FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Rutgers def. Rider 3–0

(25-20, 25-18, 25-15)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
RIDER	20	18	15	0
RUTGER	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

RUTGER above 50 · RIDER below

Biggest swing: 0.2% to Rider — set 1, RIDER 17-18 RUTGER. Attack error by Avery Jesewitz. RUTGER win probability 100% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

RIDER 0.5%99.5% RUTGER

Rider wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.4%

Rutgers wins

3-0

79.3%

3-1

17.7%

3-2

2.5%

RIDER break %: 31.9% vs this opp
RUTGER break %: 51.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Avery JesewitzAttack error+0.2%
Attack error by Avery Jesewitz
Set 1 · RIDER 17-18 RUTGER · RIDER 0% → 1%
02
Anja KellyAttack error+0.2%
Anja Kelly stuffed by Natalie Robinson & Avery Jesewitz
Set 1 · RIDER 18-21 RUTGER · RUTGER 99% → 100%
03
Natalie RobinsonKill+0.2%
Kill by Natalie Robinson (set by Brooke Baldwin)
Set 1 · RIDER 18-20 RUTGER · RUTGER 99% → 99%
04
Rylah RobinsonKill+0.2%
Kill by Rylah Robinson (set by Makenna Mason)
Set 1 · RIDER 18-19 RUTGER · RIDER 1% → 1%
05
Zharia Harris-WaddyKill+0.1%
Kill by Zharia Harris-Waddy (set by Avery Jesewitz)
Set 1 · RIDER 17-19 RUTGER · RUTGER 99% → 99%
06
Malia RomesAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Malia Romes
Set 1 · RIDER 5-4 RUTGER · RIDER 1% → 1%
07
RUTGER serverAce+0.1%
Rutgers ace on Rylah Robinson
Set 1 · RIDER 7-8 RUTGER · RUTGER 99% → 99%
08
Tori BonacciKill+0.1%
Kill by Tori Bonacci (set by Katie Cook)
Set 1 · RIDER 7-6 RUTGER · RIDER 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Rideraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Rylah RobinsonOH	3	8	1	13	.538	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	8
6Molly RohdeMB	3	2	2	6	.000	0	3	2	2	0	0	2	1	6
22Anja KellyOPP	3	5	2	19	.158	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
23Tori BonacciMB	3	4	0	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5
16Maisie NawrockiOH	3	2	6	21	-.190	0	0	1	4	3	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Makenna MasonS	3	1	0	2	.500	15	1	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
0Aubrey BakerOH	3	3	0	14	.214	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
14Katie CookS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
17Simone LangfordL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	7	0	0	0	0	1
4Olivia DeSaroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	4	1	0	0	0	0
10Carly AllenL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
13Tyler AdamsL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		25	11	85	.165	25	6	9	25	7	1	6	4	53

Rutgershome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Zharia Harris-WaddyMB	3	10	0	12	.833	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	11
9Natalie RobinsonMB	3	7	1	12	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	10
0Aspen MaxwellOH	3	7	2	13	.385	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
17Avery JesewitzOH	3	3	4	18	-.056	2	1	1	6	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
12Brooke BaldwinS	3	1	0	1	1.000	16	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
10Kaila Kalama-BajetL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
4Karis WillowOH	3	8	4	15	.267	0	2	4	1	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
22Malia RomesMB	3	8	1	15	.467	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	9
3Kenzie DyrstadL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	3	0	11	1	0	0	0	3
11Lily BolenS	3	0	0	0	–	22	0	3	8	0	0	0	0	0
6Jenna DeLaMaterL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
7Kami DyrstadL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Addison WiemannOH	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		46	12	90	.378	44	7	10	35	6	2	8	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 RIDER · RUTGER 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 RIDERRUTGER 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 RIDERRUTGER 5

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 4 RIDERRUTGER 6

Bars above the line = Rutgers leads, below = Rider leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Rider

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	22%2/9
2	54%7/13	22%2/9
3	54%7/13	50%7/14
4	46%6/13	30%3/10
5	55%6/11	0%0/6
6	45%5/11	14%1/7
All	52%38/73	27%15/55

