Delaware def. Rider 3–0
(28-26, 25-16, 25-10)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIDER | 26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| DEL | 28 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.6% to Rider — set 1, RIDER 26-25 DEL. Kill by Molly Rohde (set by Makenna Mason). DEL win probability 89% → 83%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Rider wins
Delaware wins
- RIDER break %
- 37.9% vs this opp
- DEL break %
- 48.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Molly RohdeKill+5.6%
Kill by Molly Rohde (set by Makenna Mason)
Set 1 · RIDER 26-25 DEL · RIDER 11% → 17%
- 02Rylah RobinsonAttack error+4.6%
Rylah Robinson stuffed by Kennedi Inman & Morgan Campbell
Set 1 · RIDER 26-27 DEL · DEL 87% → 92%
- 03
- 04Morgan CampbellKill+4.3%
Kill by Morgan Campbell (set by Kennedi Inman)
Set 1 · RIDER 26-26 DEL · DEL 83% → 87%
- 05Rylah RobinsonAttack error+3.7%
Attack error by Rylah Robinson
Set 1 · RIDER 26-28 DEL · DEL 92% → 96%
- 06RIDER serverService error+3.4%
Rider service error
Set 1 · RIDER 24-25 DEL · DEL 89% → 92%
- 07Rylah RobinsonKill+3.4%
Kill by Rylah Robinson (set by Makenna Mason)
Set 1 · RIDER 25-25 DEL · RIDER 8% → 11%
- 08
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | .032 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 22 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 5 | 20 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 30 | 23 | 105 | .067 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 52 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 1 | 20 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 14 | |
| 3 | 10 | 0 | 17 | .588 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 25 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | .125 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | .167 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | .077 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 40 | 12 | 99 | .283 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 78 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
26-28
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
10-25
Bars above the line = Delaware leads, below = Rider leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Rider
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%7/15 | 17%1/6 |
| 2 | 33%7/21 | 13%1/8 |
| 3 | 43%6/14 | 22%2/9 |
| 4 | 67%6/9 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 71%5/7 | 40%4/10 |
| 6 | 36%4/11 | 55%6/11 |
| All | 45%35/77 | 32%17/53 |
Delaware
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 88%7/8 | 60%9/15 |
| 2 | 70%7/10 | 65%13/20 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 54%7/13 |
| 4 | 67%6/9 | 45%5/11 |
| 5 | 46%6/13 | 40%4/10 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 50%4/8 |
| All | 68%36/53 | 55%42/77 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
130 rallies
Rally log
| # | RIDER-DEL | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DEL | DEL | Attack err | Rylah Robinson | blk Kennedi Inman | +0.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DEL | RIDER | Attack err | Anna Logan Gillens | +0.7 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +0.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | DEL | DEL | Ace | DEL server | aced Carly Allen | +0.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Aubrey Baker | set Makenna Mason | +0.7 |
| 6 | 3-3 | RIDER | RIDER | Kill | Aubrey Baker | set Makenna Mason | +1.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | RIDER | DEL | Attack err | Maisie Nawrocki | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Aubrey Baker | set Makenna Mason | +0.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | RIDER | RIDER | Attack err | Jayda Redd | +1.2 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Asia Murray | set Kennedi Inman | +0.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Maisie Nawrocki | set Katie Cook | +1.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Thalia Yancey | set Kennedi Inman | +0.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | DEL | RIDER×4 | Kill | Madison Daley | set Simone Langford | +1.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | RIDER | RIDER×4 | Ace | RIDER server | aced Jayda Gray | +1.5 |
| 15 | 9-6 | RIDER | RIDER×4 | Attack err | Kennedi Inman | +1.6 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | RIDER | RIDER×4 | Attack err | Thalia Yancey | blk Madison Daley, Molly Rohde | +1.7 |
| 17 | 10-7 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +1.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | DEL | DEL | Kill | Kennedi Inman | set Jayda Redd | +1.5 |
| 19 | 11-8 | DEL | RIDER | Serve err | DEL server | +1.4 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | RIDER | DEL | Attack err | Rylah Robinson | +1.1 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Aubrey Baker | set Makenna Mason | +1.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | RIDER | DEL×3 | Serve err | RIDER server | +1.1 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | DEL | DEL×3 | Kill | Anna Logan Gillens | set Jayda Redd | +1.6 |
