Ball St. def. Xavier 3–1
Ball St. beat Xavier 3-1 (25-19, 21-25, 25-22, 25-22) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Ava Smith and Audrey Geer led Ball St. with 13 kills each; Xavier's Charlotte Moriarty had a match-high 16.
Data through · final Aug 29
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALLST | 25 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| XAVIER | 19 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.3% to Ball St. — set 3, BALLST 23-21 XAVIER. Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Lindsey Green). XAVIER win probability 35% → 27%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Ball St. wins
Xavier wins
- BALLST break %
- 42.1% vs this opp
- XAVIER break %
- 40.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Audrey GeerKill+8.3%
Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Lindsey Green)
Set 3 · BALLST 23-21 XAVIER · BALLST 65% → 73%
- 02Madison BuckleyKill+7.8%
Kill by Madison Buckley (set by Reese Axness)
Set 3 · BALLST 21-20 XAVIER · BALLST 56% → 64%
- 03Madison BuckleyKill+7.1%
Kill by Madison Buckley (set by Reese Axness)
Set 3 · BALLST 20-20 XAVIER · BALLST 49% → 56%
- 04Camryn WiseKill+6.7%
Kill by Camryn Wise (set by Lindsey Green)
Set 3 · BALLST 24-22 XAVIER · BALLST 69% → 75%
- 05Madison BuckleyKill+6.2%
Kill by Madison Buckley (set by Reese Axness)
Set 3 · BALLST 22-21 XAVIER · BALLST 58% → 65%
- 06Gwen Crull&Audrey GeerBlock+5.5%
McKinley Boehm stuffed by Gwen Crull & Audrey Geer
Set 3 · BALLST 18-19 XAVIER · BALLST 44% → 50%
- 07Charlotte MoriartyKill+5.4%
Kill by Charlotte Moriarty (set by Macy Hatkevich)
Set 3 · BALLST 21-21 XAVIER · XAVIER 36% → 42%
- 08Ava SmithKill+5.0%
Kill by Ava Smith (set by Lindsey Green)
Set 3 · BALLST 25-22 XAVIER · BALLST 75% → 80%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 8 | 53 | .094 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 3 | 30 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 31 | .226 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 7 | 0 | 15 | .467 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 11 | 1 | 18 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 21 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 64 | 19 | 166 | .271 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 75 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 96 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 53 | .170 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 4 | 11 | 2 | 25 | .360 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | .111 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 34 | .206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 4 | 27 | .296 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 22 | 161 | .205 | 48 | 7 | 5 | 73 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 88 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-19
Set 2
21-25
Set 3
25-22
Set 4
25-22
Bars above the line = Xavier leads, below = Ball St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Ball St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86%12/14 | 38%6/16 |
| 2 | 59%10/17 | 47%9/19 |
| 3 | 60%9/15 | 44%7/16 |
| 4 | 62%8/13 | 36%5/14 |
| 5 | 50%8/16 | 53%9/17 |
| 6 | 57%8/14 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 62%55/89 | 43%41/95 |
Xavier
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65%11/17 | 23%3/13 |
| 2 | 48%10/21 | 21%3/14 |
| 3 | 69%9/13 | 50%10/20 |
| 4 | 57%8/14 | 27%3/11 |
| 5 | 50%8/16 | 53%9/17 |
| 6 | 57%8/14 | 43%6/14 |
| All | 57%54/95 | 38%34/89 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
184 rallies
| # | BALLST-XAVIER | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +2.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | XAVIER | BALLST×3 | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +1.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +2.4 |
| 5 | 4-1 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +2.3 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | BALLST | XAVIER | Serve err | Ball St. | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Attack err | Ava Smith | +2.4 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +1.7 |
| 9 | 6-3 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Audrey Geer | +2.4 |
| 10 | 6-4 | BALLST | XAVIER | Serve err | Ball St. | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Kelsey Niesen | +2.5 |
| 12 | 7-5 | XAVIER | BALLST | Bad set | Macy Hatkevich | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +2.5 |
| 14 | 8-6 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.6 |
| 15 | 9-6 | XAVIER | BALLST×5 | Attack err | Ava Tilden | +1.8 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +2.2 |
| 17 | 11-6 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +1.9 |
| 18 | 12-6 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Kill | Gwen Crull | set McKinley Boehm | +1.5 |
| 19 | 13-6 | BALLST | BALLST×5 | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.6 |
| 21 | 14-7 | XAVIER | BALLST | Attack err | Macy Hatkevich | +0.8 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | BALLST | XAVIER×3 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.6 |
| 23 | 14-9 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Attack err | Ava Smith | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.5 |
| 25 | 15-10 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Reese Axness | +1.4 |
| 26 | 15-11 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | set Elouise Czajkowski | +1.1 |
| 27 | 16-11 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +1.4 |
| 28 | 16-12 | BALLST | XAVIER | Serve err | Ball St. | +1.0 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +1.4 |
| 30 | 17-13 | BALLST | XAVIER | Blocked | Tiffany Snook | blk Ava Tilden | +1.0 |
| 31 | 18-13 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +1.3 |
