Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on SECN+

Texas def. Alabama 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Texas 98.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 12:06 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Texas beat visiting Alabama 3-1 (25-23, 23-25, 25-21, 25-22) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Texas' Torrey Stafford led with 18 kills, and Cari Spears added 8 digs.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set1234Sets
ALA232521221
TEXAS252325253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Texas won it on hitting.

Win probability never moved more than 2.7 points on one rally; Alabama topped out at 11% in Set 4. Texas went in as RallyIQ's 98% pick.

AlabamaTexas
  • Hitting+.093
    .136.229

    Kills and errors: 54–24 vs 41–26.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Texas scored 5 straight in the first set to cut a 5–12 deficit to 10–12. That set ended 25–23.

Texas above 50Alabama belowMax swing 2.7%

AlabamaTexas

Aces
Alabama 9·Texas 7
Serve err
Alabama 9·Texas 16
Blocks
Alabama 12.5·Texas 121 BS · 23 BA vs 1 BS · 22 BA
Digs
Alabama 41·Texas 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Texas above 50 · Alabama below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.7% ALArally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.7% to Alabama — set 4, ALA 20-17 TEXAS. Cari Spears stuffed by Lily Gervase & Mya Allen. TEXAS win probability 91% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ALA 2.7%97.3% TEXAS

Alabama wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.7%
3-2
1.7%

Texas wins

3-0
63.6%
3-1
26.7%
3-2
7.0%
ALA break %
35.0% vs this opp
TEXAS break %
49.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Cari Spears stuffed by Lily Gervase & Mya Allen

    Set 4 · ALA 20-17 TEXAS · ALA 9% → 11%

  2. 02

    Cari Spears stuffed by Mya Allen & Lindsey Brown

    Set 4 · ALA 19-17 TEXAS · ALA 6% → 9%

  3. 03

    Lily Gervase stuffed by Taylor Harvey & Henley Anderson

    Set 4 · ALA 20-20 TEXAS · TEXAS 92% → 95%

  4. 04
    Laney HennesseeAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Laney Hennessee

    Set 4 · ALA 22-24 TEXAS · TEXAS 97% → 99%

  5. 05

    Lily Gervase stuffed by Henley Anderson & Taylor Harvey

    Set 4 · ALA 20-19 TEXAS · TEXAS 90% → 92%

  6. 06

    Laney Hennessee stuffed by Rella Binney & Taylor Harvey

    Set 4 · ALA 22-23 TEXAS · TEXAS 95% → 97%

  7. 07
    Mya AllenAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Mya Allen

    Set 4 · ALA 20-21 TEXAS · TEXAS 95% → 97%

  8. 08

    Kill by Laney Hennessee (set by Hannah Parant)

    Set 4 · ALA 18-17 TEXAS · ALA 4% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410216.50000100073.513.5
48825.0001003006311
47421.14310032031.58.5
45210.30000000132.57.5
47929-.069001810007
4408.500331260031.56.5
4000–133000003
4000–130610003
4000–02121010.52.5
4000–2001220000
2000–001100000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals4126110.136399941712312.591
Texashome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418953.1700233502121
417839.23101480031.519.5
413322.45500020031.514.5
4417.42900021153.57.5
4114.000000110634
4025-.400401151031.52.5
4000–122710002
41011.000500700001
4000–015000001
2000–100000000
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals5424131.229477163591221298

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ALA · TEXAS 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 ALATEXAS 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 ALATEXAS 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 ALATEXAS 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 ALATEXAS 4

Bars above the line = Texas leads, below = Alabama leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%12/22
47%9/19
2
63%10/16
37%7/19
3
50%9/18
36%5/14
4
56%9/16
31%4/13
5
67%8/12
36%5/14
6
62%8/13
38%5/13
All
58%56/97
38%35/92

Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
50%10/20
2
58%11/19
42%8/19
3
75%9/12
47%9/19
4
69%9/13
44%7/16
5
73%8/11
43%6/14
6
47%8/17
11%1/9
All
62%57/92
42%41/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#ALA-TEXASSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TEXASALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.3
21-1ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Ramsey Gary+0.2
32-1TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.3
43-1ALAALAAttack errMackenzie Collins+0.4
53-2ALATEXASServe errAlabama+0.3
64-2TEXASALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.3
74-3ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.3
85-3TEXASALA×3Attack errRella Binney+0.4
96-3ALAALA×3AceAlabamaaced Torrey Stafford+0.5
107-3ALAALA×3Attack errTorrey Stafford+0.6
117-4ALATEXASServe errAlabama+0.4
128-4TEXASALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.5
138-5ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.4
149-5TEXASALA×4BlockedTorrey Staffordblk Kaleigh Palmer, Addison Engel+0.5
1510-5ALAALA×4AceAlabamaaced Emma Cugino+0.7
1611-5ALAALA×4KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.8
1712-5ALAALA×4BlockedTorrey Staffordblk Kaleigh Palmer, Lily Gervase+0.7
1812-6ALATEXAS×5Serve errAlabama+0.4
1912-7TEXASTEXAS×5Attack errMya Allen+0.6
2012-8TEXASTEXAS×5Attack errKaleigh Palmer+0.6
2112-9TEXASTEXAS×5BlockedMya Allenblk Mackenzie Collins, Cari Spears+0.6
2212-10TEXASTEXAS×5KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.6
2313-10TEXASALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.6
2414-10ALAALABlockedTorrey Staffordblk Mya Allen, Lily Gervase+0.8
2514-11ALATEXASBlockedMya Allenblk Mackenzie Collins, Torrey Stafford+0.5
2614-12TEXASTEXASAceTexasaced Dionii Fraga+0.7
2715-12TEXASALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.7
2816-12ALAALAAceAlabamaaced Torrey Stafford+0.9
2916-13ALATEXAS×5KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.5
3016-14TEXASTEXAS×5Attack errLaney Hennessee+0.7
3116-15TEXASTEXAS×5AceTexasaced Lindsey Brown+0.7
3216-16TEXASTEXAS×5KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.7
3316-17TEXASTEXAS×5KillTaylor Harvey+0.6
3417-17TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.5
3517-18ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.5
3618-18TEXASALAAttack errHenley Anderson+0.6
3718-19ALATEXAS×4KillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+0.5
3818-20TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errKaleigh Palmer+0.6
3918-21TEXASTEXAS×4AceTexasaced Kaleigh Palmer+0.4
4018-22TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errAshby Daniel+0.3
4119-22TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.1
4219-23ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.2
4320-23TEXASALAAttack errTorrey Stafford+0.1
4421-23ALAALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Leilia Toailoa+0.3
4521-24ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.4
4622-24TEXASALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.2
4723-24ALAALAAceAlabamaaced Mackenzie Collins+0.6
4823-25ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.9
Set 2
11-0ALAALA×5AceAlabamaaced Rella Binney+0.2
22-0ALAALA×5Attack errCari Spears+0.2
33-0ALAALA×5BlockedCari Spearsblk Kaleigh Palmer, Lily Gervase+0.3
44-0ALAALA×5Attack errTorrey Stafford+0.3
55-0ALAALA×5KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.4
65-1ALATEXAS×3Serve errAlabama+0.2
75-2TEXASTEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Laney Hennessee+0.3
85-3TEXASTEXAS×3AceTexasaced Kaleigh Palmer+0.3
96-3TEXASALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.3
106-4ALATEXASKillRamsey Gary+0.2
117-4TEXASALAKillHannah Parantset Mya Allen+0.3
128-4ALAALAAttack errTaylor Harvey+0.4
138-5ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.2
148-6TEXASTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.3
159-6TEXASALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.3
169-7ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.2
1710-7TEXASALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.3
1810-8ALATEXASServe errAlabama+0.2
1911-8TEXASALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.3
2011-9ALATEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.3
2111-10TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errLaney Hennessee+0.3
2211-11TEXASTEXAS×3AceTexasaced Laney Hennessee+0.3
2312-11TEXASALAKillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.3
2412-12ALATEXAS×3Attack errMya Allen+0.2
2512-13TEXASTEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.3
2612-14TEXASTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+0.2
2713-14TEXASALA×3Serve errTexas+0.2
2814-14ALAALA×3AceAlabamaaced Torrey Stafford+0.3
2915-14ALAALA×3AceAlabamaaced Torrey Stafford+0.4
3015-15ALATEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.3
3115-16TEXASTEXASAttack errMya Allen+0.4
3216-16TEXASALAAttack errTorrey Stafford+0.3
3316-17ALATEXASKillHenley Anderson+0.3
3417-17TEXASALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.3
3517-18ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.3
3618-18TEXASALAAttack errRella Binney+0.4
3719-18ALAALAAttack errCari Spears+0.6
3819-19ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.4
3920-19TEXASALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.5
4020-20ALATEXASAttack errAddison Engel+0.5
4121-20TEXASALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.6
4221-21ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Emma Cugino+0.5
4321-22TEXASTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+0.7
4422-22TEXASALA×3Serve errTexas+0.6
4523-22ALAALA×3BlockedCari Spearsblk Lily Gervase, Mya Allen+1.1
4624-22ALAALA×3Attack errTorrey Stafford+1.4
4724-23ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.6
4825-23TEXASALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+1.7
