Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

UTSA def. Houston 3–1

UTSA won at Houston 3-1 (25-21, 25-18, 21-25, 25-22) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Isabella Arroyave and Sydney Bryant led UTSA with 12 kills each; Houston's Sydney Jones had a match-high 22.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
UTSA252521253
HOU211825221

Win probability

Houston above 50 · UTSA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+16.0% UTSArally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 16.0% to UTSA — set 4, UTSA 24-22 HOU. Kalei Edson stuffed by Ledisi Kpea. HOU win probability 26% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UTSA 17.3%82.7% HOU

UTSA wins

3-0
2.7%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
9.0%

Houston wins

3-0
34.3%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
17.5%
UTSA break %
37.6% vs this opp
HOU break %
44.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ledisi KpeaBlock+16.0%

    Kalei Edson stuffed by Ledisi Kpea

    Set 4 · UTSA 24-22 HOU · UTSA 74% → 90%

  2. 02
    HoustonAce+11.9%

    Houston ace on Isabella Arroyave

    Set 4 · UTSA 22-22 HOU · HOU 25% → 37%

  3. 03
    HoustonService error+10.7%

    Houston service error

    Set 4 · UTSA 23-22 HOU · UTSA 63% → 74%

  4. 04

    Kill by Isabella Arroyave (set by Megan Hawkins)

    Set 4 · UTSA 25-22 HOU · UTSA 90% → 100%

  5. 05

    Kill by Noemi Despaigne (set by Kalei Edson)

    Set 4 · UTSA 22-21 HOU · HOU 16% → 25%

  6. 06
    UTSAAce+7.6%

    UTSA ace on Noemi Despaigne

    Set 4 · UTSA 17-14 HOU · UTSA 71% → 79%

  7. 07

    Kill by Isabella Arroyave (set by Megan Hawkins)

    Set 4 · UTSA 16-14 HOU · UTSA 64% → 71%

  8. 08
    Sydney JonesAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Sydney Jones

    Set 4 · UTSA 20-16 HOU · UTSA 82% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UTSAaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412329.31012182010.514.5
412427.2961001200012
48318.278000300008
46316.188002600217
44111.273000100215
4304.7502610600004
49118.44410020031.510.5
4000–5201500002
41011.000000200001
4001.0002101300000
2000–000420000
1213.333000001013
Team totals5716128.320555451718596
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422950.26000010010.522.5
417843.20912053010.519.5
412428.28622460031.515.5
44110.30000140153.57.5
4217.14300030212.54.5
4113.000310010111.52.5
4102.5001822700003
4001.000111300001
4001.0002001320000
4000–001000000
2000–000000000
Team totals5924145.24155794354121086

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UTSA · HOU 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 UTSAHOU 6

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 3 UTSAHOU 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 UTSAHOU 5

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 3 UTSAHOU 3

Bars above the line = Houston leads, below = UTSA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UTSA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
54%7/13
2
83%5/6
17%1/6
3
63%5/8
44%4/9
4
80%4/5
56%5/9
5
67%4/6
43%3/7
6
67%4/6
33%2/6
All
70%28/40
44%22/50

Houston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
33%2/6
2
83%5/6
33%3/9
3
56%5/9
17%1/6
4
44%4/9
38%3/8
5
57%4/7
20%1/5
6
67%4/6
33%2/6
All
56%28/50
30%12/40

