FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayHORIZON

0:3

HomeATLANTIC-10

Duquesne def. Robert Morris 3–0

(25-16, 25-19, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ROBMOR	16	19	16	0
DUQSNE	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DUQSNE above 50 · ROBMOR below

Biggest swing: 0.9% to Robert Morris — set 1, ROBMOR 8-7 DUQSNE. Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard). DUQSNE win probability 95% → 94%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ROBMOR 4.5%95.5% DUQSNE

Robert Morris wins

3-0

0.5%

3-1

1.2%

3-2

2.7%

Duquesne wins

3-0

57.0%

3-1

29.2%

3-2

9.3%

ROBMOR break %: 36.2% vs this opp
DUQSNE break %: 49.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lauren DeckerKill+0.9%
Kill by Lauren Decker (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 1 · ROBMOR 8-7 DUQSNE · ROBMOR 5% → 6%
02
Londyn StoneAttack error+0.9%
Londyn Stone stuffed by Addyson Butts & Kenlee Barnard
Set 2 · ROBMOR 18-18 DUQSNE · ROBMOR 2% → 3%
03
Layla ToddAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Layla Todd
Set 2 · ROBMOR 18-20 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 97% → 98%
04
Madeleine BushKill+0.7%
Kill by Madeleine Bush
Set 1 · ROBMOR 8-9 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 95% → 96%
05
Emersen SchromAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Emersen Schrom
Set 1 · ROBMOR 3-2 DUQSNE · ROBMOR 4% → 5%
06
Londyn StoneKill+0.6%
Kill by Londyn Stone (set by Chloe Wilmot)
Set 2 · ROBMOR 18-19 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 97% → 97%
07
Simone SearlesKill+0.6%
Kill by Simone Searles (set by Chloe Wilmot)
Set 1 · ROBMOR 5-6 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 95% → 96%
08
Chloe WilmotAttack error+0.6%
Chloe Wilmot stuffed by Addyson Butts
Set 2 · ROBMOR 8-6 DUQSNE · ROBMOR 3% → 4%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Robert Morrisaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Lauren DeckerOH	3	13	2	29	.379	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13
9Layla ToddOH	3	8	11	36	-.083	0	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	8
15Keira HornungMB	3	4	1	14	.214	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
5Addyson ButtsMB	3	1	0	6	.167	0	1	3	2	0	1	2	2	4
1Kenlee BarnardS	3	0	0	2	.000	18	1	1	5	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
12Cat SmithL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	4	2	0	0	0	1
3Tia SchultzOH	3	3	3	16	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
10Anahi AlvaradoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	1	9	0	0	0	0	2
16Addison FowlerDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	0
8Maddie SiphakongvisethL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
4Natalie StepanovichOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Isabelle JacksonS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	17	103	.117	28	5	6	37	7	1	6	4	51

Duquesnehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Simone SearlesOH	3	17	0	29	.586	0	0	2	6	0	2	1	18
11Emersen SchromOH	3	12	2	26	.385	1	0	2	8	1	1	0.5	12.5
8Londyn StoneOH	3	4	4	16	.000	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	5
2Chloe WilmotS	3	2	1	3	.333	33	3	1	6	0	0	0	5
14Jordan RobertsonMB	3	3	0	6	.500	0	1	2	5	0	1	0.5	4.5
4Madeleine BushMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
10Delaney McIntoshL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	8	1	0	0	1
16Alexa FlowersDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Charlotte ArringtonOH	1	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	1
1Kaylie BaumgartMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Keely McMahon-ReganS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	9	92	.359	40	7	8	46	5	6	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 ROBMOR · DUQSNE 5

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 ROBMORDUQSNE 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 ROBMORDUQSNE 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 ROBMORDUQSNE 5

Bars above the line = Duquesne leads, below = Robert Morris leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Robert Morris

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	29%7/24	44%4/9
2	88%7/8	0%0/7
3	60%6/10	42%5/12
4	60%6/10	14%1/7
5	55%6/11	33%3/9
6	36%4/11	25%2/8
All	49%36/74	29%15/52

