Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

Ball St. def. Xavier 3–1

Ball St. beat Xavier 3-1 (25-19, 21-25, 25-22, 25-22) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Ava Smith and Audrey Geer led Ball St. with 13 kills each; Xavier's Charlotte Moriarty had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
BALLST252125253
XAVIER192522221

Win probability

Xavier above 50 · Ball St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.3% BALLSTrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.3% to Ball St. — set 3, BALLST 23-21 XAVIER. Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Lindsey Green). XAVIER win probability 35% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BALLST 60.4%39.6% XAVIER

Ball St. wins

3-0
17.4%
3-1
23.0%
3-2
19.9%

Xavier wins

3-0
8.6%
3-1
14.4%
3-2
16.6%
BALLST break %
42.1% vs this opp
XAVIER break %
40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Audrey GeerKill+8.3%

    Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 3 · BALLST 23-21 XAVIER · BALLST 65% → 73%

  2. 02

    Kill by Madison Buckley (set by Reese Axness)

    Set 3 · BALLST 21-20 XAVIER · BALLST 56% → 64%

  3. 03

    Kill by Madison Buckley (set by Reese Axness)

    Set 3 · BALLST 20-20 XAVIER · BALLST 49% → 56%

  4. 04
    Camryn WiseKill+6.7%

    Kill by Camryn Wise (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 3 · BALLST 24-22 XAVIER · BALLST 69% → 75%

  5. 05

    Kill by Madison Buckley (set by Reese Axness)

    Set 3 · BALLST 22-21 XAVIER · BALLST 58% → 65%

  6. 06

    McKinley Boehm stuffed by Gwen Crull & Audrey Geer

    Set 3 · BALLST 18-19 XAVIER · BALLST 44% → 50%

  7. 07

    Kill by Charlotte Moriarty (set by Macy Hatkevich)

    Set 3 · BALLST 21-21 XAVIER · XAVIER 36% → 42%

  8. 08
    Ava SmithKill+5.0%

    Kill by Ava Smith (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 3 · BALLST 25-22 XAVIER · BALLST 75% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413853.09401065010.514.5
413330.333102142010.513.5
411431.2260002000011
47015.4671102006311
49318.33300010111.510.5
4001.00032011400000
411118.55600020052.513.5
4000–2100900000
4000–6022300000
2000–000200000
Team totals6419166.2716125757114896
Xavierhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416753.17010111000016
411225.36001120233.515.5
4219.1113710110010.53.5
4001.000211700001
4000–001500000
2114.000000000001
412534.20600050111.513.5
412427.29600010010.512.5
4000–031300003
4000–5102710001
2016-.167000000000
1112.000300100001
Team totals5522161.205487573236688

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BALLST · XAVIER 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 BALLSTXAVIER 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 BALLSTXAVIER 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 BALLSTXAVIER 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 BALLSTXAVIER 4

Bars above the line = Xavier leads, below = Ball St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ball St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%12/14
38%6/16
2
59%10/17
47%9/19
3
60%9/15
44%7/16
4
62%8/13
36%5/14
5
50%8/16
53%9/17
6
57%8/14
38%5/13
All
62%55/89
43%41/95

