Wake Forest def. Houston 3–2
(17-24, 25-18, 21-25, 25-22, 15-11)| Set | 1* | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 17 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| HOU | 24 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 11 | 2 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 12.0% to Wake Forest — set 5, WAKE 8-6 HOU. Kill by Sanaa Williams (set by Emma Keeping). HOU win probability 45% → 33%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Wake Forest wins
Houston wins
- WAKE break %
- 40.1% vs this opp
- HOU break %
- 42.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Sanaa WilliamsKill+12.0%
Kill by Sanaa Williams (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 5 · WAKE 8-6 HOU · WAKE 55% → 67%
- 02
- 03Patrycja LagidaKill+11.2%
Kill by Patrycja Lagida (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 5 · WAKE 9-6 HOU · WAKE 67% → 78%
- 04Patrycja LagidaKill+10.6%
Kill by Patrycja Lagida (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 5 · WAKE 6-6 HOU · WAKE 33% → 43%
- 05HOU serverAce+9.6%
Houston ace on Team
Set 5 · WAKE 3-4 HOU · HOU 54% → 64%
- 06Ryleigh WhitekettleAttack error+9.2%
Attack error by Ryleigh Whitekettle
Set 5 · WAKE 3-5 HOU · HOU 64% → 73%
- 07Kamille GibsonAttack error+9.2%
Kamille Gibson stuffed by Catherine Burke & Ryleigh Whitekettle
Set 5 · WAKE 2-0 HOU · WAKE 51% → 61%
- 08Noemi DespaigneAttack error+9.2%
Attack error by Noemi Despaigne
Set 5 · WAKE 10-6 HOU · WAKE 78% → 87%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 9 | 2 | 20 | .350 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 3 | 32 | .250 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | .150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 24 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5 | 31 | .290 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 18 | 138 | .275 | 54 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 103 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 49 | .184 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 20.5 | |
| 5 | 20 | 5 | 41 | .366 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 20.5 | |
| 5 | 19 | 6 | 39 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | |
| 5 | 6 | 0 | 10 | .600 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | .154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 70 | 23 | 155 | .303 | 66 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 101 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
17-24
Set 2
25-18
Set 3
21-25
Set 4
25-22
Set 5
15-11
Bars above the line = Houston leads, below = Wake Forest leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Wake Forest
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 83%10/12 | 47%7/15 |
| 2 | 69%9/13 | 38%6/16 |
| 3 | 53%8/15 | 33%4/12 |
| 4 | 80%8/10 | 47%7/15 |
| 5 | 54%7/13 | 63%12/19 |
| 6 | 50%7/14 | 13%1/8 |
| All | 64%49/77 | 44%37/85 |
Houston
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%10/19 | 27%3/11 |
| 2 | 56%9/16 | 31%4/13 |
| 3 | 73%8/11 | 44%7/16 |
| 4 | 36%8/22 | 27%3/11 |
| 5 | 64%7/11 | 11%1/9 |
| 6 | 100%6/6 | 59%10/17 |
| All | 56%48/85 | 36%28/77 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
203 rallies
Rally log
| # | WAKE-HOU | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Lyla Stewart | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | HOU | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +2.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Kelis Hawkins | set Becca Bellows | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Lily Barron | +1.7 |
| 6 | 3-3 | HOU | WAKE×3 | Kill | Kelis Hawkins | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Bad set | Noemi Despaigne | +2.6 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Noemi Despaigne | +2.7 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | WAKE | HOU | Serve err | WAKE server | +1.8 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | HOU | HOU | Kill | Alexis Roberson | set Kalei Edson | +2.6 |
| 11 | 6-5 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +2.0 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Noemi Despaigne | +2.8 |
| 13 | 7-6 | WAKE | HOU×4 | Kill | Alexis Roberson | set Kalei Edson | +1.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | HOU | HOU×4 | Ace | HOU server | aced Team | +2.8 |
| 15 | 7-8 | HOU | HOU×4 | Kill | Alexis Roberson | +2.8 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | HOU | HOU×4 | Kill | Kalei Edson | set Kalei Edson | +2.7 |
| 17 | 8-9 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +1.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | HOU | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +2.5 |
| 20 | 9-11 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Andrea Roman | +1.6 |
| 21 | 9-12 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Mattie Casale | +1.8 |
| 22 | 10-12 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Becca Bellows | +1.7 |
| 23 | 10-13 | WAKE | HOU | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | +1.9 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | HOU | WAKE | Attack err | Noemi Despaigne | blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Kelis Hawkins | +1.7 |
| 25 | 11-14 | WAKE | HOU×3 | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +1.9 |
| 26 | 11-15 | HOU | HOU×3 | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +2.3 |
| 27 | 11-16 | HOU | HOU×3 | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Cali Reece | +1.8 |
| 28 | 12-16 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +1.0 |
| 29 | 12-17 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +1.3 |
| 30 | 13-17 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +1.0 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | WAKE | HOU | Serve err | WAKE server | +1.3 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +0.9 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +1.2 |
| 34 | 15-19 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +0.8 |
| 35 | 15-20 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +1.2 |
| 36 | 15-21 | HOU | HOU | Ace | HOU server | aced Amina Ndiaye | +1.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | HOU | WAKE | Attack err | Sydney Jones | +0.4 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | WAKE | HOU×3 | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +0.6 |
| 39 | 16-23 | HOU | HOU×3 | Kill | Tara Greenberry | set Kalei Edson | +0.4 |
