FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

Ball St. def. Wright St. 3–0

Ball St. won at Wright St. 3-0 (32-30, 25-16, 25-12) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Ball St.'s Audrey Geer led with 14 kills, and Sophie Ledbetter added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set123Sets
BALLST3225253
WRIGHT3016120

Win probability

Wright St. above 50 · Ball St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.2% WRIGHTrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.2% to Wright St. — set 1, BALLST 24-25 WRIGHT. Audrey Geer stuffed by Abigail Knight & Olivia Schmidt. WRIGHT win probability 47% → 57%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BALLST 51.8%48.2% WRIGHT

Ball St. wins

3-0
13.2%
3-1
19.5%
3-2
19.0%

Wright St. wins

3-0
11.8%
3-1
18.0%
3-2
18.4%
BALLST break %
41.0% vs this opp
WRIGHT break %
40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Audrey Geer stuffed by Abigail Knight & Olivia Schmidt

    Set 1 · BALLST 24-25 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 47% → 57%

  2. 02
    Lauren YacobucciBlock+10.2%

    Ava Smith stuffed by Lauren Yacobucci

    Set 1 · BALLST 28-29 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 47% → 57%

  3. 03
    Madison BuckleyKill+10.1%

    Kill by Madison Buckley (set by Reese Axness)

    Set 1 · BALLST 28-27 WRIGHT · BALLST 50% → 60%

  4. 04
    Ava SmithKill+10.1%

    Kill by Ava Smith (set by Gwen Crull)

    Set 1 · BALLST 30-29 WRIGHT · BALLST 50% → 60%

  5. 05
    Tiffany SnookAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Tiffany Snook

    Set 1 · BALLST 24-24 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 36% → 47%

  6. 06
    Leah PikeKill+10.0%

    Kill by Leah Pike (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 1 · BALLST 32-30 WRIGHT · BALLST 60% → 71%

  7. 07
    Audrey GeerKill+7.6%

    Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Sophie Ledbetter)

    Set 1 · BALLST 24-22 WRIGHT · BALLST 59% → 66%

  8. 08
    Ella SeegerAttack error+7.0%

    Attack error by Ella Seeger

    Set 1 · BALLST 25-25 WRIGHT · BALLST 43% → 50%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314230.40000012100014
313327.37000010000013
310320.35000020031.511.5
34111.273212000427
3508.625000101016
3000–2820700002
35314.143000200005
3000–1911700001
3000–4101300001
2000–000000000
11011.00000000010.51.5
11011.000000000001
Team totals5312112.366535354118582
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38532.094100911019
37329.138001000007
3517.5713000301016
35213.23100000010.55.5
34311.09100150010.54.5
3001.000001410000
3000–6101630001
3000–100400000
27316.250000000007
25214.214000000005
1011-1.000000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals4120124.169381342522358

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 BALLST · WRIGHT 4

Set 1

32-30

Longest run 2 BALLSTWRIGHT 3

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 5 BALLSTWRIGHT 4

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 7 BALLSTWRIGHT 4

Bars above the line = Wright St. leads, below = Ball St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ball St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
61%11/18
2
64%7/11
59%10/17
3
70%7/10
53%8/15
4
86%6/7
45%5/11
5
67%6/9
25%2/8
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
68%40/59
52%42/81

