Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

Ohio def. Morgan St. 3–1

Ohio beat visiting Morgan St. 3-1 (25-27, 25-19, 25-20, 25-19) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Ohio's Rose Mahin led with 14 kills.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
MORGAN271920191
OHIO252525253

Win probability

Ohio above 50 · Morgan St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.4% MORGANrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.4% to Morgan St. — set 1, MORGAN 27-25 OHIO. Attack error by Gentry Brown. OHIO win probability 89% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MORGAN 4.5%95.5% OHIO

Morgan St. wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.2%
3-2
2.7%

Ohio wins

3-0
57.1%
3-1
29.2%
3-2
9.3%
MORGAN break %
34.6% vs this opp
OHIO break %
47.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gentry BrownAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Gentry Brown

    Set 1 · MORGAN 27-25 OHIO · MORGAN 11% → 16%

  2. 02
    Rowan KellyBad set+3.9%

    Bad set by Rowan Kelly

    Set 1 · MORGAN 25-24 OHIO · MORGAN 7% → 11%

  3. 03
    Tre'Niya MillerBlock+2.9%

    Rose Mahin stuffed by Tre'Niya Miller

    Set 1 · MORGAN 24-24 OHIO · MORGAN 4% → 7%

  4. 04
    Bailey BlairKill+2.9%

    Kill by Bailey Blair (set by Gentry Brown)

    Set 1 · MORGAN 25-25 OHIO · OHIO 89% → 92%

  5. 05
    OhioService error+2.9%

    Ohio service error

    Set 1 · MORGAN 26-25 OHIO · MORGAN 8% → 11%

  6. 06
    Morgan St.Ace+2.4%

    Morgan St. ace on Darbi Ricketts

    Set 3 · MORGAN 18-19 OHIO · MORGAN 7% → 10%

  7. 07
    Bailey BlairKill+2.1%

    Kill by Bailey Blair (set by Rose Mahin)

    Set 1 · MORGAN 21-21 OHIO · OHIO 91% → 93%

  8. 08
    Michaela PanekovaBad set+2.1%

    Bad set by Michaela Panekova

    Set 1 · MORGAN 21-22 OHIO · OHIO 93% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
46625.000031310009
46325.120013401018
4509.556000002027
46110.500000000006
4107.1432532801015
34110.300000530004
41011.000021400003
4004.000000200000
3000–001100000
1315.400000000003
1102.500000000001
1000–100000000
Team totals331298.214269827940485
Ohiohome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414531.2902028200014
410720.1501222010113
411122.4550018000011
47213.385002100007
45412.083311710006
4214.2502523600004
44010.4001700200004
4001.000241410004
312215.6670002000012
3000–100110000
22Lacy MarxL/DS
3000–200110000
1102.500000000001
1000–101000000
Team totals6622130.33854913429101100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MORGAN · OHIO 5

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 3 MORGANOHIO 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 MORGANOHIO 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 MORGANOHIO 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 MORGANOHIO 4

Bars above the line = Ohio leads, below = Morgan St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Morgan St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
38%6/16
2
59%10/17
42%8/19
3
53%9/17
33%5/15
4
62%8/13
36%5/14
5
57%8/14
27%3/11
6
42%8/19
27%3/11
All
56%55/99
35%30/86

