FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayNEC

3:0

HomeAMERICA-EAST

Central Conn. St. def. NJIT 3–0

(25-21, 25-22, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
C CONN	25	25	25	3
NJIT	21	22	17	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NJIT above 50 · C CONN below

Biggest swing: 6.0% to Central Conn. St. — set 2, C CONN 23-22 NJIT. Kill by Anja Milosevic (set by Finley McAndrew). NJIT win probability 21% → 15%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

C CONN 66.8%33.2% NJIT

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0

21.1%

3-1

25.6%

3-2

20.0%

NJIT wins

3-0

6.6%

3-1

11.8%

3-2

14.8%

C CONN break %: 45.4% vs this opp
NJIT break %: 42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Anja MilosevicKill+6.0%
Kill by Anja Milosevic (set by Finley McAndrew)
Set 2 · C CONN 23-22 NJIT · C CONN 79% → 85%
02
Hanley SchmidtKill+5.5%
Kill by Hanley Schmidt (set by Olivia Keckler)
Set 2 · C CONN 24-22 NJIT · C CONN 85% → 90%
03
Olivia KecklerKill+5.1%
Kill by Olivia Keckler (set by Anja Milosevic)
Set 2 · C CONN 22-22 NJIT · C CONN 73% → 79%
04
Olivia KecklerAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Olivia Keckler
Set 2 · C CONN 20-22 NJIT · NJIT 25% → 29%
05
Martina Gonzalo CortesKill+4.7%
Kill by Martina Gonzalo Cortes (set by Ela Akay)
Set 2 · C CONN 20-21 NJIT · NJIT 20% → 25%
06
Madison FulgencioAttack error+3.4%
Madison Fulgencio stuffed by Ema Torres & Tereza Motalova
Set 2 · C CONN 18-18 NJIT · NJIT 16% → 20%
07
Hanley SchmidtAttack error+3.1%
Hanley Schmidt stuffed by Martina Gonzalo Cortes & Tereza Motalova
Set 2 · C CONN 20-20 NJIT · NJIT 17% → 20%
08
Hanley SchmidtKill+3.1%
Kill by Hanley Schmidt (set by Anja Milosevic)
Set 2 · C CONN 20-19 NJIT · C CONN 80% → 83%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Central Conn. St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Olivia KecklerOPP	3	18	2	35	.457	2	0	3	4	1	0	0	18
2Breanna GinleyMB	3	9	3	18	.333	1	1	3	5	0	1	0.5	10.5
11Cullen WinterMB	3	10	1	16	.563	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
9Hanley SchmidtOH	3	9	2	16	.438	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	9.5
10Anja MilosevicS	3	2	1	6	.167	37	1	0	16	0	0	0	3
6Meg BerklandL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0
4Gabriella BurdierDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	4	5	6	1	0	0	5
15Madison FulgencioOH	3	3	3	17	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Annabelle DenommeL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	6	0	3	9	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	12	110	.364	48	6	14	50	3	4	2	75

NJIThome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Ema TorresOH	3	10	3	20	.350	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
10Tereza MotalovaMB	3	6	0	9	.667	3	1	1	3	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
17Kayden CampbellOH	3	6	4	19	.105	0	1	0	3	1	0	2	1	8
6Sara SiefertOH	3	3	0	19	.158	0	1	3	6	3	0	0	0	4
8Giselle ParkerOH	3	0	2	8	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	2
11Cece MarinoS	3	0	1	3	-.333	11	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
7Martina Gonzalo CortesOH	3	6	3	25	.120	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	7
3Ela AkayL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	17	0	0	0	0	0
18Finley McAndrewS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	13	105	.171	29	3	4	38	6	1	10	6	60

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 C CONN · NJIT 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 3 C CONNNJIT 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 7 C CONNNJIT 4

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 5 C CONNNJIT 3

Bars above the line = NJIT leads, below = Central Conn. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Central Conn. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	0%0/6
2	54%7/13	61%11/18
3	46%6/13	65%11/17
4	86%6/7	40%4/10
5	60%6/10	54%7/13
6	100%6/6	33%3/9
All	63%39/62	49%36/73