Wright St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
40%4/10
2
41%7/17
38%5/13
3
44%7/16
30%3/10
4
60%6/10
36%4/11
5
67%6/9
0%0/6
6
33%5/15
33%3/9
All
48%39/81
32%19/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#BALLST-WRIGHTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BALLSTBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+2.6
21-1BALLSTWRIGHT×3Attack errAudrey Geer+1.8
31-2WRIGHTWRIGHT×3AceTaygan Corstangeaced Audrey Geer+2.6
41-3WRIGHTWRIGHT×3KillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+2.6
52-3WRIGHTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.7
63-3BALLSTBALLSTAttack errReilly Zegunis+2.7
73-4BALLSTWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.9
84-4WRIGHTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+1.9
94-5BALLSTWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+2.0
105-5WRIGHTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+1.9
116-5BALLSTBALLSTKillLeah Pikeset Lindsey Green+2.9
126-6BALLSTWRIGHTKillLauren Yacobucciset Katie Sowko+2.0
137-6WRIGHTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+2.0
147-7BALLSTWRIGHTAttack errTiffany Snook+2.0
157-8WRIGHTWRIGHTKillElla Seegerset Lauren Yacobucci+3.1
168-8WRIGHTBALLSTAttack errElla Seeger+2.1
179-8BALLSTBALLSTAceBall St.aced Katie Sowko+3.1
189-9BALLSTWRIGHTKillOlivia Schmidtset Lauren Yacobucci+2.2
199-10WRIGHTWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci+3.3
2010-10WRIGHTBALLSTAttack errOlivia Schmidt+2.2
2110-11BALLSTWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Taygan Corstange+2.3
2210-12WRIGHTWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Taygan Corstange+3.4
2311-12WRIGHTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+2.2
2412-12BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+3.5
2512-13BALLSTWRIGHTAttack errMadison Buckley+2.5
2612-14WRIGHTWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci+3.6
2713-14WRIGHTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+2.3
2814-14BALLSTBALLSTAttack errKatie Sowko+3.7
2914-15BALLSTWRIGHTKillLauren Yacobucciset Greta McKee+2.7
3015-15WRIGHTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+2.7
3115-16BALLSTWRIGHTKillElla Seegerset Lauren Yacobucci+2.9
3216-16WRIGHTBALLSTServe errWright St.+2.8
3316-17BALLSTWRIGHTKillElla Seegerset Lauren Yacobucci+3.0
3417-17WRIGHTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+3.0
3517-18BALLSTWRIGHTKillOlivia Schmidtset Lauren Yacobucci+3.2
3618-18WRIGHTBALLSTServe errWright St.+3.2
3719-18BALLSTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+5.0
3819-19BALLSTWRIGHTKillAbigail Knightset Lauren Yacobucci+3.4
3920-19WRIGHTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+3.8
4020-20BALLSTWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+3.7
4121-20WRIGHTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+4.2
4221-21BALLSTWRIGHTServe errBall St.+4.1
4322-21WRIGHTBALLSTKillLeah Pikeset Reese Axness+4.7
4422-22BALLSTWRIGHTServe errBall St.+4.6
4523-22WRIGHTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+5.6
4624-22BALLSTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Sophie Ledbetter+7.6
4724-23BALLSTWRIGHT×3KillElla Seegerset Lauren Yacobucci+2.8
4824-24WRIGHTWRIGHT×3Attack errTiffany Snook+10.1
4924-25WRIGHTWRIGHT×3BlockedAudrey Geerblk Abigail Knight, Olivia Schmidt+10.2
5025-25WRIGHTBALLSTAttack errElla Seeger+7.0
5125-26BALLSTWRIGHTKillAbigail Knightset Lauren Yacobucci+7.0
5226-26WRIGHTBALLSTAttack errKatie Sowko+7.0
5326-27BALLSTWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci+7.0
5427-27WRIGHTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+7.0
5528-27BALLSTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+10.1
5628-28BALLSTWRIGHTAttack errAva Smith+7.0
5728-29WRIGHTWRIGHTBlockedAva Smithblk Lauren Yacobucci+10.2
5829-29WRIGHTBALLSTServe errWright St.+7.0
5930-29BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Gwen Crull+10.1
6030-30BALLSTWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci+7.0
6131-30WRIGHTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Sophie Ledbetter+7.0
6232-30BALLSTBALLSTKillLeah Pikeset Lindsey Green+10.0
Set 2
11-0WRIGHTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+1.7
22-0BALLSTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+2.5
32-1BALLSTWRIGHTKillElla Seegerset Lauren Yacobucci+1.7
43-1WRIGHTBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+1.8
54-1BALLSTBALLSTAttack errAbigail Knight+2.4
64-2BALLSTWRIGHTKillOlivia Schmidtset Lauren Yacobucci+1.6
75-2WRIGHTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+1.7
86-2BALLSTBALLSTAceBall St.aced Taygan Corstange+2.3
