Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 9, 2026

Alabama def. Virginia 3–1

Alabama won at Virginia 3-1 (28-26, 25-23, 14-25, 25-16) on Wed, Sep 9, 2026. Alabama's Laney Hennessee and Kaleigh Palmer led with 14 kills each, and Dionii Fraga added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 9

Set1234Sets
ALA282514253
UVA262325161

Win probability

Virginia above 50 · Alabama below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.4% UVArally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Virginia — set 1, ALA 24-25 UVA. Point Virginia (not logged in NCAA feed). UVA win probability 33% → 42%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ALA 68.9%31.1% UVA

Alabama wins

3-0
22.5%
3-1
26.4%
3-2
19.9%

Virginia wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
11.0%
3-2
14.1%
ALA break %
46.1% vs this opp
UVA break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+9.4%

    Point Virginia (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · ALA 24-25 UVA · UVA 33% → 42%

  2. 02
    AlabamaService error+8.8%

    Alabama service error

    Set 1 · ALA 26-25 UVA · ALA 65% → 74%

  3. 03
    AlabamaAce+8.0%

    Alabama ace on Teagan Hogan

    Set 1 · ALA 28-26 UVA · ALA 74% → 82%

  4. 04
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+7.5%

    Point Alabama (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · ALA 25-25 UVA · ALA 58% → 65%

  5. 05
    VirginiaService error+6.9%

    Virginia service error

    Set 1 · ALA 24-23 UVA · ALA 67% → 74%

  6. 06
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+6.9%

    Point Virginia (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · ALA 24-24 UVA · UVA 26% → 33%

  7. 07
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+6.9%

    Point Virginia (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · ALA 26-26 UVA · UVA 26% → 33%

  8. 08
    Lily GervaseKill+6.9%

    Kill by Lily Gervase (set by Hannah Parant)

    Set 1 · ALA 27-26 UVA · ALA 67% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414628.2860339000017
414732.21910190031.515.5
4111026.0380005002112
45117.23501310010.56.5
4315.400422550111.56.5
1013-.33300000010.50.5
45011.45500000031.56.5
4000–021200002
4000–013400001
4000–2001500000
3000–101000000
2000–000200000
11011.000000000001
Team totals5326123.220469175241116.592
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413535.22900010010.513.5
48420.20002240111.511.5
47221.2380002006310
46212.333100000428
44111.27300160153.57.5
4000–1501900000
4317.28600020111.54.5
4000–1322400002
4000–4041400000
4000–000300000
4000–500510000
1000–001110000
1000–000000000
Team totals4115106.245384115193181290

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ALA · UVA 7

Set 1

28-26

Longest run 5 ALAUVA 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 ALAUVA 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 ALAUVA 7

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 6 ALAUVA 3

Bars above the line = Virginia leads, below = Alabama leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
50%5/10
2
100%5/5
55%6/11
3
56%5/9
29%2/7
4
67%4/6
20%1/5
5
80%4/5
33%2/6
6
67%4/6
64%7/11
All
69%27/39
46%23/50

Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%5/10
33%2/6
2
45%5/11
38%3/8
3
71%5/7
0%0/5
4
80%4/5
44%4/9
5
67%4/6
33%2/6
6
36%4/11
20%1/5
All
54%27/50
31%12/39