NJIT

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	22%2/9
2	40%6/15	53%9/17
3	38%6/16	33%3/9
4	55%6/11	45%5/11
5	55%6/11	25%2/8
6	100%5/5	25%2/8
All	51%37/73	37%23/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	C CONN-NJIT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+1.7
2	2-0	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+2.1
3	2-1	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+1.6
4	3-1	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+1.6
5	4-1	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Breanna Ginley	+2.0
6	4-2	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.5
7	4-3	NJIT	NJIT	Kill	Kayden Campbell	set Cece Marino	+2.1
8	5-3	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+1.7
9	6-3	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Ema Torres		+2.1
10	6-4	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Kayden Campbell	set Cece Marino	+1.5
11	7-4	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Gabriella Burdier	set Finley McAndrew	+1.6
12	7-5	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Martina Gonzalo Cortes	set Finley McAndrew	+1.6
13	7-6	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio		+2.3
14	8-6	NJIT	C CONN×3	Attack err	Kayden Campbell		+1.8
15	9-6	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Madison Fulgencio	+2.2
16	10-6	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	C CONN server	aced Sara Siefert	+2.0
17	10-7	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Sara Siefert	set Finley McAndrew	+1.4
18	11-7	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+1.5
19	11-8	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Tereza Motalova	set Finley McAndrew	+1.4
20	12-8	NJIT	C CONN×3	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+1.6
21	13-8	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Ela Akay	+1.7
22	14-8	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Ema Torres	blk Breanna Ginley, Hanley Schmidt	+1.3
23	14-9	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Tereza Motalova	+0.8
24	14-10	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk Tereza Motalova, Kayden Campbell	+1.4
25	15-10	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+1.3
26	16-10	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	C CONN server	aced Sara Siefert	+1.3
27	16-11	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+0.8
28	17-11	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+1.0
29	18-11	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Giselle Parker		+0.9
30	18-12	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.4
31	18-13	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Breanna Ginley	blk Giselle Parker, Kayden Campbell	+0.9
32	19-13	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Olivia Keckler	+0.9
33	19-14	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.6
34	20-14	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.9
35	21-14	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
36	21-15	C CONN	NJIT	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio	blk Martina Gonzalo Cortes, Giselle Parker	+0.2
37	22-15	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.4
38	22-16	C CONN	NJIT×3	Kill	Martina Gonzalo Cortes	set Tereza Motalova	+0.2
39	22-17	NJIT	NJIT×3	Kill	Tereza Motalova	set Anja Milosevic	+0.4
40	22-18	NJIT	NJIT×3	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.8
41	23-18	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+1.0
42	24-18	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.5
43	24-19	C CONN	NJIT×3	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.1
44	24-20	NJIT	NJIT×3	Ace	NJIT server	aced Meg Berkland	+0.3
45	24-21	NJIT	NJIT×3	Kill	Tereza Motalova	set Ema Torres	+0.7
46	25-21	NJIT	C CONN	Serve err	NJIT server		+1.1
Set 2
1	0-1	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Martina Gonzalo Cortes	set Finley McAndrew	+1.5
2	0-2	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Anja Milosevic		+2.0
3	1-2	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+1.5
4	1-3	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Martina Gonzalo Cortes	set Finley McAndrew	+1.6
5	2-3	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+1.5
6	2-4	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.6
7	2-5	NJIT	NJIT	Kill	Sara Siefert	set Tereza Motalova	+2.1
8	3-5	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+1.5
9	3-6	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.7
10	4-6	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+1.5
11	5-6	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+2.1
12	5-7	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+1.8
13	5-8	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+2.3
14	6-8	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+1.6
15	6-9	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+1.8
16	7-9	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+1.6
17	7-10	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Sara Siefert	set Finley McAndrew	+1.9
18	8-10	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+1.7