96-3BALLSTWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.4
107-3WRIGHTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.6
117-4BALLSTWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci+1.4
128-4WRIGHTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+1.6
139-4BALLSTBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Lindsey Green+2.1
149-5BALLSTWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+1.2
1510-5WRIGHTBALLST×5KillAudrey Geerset Sophie Ledbetter+1.5
1611-5BALLSTBALLST×5KillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.7
1712-5BALLSTBALLST×5AceBall St.aced Taygan Corstange+1.4
1813-5BALLSTBALLST×5KillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.0
1914-5BALLSTBALLST×5BlockedMya Ayroblk Gwen Crull, Madison Buckley+0.7
2014-6BALLSTWRIGHT×4KillLauren Yacobucciset Taygan Corstange+0.3
2114-7WRIGHTWRIGHT×4KillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+0.6
2214-8WRIGHTWRIGHT×4KillOlivia Schmidtset Lauren Yacobucci+0.9
2314-9WRIGHTWRIGHT×4Attack errMadison Buckley+1.3
2415-9WRIGHTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.2
2515-10BALLSTWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+0.8
2615-11WRIGHTWRIGHTKillAbigail Knightset Taygan Corstange+1.7
2716-11WRIGHTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+1.5
2816-12BALLSTWRIGHTKillOlivia Schmidtset Lauren Yacobucci+1.1
2917-12WRIGHTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Reese Axness+1.5
3018-12BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.6
3118-13BALLSTWRIGHTKillAbigail Knightset Lauren Yacobucci+0.7
3218-14WRIGHTWRIGHTKillLauren Yacobucciset Taygan Corstange+1.5
3319-14WRIGHTBALLSTKillLeah Pikeset Lindsey Green+1.5
3420-14BALLSTBALLSTKillLeah Pikeset Lindsey Green+1.4
3520-15BALLSTWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+0.5
3621-15WRIGHTBALLSTKillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+0.9
3722-15BALLSTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.6
3822-16BALLSTWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+0.2
3923-16WRIGHTBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.3
4024-16BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errMya Ayro+0.1
4125-16BALLSTBALLST×3AceBall St.aced Taygan Corstange·
Set 3
11-0BALLSTBALLST×3KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+1.6
22-0BALLSTBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Reese Axness+1.6
33-0BALLSTBALLST×3BlockedOlivia Schmidtblk Gwen Crull, Madison Buckley+1.5
43-1BALLSTWRIGHTAttack errMadison Buckley+1.0
53-2WRIGHTWRIGHTBlockedGwen Crullblk Katie Sowko+1.6
64-2WRIGHTBALLST×7KillAudrey Geerset Reese Axness+1.2
75-2BALLSTBALLST×7Attack errAbigail Knight+1.6
86-2BALLSTBALLST×7KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+1.5
97-2BALLSTBALLST×7Attack errAbigail Knight+1.3
108-2BALLSTBALLST×7BlockedKatie Sowkoblk Madison Buckley, Gwen Crull+1.1
119-2BALLSTBALLST×7Attack errKatie Sowko+0.9
1210-2BALLSTBALLST×7KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.7
1310-3BALLSTWRIGHTAttack errAva Smith+0.4
1410-4WRIGHTWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunis+0.7
1511-4WRIGHTBALLST×6KillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+0.6
1612-4BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errReilly Zegunis+0.7
1713-4BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errReilly Zegunis+0.5
1814-4BALLSTBALLST×6AceBall St.aced Alisandra Hayes+0.3
1915-4BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errKatie Sowko+0.2
2016-4BALLSTBALLST×6KillAva Smithset Gwen Crull+0.1
2116-5BALLSTWRIGHT×4Serve errBall St.·
2216-6WRIGHTWRIGHT×4KillLauren Yacobucciset Taygan Corstange+0.1
2316-7WRIGHTWRIGHT×4KillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+0.1
2416-8WRIGHTWRIGHT×4Bad setReese Axness+0.2
2517-8WRIGHTBALLSTAttack errMya Ayro+0.2
2618-8BALLSTBALLSTBlockedLauren Yacobucciblk Leah Pike+0.2
2718-9BALLSTWRIGHTAttack errTiffany Snook+0.1
2819-9WRIGHTBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.1
2919-10BALLSTWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci·
3020-10WRIGHTBALLST×4KillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green+0.1
3121-10BALLSTBALLST×4KillAudrey Geerset Lindsey Green·
3222-10BALLSTBALLST×4Bad setLauren Yacobucci·
3323-10BALLSTBALLST×4BlockedHaidyn Sokoloskiblk Mallory Pike, Gwen Crull·
3423-11BALLSTWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci·
3524-11WRIGHTBALLSTKillMerritt Sliwaset Lindsey Green·
3624-12BALLSTWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci·
3725-12WRIGHTBALLSTKillMallory Pikeset Lindsey Green·

Score shown after each rally, Ball St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).