Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Sacred Heart def. Central Conn. St. 3–1

Sacred Heart beat visiting Central Conn. St. 3-1 (25-14, 25-12, 25-27, 25-17) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Sacred Heart's Abbie Hagedorn led with 18 kills, and Miliani Villarreal added 19 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
C CONN141227171
SACHRT252525253

Win probability

Sacred Heart above 50 · Central Conn. St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.1% C CONNrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Central Conn. St. — set 4, C CONN 8-5 SACHRT. Kill by Cullen Winter. SACHRT win probability 90% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C CONN 8.6%91.4% SACHRT

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.6%
3-2
4.9%

Sacred Heart wins

3-0
47.1%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.0%
C CONN break %
38.8% vs this opp
SACHRT break %
49.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Cullen WinterKill+2.1%

    Kill by Cullen Winter

    Set 4 · C CONN 8-5 SACHRT · C CONN 10% → 12%

  2. 02
    Cullen WinterBlock+2.0%

    Abbie Hagedorn stuffed by Cullen Winter

    Set 3 · C CONN 27-25 SACHRT · C CONN 4% → 6%

  3. 03
    Renata MontiniAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Renata Montini

    Set 4 · C CONN 7-5 SACHRT · C CONN 8% → 10%

  4. 04
    Olivia KecklerAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Olivia Keckler

    Set 4 · C CONN 8-7 SACHRT · SACHRT 89% → 91%

  5. 05

    Madison Fulgencio stuffed by Lauren Hubert & Molly Newton

    Set 4 · C CONN 9-9 SACHRT · SACHRT 91% → 92%

  6. 06
    Cullen WinterKill+1.7%

    Kill by Cullen Winter

    Set 3 · C CONN 26-25 SACHRT · C CONN 2% → 4%

  7. 07

    Kill by Olivia Keckler

    Set 4 · C CONN 9-7 SACHRT · C CONN 9% → 11%

  8. 08

    Madison Fulgencio stuffed by Molly Newton & Lauren Hubert

    Set 4 · C CONN 9-10 SACHRT · SACHRT 92% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413840.12502261010.515.5
48324.20800020233.511.5
45310.200131020010.56.5
43215.06701240031.55.5
4000–2131030001
4000–004820000
48631.065001100008
4228.000000100213
4011-1.0002000100211
4000–102930000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals3925129.109365144410212870
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418439.35913311310122
49527.148031120052.514.5
47524.08300050031.58.5
46012.5003111900218
4329.11100010052.55.5
4308.375000000425
4114.000113400002
4000–10201900002
4001.000200000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–100000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals4717124.2424610861511910.5100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 C CONN · SACHRT 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 C CONNSACHRT 6

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 C CONNSACHRT 7

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 4 C CONNSACHRT 4

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 C CONNSACHRT 4

Bars above the line = Sacred Heart leads, below = Central Conn. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Conn. St.

No clean sets to split.

