FinalWed, Sep 2, 2026

Texas def. Southern California 3–0

Texas beat visiting Southern California 3-0 (25-16, 25-21, 25-20) on Wed, Sep 2, 2026. Texas' Cari Spears led with 17 kills, and Ramsey Gary added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 2

Set123Sets
USC1621200
TEXAS2525253

Win probability

Texas above 50 · Southern California below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.9% TEXASrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Texas — set 2, USC 19-20 TEXAS. Kill by Henley Anderson (set by Rella Binney). TEXAS win probability 93% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USC 10.5%89.5% TEXAS

Southern California wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.8%

Texas wins

3-0
43.6%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%
USC break %
34.3% vs this opp
TEXAS break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Henley Anderson (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 2 · USC 19-20 TEXAS · TEXAS 93% → 95%

  2. 02

    Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 2 · USC 19-21 TEXAS · TEXAS 95% → 96%

  3. 03
    Mia TvrdyKill+1.6%

    Kill by Mia Tvrdy (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 2 · USC 15-14 TEXAS · USC 6% → 8%

  4. 04
    London WijayKill+1.4%

    Kill by London Wijay (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 2 · USC 19-18 TEXAS · USC 7% → 9%

  5. 05
    Cari SpearsAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Cari Spears

    Set 1 · USC 3-2 TEXAS · USC 10% → 12%

  6. 06
    Cari SpearsKill+1.3%

    Kill by Cari Spears (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 1 · USC 5-6 TEXAS · TEXAS 89% → 90%

  7. 07

    Cari Spears stuffed by London Wijay & Mia Tvrdy

    Set 2 · USC 14-14 TEXAS · USC 5% → 6%

  8. 08
    TexasService error+1.3%

    Texas service error

    Set 2 · USC 18-17 TEXAS · USC 7% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311429.2411017002112
39428.1790113102111
35212.25000130052.57.5
34210.20000000031.55.5
3023-.6672811600212
2236-.167002010213
3027-.286011200001
3000–101700000
2000–000410000
11011.000000000001
Team totals321996.1353038324016857
Texashome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317428.4641228002120
314632.2500035212216
34013.30800000174.58.5
35220.150112200217
3102.5003111900002
31011.000000000212
3001.0003011110000
3000–001100000
2000–00000031.51.5
1000–000000000
Team totals421297.309364103632181175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 USC · TEXAS 8

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 USCTEXAS 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 USCTEXAS 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 USCTEXAS 8

Bars above the line = Texas leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
30%3/10
2
88%7/8
25%3/12
3
60%6/10
53%8/15
4
43%6/14
33%3/9
5
33%6/18
0%0/6
6
86%6/7
0%0/6
All
54%40/74
29%17/58

Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
90%9/10
33%4/12
2
47%7/15
42%5/12
3
54%7/13
30%3/10
4
100%6/6
50%6/12
5
100%6/6
68%13/19
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
71%41/58
46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#USC-TEXASSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TEXASUSCBlockedTorrey Staffordblk Mia Tvrdy, Abigail Mullen+0.9
21-1USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.8
31-2TEXASTEXASKillCari Spears+1.1
42-2TEXASUSCKillAbigail Mullenset London Wijay+0.8
53-2USCUSCAttack errCari Spears+1.4
63-3USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.8
74-3TEXASUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+0.9
84-4USCTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.8
95-4TEXASUSCBlockedCari Spearsblk Adonia Faumuina, Leah Ford+1.0
105-5USCTEXASServe errSouthern California+0.9
115-6TEXASTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+1.3
126-6TEXASUSCServe errTexas+0.9
136-7USCTEXASServe errSouthern California+0.8
146-8TEXASTEXASAttack errLondon Wijay+1.2
157-8TEXASUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.8
167-9USCTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.7
177-10TEXASTEXAS×4AceTexasaced Adonia Faumuina+1.0
187-11TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errLondon Wijay+0.8
197-12TEXASTEXAS×4BlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Taylor Harvey, Torrey Stafford+0.6
208-12TEXASUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.3
218-13USCTEXASServe errSouthern California+0.4
229-13TEXASUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.3
239-14USCTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.4
249-15TEXASTEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.4
259-16TEXASTEXAS×3KillNya Bunton+0.3
2610-16TEXASUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+0.1
2711-16USCUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.3
2812-16USCUSC×3BlockedHenley Andersonblk Leah Ford, Lilli Etter+0.5
2912-17USCTEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.4
3012-18TEXASTEXAS×3KillRella Binney+0.4
3112-19TEXASTEXAS×3AceTexasaced Abigail Mullen+0.2
3213-19TEXASUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.1
3313-20USCTEXAS×3KillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.1
3413-21TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.1
3513-22TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errAdonia Faumuina·
3614-22TEXASUSCBlockedTorrey Staffordblk Adonia Faumuina, Leah Ford·
3714-23USCTEXASServe errSouthern California·
3815-23TEXASUSCAttack errTorrey Stafford·
3915-24USCTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary·
4016-24TEXASUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter·
4116-25USCTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney·
Set 2
10-1USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.5
20-2TEXASTEXASBlockedBrooklyn Tealerblk Taylor Harvey, Henley Anderson+0.7
31-2TEXASUSC×3Serve errTexas+0.4
42-2USCUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.8
53-2USCUSC×3AceSouthern Californiaaced Ramsey Gary+1.0
63-3USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.6
74-3TEXASUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.7
84-4USCTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.6
95-4TEXASUSCServe errTexas+0.7
105-5USCTEXAS×4KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.6
115-6TEXASTEXAS×4AceTexas+0.9
125-7TEXASTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.8
135-8TEXASTEXAS×4BlockedAbigail Mullenblk Torrey Stafford, Nya Bunton+0.7
146-8TEXASUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.4
156-9USCTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+0.4
166-10TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errAbigail Mullen+0.5
176-11TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.4
187-11TEXASUSCAttack errTorrey Stafford+0.2
197-12USCTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.3
208-12TEXASUSCBlockedTorrey Staffordblk Lilli Etter, Leah Ford+0.2
219-12USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Torrey Stafford+0.5
229-13USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Ramsey Gary+0.4
2310-13TEXASUSCServe errTexas+0.3
2411-13USCUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.7
2511-14USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.5
2612-14TEXASUSC×4KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.5
2713-14USCUSC×4Attack errHenley Anderson+1.0
2814-14USCUSC×4BlockedCari Spearsblk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy+1.3
2915-14USCUSC×4KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.6
3015-15USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.9
3116-15TEXASUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.1
3216-16USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+1.0
3317-16TEXASUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.2
3417-17USCTEXASAttack errAbigail Mullen+1.0
3518-17TEXASUSCServe errTexas+1.3
3618-18USCTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Henley Anderson+1.1
3719-18TEXASUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.4
3819-19USCTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.2
3919-20TEXASTEXAS×4KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+1.9
4019-21TEXASTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.6
4119-22TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errLilli Etter+1.1
4220-22TEXASUSCServe errTexas+0.5
4320-23USCTEXASServe errSouthern California+0.7
4421-23TEXASUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.4
4521-24USCTEXASBlockedLondon Wijayblk Cari Spears, Nya Bunton+0.7
4621-25TEXASTEXASBlockedLeah Fordblk Nya Bunton, Henley Anderson+0.3
Set 3
11-0TEXASUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Taylor Deckert+0.3
21-1USCTEXASAttack errLeah Ford+0.2
32-1TEXASUSC×5KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.3
43-1USCUSC×5BlockedCari Spearsblk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy+0.5
54-1USCUSC×5KillAbigail Mullenset Rella Binney+0.5
65-1USCUSC×5KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.5
76-1USCUSC×5KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.6
86-2USCTEXASServe errSouthern California+0.3
97-2TEXASUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.4
108-2USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Torrey Stafford+0.5
118-3USCTEXAS×4KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.3
128-4TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errAbigail Mullen+0.5
138-5TEXASTEXAS×4AceTexasaced Paisley Douglas+0.5
148-6TEXASTEXAS×4KillNya Bunton+0.5
159-6TEXASUSCServe errTexas+0.4
169-7USCTEXASServe errSouthern California+0.3
1710-7TEXASUSCServe errTexas+0.4
1810-8USCTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.3
1911-8TEXASUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.4
2012-8USCUSC×3BlockedTorrey Staffordblk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen+0.7
2113-8USCUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.6
2213-9USCTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+0.3
2313-10TEXASTEXASKillCari Spearsset Lilli Etter+0.5
2414-10TEXASUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.5
2514-11USCTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.3
2615-11TEXASUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.5
2715-12USCTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.3
2815-13TEXASTEXASBlockedMia Tvrdyblk Cari Spears, Nya Bunton+0.6
2916-13TEXASUSCServe errTexas+0.5
3016-14USCTEXASBad setAbigail Mullen+0.4
3117-14TEXASUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.6
3217-15USCTEXAS×8KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.4
3317-16TEXASTEXAS×8BlockedBrooklyn Tealerblk Ella Swindle, Nya Bunton+0.7
3417-17TEXASTEXAS×8BlockedLilli Etterblk Torrey Stafford+0.8
3517-18TEXASTEXAS×8KillTorrey Staffordset Cari Spears+0.7
3617-19TEXASTEXAS×8Attack errLondon Wijay+0.6
3717-20TEXASTEXAS×8BlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Ella Swindle, Nya Bunton+0.5
3817-21TEXASTEXAS×8Bad setAbigail Mullen+0.3
3917-22TEXASTEXAS×8BlockedMia Tvrdyblk Ella Swindle, Nya Bunton+0.2
4018-22TEXASUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter·
4118-23USCTEXASServe errSouthern California+0.1
4219-23TEXASUSCKillQuinn Loperset Lilli Etter·
4319-24USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.1
4420-24TEXASUSCServe errTexas·
4520-25USCTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney·

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).