| 32 | 18-14 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.9 |
| 33 | 19-14 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +1.3 |
| 34 | 19-15 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.9 |
| 35 | 20-15 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +1.3 |
| 36 | 21-15 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Gwen Crull | +1.1 |
| 37 | 21-16 | BALLST | XAVIER | Bad set | Audrey Geer | +0.4 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Reese Axness | +0.7 |
| 39 | 22-17 | BALLST | XAVIER | Attack err | Camryn Wise | +0.3 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.8 |
| 41 | 23-18 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +1.0 |
| 42 | 23-19 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Sophie Ledbetter | +0.4 |
| 43 | 24-19 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.7 |
| 44 | 25-19 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Gwen Crull | +0.2 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +1.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +1.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BALLST | XAVIER×4 | Serve err | Ball St. | +1.6 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Ace | Xavier | aced Ava Smith | +2.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Blocked | Tiffany Snook | blk McKinley Boehm, Ava Tilden | +2.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | XAVIER | BALLST | Blocked | Catherine Flaharty | blk Ava Smith, Gwen Crull | +1.5 |
| 9 | 4-5 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Catherine Flaharty | +2.4 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +1.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | BALLST | XAVIER×5 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.8 |
| 13 | 5-8 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +2.6 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.4 |
| 15 | 5-10 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Attack err | Ava Smith | +2.2 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Blocked | Audrey Geer | blk Macy Hatkevich, McKinley Boehm | +1.8 |
| 17 | 6-11 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +1.0 |
| 18 | 7-11 | BALLST | BALLST | Blocked | Charlotte Moriarty | blk Camryn Wise, Madison Buckley | +1.8 |
| 19 | 7-12 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.5 |
| 20 | 7-13 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Ace | Xavier | aced Audrey Geer | +1.8 |
| 21 | 8-13 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +0.9 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Margo Kemp | +1.7 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.6 |
| 24 | 10-14 | XAVIER | BALLST | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +1.2 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | BALLST | XAVIER | Attack err | Ava Smith | +1.6 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | XAVIER | BALLST | Serve err | Xavier | +1.2 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.6 |
| 28 | 12-16 | XAVIER | BALLST | Bad set | McKinley Boehm | +1.1 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.6 |
| 30 | 13-17 | XAVIER | BALLST×3 | Blocked | Ava Tilden | blk Gwen Crull, Madison Buckley | +1.1 |
| 31 | 14-17 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Ace | Ball St. | +2.2 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +2.8 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Kelsey Niesen | +2.4 |
| 34 | 16-18 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Sophie Ledbetter | +1.9 |
| 35 | 16-19 | BALLST | XAVIER | Blocked | Camryn Wise | blk McKinley Boehm | +2.6 |
| 36 | 17-19 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +2.0 |
| 37 | 17-20 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Kelsey Niesen | +2.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +2.0 |
| 39 | 19-20 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +3.8 |
| 40 | 19-21 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.5 |
| 41 | 20-21 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +2.8 |
| 42 | 20-22 | BALLST | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.8 |
| 43 | 20-23 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Blocked | Tiffany Snook | blk McKinley Boehm | +4.3 |
| 44 | 20-24 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +2.4 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.5 |
| 46 | 21-25 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Tiffany Snook | +1.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BALLST | BALLST | Blocked | Iyanna Battle | blk Camryn Wise | +3.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +2.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Ava Tilden | +3.3 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | BALLST | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | XAVIER | BALLST | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | BALLST | XAVIER | Attack err | Ava Smith | +2.6 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | XAVIER | BALLST | Attack err | McKinley Boehm | +2.5 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | BALLST | BALLST | Blocked | Ava Tilden | blk Madison Buckley, Gwen Crull | +3.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | BALLST | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Kelsey Niesen | +2.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Attack err | Ava Smith | +4.0 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Sophie Ledbetter | +2.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | BALLST | XAVIER×3 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Ace | Xavier | aced Ava Smith | +4.0 |
| 18 | 7-11 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Ace | Xavier | aced Ava Smith | +3.7 |
| 19 | 8-11 | XAVIER | BALLST | Serve err | Xavier | +2.2 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.7 |
