FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

Cincinnati def. Syracuse 3–0

Cincinnati beat Syracuse 3-0 (27-25, 25-19, 25-11) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Andrea Simovski led Cincinnati with 11 kills, and Viktoria Ninova added 14 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
CINCY2725253
SYR2519110

Win probability

Syracuse above 50 · Cincinnati below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.3% CINCYrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Cincinnati — set 1, CINCY 27-25 SYR. Attack error by Emma Faerber. SYR win probability 5% → 2%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CINCY 95.5%4.5% SYR

Cincinnati wins

3-0
56.8%
3-1
29.3%
3-2
9.4%

Syracuse wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.3%
3-2
2.8%
CINCY break %
49.1% vs this opp
SYR break %
36.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma FaerberAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Emma Faerber

    Set 1 · CINCY 27-25 SYR · CINCY 95% → 98%

  2. 02

    Kill by Andrea Simovski (set by Kate Lijic)

    Set 1 · CINCY 24-23 SYR · CINCY 93% → 95%

  3. 03
    Abby NicholsonBlock+2.2%

    Andrea Simovski stuffed by Abby Nicholson

    Set 1 · CINCY 24-24 SYR · SYR 5% → 7%

  4. 04

    Kill by Andrea Simovski (set by Kate Lijic)

    Set 1 · CINCY 25-24 SYR · CINCY 93% → 95%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kiernan Stamey (set by Yuka Urano)

    Set 1 · CINCY 25-25 SYR · SYR 5% → 7%

  6. 06

    Kill by Andrea Simovski (set by Kate Lijic)

    Set 1 · CINCY 26-25 SYR · CINCY 93% → 95%

  7. 07
    Nina ScruccaAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Nina Scrucca

    Set 1 · CINCY 20-21 SYR · SYR 6% → 9%

  8. 08
    CincinnatiAce+2.0%

    Cincinnati ace on Yuka Urano

    Set 1 · CINCY 22-21 SYR · CINCY 93% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311120.50004131111.516.5
39219.3680142000010
3629.444000001439
36112.417001000217
3506.833001200005
3214.250342120010.54.5
3001.0002131400001
3000–000210000
3000–000100000
13031.000000000003
1012-.500000000000
Team totals42876.4473681126228677
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313630.23300022111.514.5
313528.2860025300013
33210.10000010111.54.5
3236-.16700010010.52.5
3249-.222002500002
3012-.500250020010.50.5
3001.000211100001
3001.000411620001
3000–000000000
1000–000010000
Team totals332187.138312623824455

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CINCY · SYR 5

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 3 CINCYSYR 5

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 CINCYSYR 3

Set 3

25-11

Longest run 6 CINCYSYR 1

Bars above the line = Syracuse leads, below = Cincinnati leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cincinnati

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
72%13/18
2
70%7/10
46%6/13
3
78%7/9
22%2/9
4
88%7/8
22%2/9
5
64%7/11
30%3/10
6
64%7/11
56%9/16
All
74%42/57
47%35/75