Ohio

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
41%7/17
2
63%10/16
35%6/17
3
56%10/18
50%10/20
4
73%8/11
47%7/15
5
67%8/12
20%2/10
6
73%8/11
60%12/20
All
65%56/86
44%44/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#MORGAN-OHIOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Lacy Marx+0.7
21-1MORGANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.4
32-1OHIOMORGANAttack errBailey Blair+0.5
43-1MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.+0.8
53-2MORGANOHIO×5KillBailey Blairset Cienna Lapsley+0.5
63-3OHIOOHIO×5Attack errJada Williams+0.7
73-4OHIOOHIO×5AceOhio+0.6
83-5OHIOOHIO×5AceOhio+0.5
93-6OHIOOHIO×5KillOlivia Gardner+0.4
104-6OHIOMORGAN×3KillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+0.3
115-6MORGANMORGAN×3Bad setLacy Marx+0.6
126-6MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errOlivia Gardner+0.7
136-7MORGANOHIOKillGentry Brownset Lillie Meinhart+0.5
147-7OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+0.5
157-8MORGANOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Lillie Meinhart+0.5
168-8OHIOMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.6
179-8MORGANMORGANAttack errRose Mahin+0.9
189-9MORGANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Bryn Janke+0.6
199-10OHIOOHIOAttack errMichaela Panekova+0.8
2010-10OHIOMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.6
2111-10MORGANMORGANAttack errCienna Lapsley+1.0
2211-11MORGANOHIOServe errMorgan St.+0.7
2311-12OHIOOHIOAttack errMichaela Panekova+0.9
2412-12OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+0.7
2512-13MORGANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.6
2612-14OHIOOHIOKillGentry Brownset Lacy Marx+0.8
2713-14OHIOMORGAN×3Bad setGentry Brown+0.6
2814-14MORGANMORGAN×3AceMorgan St.+1.0
2915-14MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errCienna Lapsley+1.3
3015-15MORGANOHIOKillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart+0.8
3116-15OHIOMORGANAttack errLillie Meinhart+1.0
3216-16MORGANOHIOKillGentry Brownset Aubrey Wilson+0.9
3317-16OHIOMORGAN×3KillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+1.1
3418-16MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errGentry Brown+1.8
3519-16MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errGentry Brown+1.9
3619-17MORGANOHIOKillGentry Brownset Lacy Marx+1.0
3720-17OHIOMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+1.5
3821-17MORGANMORGANKillIsabelle Brownset Rowan Kelly+1.9
3921-18MORGANOHIO×5KillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+0.7
4021-19OHIOOHIO×5KillCienna Lapsleyset Rowan Kelly+1.5
4121-20OHIOOHIO×5Attack errAubrey Wilson+1.9
4221-21OHIOOHIO×5KillBailey Blairset Rose Mahin+2.1
4321-22OHIOOHIO×5Bad setMichaela Panekova+2.1
4422-22OHIOMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+1.5
4522-23MORGANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+1.6
4622-24OHIOOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Cienna Lapsley+1.9
4723-24OHIOMORGAN×3KillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.7
4824-24MORGANMORGAN×3BlockedRose Mahinblk Tre'Niya Miller+2.9
4925-24MORGANMORGAN×3Bad setRowan Kelly+3.9
5025-25MORGANOHIOKillBailey Blairset Gentry Brown+2.9
5126-25OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+2.9
5227-25MORGANMORGANAttack errGentry Brown+5.4
Set 2
11-0OHIOMORGANBlockedCienna Lapsleyblk Tre'Niya Miller+1.3
21-1MORGANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Lillie Meinhart+1.1
32-1OHIOMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+1.4
42-2MORGANOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Lillie Meinhart+1.2
52-3OHIOOHIOAceOhio+1.6
63-3OHIOMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+1.2
73-4MORGANOHIO×3Serve errMorgan St.+1.1
83-5OHIOOHIO×3Bad setAubrey Wilson+1.4
93-6OHIOOHIO×3KillRowan Kellyset Rose Mahin+1.2
104-6OHIOMORGANBad setTorre Kildow+0.8
114-7MORGANOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+0.8
125-7OHIOMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.9
136-7MORGANMORGANKillKira Devrieze+1.6
146-8MORGANOHIO×4KillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+1.1
156-9OHIOOHIO×4KillCienna Lapsleyset Rowan Kelly+1.3
166-10OHIOOHIO×4KillRowan Kellyset Isabelle Brown+1.0
176-11OHIOOHIO×4Bad setIsabelle Brown+0.8
187-11OHIOMORGANKillNathalia Morais+0.5
197-12MORGANOHIOAttack errNathalia Morais+0.5
207-13OHIOOHIOKillLillie Meinhartset Isabelle Brown+0.5
218-13OHIOMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.3
228-14MORGANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Lillie Meinhart+0.4
239-14OHIOMORGANKillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+0.3
249-15MORGANOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Lillie Meinhart+0.4
259-16OHIOOHIOAceOhio+0.3
2610-16OHIOMORGAN×4KillNathalia Moraisset Isabelle Brown+0.2
2711-16MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errOlivia Gardner+0.4
2812-16MORGANMORGAN×4AceMorgan St.aced Rose Mahin+0.7
2913-16MORGANMORGAN×4Attack errTorre Kildow+1.0
3013-17MORGANOHIO×3KillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart+0.9
3113-18OHIOOHIO×3KillTorre Kildowset Rose Mahin+0.8
3213-19OHIOOHIO×3KillOlivia Gardnerset Bailey Blair+0.5
3314-19OHIOMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.2
3414-20MORGANOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+0.3
3515-20OHIOMORGANBlockedRose Mahinblk Isabelle Brown+0.2
3616-20MORGANMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.5
3716-21MORGANOHIOAttack errMichaela Panekova+0.5
3817-21OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+0.3
3918-21MORGANMORGANAttack errRose Mahin+0.9
