Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Davidson def. Duquesne 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Duquesne 57.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Davidson beat visiting Duquesne 3-1 (25-18, 25-20, 16-25, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Davidson's Elena Garcia-Guerrios led with 21 kills, and Brooke Briscoe added 24 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set1234Sets
DUQSNE182025211
DAVID252516253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Elena Garcia-guerrios hit .362 on 47 swings as Davidson edged Duquesne.

The match turned twice; each line shows Davidson's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Duquesne went in at 57% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Duquesne 5–3 Davidson

    Down 3–5, Davidson scored 9 straight to lead 12–5.

    Davidson 58% → 81%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Duquesne 21–22 Davidson

    3 straight Davidson points stretched a 22–21 lead to 25–21.

    Davidson 83% → >99%

Davidson above 50Duquesne belowMax swing 7.1%

DuquesneDavidson

Sideout %
Duquesne 60.0·Davidson 64.7
Break %
Duquesne 35.3·Davidson 40.0
Hitting
Duquesne .204·Davidson .262
Longest run
Duquesne 4·Davidson 9

Elena Garcia-Guerrios
4 kills inside the turning points, 21 K and .362 for the match (22 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Davidson above 50 · Duquesne below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.1% DAVIDrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.1% to Davidson — set 4, DUQSNE 21-23 DAVID. Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Kinsey Smith). DAVID win probability 83% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DUQSNE 50.7%49.3% DAVID

Duquesne wins

3-0
12.8%
3-1
19.0%
3-2
18.9%

Davidson wins

3-0
12.2%
3-1
18.5%
3-2
18.6%
DUQSNE break %
42.9% vs this opp
DAVID break %
42.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 21-23 DAVID · DAVID 83% → 90%

  2. 02
    DavidsonAce+6.9%

    Davidson ace on Londyn Stone

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 21-24 DAVID · DAVID 90% → 97%

  3. 03

    Kill by Emersen Schrom (set by Delaney McIntosh)

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 21-22 DAVID · DUQSNE 10% → 17%

  4. 04
    Kinsey SmithKill+5.1%

    Kill by Kinsey Smith

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 14-17 DAVID · DAVID 82% → 87%

  5. 05

    Kill by Jordan Robertson (set by Chloe Wilmot)

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 14-15 DAVID · DUQSNE 17% → 22%

  6. 06
    DavidsonAce+4.5%

    Davidson ace on Emersen Schrom

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 15-19 DAVID · DAVID 88% → 93%

  7. 07
    Ariyana JohnsonAttack error+4.3%

    Attack error by Ariyana Johnson

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 20-22 DAVID · DUQSNE 6% → 10%

  8. 08
    Simone SearlesAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Simone Searles

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 11-15 DAVID · DAVID 85% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415022.68200000031.516.5
413742.143011102031.515.5
410629.1380009004212
49640.07501015202111
4319.22200010073.56.5
4005.0004510140010.51.5
4000–3201900002
4000–000000000
2000–000100000
Team totals5020147.20448516940201084
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421447.3620128300022
413123.52200000031.514.5
413834.14700010010.513.5
410642.09512112200012
4405.80047011100426
42111.091000100213
4000–8112400001
4001.0001011000000
2000–001200000
2000–001100000
1001.000000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals6320164.2625848705010591

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Duquesne vs Davidson

Season series · Davidson leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DUQSNE · DAVID 9

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 DUQSNEDAVID 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 DUQSNEDAVID 9

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 3 DUQSNEDAVID 1

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 DUQSNEDAVID 4

Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = Duquesne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Duquesne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
44%8/18
2
56%9/16
17%2/12
3
39%9/23
55%11/20
4
50%9/18
31%4/13
5
90%9/10
10%1/10
6
89%8/9
33%4/12
All
60%54/90
35%30/85

