Northwestern def. Ball St. 3–1
(25-17, 22-25, 26-24, 25-23)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW | 25 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 3 |
| BALLST | 17 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 16.1% to Northwestern — set 4, NW 25-23 BALLST. Northwestern ace on Ava Smith. BALLST win probability 16% → 0%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Northwestern wins
Ball St. wins
- NW break %
- 38.5% vs this opp
- BALLST break %
- 40.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01NW serverAce+16.1%
Northwestern ace on Ava Smith
Set 4 · NW 25-23 BALLST · NW 84% → 100%
- 02Madison BuckleyAttack error+15.2%
Madison Buckley stuffed by Mara Stiglic & Gabrielle Gerry
Set 4 · NW 24-23 BALLST · NW 69% → 84%
- 03Isabella BullingtonKill+14.5%
Kill by Isabella Bullington (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 3 · NW 26-24 BALLST · NW 55% → 70%
- 04Ava SmithKill+14.0%
Kill by Ava Smith (set by Lucy McCollum)
Set 3 · NW 24-24 BALLST · BALLST 40% → 54%
- 05Mara StiglicAttack error+11.9%
Mara Stiglic stuffed by Gwen Crull & Madison Buckley
Set 4 · NW 22-23 BALLST · BALLST 27% → 39%
- 06Mara StiglicKill+10.5%
Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 4 · NW 22-21 BALLST · NW 69% → 80%
- 07Mara StiglicKill+9.1%
Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 3 · NW 25-24 BALLST · NW 46% → 55%
- 08BALLST serverAce+9.0%
Ball St. ace on Gigi Navarrete
Set 2 · NW 22-23 BALLST · BALLST 37% → 46%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 22 | 7 | 49 | .306 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | |
| 4 | 17 | 0 | 32 | .531 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 19.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 3 | 33 | .303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 11 | .364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 62 | 14 | 141 | .340 | 59 | 5 | 10 | 71 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 98 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 19 | 6 | 54 | .241 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 21.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 26 | .269 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | .250 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 16 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 22 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 24 | .208 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 20 | 165 | .236 | 56 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 89 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-17
Set 2
22-25
Set 3
26-24
Set 4
25-23
Bars above the line = Ball St. leads, below = Northwestern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Northwestern
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 73%11/15 | 53%10/19 |
| 2 | 83%10/12 | 17%2/12 |
| 3 | 67%10/15 | 44%8/18 |
| 4 | 50%9/18 | 23%3/13 |
| 5 | 60%9/15 | 59%13/22 |
| 6 | 53%8/15 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 63%57/90 | 42%41/97 |
Ball St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55%11/20 | 33%5/15 |
| 2 | 67%10/15 | 31%5/16 |
| 3 | 67%10/15 | 17%2/12 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 53%10/19 |
| 5 | 36%8/22 | 31%4/13 |
| 6 | 73%8/11 | 47%7/15 |
| All | 58%56/97 | 37%33/90 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
187 rallies
Rally log
| # | NW-BALLST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +1.6 |
| 2 | 0-2 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +2.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.6 |
| 4 | 1-3 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +1.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | BALLST | NW×3 | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Ava Smith | +2.6 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Maya Stillwell | +2.8 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +1.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +1.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | BALLST | NW | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Audrey Geer | set Reese Axness | +1.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +1.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +3.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | BALLST | NW×3 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.2 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW | BALLST | Serve err | NW server | +2.0 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +3.2 |
| 21 | 11-10 | BALLST | NW | Attack err | Gwen Crull | +2.2 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +2.2 |
| 23 | 12-11 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.3 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +2.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.4 |
| 26 | 13-13 | NW | BALLST | Serve err | NW server | +2.3 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | BALLST | NW×7 | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.5 |
| 28 | 15-13 | NW | NW×7 | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.9 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NW | NW×7 | Attack err | Madison Buckley | +3.7 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | NW | NW×7 | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Lauren Dignan | +3.2 |
| 31 | 18-13 | NW | NW×7 | Attack err | Audrey Geer | +2.5 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | NW | NW×7 | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.7 |
| 33 | 20-13 | NW | NW×7 | Bad set | Madison Buckley | +1.0 | |
| 34 | 20-14 | NW | BALLST | Serve err | NW server | +0.3 | |
| 35 | 21-14 | BALLST | NW | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +0.6 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +0.2 |
| 37 | 22-15 | BALLST | NW×3 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +0.5 |
| 38 | 23-15 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +0.3 |
| 39 | 24-15 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Ava Smith | +0.1 | |