| 40 | 16-24 | HOU | HOU×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 17-24 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +0.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +1.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +1.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +1.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +1.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Lily Barron | +1.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Noemi Despaigne | blk Sadie Poeck, Sanaa Williams | +2.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | WAKE | HOU | Attack err | Sanaa Williams | +1.6 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | HOU | WAKE | Attack err | Noemi Despaigne | +1.7 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +1.6 |
| 11 | 6-5 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Andrea Roman | +1.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | WAKE | HOU | Serve err | WAKE server | +1.7 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 14 | 8-6 | WAKE | WAKE | Serve err | WAKE server | +2.5 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +1.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +1.9 |
| 17 | 9-8 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +1.7 |
| 18 | 10-8 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +1.9 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +1.8 |
| 20 | 11-9 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +2.0 |
| 21 | 11-10 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +1.8 |
| 22 | 12-10 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +2.1 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Noemi Despaigne | +2.8 |
| 24 | 13-11 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kalei Edson | set Noemi Despaigne | +1.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | HOU | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +2.8 |
| 26 | 14-12 | HOU | WAKE | Attack err | Kamille Gibson | +2.2 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +2.0 |
| 28 | 15-13 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +2.3 |
| 29 | 16-13 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | +3.1 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +1.8 |
| 31 | 17-14 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +2.3 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | WAKE | HOU | Serve err | WAKE server | +1.9 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | HOU | HOU | Attack err | Catherine Burke | +3.2 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +2.7 |
| 35 | 19-16 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +3.5 |
| 36 | 19-17 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +1.9 |
| 37 | 20-17 | HOU | WAKE×4 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Becca Bellows | +2.6 |
| 38 | 21-17 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Team | +2.9 |
| 39 | 22-17 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Kamille Gibson | +1.9 | |
| 40 | 23-17 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Sadie Poeck | +0.9 |
| 41 | 23-18 | WAKE | HOU | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | blk Alexis Roberson, Kamille Gibson | +0.2 |
| 42 | 24-18 | HOU | WAKE | Attack err | Alexis Roberson | blk Sanaa Williams | +0.5 |
| 43 | 25-18 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +0.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Becca Bellows | +2.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +2.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Becca Bellows | +2.4 |
| 4 | 3-1 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Noemi Despaigne | +3.5 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | WAKE | HOU×4 | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +2.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | HOU | HOU×4 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +3.4 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | HOU | HOU×4 | Bad set | Emma Keeping | +3.4 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | HOU | HOU×4 | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +3.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Emma Keeping | +2.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +2.4 |
| 11 | 5-6 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Emma Keeping | +2.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +2.4 |
| 13 | 5-8 | HOU | HOU | Attack err | Laiya Ebo | +3.2 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.1 |
| 15 | 6-9 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +2.3 |
| 16 | 6-10 | HOU | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +2.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +1.8 |
| 18 | 7-11 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kalei Edson | set Noemi Despaigne | +2.1 |
| 19 | 7-12 | HOU | HOU | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Sydney Jones, Tara Greenberry | +2.4 |
| 20 | 8-12 | HOU | WAKE | Attack err | Sydney Jones | blk Catherine Burke, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +1.4 |
| 21 | 8-13 | WAKE | HOU×3 | Kill | Tara Greenberry | set Kalei Edson | +1.7 |
| 22 | 8-14 | HOU | HOU×3 | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +1.9 |
| 23 | 8-15 | HOU | HOU×3 | Attack err | Sanaa Williams | blk Tara Greenberry | +1.4 |
| 24 | 9-15 | HOU | WAKE×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +0.7 |
| 25 | 10-15 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Andrea Roman | +1.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Noemi Despaigne | +1.9 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +1.7 |
| 28 | 11-17 | HOU | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Lily Barron | +1.8 |
| 29 | 12-17 | HOU | WAKE×3 | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 30 | 13-17 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Alexis Roberson | blk Laiya Ebo, Sanaa Williams | +1.8 |
| 31 | 14-17 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +2.6 |
| 32 | 14-18 | WAKE | HOU×3 | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +2.4 |
| 33 | 14-19 | HOU | HOU×3 | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +2.4 |
| 34 | 14-20 | HOU | HOU×3 | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kamille Gibson | +1.5 |
| 35 | 15-20 | HOU | WAKE×3 | Serve err | HOU server | +0.6 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +1.5 |
| 37 | 17-20 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Team | +2.4 |
| 38 | 17-21 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Sanaa Williams | +2.4 |
| 39 | 18-21 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +1.6 |
| 40 | 18-22 | WAKE | HOU | Serve err | WAKE server | +2.4 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | HOU | HOU | Ace | HOU server | aced Andrea Roman | +1.8 |
| 42 | 19-23 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +0.5 |
| 43 | 19-24 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +1.0 |