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
9%1/11
2
64%9/14
47%8/17
3
45%9/20
44%7/16
4
90%9/10
61%14/23
5
80%8/10
36%5/14
6
73%8/11
11%1/9
All
65%55/85
40%36/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#DUQSNE-DAVIDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DAVIDDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.8
21-1DUQSNEDAVID×5KillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+1.8
31-2DAVIDDAVID×5Attack errSimone Searles+2.5
41-3DAVIDDAVID×5AceDavidsonaced Emersen Schrom+2.6
51-4DAVIDDAVID×5KillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+2.5
61-5DAVIDDAVID×5Attack errLondyn Stone+2.4
72-5DAVIDDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.6
82-6DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.8
92-7DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.2
103-7DAVIDDUQSNEServe errDavidson+1.4
113-8DUQSNEDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Meile Songaila+1.7
123-9DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.0
133-10DAVIDDAVID×3KillKinsey Smithset Chloe Wilmot+1.6
144-10DAVIDDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+0.9
154-11DUQSNEDAVIDAttack errEmersen Schrom+1.2
165-11DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+0.9
176-11DUQSNEDUQSNEBlockedMeile Songailablk Chloe Wilmot, Madeleine Bush+1.6
186-12DUQSNEDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.5
197-12DAVIDDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+1.2
207-13DUQSNEDAVIDBad setMadeleine Bush+1.5
218-13DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+1.1
228-14DUQSNEDAVIDAttack errLondyn Stone+1.5
239-14DAVIDDUQSNE×4KillMadeleine Bushset Chloe Wilmot+1.1
2410-14DUQSNEDUQSNE×4BlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Jordan Robertson, Londyn Stone+1.9
2511-14DUQSNEDUQSNE×4KillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+2.4
2612-14DUQSNEDUQSNE×4KillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+2.8
2712-15DUQSNEDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+2.5
2812-16DAVIDDAVID×4AceDavidsonaced Londyn Stone+3.0
2912-17DAVIDDAVID×4KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.4
3012-18DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errSimone Searles+1.8
3113-18DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+0.9
3214-18DUQSNEDUQSNEAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.7
3314-19DUQSNEDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.8
3414-20DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+1.7
3514-21DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.0
3615-21DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+0.3
3715-22DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.6
3816-22DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+0.2
3916-23DUQSNEDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.5
4017-23DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.1
4117-24DUQSNEDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.3
4218-24DAVIDDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.1
4318-25DUQSNEDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+0.1
Set 2
11-0DUQSNEDUQSNEAceDuquesneaced Meile Songaila+2.6
21-1DUQSNEDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.0
32-1DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+2.0
42-2DUQSNEDAVIDServe errEmersen Schrom+2.0
52-3DAVIDDAVIDAttack errSimone Searles+2.8
63-3DAVIDDUQSNE×3KillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+2.1
74-3DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+2.8
85-3DUQSNEDUQSNE×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+2.7
95-4DUQSNEDAVID×9KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.0
105-5DAVIDDAVID×9Attack errSimone Searles+2.9
115-6DAVIDDAVID×9BlockedLondyn Stoneblk Mia Compas, Kinsey Smith+3.0
125-7DAVIDDAVID×9KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+3.0
135-8DAVIDDAVID×9KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+3.0
145-9DAVIDDAVID×9KillMia Compas+2.8
155-10DAVIDDAVID×9KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.5
165-11DAVIDDAVID×9Attack errEmersen Schrom+2.1
175-12DAVIDDAVID×9KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.7
186-12DAVIDDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.0
196-13DUQSNEDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.3
206-14DAVIDDAVIDAttack errLondyn Stone+1.3
217-14DAVIDDUQSNEServe errDavidson+0.7
227-15DUQSNEDAVIDKillKinsey Smithset Ellie Ocampo+0.9
238-15DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+0.6
249-15DUQSNEDUQSNEAttack errMyla Young+1.1
259-16DUQSNEDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.2
2610-16DAVIDDUQSNEKillMadeleine Bushset Chloe Wilmot+0.8
2710-17DUQSNEDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Brooke Briscoe+1.1
2811-17DAVIDDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.7
2911-18DUQSNEDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.1
3012-18DAVIDDUQSNE×4BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Madeleine Bush, Simone Searles+0.7
3113-18DUQSNEDUQSNE×4AceDuquesneaced Meile Songaila+1.3
3214-18DUQSNEDUQSNE×4Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.8
3315-18DUQSNEDUQSNE×4Attack errAriyana Johnson+2.5
3415-19DUQSNEDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.6
3515-20DAVIDDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.5
3616-20DAVIDDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Delaney McIntosh+1.2
3716-21DUQSNEDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.8
3817-21DAVIDDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+1.0
3917-22DUQSNEDAVIDAttack errEmersen Schrom+1.7
4018-22DAVIDDUQSNEServe errDavidson+0.9
4119-22DUQSNEDUQSNEAttack errMeile Songaila+2.0
4219-23DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.5
4320-23DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+1.2
4420-24DUQSNEDAVIDAttack errSimone Searles+2.2
4520-25DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.9
Set 3