Syracuse

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
13%1/8
2
78%7/9
30%3/10
3
78%7/9
0%0/7
4
70%7/10
22%2/9
5
50%7/14
13%1/8
6
33%5/15
53%8/15
All
53%40/75
26%15/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#CINCY-SYRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SYRSYRKillAileen McAllisterset Charis Burge+0.7
21-1SYRCINCY×3KillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.4
32-1CINCYCINCY×3BlockedEmma Faerberblk Sydney Nolan, Audrey Rome+0.5
43-1CINCYCINCY×3KillSydney Nolan+0.5
53-2CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.4
63-3SYRSYRKillAbby Nicholson+0.6
74-3SYRCINCYServe errSyracuse+0.4
84-4CINCYSYRKillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.5
95-4SYRCINCYKillAudrey Romeset Kate Lijic+0.4
106-4CINCYCINCYKillAudrey Romeset Kate Lijic+0.5
116-5CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.4
127-5SYRCINCYBlockedCharis Burgeblk Andrea Simovski+0.4
137-6CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+0.4
148-6SYRCINCYKillLilian Entenmannset Kate Lijic+0.4
159-6CINCYCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+0.5
169-7CINCYSYRBlockedNina Scruccablk Emma Faerber, Kiernan Stamey+0.4
1710-7SYRCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.4
1811-7CINCYCINCYAttack errMarie Laurio+0.4
1911-8CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+0.3
2012-8SYRCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.3
2112-9CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+0.3
2213-9SYRCINCYBlockedMarie Laurioblk Audrey Rome, Kate Lijic+0.3
2313-10CINCYSYRAttack errYuka Urano+0.3
2414-10SYRCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.3
2514-11CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.3
2615-11SYRCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+0.3
2716-11CINCYCINCYAceCincinnatiaced Marie Laurio+0.3
2816-12CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+0.2
2917-12SYRCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Viktoria Ninova+0.2
3017-13CINCYSYR×5KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.2
3117-14SYRSYR×5KillKiernan Stameyset Mira Ledermueller+0.4
3217-15SYRSYR×5KillKiernan Stameyset Mira Ledermueller+0.6
3317-16SYRSYR×5KillAileen McAllisterset Yuka Urano+0.9
3417-17SYRSYR×5AceSyracuseaced Ava Ledebuhr+1.3
3518-17SYRCINCYServe errSyracuse+0.9
3618-18CINCYSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+1.0
3719-18SYRCINCYAttack errKiernan Stamey+1.0
3820-18CINCYCINCYAttack errAileen McAllister+1.2
3920-19CINCYSYR×3Attack errAudrey Rome+0.8
4020-20SYRSYR×3AceSyracuseaced Andrea Simovski+1.6
4120-21SYRSYR×3Attack errNina Scrucca+2.2
4221-21SYRCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.5
4322-21CINCYCINCYAceCincinnatiaced Yuka Urano+2.0
4422-22CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+1.6
4523-22SYRCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.7
4623-23CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+1.8
4724-23SYRCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+2.2
4824-24CINCYSYRBlockedAndrea Simovskiblk Abby Nicholson+2.2
4925-24SYRCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+2.2
5025-25CINCYSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Yuka Urano+2.2
5126-25SYRCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+2.2
5227-25CINCYCINCYAttack errEmma Faerber+2.3
Set 2
10-1CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.3
21-1SYRCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.3
32-1CINCYCINCYAttack errMarie Laurio+0.3
42-2CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.3
53-2SYRCINCYKillSydney Nolan+0.3
64-2CINCYCINCYKillKate Lijicset Charis Burge+0.3
74-3CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+0.2
85-3SYRCINCYKillAudrey Romeset Kate Lijic+0.2
96-3CINCYCINCYBlockedAbby Nicholsonblk Andrea Simovski, Audrey Rome+0.3
106-4CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.2
117-4SYRCINCYKillAudrey Romeset Kate Lijic+0.2
127-5CINCYSYR×3KillAbby Nicholsonset Charis Burge+0.2
137-6SYRSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.4
147-7SYRSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.5
158-7SYRCINCYKillKate Lijic+0.3
169-7CINCYCINCYAttack errMarie Laurio+0.4
179-8CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+0.3
1810-8SYRCINCY×4KillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.3
1911-8CINCYCINCY×4AceCincinnatiaced Kiernan Stamey+0.3
2012-8CINCYCINCY×4AceCincinnatiaced Kiernan Stamey+0.3
2113-8CINCYCINCY×4AceCincinnatiaced Marie Laurio+0.2
2213-9CINCYSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.1
2314-9SYRCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.1
2414-10CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.1
2515-10SYRCINCYKillAudrey Romeset Kate Lijic+0.1
2615-11CINCYSYR×3Serve errCincinnati+0.1
2715-12SYRSYR×3BlockedSydney Nolanblk Charis Burge, Abby Nicholson+0.3
2815-13SYRSYR×3Attack errAudrey Rome+0.4
2916-13SYRCINCYServe errSyracuse+0.3
3016-14CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.3
3116-15SYRSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.5
3217-15SYRCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Viktoria Ninova+0.4
3318-15CINCYCINCYAttack errAileen McAllister+0.5
3418-16CINCYSYR×3KillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.3
3518-17SYRSYR×3Attack errLigia Williams+0.6
3618-18SYRSYR×3BlockedKate Lijicblk Kiernan Stamey+0.9
3719-18SYRCINCY×3KillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+0.6
3820-18CINCYCINCY×3Attack errKiernan Stamey+0.7
3921-18CINCYCINCY×3AceCincinnatiaced Yuka Urano+0.5
4021-19CINCYSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge+0.3
4122-19SYRCINCY×4KillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.4
4223-19CINCYCINCY×4KillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.3
4324-19CINCYCINCY×4Attack errKiernan Stamey+0.1
4425-19CINCYCINCY×4Attack errMarie Laurio·
Set 3
11-0SYRCINCY×3KillLilian Entenmannset Kate Lijic+0.1
22-0CINCYCINCY×3BlockedAileen McAllisterblk Sydney Nolan, Audrey Rome+0.1
33-0CINCYCINCY×3KillAudrey Rome+0.1
43-1CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.1
54-1SYRCINCYBlockedAbby Nicholsonblk Audrey Rome+0.1
64-2CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+0.1
75-2SYRCINCYServe errSyracuse+0.1
85-3CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Charis Burge+0.1
96-3SYRCINCYServe errSyracuse+0.1
106-4CINCYSYRServe errCincinnati+0.1
117-4SYRCINCY×6KillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+0.1
128-4CINCYCINCY×6AceCincinnatiaced Marie Laurio+0.1
139-4CINCYCINCY×6KillAndrea Simovski+0.1
1410-4CINCYCINCY×6Attack errKiernan Stamey+0.1
1511-4CINCYCINCY×6Attack errKiernan Stamey·
1612-4CINCYCINCY×6KillLilian Entenmannset Kate Lijic·
1712-5CINCYSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge·
1813-5SYRCINCYKillLilian Entenmannset Kate Lijic·
1913-6CINCYSYRKillEmma Faerberset Charis Burge·
2014-6SYRCINCYKillLilian Entenmannset Kate Lijic·
2114-7CINCYSYRKillEmma Faerberset Charis Burge·
2215-7SYRCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic·
2315-8CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Yuka Urano·
2416-8SYRCINCYKillIzzy Busignaniset Kate Lijic·
2516-9CINCYSYRKillMarie Laurioset Yuka Urano·
2617-9SYRCINCYServe errSyracuse·
2718-9CINCYCINCYAttack errAileen McAllister·
2818-10CINCYSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge·
2919-10SYRCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic·
3019-11CINCYSYRKillKiernan Stameyset Charis Burge·
3120-11SYRCINCY×6KillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic·
3221-11CINCYCINCY×6Attack errEmma Faerber·
3322-11CINCYCINCY×6AceCincinnatiaced Bella Rodriguez·
3423-11CINCYCINCY×6Attack errKiernan Stamey·
3524-11CINCYCINCY×6KillIzzy Busignaniset Kate Lijic·
3625-11CINCYCINCY×6KillIzzy Busignaniset Kate Lijic·

Score shown after each rally, Cincinnati first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).