Set 3
11-0TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.8
21-1ALATEXAS×3Bad setMya Allen+0.7
31-2TEXASTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.8
41-3TEXASTEXAS×3AceTexasaced Dionii Fraga+0.7
52-3TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.6
63-3ALAALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.9
73-4ALATEXAS×3Attack errLaney Hennessee+0.6
83-5TEXASTEXAS×3Bad setHannah Parant+0.7
93-6TEXASTEXAS×3AceTexasaced Tea Simic+0.6
104-6TEXASALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.5
114-7ALATEXAS×4Serve errAlabama+0.4
124-8TEXASTEXAS×4KillMackenzie Collinsset Rella Binney+0.5
134-9TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errLaney Hennessee+0.4
144-10TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errAddison Engel+0.2
155-10TEXASALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.2
165-11ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.2
176-11TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.2
186-12ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.2
197-12TEXASALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+0.2
207-13ALATEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.2
217-14TEXASTEXASBlockedMya Allenblk Taylor Harvey, Cari Spears+0.2
228-14TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.1
238-15ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.1
249-15TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.1
259-16ALATEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.1
2610-16TEXASALA×3Serve errTexas+0.1
2711-16ALAALA×3Bad setRella Binney+0.2
2812-16ALAALA×3BlockedTorrey Staffordblk Addison Engel, Hannah Parant+0.4
2912-17ALATEXASServe errAlabama+0.3
3012-18TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.3
3113-18TEXASALAKillHannah Parantset Dionii Fraga+0.2
3213-19ALATEXASBlockedLaney Hennesseeblk Mackenzie Collins, Rella Binney+0.2
3314-19TEXASALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.1
3414-20ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Ramsey Gary+0.2
3515-20TEXASALAKillMya Allenset Dionii Fraga+0.1
3615-21ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.2
3716-21TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.1
3817-21ALAALAAttack errHenley Anderson+0.3
3917-22ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.3
4018-22TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.2
4119-22ALAALAAceAlabamaaced Taylor Harvey+0.5
4219-23ALATEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.6
4320-23TEXASALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.3
4420-24ALATEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.5
4521-24TEXASALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.2
4621-25ALATEXASBlockedLaney Hennesseeblk Rella Binney, Mackenzie Collins+0.3
Set 4
10-1ALATEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.4
21-1TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.5
31-2ALATEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+0.4
42-2TEXASALAKillHannah Parantset Kaleigh Palmer+0.5
52-3ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.4
62-4TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+0.5
73-4TEXASALAKillAddison Engelset Hannah Parant+0.4
83-5ALATEXAS×4Serve errAlabama+0.4
93-6TEXASTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+0.4
103-7TEXASTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.3
113-8TEXASTEXAS×4KillCari Spearsset Kaleigh Palmer+0.2
124-8TEXASALAKillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+0.2
135-8ALAALAAceAlabamaaced Torrey Stafford+0.3
145-9ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.2
155-10TEXASTEXASBlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Henley Anderson, Mackenzie Collins+0.3
166-10TEXASALA×3KillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+0.2
177-10ALAALA×3BlockedHenley Andersonblk Lily Gervase, Hannah Parant+0.4
188-10ALAALA×3BlockedCari Spearsblk Mya Allen, Lily Gervase, Hannah Parant+0.5
198-11ALATEXASBlockedMya Allenblk Mackenzie Collins, Cari Spears+0.4
209-11TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.4
219-12ALATEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+0.4
2210-12TEXASALAServe errTexas+0.4
2310-13ALATEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.4
2411-13TEXASALAKillHannah Parantset Tea Simic+0.5
2511-14ALATEXASBlockedKaleigh Palmerblk Taylor Harvey, Torrey Stafford+0.4
2611-15TEXASTEXASAttack errLaney Hennessee+0.5
2712-15TEXASALA×3KillAddison Engelset Ramsey Gary+0.3
2813-15ALAALA×3KillAddison Engel+0.6
2914-15ALAALA×3KillKaleigh Palmerset Hannah Parant+0.9
3014-16ALATEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Ella Swindle+0.7
3115-16TEXASALABlockedCari Spearsblk Mya Allen, Addison Engel+0.8
3216-16ALAALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.4
3316-17ALATEXASServe errAlabama+1.0
3417-17TEXASALA×4KillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.2
3518-17ALAALA×4KillLaney Hennesseeset Hannah Parant+2.0
3619-17ALAALA×4BlockedCari Spearsblk Mya Allen, Lindsey Brown+2.4
3720-17ALAALA×4BlockedCari Spearsblk Lily Gervase, Mya Allen+2.7
3820-18ALATEXAS×4KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+1.4
3920-19TEXASTEXAS×4BlockedLily Gervaseblk Henley Anderson, Taylor Harvey+2.2
4020-20TEXASTEXAS×4BlockedLily Gervaseblk Taylor Harvey, Henley Anderson+2.3
4120-21TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errMya Allen+2.1
4221-21TEXASALAKillMya Allenset Hannah Parant+1.7
4321-22ALATEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+1.8
4422-22TEXASALAKillLily Gervaseset Hannah Parant+2.0
4522-23ALATEXAS×3BlockedLaney Hennesseeblk Rella Binney, Taylor Harvey+2.1
4622-24TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errLaney Hennessee+2.2
4722-25TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Alabama first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).