19	8-11	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.9
20	9-11	NJIT	C CONN×7	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+1.7
21	10-11	C CONN	C CONN×7	Kill	Olivia Keckler		+2.4
22	11-11	C CONN	C CONN×7	Ace	C CONN server	aced Team	+2.5
23	12-11	C CONN	C CONN×7	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Annabelle Denomme	+2.5
24	13-11	C CONN	C CONN×7	Ace	C CONN server	aced Kayden Campbell	+2.4
25	14-11	C CONN	C CONN×7	Ace	C CONN server	aced Sara Siefert	+2.2
26	15-11	C CONN	C CONN×7	Attack err	Martina Gonzalo Cortes		+1.8
27	15-12	C CONN	NJIT×4	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.2
28	15-13	NJIT	NJIT×4	Attack err	Breanna Ginley		+2.0
29	15-14	NJIT	NJIT×4	Attack err	Breanna Ginley	blk Giselle Parker	+2.5
30	15-15	NJIT	NJIT×4	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+2.9
31	16-15	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Annabelle Denomme	+2.3
32	16-16	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+2.4
33	17-16	NJIT	C CONN	Attack err	Cece Marino		+2.4
34	18-16	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+3.0
35	18-17	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+2.2
36	18-18	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio	blk Ema Torres, Tereza Motalova	+3.4
37	19-18	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+2.8
38	19-19	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Tereza Motalova	set Anja Milosevic	+2.9
39	20-19	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+3.1
40	20-20	C CONN	NJIT×3	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk Martina Gonzalo Cortes, Tereza Motalova	+3.1
41	20-21	NJIT	NJIT×3	Kill	Martina Gonzalo Cortes	set Ela Akay	+4.7
42	20-22	NJIT	NJIT×3	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+4.8
43	21-22	NJIT	C CONN×5	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+2.9
44	22-22	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+5.1
45	23-22	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Anja Milosevic	set Finley McAndrew	+6.0
46	24-22	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Olivia Keckler	+5.5
47	25-22	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+3.0
Set 3
1	1-0	NJIT	C CONN×3	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.8
2	2-0	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Annabelle Denomme	+1.0
3	3-0	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+1.0
4	3-1	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.7
5	3-2	NJIT	NJIT	Kill	Tereza Motalova	set Finley McAndrew	+1.0
6	4-2	NJIT	C CONN	Serve err	NJIT server		+0.8
7	5-2	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Martina Gonzalo Cortes		+1.0
8	5-3	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.7
9	6-3	NJIT	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.8
10	7-3	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Kayden Campbell		+0.9
11	8-3	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Kayden Campbell		+0.8
12	8-4	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.5
13	9-4	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
14	10-4	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Kayden Campbell	blk Madison Fulgencio, Cullen Winter	+0.7
15	10-5	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.4
16	11-5	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
17	11-6	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+0.4
18	12-6	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
19	12-7	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+0.4
20	13-7	NJIT	C CONN	Attack err	Martina Gonzalo Cortes		+0.5
21	14-7	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
22	14-8	C CONN	NJIT×3	Kill	Tereza Motalova	set Finley McAndrew	+0.3
23	14-9	NJIT	NJIT×3	Kill	Martina Gonzalo Cortes	set Finley McAndrew	+0.5
24	14-10	NJIT	NJIT×3	Kill	Kayden Campbell	set Finley McAndrew	+0.7
25	15-10	NJIT	C CONN×3	Serve err	NJIT server		+0.7
26	16-10	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
27	17-10	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
28	17-11	C CONN	NJIT×3	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.2
29	17-12	NJIT	NJIT×3	Ace	NJIT server	aced Gabriella Burdier	+0.5
30	17-13	NJIT	NJIT×3	Kill	Kayden Campbell	set Finley McAndrew	+0.7
31	18-13	NJIT	C CONN	Serve err	NJIT server		+0.7
32	18-14	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Kayden Campbell	set Finley McAndrew	+0.5
33	19-14	NJIT	C CONN×5	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.7
34	20-14	C CONN	C CONN×5	Attack err	Ema Torres		+0.6
35	21-14	C CONN	C CONN×5	Ace	C CONN server	aced Team	+0.3
36	22-14	C CONN	C CONN×5	Attack err	Giselle Parker		+0.1
37	23-14	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Anja Milosevic	set Gabriella Burdier	+0.1
38	23-15	C CONN	NJIT	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.0
39	23-16	NJIT	NJIT	Ace	NJIT server	aced Olivia Keckler	+0.0
40	24-16	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.0
41	24-17	C CONN	NJIT	Kill	Kayden Campbell	set Ema Torres	+0.0
42	25-17	NJIT	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Central Conn. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.