FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

TCU def. Houston 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: TCU 81.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 6:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

TCU won at Houston 3-0 (31-29, 25-20, 25-19) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. TCU's Becca Kelley led with 18 kills, and Rosemary Archer added 14 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
TCU3125253
HOU2920190

Match story · written from the play-by-play

18 kills in 3 sets for Becca Kelley. TCU swept Houston.

Win probability never moved more than 7.2 points on one rally; Houston topped out at 31% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had TCU at 81%.

TCUHouston
  • Break %+10.0 pts
    44.334.3

    35 of 79 on serve vs 24 of 70, so Houston's sideout was 55.7%.

  • Hitting+.085
    .286.201

    48 K / 14 E against 46 K / 19 E.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    TCU scored 5 straight in the second set to stretch an 11–10 lead to 16–10. Final score of the set: 25–20.

Houston above 50TCU belowMax swing 7.2%

TCUHouston

Aces
TCU 3·Houston 2
Serve err
TCU 5·Houston 8
Blocks
TCU 11·Houston 5.50 BS · 22 BA vs 1 BS · 9 BA
Digs
TCU 55·Houston 49

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Houston above 50 · TCU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.2% TCUrally 149 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.2% to TCU — set 1, TCU 27-26 HOU. Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Becca Kelley). HOU win probability 24% → 16%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TCU 82.5%17.5% HOU

TCU wins

3-0
34.2%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
17.5%

Houston wins

3-0
2.7%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
9.0%
TCU break %
44.7% vs this opp
HOU break %
37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Evan HendrixKill+7.2%

    Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Becca Kelley)

    Set 1 · TCU 27-26 HOU · TCU 76% → 84%

  2. 02
    Evan HendrixKill+6.2%

    Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 1 · TCU 31-29 HOU · TCU 84% → 90%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kamille Gibson (set by Kalei Edson)

    Set 1 · TCU 23-24 HOU · HOU 24% → 30%

  4. 04

    Noemi Despaigne stuffed by Kinsley Young & Rosemary Archer

    Set 1 · TCU 24-24 HOU · TCU 70% → 76%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kamille Gibson (set by Gillian Pitts)

    Set 1 · TCU 24-25 HOU · HOU 24% → 30%

  6. 06
    Becca KelleyKill+5.9%

    Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 1 · TCU 25-25 HOU · TCU 70% → 76%

  7. 07

    Kill by Tara Greenberry (set by Kalei Edson)

    Set 1 · TCU 25-26 HOU · HOU 24% → 30%

  8. 08
    HoustonService error+5.9%

    Houston service error

    Set 1 · TCU 26-26 HOU · TCU 70% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

TCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318441.3411018002119
317543.27920080010.517.5
39016.5630010006312
32313-.077122710215
3113.00034011410634
3102.50010010052.53.5
3000–3101300001
3000–000000000
3000–100300000
2000–000000000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–100100000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4814119.28644355520221181
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315338.3161034002116
311735.1140032002112
38821.00000010010.58.5
35015.33300020031.56.5
35115.26700010111.56.5
32010.2003401700002
3000–5101100001
3000–010730001
3000–0011300000
2000–000100000
Team totals4619134.2014028493195.568

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TCU · HOU 4

Set 1

31-29

Longest run 4 TCUHOU 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 TCUHOU 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 TCUHOU 3

Bars above the line = Houston leads, below = TCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
22%2/9
2
60%9/15
47%8/17
3
44%8/18
47%7/15
4
100%8/8
33%4/12
5
75%6/8
54%7/13
6
86%6/7
54%7/13
All
66%46/70
44%35/79

Houston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
33%4/12
2
57%8/14
36%5/14
3
73%8/11
53%9/17
4
58%7/12
33%4/12
5
43%6/14
22%2/9
6
50%6/12
0%0/6
All
56%44/79
34%24/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