4018-22MORGANOHIOServe errMorgan St.+0.9
4118-23OHIOOHIOAceOhioaced Nathalia Morais+0.6
4219-23OHIOMORGANAttack errCienna Lapsley+0.2
4319-24MORGANOHIOKillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart+0.3
4419-25OHIOOHIOAttack errJada Williams+0.1
Set 3
10-1MORGANOHIOBlockedMichaela Panekovablk Cienna Lapsley+0.8
21-1OHIOMORGANBad setTorre Kildow+1.0
32-1MORGANMORGANAttack errCienna Lapsley+1.6
42-2MORGANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+1.0
52-3OHIOOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Lillie Meinhart+1.4
63-3OHIOMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+1.1
73-4MORGANOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Darbi Ricketts+0.9
83-5OHIOOHIOKillTorre Kildow+1.2
94-5OHIOMORGANAttack errJada Williams+0.9
104-6MORGANOHIOKillRowan Kelly+0.8
115-6OHIOMORGANAttack errGentry Brown+0.9
125-7MORGANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.9
136-7OHIOMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+1.0
146-8MORGANOHIO×3KillRose Mahinset Darbi Ricketts+0.9
156-9OHIOOHIO×3AceOhioaced Nathalia Morais+1.1
166-10OHIOOHIO×3Bad setMichaela Panekova+0.9
177-10OHIOMORGANAttack errCienna Lapsley+0.6
187-11MORGANOHIO×3KillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart+0.6
197-12OHIOOHIO×3Attack errJada Williams+0.7
207-13OHIOOHIO×3Bad setJada Williams+0.5
218-13OHIOMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+0.3
229-13MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.+0.6
239-14MORGANOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Lillie Meinhart+0.5
2410-14OHIOMORGAN×4KillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+0.4
2511-14MORGANMORGAN×4Bad setLillie Meinhart+0.9
2612-14MORGANMORGAN×4AceMorgan St.aced Rose Mahin+1.3
2713-14MORGANMORGAN×4KillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+1.8
2813-15MORGANOHIOKillLillie Meinhartset Rowan Kelly+1.3
2914-15OHIOMORGANBlockedTorre Kildowblk Jada Williams+1.4
3014-16MORGANOHIOKillRowan Kelly+1.4
3114-17OHIOOHIOAceOhioaced Nathalia Morais+1.6
3215-17OHIOMORGANKillAubrey Wilsonset Isabelle Brown+1.0
3315-18MORGANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+1.1
3416-18OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+1.1
3516-19MORGANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Gentry Brown+1.2
3617-19OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+1.1
3718-19MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Darbi Ricketts+2.4
3818-20MORGANOHIOKillGentry Brownset Lillie Meinhart+1.9
3918-21OHIOOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Gentry Brown+2.0
4019-21OHIOMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Isabelle Brown+1.1
4119-22MORGANOHIOServe errMorgan St.+1.4
4220-22OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+1.0
4320-23MORGANOHIO×3KillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart+1.4
4420-24OHIOOHIO×3KillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+1.0
4520-25OHIOOHIO×3KillBailey Blairset Isabelle Brown+0.2
Set 4
11-0OHIOMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.8
21-1MORGANOHIOKillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart+0.7
32-1OHIOMORGANKillTre'Niya Millerset Lillie Meinhart+0.8
42-2MORGANOHIO×3KillTorre Kildowset Lillie Meinhart+0.7
52-3OHIOOHIO×3AceOhioaced Michaela Panekova+1.0
62-4OHIOOHIO×3AceOhio+0.8
73-4OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+0.6
83-5MORGANOHIOServe errMorgan St.+0.6
94-5OHIOMORGANKillJada Williamsset Isabelle Brown+0.6
105-5MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Kendall Hickey+1.1
115-6MORGANOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Rowan Kelly+0.7
125-7OHIOOHIOKillRose Mahinset Kendall Hickey+0.9
136-7OHIOMORGANAttack errRose Mahin+0.7
146-8MORGANOHIO×4KillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.6
156-9OHIOOHIO×4Attack errMichaela Panekova+0.8
166-10OHIOOHIO×4KillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.6
176-11OHIOOHIO×4KillRose Mahinset Rowan Kelly+0.5
187-11OHIOMORGANBad setCienna Lapsley+0.3
198-11MORGANMORGANAceMorgan St.aced Gentry Brown+0.6
208-12MORGANOHIOServe errMorgan St.+0.4
218-13OHIOOHIOAttack errMichaela Panekova+0.5
229-13OHIOMORGANKillMichaela Panekovaset Isabelle Brown+0.3
239-14MORGANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Lillie Meinhart+0.3
249-15OHIOOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.3
2510-15OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+0.2
2610-16MORGANOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Lillie Meinhart+0.2
2711-16OHIOMORGANKillJenae Masonset Isabelle Brown+0.2
2811-17MORGANOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Lillie Meinhart+0.2
2912-17OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+0.2
3012-18MORGANOHIOKillTorre Kildowset Rowan Kelly+0.2
3113-18OHIOMORGANServe errOhio+0.2
3213-19MORGANOHIOServe errMorgan St.+0.2
3313-20OHIOOHIOKillRose Mahinset Gentry Brown+0.2
3414-20OHIOMORGANKillZayda Thomasset Alaina Walker+0.1
3514-21MORGANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Rowan Kelly+0.1
3615-21OHIOMORGAN×3Serve errOhio·
3716-21MORGANMORGAN×3KillJenae Masonset Cienna Lapsley+0.1
3817-21MORGANMORGAN×3Attack errCienna Lapsley+0.3
3917-22MORGANOHIOAttack errJenae Mason+0.3
4018-22OHIOMORGANKillJenae Masonset Isabelle Brown+0.2
4118-23MORGANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.3
4218-24OHIOOHIOKillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart+0.1
4319-24OHIOMORGANServe errOhio·
4419-25MORGANOHIOServe errMorgan St.·

Score shown after each rally, Morgan St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).