| 44 | 20-24 | HOU | WAKE | Bad set | Kalei Edson | +0.2 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Sydney Jones | +0.8 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Mattie Casale | +1.4 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Team | +3.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Sydney Jones | +3.1 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kalei Edson | set Noemi Despaigne | +2.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | HOU | HOU | Ace | HOU server | aced Team | +3.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | HOU | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Lyla Stewart | +2.2 |
| 6 | 4-2 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +3.2 |
| 7 | 5-2 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Kamille Gibson | blk Catherine Burke, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +3.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +2.1 |
| 9 | 6-3 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Becca Bellows | +2.3 |
| 10 | 6-4 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Mattie Casale | +2.1 |
| 11 | 7-4 | HOU | WAKE | Attack err | Noemi Despaigne | blk Sanaa Williams, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +2.4 |
| 12 | 8-4 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Lily Barron | +3.2 |
| 13 | 8-5 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +1.9 |
| 14 | 9-5 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +2.3 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +2.9 |
| 16 | 10-6 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +1.7 |
| 17 | 10-7 | HOU | HOU | Kill | Kalei Edson | set Kalei Edson | +2.8 |
| 18 | 11-7 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Emma Keeping | +2.4 |
| 19 | 11-8 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +2.0 |
| 20 | 12-8 | HOU | WAKE×4 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.5 |
| 21 | 13-8 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Sydney Jones | +3.0 |
| 22 | 14-8 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Team | +2.5 |
| 23 | 15-8 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Sydney Jones | +1.9 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +0.9 |
| 25 | 16-9 | HOU | WAKE×3 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Becca Bellows | +1.3 |
| 26 | 17-9 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Kamille Gibson | blk Catherine Burke, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +1.3 |
| 27 | 18-9 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Becca Bellows | +0.8 |
| 28 | 18-10 | WAKE | HOU | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.3 | |
| 29 | 19-10 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +0.5 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +0.2 |
| 31 | 19-12 | HOU | HOU | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Alexis Roberson, Noemi Despaigne | +0.5 |
| 32 | 20-12 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Becca Bellows | +0.6 |
| 33 | 20-13 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +0.3 |
| 34 | 21-13 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +0.5 | |
| 35 | 21-14 | WAKE | HOU×4 | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +0.2 |
| 36 | 21-15 | HOU | HOU×4 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +0.5 | |
| 37 | 21-16 | HOU | HOU×4 | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +0.9 |
| 38 | 21-17 | HOU | HOU×4 | Attack err | Laiya Ebo | blk Sydney Jones, Alexis Roberson | +1.6 |
| 39 | 22-17 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Andrea Roman | +1.9 |
| 40 | 22-18 | WAKE | HOU×3 | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +0.9 |
| 41 | 22-19 | HOU | HOU×3 | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +2.2 |
| 42 | 22-20 | HOU | HOU×3 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +3.6 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +4.2 |
| 44 | 23-21 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +2.3 |
| 45 | 24-21 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +4.3 |
| 46 | 24-22 | WAKE | HOU | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | +1.6 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +5.2 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +6.4 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Kamille Gibson | blk Catherine Burke, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +9.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kalei Edson | set Sydney Jones | +6.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | HOU | HOU | Ace | HOU server | aced Patrycja Lagida | +9.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Becca Bellows | +6.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | WAKE | HOU×3 | Kill | Noemi Despaigne | set Kalei Edson | +6.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | HOU | HOU×3 | Ace | HOU server | aced Team | +9.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | HOU | HOU×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +9.2 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Becca Bellows | +6.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Kamille Gibson | set Kalei Edson | +6.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | HOU | WAKE×8 | Attack err | Noemi Despaigne | +6.4 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | WAKE | WAKE×8 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +10.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | WAKE | WAKE×8 | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Emma Keeping | +11.8 |
| 14 | 8-6 | WAKE | WAKE×8 | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +12.0 |
| 15 | 9-6 | WAKE | WAKE×8 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +11.2 |
| 16 | 10-6 | WAKE | WAKE×8 | Attack err | Noemi Despaigne | +9.2 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | WAKE | WAKE×8 | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +6.5 |
| 18 | 12-6 | WAKE | WAKE×8 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +3.8 |
| 19 | 12-7 | WAKE | HOU | Kill | Alexis Roberson | set Kalei Edson | +1.1 |
| 20 | 13-7 | HOU | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.2 |
| 21 | 14-7 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Sydney Jones | +1.0 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | WAKE | HOU×4 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | HOU | HOU×4 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | blk Kalei Edson, Tara Greenberry | +0.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | HOU | HOU×4 | Attack err | Laiya Ebo | +0.9 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | HOU | HOU×4 | Kill | Sydney Jones | set Kalei Edson | +2.2 |
| 26 | 15-11 | HOU | WAKE | Serve err | HOU server | +3.9 | |
Score shown after each rally, Wake Forest first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.