Xavier

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
23%3/13
2
48%10/21
21%3/14
3
69%9/13
50%10/20
4
57%8/14
27%3/11
5
50%8/16
53%9/17
6
57%8/14
43%6/14
All
57%54/95
38%34/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#BALLST-XAVIERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BALLSTBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+2.4
21-1BALLSTXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.7
32-1XAVIERBALLST×3KillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.7
43-1BALLSTBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+2.4
54-1BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+2.3
64-2BALLSTXAVIERServe errBall St.+1.5
74-3XAVIERXAVIERAttack errAva Smith+2.4
85-3XAVIERBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.7
96-3BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Audrey Geer+2.4
106-4BALLSTXAVIERServe errBall St.+1.5
116-5XAVIERXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Kelsey Niesen+2.5
127-5XAVIERBALLSTBad setMacy Hatkevich+1.8
138-5BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+2.5
148-6BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.6
159-6XAVIERBALLST×5Attack errAva Tilden+1.8
1610-6BALLSTBALLST×5KillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+2.2
1711-6BALLSTBALLST×5KillAva Smithset Reese Axness+1.9
1812-6BALLSTBALLST×5KillGwen Crullset McKinley Boehm+1.5
1913-6BALLSTBALLST×5Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+1.1
2013-7BALLSTXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+0.6
2114-7XAVIERBALLSTAttack errMacy Hatkevich+0.8
2214-8BALLSTXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+0.6
2314-9XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errAva Smith+1.1
2414-10XAVIERXAVIER×3KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.5
2515-10XAVIERBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Reese Axness+1.4
2615-11BALLSTXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevichset Elouise Czajkowski+1.1
2716-11XAVIERBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.4
2816-12BALLSTXAVIERServe errBall St.+1.0
2917-12XAVIERBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.4
3017-13BALLSTXAVIERBlockedTiffany Snookblk Ava Tilden+1.0
3118-13XAVIERBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.3
3218-14BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.9
3319-14XAVIERBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+1.3
3419-15BALLSTXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+0.9
3520-15XAVIERBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+1.3
3621-15BALLSTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Gwen Crull+1.1
3721-16BALLSTXAVIERBad setAudrey Geer+0.4
3822-16XAVIERBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Reese Axness+0.7
3922-17BALLSTXAVIERAttack errCamryn Wise+0.3
4022-18XAVIERXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.8
4123-18XAVIERBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.0
4223-19BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Sophie Ledbetter+0.4
4324-19XAVIERBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.7
4425-19BALLSTBALLSTKillGwen Crull+0.2
Set 2
11-0XAVIERBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+1.5
21-1BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.6
32-1XAVIERBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.6
42-2BALLSTXAVIER×4Serve errBall St.+1.6
52-3XAVIERXAVIER×4AceXavieraced Ava Smith+2.4
62-4XAVIERXAVIER×4KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+2.4
72-5XAVIERXAVIER×4BlockedTiffany Snookblk McKinley Boehm, Ava Tilden+2.4
83-5XAVIERBALLSTBlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Ava Smith, Gwen Crull+1.5
94-5BALLSTBALLSTAttack errCatherine Flaharty+2.4
104-6BALLSTXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+1.8
115-6XAVIERBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+1.7
125-7BALLSTXAVIER×5KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+1.8
135-8XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errAudrey Geer+2.6
145-9XAVIERXAVIER×5KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.4
155-10XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errAva Smith+2.2
165-11XAVIERXAVIER×5BlockedAudrey Geerblk Macy Hatkevich, McKinley Boehm+1.8
176-11XAVIERBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.0
187-11BALLSTBALLSTBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Camryn Wise, Madison Buckley+1.8
197-12BALLSTXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.5
207-13XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Audrey Geer+1.8
218-13XAVIERBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.9
229-13BALLSTBALLSTAttack errMargo Kemp+1.7
239-14BALLSTXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.6
2410-14XAVIERBALLSTAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+1.2
2510-15BALLSTXAVIERAttack errAva Smith+1.6
2611-15XAVIERBALLSTServe errXavier+1.2
2711-16BALLSTXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+1.6
2812-16XAVIERBALLSTBad setMcKinley Boehm+1.1
2912-17BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.6
3013-17XAVIERBALLST×3BlockedAva Tildenblk Gwen Crull, Madison Buckley+1.1
3114-17BALLSTBALLST×3AceBall St.+2.2
3215-17BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+2.8
3315-18BALLSTXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Kelsey Niesen+2.4
3416-18XAVIERBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Sophie Ledbetter+1.9
3516-19BALLSTXAVIERBlockedCamryn Wiseblk McKinley Boehm+2.6
3617-19XAVIERBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+2.0
3717-20BALLSTXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Kelsey Niesen+2.7
3818-20XAVIERBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+2.0
3919-20BALLSTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+3.8
4019-21BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+3.5
4120-21XAVIERBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+2.8
4220-22BALLSTXAVIER×3KillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+3.8
4320-23XAVIERXAVIER×3BlockedTiffany Snookblk McKinley Boehm+4.3
4420-24XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errTiffany Snook+2.4
4521-24XAVIERBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.5
4621-25BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Tiffany Snook+1.2
Set 3
11-0BALLSTBALLSTBlockedIyanna Battleblk Camryn Wise+3.3
21-1BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.3