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#ALA-UVASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UVAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+1.6
22-0ALAALABlockedReagan Ennistblk Addison Engel, Kaleigh Palmer+2.0
32-1ALAUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+1.6
43-1UVAALAServe errVirginia+1.6
53-2ALAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+1.6
64-2UVAALA×3KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.6
75-2ALAALA×3Bad setOlivia Siskin+1.9
86-2ALAALA×3Bad setOlivia Siskin+1.7
96-3ALAUVAServe errAlabama+1.3
107-3UVAALAAttack errReese Wuebker+1.4
117-4ALAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+1.3
128-4UVAALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+1.4
139-4ALAALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.5
149-5ALAUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+1.1
1510-5UVAALAKillHannah Parant+1.2
1610-6ALAUVA×5KillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+1.1
1710-7UVAUVA×5Bad setHannah Parant+1.7
1810-8UVAUVA×5KillCaroline Lang+2.0
1910-9UVAUVA×5Attack errLaney Hennessee+2.4
2010-10UVAUVA×5BlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Lauryn Bowie, Caroline Lang+2.7
2111-10UVAALAServe errVirginia+2.1
2211-11ALAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+2.2
2311-12UVAUVABlockedAddison Engelblk Emily Fowler, Lauryn Bowie+3.0
2412-12UVAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+2.3
2512-13ALAUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Teagan Hogan+2.5
2612-14UVAUVAAttack errMya Allen+3.3
2713-14UVAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Emily Fowler+2.4
2813-15ALAUVAAttack errHannah Parant+2.7
2914-15UVAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+2.5
3014-16ALAUVA×3Attack errLaney Hennessee+2.9
3114-17UVAUVA×3KillCaroline Langset Olivia Siskin+3.5
3214-18UVAUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+3.1
3315-18UVAALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.9
3416-18ALAALAAttack errReese Wuebker+3.0
3516-19ALAUVA×3KillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+3.1
3616-20UVAUVA×3Attack errLaney Hennessee+3.3
3716-21UVAUVA×3KillLauryn Bowieset Katie Barrier+2.4
3817-21UVAALABlockedCaroline Langblk Hannah Parant+1.1
3918-21ALAALAKillAshby Daniel+2.2
4018-22ALAUVAAttack errAshby Daniel+2.6
4119-22ALA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
4220-22ALAALA×5BlockedLauryn Bowieblk Mya Allen, Ashby Daniel+3.0
4321-22ALAALA×5KillMya Allen+4.4
4422-22ALAALA×5KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+5.9
4523-22ALA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+6.8
4623-23ALAUVABlockedMya Allenblk Lauryn Bowie, Caroline Lang+5.3
4724-23UVAALAServe errVirginia+6.9
48–5025-25ALA · UVA 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+8.8
5126-25ALAALAServe errAlabama+8.8
5226-26UVA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+6.9
5327-26UVAALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+6.9
5428-26ALAALAAceAlabamaaced Teagan Hogan+8.0
Set 2
11-0ALAALAAceAlabama+1.7
21-1ALAUVAServe errAlabama+1.4
32-1UVAALAAttack errReagan Ennist+1.4
43-1ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Erin Clark+1.7
53-2ALAUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Hannah Scott+1.3
64-2UVAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+1.3
74-3ALAUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+1.4
85-3UVAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+1.4
95-4ALAUVAServe errAlabama+1.4
106-4UVAALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Meredith Reeg+1.4
116-5ALAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+1.4
127-5UVAALA×4Serve errVirginia+1.5
138-5ALAALA×4Bad setHannah Scott+1.7
149-5ALAALA×4AceAlabama+1.5
1510-5ALAALA×4KillKaleigh Palmer+1.3
1610-6ALAUVAServe errAlabama+0.9
1710-7UVAUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+1.4
1811-7UVAALAKillAshby Danielset Hannah Parant+1.2
1911-8ALAUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.1
2012-8UVAALAServe errVirginia+1.3
2112-9ALAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Teagan Hogan+1.1
2213-9UVAALAServe errVirginia+1.3
2313-10ALAUVA×5KillReagan Ennistset Teagan Hogan+1.2
2413-11UVAUVA×5BlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Reese Wuebker+1.8
2513-12UVAUVA×5BlockedMya Allenblk Emily Fowler, Becca Wight+2.2
2613-13UVAUVA×5KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+2.5
2713-14UVAUVA×5KillEmily Fowler+2.8
2814-14UVAALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+2.1
2914-15ALAUVAAttack errLaney Hennessee+2.3
3014-16UVAUVAKillCaroline Langset Olivia Siskin+3.0
3115-16UVAALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+2.1
3216-16ALAALAAttack errCaroline Lang+3.0
3316-17ALAUVAServe errAlabama+2.6
3416-18UVAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Caroline Lang+3.3
3517-18UVAALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+2.3
3618-18ALAALA×3KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+3.3
