TCU vs Cincinnati Volleyball: TCU Wins 3-0 (Sep 25, 2026)

FinalFri, Sep 25, 2026ESPN+

AwayBIG-12

#11TCUTCU

3:0

HomeBIG-12

CINCYCincinnati

TCU won at Cincinnati 3-0 (25-16, 25-19, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. TCU's Becca Kelley led with 14 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 25

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TCU	25	25	25	3
CINCY	16	19	21	0

Win probability

Cincinnati above 50 · TCU below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Cincinnati — set 1, TCU 5-6 CINCY. Kill by Nina Scrucca (set by Kate Lijic). CINCY win probability 26% → 29%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TCU 73.6%26.4% CINCY

TCU wins

3-0

25.9%

3-1

28.2%

3-2

19.5%

Cincinnati wins

3-0

4.8%

3-1

9.1%

3-2

12.5%

TCU break %: 44.1% vs this opp
CINCY break %: 39.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Nina ScruccaKill+2.4%
Kill by Nina Scrucca (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 1 · TCU 5-6 CINCY · CINCY 26% → 29%
02
Nina ScruccaAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Nina Scrucca
Set 1 · TCU 7-6 CINCY · TCU 73% → 75%
03
CincinnatiAce+2.3%
Cincinnati ace on Evan Hendrix
Set 1 · TCU 3-4 CINCY · CINCY 26% → 28%
04
Becca KelleyKill+2.2%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Reese Wilburn)
Set 1 · TCU 13-10 CINCY · TCU 78% → 80%
05
De'Andrea McMillianKill+2.2%
Kill by De'Andrea McMillian (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 1 · TCU 5-4 CINCY · TCU 73% → 75%
06
TCUAce+2.2%
TCU ace on Viktoria Ninova
Set 1 · TCU 8-6 CINCY · TCU 75% → 77%
07
Sydney NolanKill+2.1%
Kill by Sydney Nolan
Set 1 · TCU 3-3 CINCY · CINCY 24% → 26%
08
Becca KelleyKill+2.0%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Reese Wilburn)
Set 1 · TCU 2-1 CINCY · TCU 73% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

TCUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Becca KelleyOH	3	14	4	31	.323	0	1	0	12	0	0	4	2	17
2Evan HendrixOH	3	12	4	31	.258	0	0	1	12	3	1	0	1	13
4De'Andrea McMillianMB	3	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	3.5	4.5
10Kinsley YoungMB	3	2	1	10	.100	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	4
7Reese RobinsMB	3	3	0	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Reese WilburnS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
5Jalyn GibsonOH	3	4	1	13	.231	0	4	0	5	0	0	6	3	11
17Rosemary ArcherS	3	1	1	4	.000	19	3	3	5	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
9Lauren MurphyOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
0Alice VolpeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
16Jaylen ClarkL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19McKenzie BergOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Molly McCarthyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	12	103	.252	35	8	5	48	3	1	23	12.5	75

Cincinnatihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Sydney NolanOH	3	10	5	40	.125	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	11
7Andrea SimovskiOH	3	9	9	30	.000	0	0	1	8	3	2	1	10
8Ligia WilliamsOH	3	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
4Audrey RomeMB	2	1	1	5	.000	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1
0Andi SpiesS	2	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
18Tatjana SimeunovicMB	1	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
11Nina ScruccaOPP	3	7	4	23	.130	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
6Kate LijicS	3	2	0	3	.667	23	2	2	7	0	0	0	4
21Viktoria NinovaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	16	2	0	0	0
13Kayla EdgintonOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Kayla HostetlerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
5Lilian EntenmannMB	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Ava LedebuhrL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team totals		35	21	119	.118	31	3	7	45	8	6	3	56

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TCU · CINCY 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 TCUCINCY 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 TCUCINCY 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 TCUCINCY 4

Bars above the line = Cincinnati leads, below = TCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

TCU

No clean sets to split.