Duquesne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	70%14/20
2	78%7/9	53%8/15
3	67%6/9	40%4/10
4	86%6/7	40%4/10
5	55%6/11	33%3/9
6	63%5/8	50%5/10
All	71%37/52	51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	ROBMOR-DUQSNE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
2	1-1	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.4
3	1-2	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Layla Todd	+0.5
4	2-2	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.4
5	3-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Emersen Schrom		+0.7
6	3-3	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.5
7	4-3	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.6
8	4-4	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.5
9	5-4	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.6
10	5-5	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Delaney McIntosh	+0.5
11	5-6	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.6
12	6-6	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.5
13	6-7	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.5
14	7-7	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Attack err	Emersen Schrom		+0.5
15	8-7	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.9
16	8-8	ROBMOR	DUQSNE×3	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.6
17	8-9	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Madeleine Bush		+0.7
18	8-10	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Cat Smith	+0.6
19	9-10	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
20	9-11	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.5
21	10-11	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
22	10-12	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.5
23	11-12	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
24	11-13	ROBMOR	DUQSNE×3	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.5
25	11-14	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Attack err	Tia Schultz		+0.6
26	11-15	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.4
27	12-15	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.3
28	12-16	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Jordan Robertson	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.3
29	13-16	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.3
30	13-17	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.3
31	13-18	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.3
32	14-18	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Attack err	Madeleine Bush		+0.2
33	14-19	ROBMOR	DUQSNE×3	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.2
34	14-20	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Lauren Decker	+0.2
35	14-21	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Simone Searles	set Delaney McIntosh	+0.1
36	15-21	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Attack err	Londyn Stone	blk Kenlee Barnard, Keira Hornung	+0.0
37	15-22	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
38	16-22	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
39	16-23	ROBMOR	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
40	16-24	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.0
41	16-25	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Attack err	Keira Hornung		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Emersen Schrom	+0.4
2	1-1	ROBMOR	DUQSNE×4	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.3
3	1-2	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.3
4	1-3	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Layla Todd	+0.3
5	1-4	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.2
6	2-4	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
7	2-5	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.2
8	3-5	DUQSNE	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Anahi Alvarado	+0.2
9	4-5	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Anahi Alvarado	+0.3
10	5-5	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Londyn Stone	+0.4
11	6-5	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Team	+0.5
12	6-6	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Chloe Wilmot	set Emersen Schrom	+0.3
13	7-6	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.4
14	8-6	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Chloe Wilmot	blk Addyson Butts	+0.6
15	8-7	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Bad set	Kenlee Barnard		+0.4
16	9-7	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.5
17	9-8	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.4
18	9-9	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Layla Todd	blk Madeleine Bush, Simone Searles	+0.5
19	10-9	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
20	10-10	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Delaney McIntosh	+0.4
21	11-10	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.5
22	11-11	ROBMOR	DUQSNE×5	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.4
23	11-12	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.5
24	11-13	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.5
25	11-14	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Kill	Jordan Robertson		+0.4
26	11-15	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.3
27	12-15	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.2
28	12-16	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Attack err	Tia Schultz	blk Jordan Robertson, Emersen Schrom	+0.2
29	13-16	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.2
30	13-17	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.2
31	14-17	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.2
32	14-18	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Chloe Wilmot	set Delaney McIntosh	+0.2
33	15-18	DUQSNE	ROBMOR×4	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.2
34	16-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Kill	Layla Todd	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.4
35	17-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Attack err	Londyn Stone		+0.6
36	18-18	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×4	Attack err	Londyn Stone	blk Addyson Butts, Kenlee Barnard	+0.9
37	18-19	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.6
38	18-20	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.7
39	19-20	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.5
40	19-21	ROBMOR	DUQSNE×5	Attack err	Layla Todd	blk Madeleine Bush, Simone Searles	+0.6
41	19-22	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.6
42	19-23	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Kill	Madeleine Bush	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.3
43	19-24	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
44	19-25	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Bad set	Kenlee Barnard		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
2	0-2	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
3	1-2	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.1
4	1-3	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
5	2-3	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Isabelle Jackson	+0.1
6	2-4	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Madeleine Bush	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
7	2-5	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Tia Schultz		+0.1
8	3-5	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Anahi Alvarado	+0.1
9	3-6	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
10	3-7	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Kill	Jordan Robertson	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
11	4-7	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Isabelle Jackson	+0.1
12	4-8	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
13	5-8	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
14	6-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Delaney McIntosh	+0.1
15	6-9	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.1
16	6-10	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Cat Smith	+0.1
17	7-10	DUQSNE	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Londyn Stone	blk Kenlee Barnard, Addyson Butts	+0.1
18	8-10	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Charlotte Arrington	+0.1
19	9-10	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Charlotte Arrington		+0.2
20	9-11	ROBMOR	DUQSNE×5	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.1
21	9-12	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Addison Fowler	+0.1
22	9-13	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.1
23	9-14	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.1
24	9-15	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.1
25	10-15	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Cat Smith	+0.0
26	10-16	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
27	11-16	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Keira Hornung	set Isabelle Jackson	+0.0
28	12-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Tia Schultz	+0.1
29	12-17	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Delaney McIntosh	+0.1
30	12-18	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
31	13-18	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Isabelle Jackson	+0.0
32	13-19	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
33	13-20	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Bad set	Isabelle Jackson		+0.0
34	14-20	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Anahi Alvarado	+0.0
35	14-21	ROBMOR	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
36	14-22	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
37	14-23	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.0
38	15-23	DUQSNE	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
39	16-23	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
40	16-24	ROBMOR	DUQSNE	Kill	Charlotte Arrington	set Delaney McIntosh	+0.0
41	16-25	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Addison Fowler	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Robert Morris first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.