32-1XAVIERBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+2.3
43-1BALLSTBALLSTAttack errAva Tilden+3.3
53-2BALLSTXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+2.2
63-3XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+3.4
73-4XAVIERXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+3.6
84-4XAVIERBALLSTAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+2.5
94-5BALLSTXAVIERAttack errAva Smith+2.6
105-5XAVIERBALLSTAttack errMcKinley Boehm+2.5
116-5BALLSTBALLSTBlockedAva Tildenblk Madison Buckley, Gwen Crull+3.7
126-6BALLSTXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Kelsey Niesen+2.6
136-7XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+3.9
146-8XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errAva Smith+4.0
157-8XAVIERBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Sophie Ledbetter+2.6
167-9BALLSTXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+2.9
177-10XAVIERXAVIER×3AceXavieraced Ava Smith+4.0
187-11XAVIERXAVIER×3AceXavieraced Ava Smith+3.7
198-11XAVIERBALLSTServe errXavier+2.2
208-12BALLSTXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.7
219-12XAVIERBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+2.2
229-13BALLSTXAVIERAttack errAudrey Geer+2.7
2310-13XAVIERBALLST×3KillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+2.2
2411-13BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errCatherine Flaharty+3.8
2512-13BALLSTBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+4.3
2612-14BALLSTXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+3.4
2712-15XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errAva Smith+4.6
2812-16XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehm+4.1
2913-16XAVIERBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+2.2
3013-17BALLSTXAVIERBlockedAva Smithblk McKinley Boehm, Catherine Flaharty+3.0
3114-17XAVIERBALLSTServe errXavier+2.2
3215-17BALLSTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+4.1
3315-18BALLSTXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+3.7
3415-19XAVIERXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+4.3
3516-19XAVIERBALLST×3Serve errXavier+2.1
3617-19BALLSTBALLST×3BlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Gwen Crull, Madison Buckley+4.2
3718-19BALLSTBALLST×3BlockedMcKinley Boehmblk Gwen Crull, Audrey Geer+5.5
3818-20BALLSTXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+4.7
3919-20XAVIERBALLST×3KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+4.0
4020-20BALLSTBALLST×3KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+7.1
4121-20BALLSTBALLST×3KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+7.8
4221-21BALLSTXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+5.4
4322-21XAVIERBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+6.2
4423-21BALLSTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+8.3
4523-22BALLSTXAVIERServe errBall St.+4.1
4624-22XAVIERBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+6.7
4725-22BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+5.0
Set 4
10-1XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Ava Smith+3.1
21-1XAVIERBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+2.1
32-1BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+3.1
42-2BALLSTXAVIER×3KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.2
52-3XAVIERXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+3.3
62-4XAVIERXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+3.3
73-4XAVIERBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+2.2
84-4BALLSTBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+3.3
95-4BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errCatherine Flaharty+3.3
105-5BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.3
116-5XAVIERBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Lindsey Green+2.4
127-5BALLSTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Sophie Ledbetter+3.3
137-6BALLSTXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Charlotte Moriarty+2.2
148-6XAVIERBALLSTBlockedAva Tildenblk Madison Buckley, Gwen Crull+2.3
158-7BALLSTXAVIER×3Bad setSophie Ledbetter+2.3
168-8XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errMadison Buckley+3.6
178-9XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMacy Hatkevichset Elouise Czajkowski+3.8
189-9XAVIERBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+2.6
1910-9BALLSTBALLSTAceBall St.aced Kelsey Niesen+3.8
2010-10BALLSTXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.7
2110-11XAVIERXAVIER×4Attack errCamryn Wise+4.1
2210-12XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+4.2
2310-13XAVIERXAVIER×4AceXavieraced Ava Smith+4.0
2411-13XAVIERBALLST×3Serve errXavier+2.4
2512-13BALLSTBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Sophie Ledbetter+4.0
2613-13BALLSTBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+4.3
2713-14BALLSTXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+3.2
2814-14XAVIERBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+3.1
2915-14BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+4.7
3015-15BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+3.3
3116-15XAVIERBALLST×4KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+3.4
3217-15BALLSTBALLST×4KillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+4.7
3318-15BALLSTBALLST×4Bad setMacy Hatkevich+4.2
3419-15BALLSTBALLST×4KillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+3.3
3519-16BALLSTXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Kelsey Niesen+1.7
3620-16XAVIERBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+2.3
3720-17BALLSTXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehmset Jenna Barhorst+1.6
3820-18XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehm+3.4
3920-19XAVIERXAVIER×3AceXavieraced Audrey Geer+4.9
4021-19XAVIERBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+4.3
4122-19BALLSTBALLSTAttack errJenna Barhorst+4.9
4222-20BALLSTXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Jenna Barhorst+2.3
4323-20XAVIERBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+3.5
4423-21BALLSTXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+2.0
4524-21XAVIERBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+3.6
4624-22BALLSTXAVIERKillJenna Barhorstset Charlotte Moriarty+1.3
4725-22XAVIERBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+3.2

Score shown after each rally, Ball St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).