| 24 | 12-12 | DEL | DEL×3 | Kill | Asia Murray | +1.5 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | DEL | RIDER | Attack err | Anna Logan Gillens | blk Aubrey Baker, Molly Rohde | +1.3 |
| 26 | 13-13 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Asia Murray | set Kennedi Inman | +1.2 |
| 27 | 13-14 | DEL | DEL | Ace | DEL server | aced Team | +1.5 |
| 28 | 14-14 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Maisie Nawrocki | set Makenna Mason | +1.2 |
| 29 | 14-15 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Asia Murray | set Kennedi Inman | +1.2 |
| 30 | 15-15 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Annabell Zachritz | set Katie Cook | +1.3 |
| 31 | 16-15 | RIDER | RIDER | Ace | RIDER server | aced Thalia Yancey | +2.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Asia Murray | set Kennedi Inman | +1.4 |
| 33 | 17-16 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Madison Daley | set Katie Cook | +1.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | RIDER | RIDER | Kill | Maisie Nawrocki | set Katie Cook | +2.5 |
| 35 | 18-17 | RIDER | DEL | Serve err | RIDER server | +1.6 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | DEL | RIDER | Attack err | Jayda Gray | +2.1 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | RIDER | DEL×3 | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +1.7 |
| 38 | 19-19 | DEL | DEL×3 | Attack err | Rylah Robinson | +2.4 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | DEL | DEL×3 | Ace | DEL server | aced Simone Langford | +2.3 |
| 40 | 20-20 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Aubrey Baker | set Makenna Mason | +1.9 |
| 41 | 20-21 | RIDER | DEL | Serve err | RIDER server | +1.9 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Maisie Nawrocki | set Makenna Mason | +2.1 |
| 43 | 21-22 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Asia Murray | set Kennedi Inman | +2.2 |
| 44 | 21-23 | DEL | DEL | Kill | Jayda Redd | set Emily Zgonc | +2.5 |
| 45 | 22-23 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Aubrey Baker | set Makenna Mason | +1.4 |
| 46 | 22-24 | RIDER | DEL | Serve err | RIDER server | +2.1 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Maisie Nawrocki | set Makenna Mason | +1.3 |
| 48 | 24-24 | RIDER | RIDER | Attack err | Asia Murray | +4.4 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | RIDER | DEL | Serve err | RIDER server | +3.4 | |
| 50 | 25-25 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Rylah Robinson | set Makenna Mason | +3.4 |
| 51 | 26-25 | RIDER | RIDER | Kill | Molly Rohde | set Makenna Mason | +5.6 |
| 52 | 26-26 | RIDER | DEL×3 | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +4.3 |
| 53 | 26-27 | DEL | DEL×3 | Attack err | Rylah Robinson | blk Kennedi Inman, Morgan Campbell | +4.6 |
| 54 | 26-28 | DEL | DEL×3 | Attack err | Rylah Robinson | +3.7 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +0.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Maisie Nawrocki | set Makenna Mason | +0.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Anna Logan Gillens | set Kennedi Inman | +0.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | DEL | DEL | Attack err | Maisie Nawrocki | blk Asia Murray, Anna Logan Gillens | +0.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DEL | RIDER | Serve err | DEL server | +0.4 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | RIDER | DEL×5 | Kill | Anna Logan Gillens | set Kennedi Inman | +0.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | DEL | DEL×5 | Attack err | Maisie Nawrocki | blk Asia Murray, Jayda Redd | +0.5 |
| 8 | 2-6 | DEL | DEL×5 | Kill | Thalia Yancey | set Asia Murray | +0.4 |
| 9 | 2-7 | DEL | DEL×5 | Attack err | Aubrey Baker | blk Thalia Yancey, Asia Murray | +0.3 |
| 10 | 2-8 | DEL | DEL×5 | Attack err | Maisie Nawrocki | blk Asia Murray, Jayda Redd | +0.3 |
| 11 | 3-8 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Aubrey Baker | set Makenna Mason | +0.2 |
| 12 | 3-9 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Thalia Yancey | set Kennedi Inman | +0.2 |
| 13 | 3-10 | DEL | DEL | Attack err | Madison Daley | +0.2 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Maisie Nawrocki | set Simone Langford | +0.1 |
| 15 | 5-10 | RIDER | RIDER | Bad set | Kennedi Inman | +0.2 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +0.2 |
| 17 | 6-11 | DEL | RIDER | Bad set | Kennedi Inman | +0.2 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | RIDER | RIDER | Kill | Madison Daley | set Katie Cook | +0.3 |
| 19 | 7-12 | RIDER | DEL×4 | Serve err | RIDER server | +0.3 | |
| 20 | 7-13 | DEL | DEL×4 | Ace | DEL server | aced Team | +0.3 |
| 21 | 7-14 | DEL | DEL×4 | Attack err | Molly Rohde | +0.2 | |
| 22 | 7-15 | DEL | DEL×4 | Attack err | Madison Daley | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 8-15 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Molly Rohde | set Katie Cook | +0.1 |