Sacred Heart

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#C CONN-SACHRTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SACHRTSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz+0.9
20-2SACHRTSACHRTAceSacred Heartaced Gabriella Burdier+0.8
31-2SACHRTC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.6
42-2C CONNC CONN×3AceCentral Conn. St.+0.9
53-2C CONNC CONN×3KillAnja Milosevicset Gabriella Burdier+1.1
63-3C CONNSACHRTKillMolly Newtonset Addy Franz+0.8
74-3SACHRTC CONNAttack errSofia Hechavarriaset Miliani Villarreal+0.9
84-4C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.8
94-5SACHRTSACHRTAceSacred Heartaced Gabriella Burdier+1.0
105-5SACHRTC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.8
116-5C CONNC CONNAceCentral Conn. St.+1.2
126-6C CONNSACHRTKillSofia Hechavarriaset Miliani Villarreal+0.9
136-7SACHRTSACHRTAceSacred Heartaced Annabelle Denomme+1.1
147-7SACHRTC CONNServe errSacred Heart+0.9
157-8C CONNSACHRT×3Serve errCentral Conn. St.+0.8
167-9SACHRTSACHRT×3BlockedHanley Schmidtblk Abbie Hagedorn+1.0
177-10SACHRTSACHRT×3KillAbbie Hagedornset Kelli Ennis+0.8
188-10SACHRTC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.7
198-11C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedorn+0.7
208-12SACHRTSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Miliani Villarreal+0.7
219-12SACHRTC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic+0.5
229-13C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz+0.5
2310-13SACHRTC CONNServe errSacred Heart+0.5
2410-14C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.6
2510-15SACHRTSACHRTAceSacred Heartaced Gabriella Burdier+0.6
2611-15SACHRTC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic+0.4
2711-16C CONNSACHRT×6KillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz+0.4
2811-17SACHRTSACHRT×6Attack errAnja Milosevic+0.4
2911-18SACHRTSACHRT×6KillRaissa Antonioset Addy Franz+0.2
3011-19SACHRTSACHRT×6BlockedOlivia Kecklerblk Raissa Antonio, Addy Franz, Sofia Hechavarria+0.1
3111-20SACHRTSACHRT×6KillSofia Hechavarriaset Addy Franz+0.1
3211-21SACHRTSACHRT×6KillLauren Hubertset Addy Franz·
3312-21SACHRTC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Gabriella Burdier·
3412-22C CONNSACHRTKillSofia Hechavarriaset Miliani Villarreal·
3513-22SACHRTC CONNServe errSacred Heart·
3613-23C CONNSACHRTKillAddy Franzset Renata Montini·
3714-23SACHRTC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Anja Milosevic·
3814-24C CONNSACHRTKillMolly Newtonset Addy Franz+0.1
Set 2
10-1C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz+0.4
21-1SACHRTC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.5
31-2C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.5
42-2SACHRTC CONNBlockedSofia Hechavarriablk Breanna Ginley, Hanley Schmidt+0.5
52-3C CONNSACHRT×7Serve errCentral Conn. St.+0.5
62-4SACHRTSACHRT×7AceSacred Heartaced Meg Berkland+0.5
72-5SACHRTSACHRT×7KillRaissa Antonioset Addy Franz+0.5
82-6SACHRTSACHRT×7KillLauren Hubertset Addy Franz+0.4
92-7SACHRTSACHRT×7Attack errOlivia Keckler+0.3
102-8SACHRTSACHRT×7Attack errOlivia Keckler+0.2
112-9SACHRTSACHRT×7Attack errCullen Winter+0.2
123-9SACHRTC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic+0.1
133-10C CONNSACHRT×3Serve errCentral Conn. St.+0.1
143-11SACHRTSACHRT×3Attack errCullen Winter+0.1
153-12SACHRTSACHRT×3Attack errOlivia Keckler+0.1
164-12SACHRTC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic+0.1
175-12C CONNC CONNAceCentral Conn. St.aced Abbie Hagedorn+0.1
185-13C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz+0.1