| 40 | 24-16 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Lindsey Green | +0.0 |
| 41 | 24-17 | BALLST | BALLST | Ace | BALLST server | aced Team | +0.0 |
| 42 | 25-17 | BALLST | NW | Serve err | BALLST server | +0.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BALLST | NW | Serve err | BALLST server | +1.9 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | BALLST | NW | Attack err | Gwen Crull | +2.0 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | NW | NW | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +3.1 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +1.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NW | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +1.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Mallory Pike | set Reese Axness | +3.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Attack err | Campbell Paris | +3.1 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +3.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NW | NW | Ace | NW server | aced Mallory Pike | +3.2 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +2.1 |
| 14 | 7-7 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Reese Axness | +2.2 |
| 16 | 8-8 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.2 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NW | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.6 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lucy McCollum | +2.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.4 |
| 20 | 10-10 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lucy McCollum | +2.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | BALLST | NW | Attack err | Ava Smith | blk Mara Stiglic, Maya Stillwell | +2.5 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lucy McCollum | +2.4 |
| 23 | 11-12 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Maya Stillwell | +3.8 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | BALLST | NW | Serve err | BALLST server | +2.5 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +2.6 |
| 26 | 13-13 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +2.7 |
| 28 | 14-14 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.7 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NW | NW | Attack err | Madison Buckley | blk Mara Stiglic, Hayley Schaaf | +4.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | NW | BALLST×3 | Serve err | NW server | +2.9 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | +4.6 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Hayley Schaaf | +4.4 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.6 |
| 34 | 17-17 | NW | NW | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | +4.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | NW | BALLST | Serve err | NW server | +3.4 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lucy McCollum | +4.9 |
| 37 | 18-19 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.8 |
| 38 | 19-19 | NW | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +5.5 |
| 39 | 19-20 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Camryn Wise | set Sophie Ledbetter | +3.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | BALLST | NW | Serve err | BALLST server | +3.9 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | NW | NW | Attack err | Ava Smith | blk Campbell Paris, Maya Stillwell | +6.9 |
| 42 | 21-21 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lucy McCollum | +4.3 |
| 43 | 22-21 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +5.2 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NW | BALLST×4 | Attack err | Campbell Paris | blk Ava Smith | +4.9 |
| 45 | 22-23 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Ace | BALLST server | aced Gigi Navarrete | +9.0 |
| 46 | 22-24 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Mallory Pike | set Sophie Ledbetter | +8.1 |
| 47 | 22-25 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Mallory Pike | set Reese Axness | +4.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Ava Smith | blk Maya Stillwell | +3.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NW | NW×3 | Bad set | Lucy McCollum | +3.6 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.6 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lucy McCollum | +2.1 |
| 5 | 4-1 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.4 |
| 6 | 5-1 | NW | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.4 |
| 7 | 5-2 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lucy McCollum | +2.0 |
| 8 | 6-2 | BALLST | NW×3 | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.3 |
| 9 | 7-2 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | +3.2 | |
| 10 | 8-2 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.8 |
| 11 | 8-3 | NW | BALLST×3 | Serve err | NW server | +1.4 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Ellie Stiernagle | blk Gwen Crull | +2.7 |
| 13 | 8-5 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Mallory Pike | set Sophie Ledbetter | +3.1 |
| 14 | 9-5 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.4 |
| 15 | 10-5 | NW | NW | Attack err | Madison Buckley | blk Hayley Schaaf, Mara Stiglic | +3.3 |
| 16 | 10-6 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +1.7 |
| 17 | 10-7 | BALLST | BALLST | Ace | BALLST server | aced Isabella Bullington | +3.2 |
| 18 | 11-7 | BALLST | NW | Serve err | BALLST server | +2.5 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | NW | BALLST×3 | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +2.1 |
| 20 | 11-9 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Leah Pike, Tiffany Snook | +3.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Ace | BALLST server | aced Isabella Bullington | +4.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | BALLST | NW | Serve err | BALLST server | +3.1 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Leah Pike | set Lucy McCollum | +2.8 |