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#UTSA-HOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1HOUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.5
21-1HOUUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+1.1
32-1UTSAUTSAAttack errSydney Jones+1.8
42-2UTSAHOUAttack errCaroline Tredwell+1.2
53-2HOUUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+1.3
63-3UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.2
73-4HOUHOUBlockedSydney Bryantblk Tara Greenberry+1.7
84-4HOUUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+1.2
95-4UTSAUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+1.9
105-5UTSAHOUAttack errSydney Bryant+1.3
116-5HOUUTSAKillMakinsey Jones+1.4
12–179-8UTSA 3 · HOU 3
NCAA feed gap6 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
1810-8UTSAUTSAAttack errKamille Gibson+2.4
1910-9UTSAHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+1.5
2011-9HOUUTSA×3Attack errSydney Jones+1.8
2112-9UTSAUTSA×3Attack errSydney Jones+2.6
2213-9UTSAUTSA×3KillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+2.5
2313-10UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.4
2414-10HOUUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+1.9
2514-11UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.4
2615-11HOUUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+1.9
2716-11UTSAUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+2.4
2816-12UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.2
2917-12HOUUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+1.7
3017-13UTSAHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+1.1
3118-13HOUUTSA×4KillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+1.7
3219-13UTSAUTSA×4Attack errNoemi Despaigne+1.8
3320-13UTSAUTSA×4BlockedKamille Gibsonblk Caroline Tredwell, Isabella Arroyave+1.2
3421-13UTSAUTSA×4BlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Ally Tribe, Caroline Tredwell+0.7
3521-14UTSAHOUKillAlexis Robersonset Kalei Edson+0.2
3622-14HOUUTSAServe errHouston+0.4
3722-15UTSAHOU×6KillNoemi Despaigneset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.1
3822-16HOUHOU×6KillAlexis Robersonset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.3
3922-17HOUHOU×6BlockedCaroline Tredwellblk Alexis Roberson+0.6
4022-18HOUHOU×6AceHouston+1.0
4122-19HOUHOU×6Attack errIsabella Arroyave+1.6
4222-20HOUHOU×6KillSydney Jonesset Mattie Casale+2.6
4323-20HOUUTSAKillValeria Ortizset Isabella Arroyave+3.0
4423-21UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.6
4524-21HOUUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+3.1
4625-21UTSAUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+1.8
Set 2
11-0UTSAUTSAAceUTSAaced Mattie Casale+2.8
21-1UTSAHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+1.9
32-1HOUUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+2.1
42-2UTSAHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.9
53-2HOUUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+2.1
64-2UTSAUTSAAttack errKamille Gibson+3.2
74-3UTSAHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+2.1
85-3HOUUTSAKillMakinsey Jonesset Megan Hawkins+2.4
96-3UTSAUTSABlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Ally Tribe, Makinsey Jones+3.5
106-4UTSAHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+2.1
117-4HOUUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+2.6
128-4UTSAUTSAAttack errSydney Jones+3.6
138-5UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+2.1
149-5HOUUTSA×3KillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+2.7
1510-5UTSAUTSA×3KillBrooke Elliottset Alyssa Manitzas+3.6
1611-5UTSAUTSA×3KillValeria Ortizset Isabella Arroyave+3.3
1711-6UTSAHOU×3KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.7
1811-7HOUHOU×3AceHoustonaced Isabella Arroyave+2.9
1911-8HOUHOU×3BlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Kamille Gibson, Tara Greenberry+3.3
2012-8HOUUTSA×3KillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+2.9
2113-8UTSAUTSA×3Bad setKamille Gibson+3.7
2214-8UTSAUTSA×3AceUTSAaced Mattie Casale+3.3
2314-9UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.6
2415-9HOUUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+2.3
2516-9UTSAUTSAAttack errKamille Gibson+2.6
2616-10UTSAHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.1
2717-10HOUUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+1.8
2818-10UTSAUTSAAttack errNoemi Despaigne+1.7
2918-11UTSAHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kamille Gibson+0.6
3019-11HOUUTSAServe errHouston+1.1
3120-11UTSAUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Alyssa Manitzas+0.9
3220-12UTSAHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+0.3
3320-13HOUHOUKillKalei Edsonset Alyssa Manitzas+0.6
3421-13HOUUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Alyssa Manitzas+0.8
3521-14UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.3
3621-15HOUHOUBlockedAlly Tribeblk Sydney Jones, Tara Greenberry+0.8
3722-15HOUUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins+1.0
3822-16UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.4
3923-16HOUUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+0.8
4024-16UTSAUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+0.3
4124-17UTSAHOUServe errUTSA·
4224-18HOUHOUAceHoustonaced Sydney Bryant+0.1
4325-18HOUUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+0.2
Set 3
11-0HOUUTSAAttack errSydney Jones+2.1
21-1UTSAHOUKillTara Greenberryset Shannon Dworaczyk+2.0
32-1HOUUTSAServe errHouston+2.2
42-2UTSAHOUServe errUTSA+2.0