196-13SACHRTC CONNAttack errAbbie Hagedornset Olivia Keckler+0.1
206-14C CONNSACHRTKillAddy Franzset Ryleigh Short+0.1
217-14SACHRTC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Anja Milosevic+0.1
227-15C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz+0.1
238-15SACHRTC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Anja Milosevic+0.1
248-16C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.1
259-16SACHRTC CONNKillHanley Schmidtset Anja Milosevic+0.1
2610-16C CONNC CONNBlockedLauren Hubertblk Olivia Keckler, Cullen Winter+0.1
2710-17C CONNSACHRT×5KillLauren Hubertset Addy Franz+0.1
2810-18SACHRT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
2910-19SACHRTSACHRT×5AceSacred Heartaced Meg Berkland+0.1
3010-20SACHRTSACHRT×5KillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz·
3110-21SACHRTSACHRT×5BlockedHanley Schmidtblk Raissa Antonio, Sofia Hechavarria·
3211-21SACHRTC CONNServe errSacred Heart·
3311-22C CONNSACHRT×3KillSofia Hechavarriaset Addy Franz·
3411-23SACHRTSACHRT×3BlockedOlivia Kecklerblk Addy Franz, Raissa Antonio·
3511-24SACHRTSACHRT×3KillLauren Hubertset Addy Franz·
3612-24SACHRTC CONNKillCullen Winterset Anja Milosevic·
3712-25C CONNSACHRTKillAddy Franzset Miliani Villarreal·
Set 3
11-0SACHRTC CONNBlockedLauren Hubertblk Breanna Ginley, Hanley Schmidt+0.3
21-1C CONNSACHRTKillMolly Newtonset Addy Franz+0.2
32-1SACHRTC CONN×4Attack errLauren Hubertset Addy Franz+0.3
43-1C CONNC CONN×4AceCentral Conn. St.aced Abbie Hagedorn+0.4
54-1C CONNC CONN×4KillCullen Winter+0.4
65-1C CONNC CONN×4KillOlivia Keckler+0.4
75-2C CONNSACHRTBad setIsabella Aviles+0.3
85-3SACHRTSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz+0.4
96-3SACHRTC CONN×4KillHanley Schmidtset Isabella Aviles+0.4
107-3C CONNC CONN×4KillOlivia Kecklerset Isabella Aviles+0.5
118-3C CONNC CONN×4BlockedRaissa Antonioblk Cullen Winter+0.5
129-3C CONNC CONN×4AceCentral Conn. St.aced Abbie Hagedorn+0.5
139-4C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.3
149-5SACHRTSACHRTKillAddy Franzset Meg Berkland+0.4
1510-5SACHRTC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Isabella Aviles+0.4
1610-6C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Miliani Villarreal+0.3
1711-6SACHRTC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Isabella Aviles+0.4
1812-6C CONNC CONNAttack errLauren Hubert+0.5
1912-7C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Miliani Villarreal+0.3
2012-8SACHRTSACHRTAceSacred Heart+0.4
2113-8SACHRTC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Isabella Aviles+0.4
2213-9C CONNSACHRT×4KillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz+0.3
2313-10SACHRTSACHRT×4KillSofia Hechavarriaset Addy Franz+0.5
2413-11SACHRTSACHRT×4KillSofia Hechavarriaset Miliani Villarreal+0.5
2513-12SACHRTSACHRT×4AceSacred Heartaced Olivia Keckler+0.5
2614-12SACHRTC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Isabella Aviles+0.5
2714-13C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.4
2814-14SACHRTSACHRTAceSacred Heartaced Annabelle Denomme+0.5
2915-14SACHRTC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Isabella Aviles+0.5
3015-15C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.4
3116-15SACHRTC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Isabella Aviles+0.5
3217-15C CONNC CONNAttack errSofia Hechavarria+0.7
3317-16C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.5
3417-17SACHRTSACHRTKillRaissa Antonioset Addy Franz+0.6
3518-17SACHRTC CONN×3BlockedAbbie Hagedornblk Isabella Aviles, Cullen Winter+0.6
3619-17C CONN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