| 24 | 13-11 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lucy McCollum | +2.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NW | BALLST | Serve err | NW server | +3.0 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.5 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +3.1 |
| 30 | 15-15 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +5.3 |
| 31 | 16-15 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.8 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NW | NW | Ace | NW server | aced Mallory Pike | +5.8 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NW | BALLST | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Madison Buckley, Gwen Crull | +3.3 |
| 34 | 17-17 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Hayley Schaaf | blk Leah Pike, Mallory Pike | +5.9 |
| 35 | 18-17 | BALLST | NW×5 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +4.2 |
| 36 | 19-17 | NW | NW×5 | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +6.5 |
| 37 | 20-17 | NW | NW×5 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +5.8 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NW | NW×5 | Attack err | Mallory Pike | +4.4 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | NW | NW×5 | Ace | NW server | aced Ava Smith | +2.7 |
| 40 | 22-18 | NW | BALLST×3 | Kill | Mallory Pike | set Sophie Ledbetter | +0.8 |
| 41 | 22-19 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Leah Pike | set Lucy McCollum | +2.3 |
| 42 | 22-20 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Mallory Pike | set Lucy McCollum | +3.9 |
| 43 | 23-20 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +4.3 |
| 44 | 24-20 | NW | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.5 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NW | BALLST×4 | Kill | Mallory Pike | set Lucy McCollum | +0.6 |
| 46 | 24-22 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lucy McCollum | +2.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Leah Pike | +5.7 |
| 48 | 24-24 | BALLST | BALLST×4 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lucy McCollum | +14.0 |
| 49 | 25-24 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +9.1 |
| 50 | 26-24 | NW | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +14.5 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Leah Pike | set Lindsey Green | +2.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Sophie Ledbetter | +2.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | BALLST | NW | Attack err | Tiffany Snook | blk Hayley Schaaf, Isabella Bullington | +2.7 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | BALLST | BALLST | Ace | BALLST server | aced Gigi Navarrete | +4.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Gwen Crull | set Reese Axness | +2.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Sophie Ledbetter | +2.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Mallory Pike | set Reese Axness | +4.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +2.7 |
| 15 | 7-8 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NW | BALLST×3 | Serve err | NW server | +2.8 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Attack err | Campbell Paris | blk Ava Smith, Leah Pike | +4.0 |
| 18 | 7-11 | BALLST | BALLST×3 | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +3.5 |
| 19 | 8-11 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | NW | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Mara Stiglic | +3.7 |
| 21 | 9-12 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +2.7 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BALLST | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Lindsey Green | +3.6 |
| 23 | 10-13 | BALLST | NW | Serve err | BALLST server | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | NW | NW | Ace | NW server | aced Mallory Pike | +3.8 |
| 25 | 11-14 | NW | BALLST | Serve err | NW server | +2.9 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | NW | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +4.7 |
| 28 | 13-15 | NW | BALLST | Bad set | Gabrielle Gerry | +3.4 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Madison Buckley, Gwen Crull | +4.7 |
| 30 | 14-16 | BALLST | NW | Attack err | Mallory Pike | +2.6 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | NW | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Drew Wright | +5.1 |
| 32 | 15-17 | NW | BALLST | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Madison Buckley, Gwen Crull | +3.8 |
| 33 | 16-17 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Lauren Dignan | +3.5 |
| 34 | 16-18 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Madison Buckley | set Reese Axness | +4.0 |
| 35 | 17-18 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.6 |
| 36 | 17-19 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Tiffany Snook | set Lindsey Green | +4.2 |
| 37 | 18-19 | BALLST | NW | Serve err | BALLST server | +3.8 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | NW | NW | Attack err | Ava Smith | blk Hayley Schaaf, Ellie Stiernagle | +7.3 |
| 39 | 19-20 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Leah Pike | set Lindsey Green | +5.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +5.2 |
| 41 | 20-21 | NW | BALLST | Serve err | NW server | +5.8 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | BALLST | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +5.7 |
| 43 | 22-21 | NW | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +10.5 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NW | BALLST | Kill | Ava Smith | set Reese Axness | +6.5 |
| 45 | 22-23 | BALLST | BALLST | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Gwen Crull, Madison Buckley | +11.9 |
| 46 | 23-23 | BALLST | NW×3 | Attack err | Mallory Pike | blk Ellie Stiernagle, Gabrielle Gerry | +7.4 |
| 47 | 24-23 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Madison Buckley | blk Mara Stiglic, Gabrielle Gerry | +15.2 |
| 48 | 25-23 | NW | NW×3 | Ace | NW server | aced Ava Smith | +16.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Northwestern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.