Rutgers

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	67%10/15
2	64%7/11	0%0/7
3	58%7/12	46%6/13
4	78%7/9	53%8/15
5	86%6/7	63%10/16
6	100%6/6	14%1/7
All	73%40/55	48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	RIDER-RUTGER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.1
2	1-1	RUTGER	RIDER	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.1
3	1-2	RIDER	RUTGER	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.1
4	1-3	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.1
5	2-3	RUTGER	RIDER	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.1
6	3-3	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	RIDER server	aced Kaila Kalama-Bajet	+0.1
7	3-4	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+0.1
8	4-4	RUTGER	RIDER	Attack err	Natalie Robinson		+0.1
9	5-4	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Malia Romes		+0.1
10	5-5	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+0.1
11	6-5	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Maisie Nawrocki	set Katie Cook	+0.1
12	6-6	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Lily Bolen	+0.1
13	7-6	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Katie Cook	+0.1
14	7-7	RIDER	RUTGER×4	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.1
15	7-8	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Rylah Robinson	+0.1
16	7-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Maisie Nawrocki	+0.1
17	7-10	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Bad set	Katie Cook		+0.1
18	8-10	RUTGER	RIDER	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.1
19	9-10	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	RIDER server	aced Kaila Kalama-Bajet	+0.1
20	9-11	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Avery Jesewitz	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.1
21	10-11	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
22	10-12	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.1
23	10-13	RUTGER	RUTGER	Attack err	Maisie Nawrocki	blk Natalie Robinson, Malia Romes	+0.1
24	11-13	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Makenna Mason	set Olivia DeSaro	+0.1
25	11-14	RIDER	RUTGER	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.1
26	11-15	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.1
27	12-15	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
28	13-15	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	RIDER server	aced Team	+0.1
29	13-16	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+0.1
30	14-16	RUTGER	RIDER	Attack err	Karis Willow		+0.1
31	14-17	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Lily Bolen	+0.1
32	15-17	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Katie Cook	+0.1
33	15-18	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Kenzie Dyrstad	+0.1
34	16-18	RUTGER	RIDER	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.1
35	17-18	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Avery Jesewitz		+0.2
36	17-19	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Avery Jesewitz	+0.1
37	18-19	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.2
38	18-20	RIDER	RUTGER×3	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.2
39	18-21	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Attack err	Anja Kelly	blk Natalie Robinson, Avery Jesewitz	+0.2
40	18-22	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Attack err	Maisie Nawrocki		+0.1
41	19-22	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
42	19-23	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Avery Jesewitz	set Lily Bolen	+0.1
43	19-24	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Kenzie Dyrstad	+0.0
44	20-24	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
45	20-25	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Attack err	Molly Rohde	blk Zharia Harris-Waddy	+0.0
2	0-2	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Attack err	Maisie Nawrocki		+0.0
3	0-3	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
4	0-4	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Maisie Nawrocki	+0.0
5	0-5	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Attack err	Anja Kelly		+0.0
6	1-5	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
7	1-6	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Avery Jesewitz	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
8	2-6	RUTGER	RIDER×4	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
9	3-6	RIDER	RIDER×4	Attack err	Aspen Maxwell	blk Maisie Nawrocki, Makenna Mason	+0.0
10	4-6	RIDER	RIDER×4	Attack err	Avery Jesewitz		+0.0
11	5-6	RIDER	RIDER×4	Attack err	Aspen Maxwell		+0.1
12	5-7	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
13	6-7	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
14	7-7	RIDER	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Katie Cook	+0.1
15	7-8	RIDER	RUTGER×3	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
16	7-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Attack err	Maisie Nawrocki	blk Karis Willow, Natalie Robinson	+0.1
17	7-10	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Attack err	Maisie Nawrocki		+0.0
18	8-10	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Simone Langford	+0.0
19	8-11	RIDER	RUTGER×3	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
20	8-12	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Team	+0.0
21	8-13	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Kill	Karis Willow		+0.0
22	9-13	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Katie Cook	+0.0
23	9-14	RIDER	RUTGER	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
24	10-14	RUTGER	RIDER	Attack err	Karis Willow	blk Aubrey Baker, Molly Rohde	+0.0
25	10-15	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
26	11-15	RUTGER	RIDER	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.0
27	12-15	RIDER	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
28	12-16	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
29	13-16	RUTGER	RIDER	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.0
30	13-17	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
31	14-17	RUTGER	RIDER	Attack err	Avery Jesewitz	blk Tori Bonacci	+0.0
32	14-18	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Kenzie Dyrstad	+0.0
33	15-18	RUTGER	RIDER	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.0
34	15-19	RIDER	RUTGER×4	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
35	15-20	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.0
36	15-21	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
37	15-22	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Rylah Robinson	+0.0
38	16-22	RUTGER	RIDER	Attack err	Karis Willow		+0.0
39	17-22	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	RIDER server	aced Avery Jesewitz	+0.0
40	17-23	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
41	17-24	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
42	18-24	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Katie Cook	+0.0
43	18-25	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Brooke Baldwin	set Avery Jesewitz	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
2	1-1	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
3	1-2	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
4	2-2	RUTGER	RIDER×4	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.0
5	3-2	RIDER	RIDER×4	Kill	Maisie Nawrocki	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
6	4-2	RIDER	RIDER×4	Ace	RIDER server	aced Kenzie Dyrstad	+0.0
7	5-2	RIDER	RIDER×4	Ace	RIDER server	aced Jenna DeLaMater	+0.1
8	5-3	RIDER	RUTGER	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
9	6-3	RUTGER	RIDER	Attack err	Karis Willow		+0.0
10	6-4	RIDER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
11	6-5	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Maisie Nawrocki	+0.0
12	6-6	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
13	6-7	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
14	6-8	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
15	6-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
16	7-9	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Katie Cook	+0.0
17	7-10	RIDER	RUTGER	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
18	8-10	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Katie Cook	+0.0
19	8-11	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
20	8-12	RUTGER	RUTGER	Bad set	Katie Cook		+0.0
21	9-12	RUTGER	RIDER	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.0
22	9-13	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0
23	10-13	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
24	11-13	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Avery Jesewitz	blk Molly Rohde, Anja Kelly	+0.0
25	11-14	RIDER	RUTGER×3	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
26	11-15	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
27	11-16	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Attack err	Molly Rohde	blk Natalie Robinson	+0.0
28	12-16	RUTGER	RIDER	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.0
29	12-17	RIDER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
30	12-18	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Olivia DeSaro	+0.0
31	12-19	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+0.0
32	12-20	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Attack err	Maisie Nawrocki	blk Natalie Robinson, Malia Romes	+0.0
33	12-21	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Addison Wiemann		+0.0
34	13-21	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
35	13-22	RIDER	RUTGER	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
36	14-22	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
37	14-23	RIDER	RUTGER	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
38	15-23	RUTGER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
39	15-24	RIDER	RUTGER	Kill	Addison Wiemann	set Kami Dyrstad	+0.0
40	15-25	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Zharia Harris-Waddy	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Rider first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.