3719-18ALAALA×3KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+3.5
3819-19ALAUVAServe errAlabama+2.8
3920-19UVAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+3.0
4020-20ALAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+3.0
4120-21UVAUVAAttack errMya Allen+4.5
4221-21UVAALAKillAshby Danielset Hannah Parant+3.4
4321-22ALAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+4.1
4422-22UVAALA×3KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+3.9
4523-22ALAALA×3AceAlabama+5.7
4624-22ALAALA×3AceAlabama+5.2
4724-23ALAUVAAttack errMya Allen+2.4
4825-23UVAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+5.3
Set 3
10-1UVAUVABlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Reagan Ennist, Caroline Lang+1.1
20-2UVAUVAAceVirginia+1.1
31-2UVAALAServe errVirginia+0.8
41-3ALAUVAServe errAlabama+0.9
51-4UVAUVABlockedMya Allenblk Emily Fowler, Lauryn Bowie+1.1
62-4UVAALAServe errVirginia+0.8
73-4ALAALAAttack errReagan Ennist+1.1
83-5ALAUVAAttack errMya Allen+0.9
93-6UVAUVAAceVirginia+1.2
104-6UVAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.9
114-7ALAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Teagan Hogan+1.0
124-8UVA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
135-8UVAALABlockedReese Wuebkerblk Hannah Parant, Lily Gervase+0.8
145-9ALAUVAServe errAlabama+1.0
156-9UVAALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.8
166-10ALAUVAServe errAlabama+1.0
176-11UVAUVAAttack errKaleigh Palmer+1.1
187-11UVAALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.7
198-11ALAALA×3KillAshby Danielset Hannah Parant+1.1
209-11ALAALA×3Attack errLauryn Bowie+1.2
219-12ALAUVA×7Serve errAlabama+1.1
229-13UVAUVA×7Attack errKaleigh Palmer+1.3
239-14UVAUVA×7AceVirginia+1.2
249-15UVAUVA×7Attack errMya Allen+1.0
259-16UVAUVA×7KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.8
269-17UVAUVA×7Bad setHannah Parant+0.6
279-18UVAUVA×7Attack errKaleigh Palmer+0.4
2810-18UVAALABad setLauryn Bowie+0.2
2910-19ALAUVA×5KillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+0.3
3010-20UVAUVA×5KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.2
3110-21UVAUVA×5BlockedMya Allenblk Lauryn Bowie, Emily Fowler+0.1
3210-22UVAUVA×5BlockedMya Allenblk Emily Fowler, Lauryn Bowie·
3310-23UVAUVA×5KillReagan Ennistset Katie Barrier·
3411-23UVAALAKillTea Simicset Kaleigh Palmer·
3511-24ALAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott·
3612-24UVAALA×3KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant·
3713-24ALAALA×3KillLaney Hennesseeset Dionii Fraga·
3814-24ALAALA×3Attack errReagan Ennist·
3914-25ALAUVAAttack errLaney Hennessee·
Set 4
11-0ALAALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+2.5
21-1ALAUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+2.0
32-1UVAALA×6KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+2.0
43-1ALAALA×6KillKaleigh Palmerset Dionii Fraga+2.4
54-1ALAALA×6BlockedReagan Ennistblk Kaleigh Palmer, Ashby Daniel+2.3
65-1ALAALA×6AceAlabama+2.0
76-1ALAALA×6KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.8
87-1ALAALA×6BlockedReese Wuebkerblk Kaleigh Palmer, Mya Allen, Ashby Daniel+1.5
97-2ALAUVAServe errAlabama+1.0
108-2UVAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.2
118-3ALAUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+1.0
129-3UVAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+1.2
139-4ALAUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+1.0
1410-4UVAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.2
1511-4ALAALAAttack errBecca Wight+1.2
1611-5ALAUVAServe errAlabama+0.8
1712-5UVAALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.9
1813-5ALAALAKillHannah Parantset Hannah Scott+0.9
1913-6ALAUVAServe errAlabama+0.5
2014-6UVAALAKillAshby Danielset Hannah Parant+0.7
2114-7ALAUVA×3Serve errAlabama+0.5
2214-8UVAUVA×3Attack errKaleigh Palmer+0.9
2314-9UVAUVA×3KillAshby Danielset Katie Barrier+1.2
2415-9UVAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+1.2
2515-10ALAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+0.9
2616-10UVAALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.2
2716-11ALAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Olivia Siskin+0.9
2817-11UVAALAServe errVirginia+1.2
2918-11ALAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.0
3018-12ALAUVAServe errAlabama+0.5
3118-13UVAUVABlockedLily Gervaseblk Caroline Lang, Reese Wuebker+1.0
3219-13UVAALAServe errVirginia+1.1
3319-14ALAUVAServe errAlabama+0.7
3420-14UVAALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+1.0
3521-14ALAALAAceAlabamaaced Ruby McDermott+0.7
3621-15ALAUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.3
3721-16UVAUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Katie Barrier+0.7
3822-16UVAALA×4KillHannah Parant+0.8
3923-16ALAALA×4KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.5
4024-16ALAALA×4AceAlabama+0.1
4125-16ALAALA×4KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant·

Score shown after each rally, Alabama first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).