11-0DAVIDDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+1.4
21-1DUQSNEDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.4
32-1DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+1.4
42-2DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.4
53-2DAVIDDUQSNE×3KillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+1.4
64-2DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+1.9
75-2DUQSNEDUQSNE×3BlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Jordan Robertson, Emersen Schrom+1.8
85-3DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+1.3
96-3DAVIDDUQSNEServe errDavidson+1.4
107-3DUQSNEDUQSNEBlockedMia Compasblk Emersen Schrom, Madeleine Bush+1.7
117-4DUQSNEDAVIDBlockedEmersen Schromblk Mia Compas, Kinsey Smith+1.1
128-4DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+1.3
138-5DUQSNEDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.1
149-5DAVIDDUQSNEServe errDavidson+1.3
1510-5DUQSNEDUQSNEAceDuquesneaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.5
1610-6DUQSNEDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.0
1711-6DAVIDDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.1
1811-7DUQSNEDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.0
1912-7DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+1.1
2012-8DUQSNEDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.0
2113-8DAVIDDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+1.2
2214-8DUQSNEDUQSNEAceDuquesneaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.2
2314-9DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.7
2415-9DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.9
2515-10DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.7
2616-10DAVIDDUQSNEServe errDavidson+0.9
2717-10DUQSNEDUQSNEBlockedMeile Songailablk Madeleine Bush, Simone Searles+0.8
2817-11DUQSNEDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.4
2918-11DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.6
3018-12DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.4
3119-12DAVIDDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Delaney McIntosh+0.6
3220-12DUQSNEDUQSNEBlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Londyn Stone, Jordan Robertson+0.4
3320-13DUQSNEDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+0.2
3421-13DAVIDDUQSNEBad setAriyana Johnson+0.3
3522-13DUQSNEDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Ariyana Johnson+0.2
3622-14DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith·
3723-14DAVIDDUQSNEAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.1
3823-15DUQSNEDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith·
3924-15DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot·
4024-16DUQSNEDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kate Whiteley·
4125-16DAVIDDUQSNEAttack errMeile Songaila·
Set 4
11-0DUQSNEDUQSNE×3BlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Madeleine Bush, Emersen Schrom+3.4
22-0DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+3.4
33-0DUQSNEDUQSNE×3BlockedMeile Songailablk Madeleine Bush, Simone Searles+3.2
43-1DUQSNEDAVIDAttack errMadeleine Bush+2.3
54-1DAVIDDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+2.5
64-2DUQSNEDAVIDAttack errLondyn Stone+2.3
74-3DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.4
85-3DAVIDDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+2.7
95-4DUQSNEDAVIDAttack errEmersen Schrom+2.6
106-4DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+2.8
116-5DUQSNEDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.7
126-6DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedLondyn Stoneblk Mia Compas, Kinsey Smith+3.9
136-7DAVIDDAVID×4KillKinsey Smithset Brooke Briscoe+4.1
146-8DAVIDDAVID×4KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+4.1
157-8DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+2.9
167-9DUQSNEDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+3.2
177-10DAVIDDAVIDBlockedEmersen Schromblk Myla Young, Kinsey Smith+4.1
188-10DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+2.8
198-11DUQSNEDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Brooke Briscoe+3.2
209-11DAVIDDUQSNEAttack errAriyana Johnson+2.8
219-12DUQSNEDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.3
229-13DAVIDDAVIDBlockedEmersen Schromblk Ariyana Johnson, Myla Young+4.0
2310-13DAVIDDUQSNEServe errMeile Songaila+2.5
2411-13DUQSNEDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Brooke Briscoe+4.0
2511-14DUQSNEDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.5
2611-15DAVIDDAVIDAttack errSimone Searles+4.1
2712-15DAVIDDUQSNE×3KillMadeleine Bushset Chloe Wilmot+2.5
2813-15DUQSNEDUQSNE×3AceDuquesneaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+4.1
2914-15DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+4.8
3014-16DUQSNEDAVIDBad setDelaney McIntosh+4.1
3114-17DAVIDDAVIDKillKinsey Smith+5.1
3215-17DAVIDDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+3.2
3315-18DUQSNEDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+4.0
3415-19DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Emersen Schrom+4.5
3516-19DAVIDDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+2.5
3616-20DUQSNEDAVIDBad setDelaney McIntosh+3.4
3717-20DAVIDDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+2.4
3817-21DUQSNEDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+3.5
3917-22DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.0
4018-22DAVIDDUQSNE×4Serve errKinsey Smith+1.1
4119-22DUQSNEDUQSNE×4BlockedMeile Songailablk Madeleine Bush, Simone Searles+2.6
4220-22DUQSNEDUQSNE×4Attack errAriyana Johnson+4.3
4321-22DUQSNEDUQSNE×4KillEmersen Schromset Delaney McIntosh+6.6
4421-23DUQSNEDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+7.1
4521-24DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Londyn Stone+6.9
4621-25DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.8

Score shown after each rally, Duquesne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).