCUFGCU×7KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+2.2
3414-20FGCUFGCU×7KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Anna Marzella+1.3
3514-21FGCUFGCU×7KillAbby Toeniskoetterset Maddie Carnes+0.7
3614-22FGCUFGCU×7Attack errMady Yaden+0.3
3714-23FGCUFGCU×7KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+0.1
3814-24FGCUFGCU×7KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Anna Marzella·
3915-24FGCUBELLARKillMady Yadenset Emily Cook·
4015-25BELLARFGCUServe errBellarmine+1.1
Set 5
10-1BELLARFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+5.0
20-2FGCUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+6.4
31-2FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU+4.7
41-3BELLARFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+4.7
51-4FGCUFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+5.6
62-4FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU+3.8
72-5BELLARFGCU×5KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+4.1
82-6FGCUFGCU×5AceFGCUaced Payton Parsons+4.5
92-7FGCUFGCU×5BlockedMya Whiteblk Amany Kuwa, Katie Gielas+3.2
102-8FGCUFGCU×5KillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+2.1
112-9FGCUFGCU×5AceFGCUaced Abbie Lyttle+1.2
123-9FGCUBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+0.5
133-10BELLARFGCU×5KillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+0.8
143-11FGCUFGCU×5KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+0.5
153-12FGCUFGCU×5KillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+0.2
163-13FGCUFGCU×5KillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+0.1
173-14FGCUFGCU×5KillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova·
184-14FGCUBELLARServe errFGCU·
194-15BELLARFGCUServe errBellarmine·

Score shown after each rally, Bellarmine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).