149 rallies

#TCU-HOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0HOUTCUKillJalyn Gibson+1.1
21-1TCUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.2
31-2HOUHOUAttack errEvan Hendrix+1.9
42-2HOUTCU×3Serve errHouston+1.3
53-2TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Jalyn Gibson+1.7
64-2TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.6
74-3TCUHOU×3Serve errTCU+1.1
84-4HOUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.8
94-5HOUHOU×3KillNoemi Despaigneset Gillian Pitts+2.1
105-5HOUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.4
115-6TCUHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+1.5
126-6HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.4
136-7TCUHOUKillKalei Edson+1.6
146-8HOUHOUKillTara Greenberry+2.4
157-8HOUTCUBlockedSydney Jonesblk Rosemary Archer, De'Andrea McMillian+1.5
167-9TCUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.8
178-9HOUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.6
189-9TCUTCUAttack errSydney Jones+2.3
199-10TCUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.7
209-11HOUHOU×3KillAlexis Robersonset Kalei Edson+2.6
219-12HOUHOU×3BlockedEvan Hendrixblk Alexis Roberson, Kamille Gibson+2.7
2210-12HOUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.6
2311-12TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Young+2.5
2412-12TCUTCU×4BlockedKamille Gibsonblk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson+2.5
2513-12TCUTCU×4Bad setLily Barron+2.4
2613-13TCUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.8
2714-13HOUTCUServe errHouston+1.8
2814-14TCUHOU×4KillAlexis Robersonset Kalei Edson+1.9
2914-15HOUHOU×4AceGillian Pittsaced Rosemary Archer+3.0
3014-16HOUHOU×4KillKamille Gibsonset Gillian Pitts+3.3
3114-17HOUHOU×4BlockedBecca Kelleyblk Tara Greenberry, Noemi Despaigne, Kamille Gibson+3.3
3215-17HOUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.8
3315-18TCUHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+2.5
3416-18HOUTCUServe errHouston+1.9
3516-19TCUHOUServe errTCU+2.6
3617-19HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.9
3718-19TCUTCUBlockedKamille Gibsonblk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian+3.4
3818-20TCUHOUAttack errJalyn Gibson+3.0
3919-20HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.4
4020-20TCUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+4.1
4120-21TCUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+3.4
4220-22HOUHOUBlockedJalyn Gibsonblk Sydney Jones, Alexis Roberson+5.1
4321-22HOUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.7
4422-22TCUTCUAttack errSydney Jones+5.2
4522-23TCUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+4.7
4623-23HOUTCUServe errHouston+4.2
4723-24TCUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+5.9
4824-24HOUTCUBlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer+5.9
4924-25TCUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Gillian Pitts+5.9
5025-25HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+5.9
5125-26TCUHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+5.9
5226-26HOUTCUServe errHouston+5.9
5327-26TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Becca Kelley+7.2
5427-27TCUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+5.0
5528-27HOUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+5.0
5628-28TCUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+5.0
5729-28HOUTCUBlockedKamille Gibsonblk Evan Hendrix, De'Andrea McMillian+5.0
5829-29TCUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+5.0
5930-29HOUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+5.0
6031-29TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+6.2
Set 2
10-1TCUHOUAttack errEvan Hendrix+1.0
21-1HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
31-2TCUHOU×4KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.0
41-3HOUHOU×4KillNoemi Despaigneset Kamille Gibson+1.5
51-4HOUHOU×4KillAlexis Robersonset Rosemary Archer+1.6
61-5HOUHOU×4KillNoemi Despaigneset Gillian Pitts+1.6
72-5HOUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.0
83-5TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.5
94-5TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Mattie Casale+1.5
104-6TCUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.2
114-7HOUHOU×3Attack errEvan Hendrix+1.7
124-8HOUHOU×3Attack errBecca Kelley+1.7
135-8HOUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+1.0
146-8TCUTCU×4AceTCUaced Mattie Casale+1.6
157-8TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.6
168-8TCUTCU×4BlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer+1.6
178-9TCUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+1.3
189-9HOUTCU×3Serve errHouston+1.2
1910-9TCUTCU×3KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.6
2011-9TCUTCU×3BlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Rosemary Archer, Kinsley Young+1.5
2111-10TCUHOUAttack errBecca Kelley+1.0
2212-10HOUTCU×5BlockedTara Greenberryblk Becca Kelley, Kinsley Young+1.0
2313-10TCUTCU×5KillBecca Kelleyset Lauren Murphy+1.3
2414-10TCUTCU×5KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.1
2515-10TCUTCU×5Attack errSydney Jones+0.8
2616-10TCUTCU×5KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.6
2716-11TCUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.3
2816-12HOUHOUKillAlexis Roberson+0.6
2917-12HOUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.6
3017-13TCUHOU×3KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.4
3117-14HOUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.9
3217-15HOUHOU×3Attack errJalyn Gibson+1.3
3318-15HOUTCUServe errHouston+1.1
3419-15TCUTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Rosemary Archer+1.2
3519-16TCUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.6
3620-16HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.8
3720-17TCUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.6
3820-18HOUHOU×3Bad setRosemary Archer+1.4
3920-19HOUHOU×3KillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+2.0
4021-19HOUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.7
4121-20TCUHOUServe errTCU+1.5
4222-20HOUTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.9
4323-20TCUTCU×4Attack errNoemi Despaigne+2.0
4424-20TCUTCU×4Bad setKalei Edson+1.0
4525-20TCUTCU×4KillRosemary Archerset Kalei Edson+0.3
Set 3
11-0HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.4
21-1TCUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.5
32-1HOUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.5
43-1TCUTCUBlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer+0.6
53-2TCUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+0.4
64-2HOUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.4
74-3TCUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Gillian Pitts+0.4
85-3HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.4
96-3TCUTCUBlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Rosemary Archer, De'Andrea McMillian+0.6
106-4TCUHOUKillKalei Edson+0.4
116-5HOUHOUBlockedRosemary Archerblk Tara Greenberry+0.7
127-5HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
137-6TCUHOUServe errRosemary Archer+0.5
148-6HOUTCUAttack errSydney Jones+0.5
158-7TCUHOUBlockedReese Robinsblk Sydney Jones, Alexis Roberson+0.5
169-7HOUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.5
179-8TCUHOUAttack errEvan Hendrix+0.5
1810-8HOUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.5
1910-9TCUHOUKillAlexis Robersonset Kalei Edson+0.5
2011-9HOUTCUBad setKamille Gibson+0.5
2111-10TCUHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+0.5
2212-10HOUTCUServe errKamille Gibson+0.6
2313-10TCUTCUAttack errNoemi Despaigne+0.7
2413-11TCUHOUAttack errBecca Kelley+0.5
2514-11HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset De'Andrea McMillian+0.5
2615-11TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Alice Volpe+0.6
2715-12TCUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.3
2816-12HOUTCUAttack errSydney Jones+0.4
2916-13TCUHOUServe errBecca Kelley+0.4
3017-13HOUTCU×4Attack errSydney Jones+0.4
3118-13TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+0.4
3219-13TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Kalei Edson+0.3
3320-13TCUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+0.2
3420-14TCUHOU×3KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.1
3520-15HOUHOU×3AceMattie Casaleaced Jalyn Gibson+0.1
3620-16HOUHOU×3KillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+0.3
3721-16HOUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.3
3822-16TCUTCUAceJalyn Gibsonaced Mattie Casale+0.2
3922-17TCUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.1
4022-18HOUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.2
4123-18HOUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.2
4224-18TCUTCUAttack errNoemi Despaigne+0.1
4324-19TCUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson·
4425-19HOUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Addy Horner·

Score shown after each rally, TCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).