Cincinnati

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	TCU-CINCY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1–2	1-1		TCU · CINCY	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
3	2-1	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+2.0
4	3-1		TCU	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.9
5	3-2	TCU	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.4
6	3-3	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan		+2.1
7	3-4	CINCY	CINCY×3	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Evan Hendrix	+2.3
8	4-4	CINCY	TCU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.6
9	5-4	TCU	TCU	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Rosemary Archer	+2.2
10	5-5	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams		+1.6
11	5-6	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.4
12	6-6	CINCY	TCU×3	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+1.7
13	7-6	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+2.3
14	8-6	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU	aced Viktoria Ninova	+2.2
15–16	9-7		TCU · CINCY	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
17	9-8	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca		+1.6
18	10-8	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+1.6
19–20	11-9		TCU · CINCY	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
21	11-10	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.7
22	12-10	CINCY	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.7
23	13-10	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+2.2
24	14-10	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Tatjana Simeunovic		+1.8
25	15-10	TCU	TCU×4	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley	+1.4
26	15-11	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Audrey Rome	+0.8
27	16-11	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+1.0
28	16-12	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+0.8
29	17-12	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+1.0
30	18-12	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley		+1.0
31	18-13		CINCY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.5
32	18-14	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Evan Hendrix	+1.0
33	19-14	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.0
34	20-14	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson	+0.9
35	20-15	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+0.4
36	21-15	CINCY	TCU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.6
37	21-16		CINCY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.3
38	22-16	CINCY	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
39	23-16	TCU	TCU×4	Ace	TCU	aced Andrea Simovski	+0.3
40	24-16	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+0.1
41	25-16	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		·
Set 2
1	0-1	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.7
2	1-1	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+1.2
3	1-2	TCU	CINCY	Attack err	De'Andrea McMillian		+1.3
4	1-3	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Reese Wilburn	+1.9
5	2-3	CINCY	TCU×5	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+1.2
6	3-3	TCU	TCU×5	Ace	TCU	aced Andrea Simovski	+1.8
7	4-3	TCU	TCU×5	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Becca Kelley	+1.7
8	5-3	TCU	TCU×5	Ace	TCU	aced Audrey Rome	+1.6
9	6-3	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.5
10	6-4	TCU	CINCY	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.0
11	7-4		TCU	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.0
12	8-4	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Audrey Rome	blk Becca Kelley, Evan Hendrix	+1.3
13	8-5	TCU	CINCY	Serve err	TCU		+0.9
14	9-5	CINCY	TCU	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Jalyn Gibson, De'Andrea McMillian	+0.9
15–17	11-6		TCU 2 · CINCY	NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.2
18	11-7	TCU	CINCY×3	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+0.7
19	11-8	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+1.2
20	11-9	CINCY	CINCY×3	Blocked	Rosemary Archer	blk Andrea Simovski, Ligia Williams	+1.5
21	12-9	CINCY	TCU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.2
22	13-9	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+1.4
23	13-10	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.9
24	14-10	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+1.0
25	14-11	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.9
26	15-11	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Alice Volpe	+1.1
27	16-11	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+1.2
28	16-12	TCU	CINCY	Serve err	TCU		+0.6
29	16-13	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.3
30	17-13	CINCY	TCU	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson	+1.1
31	18-13	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix		+1.1
32–33	19-14		TCU · CINCY	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.2
34	19-15	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+0.6
35	20-15	CINCY	TCU×3	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+0.8
36	21-15		TCU	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.6
37	22-15	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU	aced Kayla Hostetler	+0.3
38	22-16	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+0.1
39	23-16	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
40	23-17	TCU	CINCY	Serve err	TCU		·
41	23-18	CINCY	CINCY	Bad set	Reese Wilburn		+0.2
42	24-18	CINCY	TCU	Bad set	Reese Wilburn		+0.2
43	24-19	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Reese Wilburn	·
44	25-19	CINCY	TCU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1		CINCY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.7
2	1-1	CINCY	TCU×5	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.6
3	2-1		TCU	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.9
4	3-1	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.8
5	4-1	TCU	TCU×5	Attack err	Ligia Williams		+0.7
6	5-1	TCU	TCU×5	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+0.7
7	5-2	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan		+0.4
8	6-2	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Alice Volpe	+0.5
9–10	7-3		TCU · CINCY	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
11	8-3	TCU	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.6
12	8-4	TCU	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.4
13	8-5	CINCY	CINCY×3	Blocked	Jalyn Gibson	blk Andrea Simovski, Lilian Entenmann	+0.6
14	8-6	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.8
15	9-6	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.6
16	10-6	TCU	TCU	Bad set	Andi Spies		+0.7
17	10-7	TCU	CINCY	Bad set	Andi Spies		+0.5
18	11-7	CINCY	TCU	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson	+0.5
19	12-7	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU	aced Viktoria Ninova	+0.6
20	12-8	TCU	CINCY	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.4
21	13-8	CINCY	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
22	14-8	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley		+0.5
23	15-8	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+0.3
24	15-9	TCU	CINCY×4	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+0.2
25	15-10	CINCY	CINCY×4	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Evan Hendrix	+0.3
26	15-11	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.5
27	15-12	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.7
28	16-12	CINCY	TCU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.6
29	16-13	TCU	CINCY	Serve err	TCU		+0.5
30	16-14	CINCY	CINCY	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.9
31	17-14	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Reese Wilburn	+0.8
32	17-15		CINCY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.7
33	18-15	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
34	19-15	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
35	19-16	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Kate Lijic	+0.5
36	19-17	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Jalyn Gibson	+0.9
37	20-17	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
38	21-17	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson	+0.9
39	21-18	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+0.4
40	21-19	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.9
41	22-19	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
42	23-19	TCU	TCU	Kill	Rosemary Archer	set Andi Spies	+0.8
43	23-20	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.3
44	24-20	CINCY	TCU	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.5
45	24-21	TCU	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan		+0.2
46	25-21	CINCY	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+0.3

Score shown after each rally, TCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

TCU def. Cincinnati 3–0