3720-17C CONNC CONN×3BlockedCentral Conn. Stblk Isabella Aviles, Cullen Winter+0.8
3820-18C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+0.5
3921-18SACHRTC CONNKillCullen Winterset Isabella Aviles+0.7
4021-19C CONNSACHRTAttack errBreanna Ginleyset Isabella Aviles+0.5
4122-19SACHRTC CONNServe errSacred Heart+0.8
4222-20C CONNSACHRTKillAddy Franzset Ryleigh Short+0.5
4323-20SACHRTC CONNServe errSacred Heart+0.8
4423-21C CONNSACHRT×3Serve errCentral Conn. St.+0.4
4523-22SACHRTSACHRT×3BlockedOlivia Kecklerblk Raissa Antonio, Lauren Hubert+0.9
4623-23SACHRTSACHRT×3KillSofia Hechavarriaset Addy Franz+1.3
4724-23SACHRTC CONNBlockedSofia Hechavarriablk Anja Milosevic, Breanna Ginley+1.4
4824-24C CONNSACHRTServe errCentral Conn. St.+1.4
4924-25SACHRTSACHRTAttack errCullen Winter+1.4
5025-25SACHRTC CONN×3Attack errSofia Hechavarriaset Addy Franz+1.1
5126-25C CONNC CONN×3KillCullen Winter+1.7
5227-25C CONNC CONN×3BlockedAbbie Hagedornblk Cullen Winter+2.0
Set 4
11-0C CONNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Isabella Aviles+1.5
22-0C CONNC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Isabella Aviles+1.7
32-1C CONNSACHRTAttack errBreanna Ginleyset Abbie Hagedorn+1.2
43-1SACHRTC CONNServe errSacred Heart+1.4
53-2C CONNSACHRTKillLauren Hubertset Addy Franz+1.2
64-2SACHRTC CONNKillBreanna Ginleyset Isabella Aviles+1.4
74-3C CONNSACHRTKillLauren Hubertset Addy Franz+1.2
84-4SACHRTSACHRTBlockedAnja Milosevicblk Raissa Antonio, Sofia Hechavarria+1.5
95-4SACHRTC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Isabella Aviles+1.3
105-5C CONNSACHRTKillLauren Hubertset Addy Franz+1.2
116-5SACHRTC CONN×3KillOlivia Kecklerset Isabella Aviles+1.4
127-5C CONNC CONN×3Attack errRenata Montini+2.0
138-5C CONNC CONN×3KillCullen Winter+2.1
148-6C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedorn+1.4
158-7SACHRTSACHRTAttack errOlivia Keckler+1.8
169-7SACHRTC CONNKillOlivia Keckler+1.7
179-8C CONNSACHRT×4KillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz+1.5
189-9SACHRTSACHRT×4BlockedMadison Fulgencioblk Lauren Hubert, Molly Newton+1.8
199-10SACHRTSACHRT×4BlockedMadison Fulgencioblk Molly Newton, Lauren Hubert+1.7
209-11SACHRTSACHRT×4BlockedMadison Fulgencioblk Lauren Hubert, Molly Newton+1.5
2110-11SACHRTC CONNAttack errLauren Hubertset Addy Franz+1.2
2210-12C CONNSACHRT×4BlockedMadison Fulgencioblk Molly Newton, Lauren Hubert+1.2
2310-13SACHRTSACHRT×4KillLauren Hubertset Addy Franz+1.3
2410-14SACHRTSACHRT×4Attack errMadison Fulgencio+1.0
2510-15SACHRTSACHRT×4AceSacred Heartaced Annabelle Denomme+0.8
2611-15SACHRTC CONNKillAnja Milosevicset Anja Milosevic+0.5
2711-16C CONNSACHRTKillRenata Montini+0.6
2811-17SACHRTSACHRTAttack errAnja Milosevic+0.5
2912-17SACHRTC CONNKillOlivia Kecklerset Isabella Aviles+0.3
3012-18C CONNSACHRT×4KillAddy Franzset Abbie Hagedorn+0.4
3112-19SACHRT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
3212-20SACHRTSACHRT×4Attack errIsabella Aviles+0.2
3312-21SACHRTSACHRT×4Attack errOlivia Keckler+0.1
3413-21SACHRTC CONNKillOlivia Keckler·
3513-22C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz·
3614-22SACHRTC CONNServe errSacred Heart·
3715-22C CONNC CONNAttack errRaissa Antonio·
3815-23C CONNSACHRTKillLauren Hubertset Addy Franz+0.1
3915-24SACHRTSACHRTAttack errMadison Fulgencio·
4016-24SACHRTC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Isabella Aviles·
4117-24C CONNC CONNKillMadison Fulgencioset Isabella Aviles·
4217-25C CONNSACHRTKillAbbie Hagedornset Addy Franz·

Score shown after each rally, Central Conn. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).