52-3HOUHOUAttack errBrooke Elliott+2.8
63-3HOUUTSAKillMakinsey Jonesset Valeria Ortiz+2.0
73-4UTSAHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.9
83-5HOUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Lily Barron+2.6
94-5HOUUTSAServe errHouston+1.9
104-6UTSAHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+1.8
114-7HOUHOUAceHoustonaced Sydney Black+2.4
125-7HOUUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+1.6
135-8UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.6
146-8HOUUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+1.6
156-9HOU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
166-10HOUHOUAttack errKalei Edson+2.1
177-10HOUUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+1.3
187-11UTSAHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.4
198-11HOUUTSAAttack errNoemi Despaigne+1.3
208-12UTSAHOUBlockedBrooke Elliottblk Noemi Despaigne+1.5
219-12HOUUTSAServe errHouston+1.4
229-13UTSAHOU×5KillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.5
239-14HOUHOU×5AceHoustonaced Sydney Bryant+1.7
249-15HOUHOU×5Attack errSydney Bryant+1.2
259-16HOUHOU×5BlockedSydney Bryantblk Alexis Roberson, Kalei Edson+0.8
269-17HOUHOU×5KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.5
2710-17HOUUTSAAttack errNoemi Despaigne+0.2
2810-18UTSAHOUBlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Kalei Edson+0.3
2911-18HOUUTSABlockedSydney Jonesblk Ally Tribe, Makinsey Jones+0.2
3012-18UTSAUTSAAceUTSAaced Noemi Despaigne+0.4
3112-19UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.5
3213-19HOUUTSA×5Attack errSydney Jones+0.3
3314-19UTSAUTSA×5KillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+0.7
3415-19UTSAUTSA×5KillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+1.1
3516-19UTSAUTSA×5KillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+1.9
3617-19UTSAUTSA×5AceUTSAaced Noemi Despaigne+2.9
3717-20UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+2.5
3817-21HOUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kamille Gibson+2.6
3918-21HOUUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+1.2
4018-22UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.7
4119-22HOUUTSAKillValeria Ortiz+1.0
4219-23UTSAHOUServe errUTSA+1.6
4319-24HOUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.0
4420-24HOUUTSAKillMakinsey Jonesset Valeria Ortiz+0.2
4521-24UTSAUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+0.6
4621-25UTSAHOUServe errUTSA+0.9
Set 4
10-1UTSAHOU×3KillTara Greenberryset Shannon Dworaczyk+2.5
20-2HOUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Mattie Casale+3.4
30-3HOUHOU×3KillNoemi Despaigneset Shannon Dworaczyk+3.0
41-3HOUUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+2.1
51-4UTSAHOUKillShannon Dworaczyk+2.1
62-4HOUUTSA×3Serve errHouston+2.1
73-4UTSAUTSA×3KillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+3.6
84-4UTSAUTSA×3KillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+4.1
94-5UTSAHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk+2.8
105-5HOUUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+3.1
115-6UTSAHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+2.9
126-6HOUUTSAAttack errAlexis Roberson+3.1
136-7UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Noemi Despaigne+3.0
146-8HOUHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+4.0
157-8HOUUTSAKillGiada Obregonset Megan Hawkins+2.8
167-9UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+2.8
178-9HOUUTSA×3Serve errHouston+2.9
189-9UTSAUTSA×3Attack errSydney Jones+4.8
1910-9UTSAUTSA×3Attack errTara Greenberry+5.5
2010-10UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Shannon Dworaczyk+3.6
2111-10HOUUTSAAttack errNoemi Despaigne+4.1
2211-11UTSAHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk+3.8
2312-11HOUUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+4.3
2412-12UTSAHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk+3.9
2512-13HOUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+5.5
2613-13HOUUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Sydney Bryant+4.1
2714-13UTSAUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Ally Tribe+6.6
2814-14UTSAHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+4.3
2915-14HOUUTSA×3KillLedisi Kpeaset Megan Hawkins+5.0
3016-14UTSAUTSA×3KillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+7.5
3117-14UTSAUTSA×3AceUTSAaced Noemi Despaigne+7.6
3217-15UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+4.2
3318-15HOUUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+5.7
3418-16UTSAHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+4.3
3519-16HOUUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+6.0
3620-16UTSAUTSAAttack errSydney Jones+7.2
3720-17UTSAHOUBlockedBrooke Elliottblk Tara Greenberry, Kamille Gibson+3.3
3821-17HOUUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+5.2
3921-18UTSAHOUBlockedLedisi Kpeablk Tara Greenberry+3.0
4021-19HOUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Valeria Ortiz+6.4
4122-19HOUUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+7.0
4222-20UTSAHOU×3KillNoemi Despaigneset Shannon Dworaczyk+4.2
4322-21HOUHOU×3KillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+9.1
4422-22HOUHOU×3AceHoustonaced Isabella Arroyave+11.9
4523-22HOUUTSA×3Serve errHouston+10.7
4624-22UTSAUTSA×3BlockedKalei Edsonblk Ledisi Kpea+16.0
4725-22UTSAUTSA×3KillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+9.9

Score shown after each rally, UTSA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).