| 24 | 9-15 | RIDER | RIDER | Attack err | Anna Logan Gillens | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | RIDER | DEL×3 | Kill | Kennedi Inman | set Thalia Yancey | +0.1 |
| 26 | 9-17 | DEL | DEL×3 | Kill | Anna Logan Gillens | set Kennedi Inman | +0.1 |
| 27 | 9-18 | DEL | DEL×3 | Kill | Kennedi Inman | set Anna Logan Gillens | +0.1 |
| 28 | 10-18 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Aubrey Baker | set Makenna Mason | +0.0 |
| 29 | 11-18 | RIDER | RIDER | Attack err | Anna Logan Gillens | +0.1 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | RIDER | DEL×3 | Kill | Asia Murray | set Kennedi Inman | +0.1 |
| 31 | 11-20 | DEL | DEL×3 | Attack err | Maisie Nawrocki | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 11-21 | DEL | DEL×3 | Attack err | Molly Rohde | blk Asia Murray, Anna Logan Gillens | +0.0 |
| 33 | 12-21 | DEL | RIDER | Serve err | DEL server | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 12-22 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Anna Logan Gillens | set Kennedi Inman | +0.0 |
| 35 | 13-22 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Maisie Nawrocki | set Makenna Mason | +0.0 |
| 36 | 14-22 | RIDER | RIDER | Ace | RIDER server | aced Team | +0.0 |
| 37 | 14-23 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Thalia Yancey | set Kennedi Inman | +0.0 |
| 38 | 14-24 | DEL | DEL | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Annabell Zachritz | set Jayda Gray | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | RIDER | RIDER | Attack err | Thalia Yancey | blk Madison Daley, Annabell Zachritz | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Jayda Redd | set Kennedi Inman | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DEL | DEL | Ace | DEL server | aced Rylah Robinson | +0.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Molly Rohde | set Kennedi Inman | +0.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +0.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Aubrey Baker | set Makenna Mason | +0.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | RIDER | RIDER | Bad set | Kennedi Inman | +0.4 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Anna Logan Gillens | set Kennedi Inman | +0.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Maisie Nawrocki | set Kennedi Inman | +0.3 |
| 8 | 5-3 | RIDER | RIDER | Kill | Annabell Zachritz | set Katie Cook | +0.4 |
| 9 | 5-4 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Anna Logan Gillens | set Taylor Holly | +0.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | DEL | DEL | Kill | Asia Murray | set Kennedi Inman | +0.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | DEL | RIDER | Attack err | Thalia Yancey | +0.3 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | RIDER | DEL×3 | Kill | Asia Murray | set Kennedi Inman | +0.3 |
| 13 | 6-7 | DEL | DEL×3 | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +0.3 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DEL | DEL×3 | Attack err | Maisie Nawrocki | blk Thalia Yancey, Morgan Campbell | +0.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Madison Daley | set Katie Cook | +0.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | RIDER | DEL | Kill | Morgan Campbell | set Kennedi Inman | +0.2 |
| 17 | 7-10 | DEL | DEL | Ace | DEL server | aced Rylah Robinson | +0.3 |
| 18 | 8-10 | DEL | RIDER | Serve err | DEL server | +0.2 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | RIDER | DEL×3 | Kill | Thalia Yancey | set Taylor Holly | +0.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | DEL | DEL×3 | Ace | DEL server | aced Simone Langford | +0.2 |
| 21 | 8-13 | DEL | DEL×3 | Attack err | Aubrey Baker | +0.2 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | DEL | RIDER | Attack err | Kennedi Inman | blk Molly Rohde | +0.1 |
| 23 | 9-14 | RIDER | DEL×9 | Kill | Anna Logan Gillens | set Kennedi Inman | +0.1 |
| 24 | 9-15 | DEL | DEL×9 | Attack err | Maisie Nawrocki | blk Kennedi Inman, Asia Murray | +0.1 |
| 25 | 9-16 | DEL | DEL×9 | Attack err | Aubrey Baker | +0.1 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | DEL | DEL×9 | Kill | Asia Murray | +0.0 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | DEL | DEL×9 | Ace | DEL server | aced Carly Allen | +0.0 |
| 28 | 9-19 | DEL | DEL×9 | Attack err | Maisie Nawrocki | +0.0 | |
| 29 | 9-20 | DEL | DEL×9 | Attack err | Molly Rohde | +0.0 | |
| 30 | 9-21 | DEL | DEL×9 | Attack err | Aubrey Baker | blk Anna Logan Gillens | +0.0 |
| 31 | 9-22 | DEL | DEL×9 | Bad set | Maisie Nawrocki | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 10-22 | DEL | RIDER | Kill | Makenna Mason | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 10-23 | RIDER | DEL×3 | Kill | Anna Logan Gillens | set Kennedi Inman | +0.0 |
| 34 | 10-24 | DEL | DEL×3 | Attack err | Aubrey Baker | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 10-25 | DEL | DEL×3 | Kill | Asia Murray | set Kennedi Inman | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Rider first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.