| 21 | 9-12 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +2.2 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BALLST | XAVIER | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +2.7 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | XAVIER | BALLST×3 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +2.2 |
| 24 | 11-13 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Catherine Flaharty | +3.8 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +4.3 |
| 26 | 12-14 | BALLST | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Attack err | Ava Smith | +4.6 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | +4.1 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +2.2 |
| 30 | 13-17 | BALLST | XAVIER | Blocked | Ava Smith | blk McKinley Boehm, Catherine Flaharty | +3.0 |
| 31 | 14-17 | XAVIER | BALLST | Serve err | Xavier | +2.2 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +4.1 |
| 33 | 15-18 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.7 |
| 34 | 15-19 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +4.3 |
| 35 | 16-19 | XAVIER | BALLST×3 | Serve err | Xavier | +2.1 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Blocked | Charlotte Moriarty | blk Gwen Crull, Madison Buckley | +4.2 |
| 37 | 18-19 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Blocked | McKinley Boehm | blk Gwen Crull, Audrey Geer | +5.5 |
| 38 | 18-20 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +4.7 |
| 39 | 19-20 | XAVIER | BALLST×3 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +4.0 |
| 40 | 20-20 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +7.1 |
| 41 | 21-20 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +7.8 |
| 42 | 21-21 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +5.4 |
| 43 | 22-21 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +6.2 |
| 44 | 23-21 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +8.3 |
| 45 | 23-22 | BALLST | XAVIER | Serve err | Ball St. | +4.1 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +6.7 |
| 47 | 25-22 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +5.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Ace | Xavier | aced Ava Smith | +3.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +2.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +3.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BALLST | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.3 |
| 6 | 2-4 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.3 |
| 7 | 3-4 | XAVIER | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +2.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +3.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Catherine Flaharty | +3.3 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Lindsey Green | +2.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Sophie Ledbetter | +3.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Charlotte Moriarty | +2.2 |
| 14 | 8-6 | XAVIER | BALLST | Blocked | Ava Tilden | blk Madison Buckley, Gwen Crull | +2.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | BALLST | XAVIER×3 | Bad set | Sophie Ledbetter | +2.3 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Attack err | Madison Buckley | +3.6 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | set Elouise Czajkowski | +3.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +2.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | BALLST | BALLST | Ace | Ball St. | aced Kelsey Niesen | +3.8 |
| 20 | 10-10 | BALLST | XAVIER×4 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.7 |
| 21 | 10-11 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Attack err | Camryn Wise | +4.1 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +4.2 |
| 23 | 10-13 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Ace | Xavier | aced Ava Smith | +4.0 |
| 24 | 11-13 | XAVIER | BALLST×3 | Serve err | Xavier | +2.4 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Sophie Ledbetter | +4.0 |
| 26 | 13-13 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +4.3 |
| 27 | 13-14 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.2 |
| 28 | 14-14 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +3.1 |
| 29 | 15-14 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +4.7 |
| 30 | 15-15 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.3 |
| 31 | 16-15 | XAVIER | BALLST×4 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +3.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Lindsey Green | +4.7 |
| 33 | 18-15 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Bad set | Macy Hatkevich | +4.2 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +3.3 |
| 35 | 19-16 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Catherine Flaharty | set Kelsey Niesen | +1.7 |
| 36 | 20-16 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +2.3 |
| 37 | 20-17 | BALLST | XAVIER×3 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Jenna Barhorst | +1.6 |
| 38 | 20-18 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | +3.4 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Ace | Xavier | aced Audrey Geer | +4.9 |
| 40 | 21-19 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +4.3 |
| 41 | 22-19 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Jenna Barhorst | +4.9 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Jenna Barhorst | +2.3 |
| 43 | 23-20 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +3.5 |
| 44 | 23-21 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +2.0 |
| 45 | 24-21 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +3.6 |
| 46 | 24-22 | BALLST | XAVIER | Kill | Jenna Barhorst | set Charlotte Moriarty | +1.3 |
| 47 | 25-22 | XAVIER | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +3.2 |
Score shown after each rally, Ball St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).