FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayHORIZON

0:3

HomePATRIOT

Lehigh def. Cleveland St. 3–0

(25-19, 25-19, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CLE ST	19	19	21	0
LEHIGH	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LEHIGH above 50 · CLE ST below

Biggest swing: 0.7% to Cleveland St. — set 2, CLE ST 10-6 LEHIGH. Alysia Fingall stuffed by Addison Koppelman. LEHIGH win probability 96% → 95%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CLE ST 4.0%96.0% LEHIGH

Cleveland St. wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.1%

3-2

2.5%

Lehigh wins

3-0

58.5%

3-1

28.7%

3-2

8.8%

CLE ST break %: 34.9% vs this opp
LEHIGH break %: 48.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alysia FingallAttack error+0.7%
Alysia Fingall stuffed by Addison Koppelman
Set 2 · CLE ST 10-6 LEHIGH · CLE ST 4% → 5%
02
Natalie LuscombAttack error+0.7%
Natalie Luscomb stuffed by JeriLynn Koehler & Alyssa Cerovac
Set 2 · CLE ST 9-6 LEHIGH · CLE ST 3% → 4%
03
JeriLynn KoehlerBad set+0.6%
Bad set by JeriLynn Koehler
Set 2 · CLE ST 11-9 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 96% → 96%
04
CLE ST serverAce+0.6%
Cleveland St. ace on Team
Set 2 · CLE ST 7-4 LEHIGH · CLE ST 3% → 4%
05
Bryn VanVleetAttack error+0.6%
Bryn VanVleet stuffed by Natalie Luscomb & Olivia Lasee
Set 2 · CLE ST 11-10 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 96% → 97%
06
LEHIGH serverAce+0.6%
Lehigh ace on Team
Set 2 · CLE ST 14-15 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 97% → 98%
07
Natalie LuscombKill+0.6%
Kill by Natalie Luscomb (set by Alysia Fingall)
Set 2 · CLE ST 16-18 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 98% → 98%
08
Alyssa CerovacAttack error+0.6%
Alyssa Cerovac stuffed by Mary Massias
Set 2 · CLE ST 11-11 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Cleveland St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Bryn VanVleetOH	3	12	6	33	.182	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	12
18Addison KoppelmanOH	3	9	6	27	.111	1	2	2	7	0	1	0	1	12
10Julia JozefovMB	3	7	1	18	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
4Alyssa CerovacOH	3	4	5	15	-.067	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
2JeriLynn KoehlerMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
24Allison SalazarS	3	3	0	5	.600	32	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	3
7Vayda DelventhalDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	11	1	0	0	0	1
15Fiona CooperS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
16Abigail BartoloDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
0Jazen DebinaMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		39	20	108	.176	35	4	8	34	3	2	2	3	59

Lehighhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Mary MassiasOH	3	13	2	21	.524	0	1	1	6	0	1	1	1.5	15.5
18Alysia FingallOH	3	8	2	16	.375	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	8
8Olivia LaseeMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	1	0	3	0	0	2	1	7
21Natalie LuscombOH	3	3	1	10	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
9Grace SlovenskyS	3	0	0	1	.000	17	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
23Jana JankowskiMB	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
7Sophia BondL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	2	13	0	0	0	0	1
20Abby FelkaiS	3	0	0	3	.000	19	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
14Ufuoma OmeneOH	2	5	3	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
12Paighton ErbMB	2	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	4
6Jaidyn GarciaOH	2	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
Team totals		41	10	90	.344	39	3	6	35	4	2	6	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 CLE ST · LEHIGH 4

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 CLE STLEHIGH 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 CLE STLEHIGH 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 CLE STLEHIGH 4

Bars above the line = Lehigh leads, below = Cleveland St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Cleveland St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%9/18	20%2/10
2	57%8/14	18%2/11
3	55%6/11	38%5/13
4	50%6/12	25%2/8
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	75%6/8	45%5/11
All	56%41/73	30%18/61

Lehigh

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	36%4/11
2	82%9/11	47%8/17
3	54%7/13	46%6/13
4	67%6/9	45%5/11
5	75%6/8	45%5/11
6	67%6/9	40%4/10
All	70%43/61	44%32/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	CLE ST-LEHIGH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CLE ST	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Mary Massias	set Grace Slovensky	+0.3
2	0-2	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Bad set	Allison Salazar		+0.4
3	0-3	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Attack err	JeriLynn Koehler		+0.3
4	1-3	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Alyssa Cerovac	set Allison Salazar	+0.3
5	1-4	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Natalie Luscomb	set Grace Slovensky	+0.2
6	1-5	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Kill	Mary Massias		+0.3
7	2-5	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Attack err	Mary Massias		+0.2
8	2-6	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Alysia Fingall	set Abby Felkai	+0.2
9	3-6	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.2
10	4-6	CLE ST	CLE ST	Attack err	Jaidyn Garcia		+0.4
11	4-7	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Attack err	Addison Koppelman		+0.3
12	5-7	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Addison Koppelman	set Allison Salazar	+0.3
13	5-8	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Attack err	Addison Koppelman	blk Jaidyn Garcia, Jana Jankowski	+0.3
14	6-8	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Addison Koppelman	set Allison Salazar	+0.3
15	7-8	CLE ST	CLE ST	Kill	Addison Koppelman	set Allison Salazar	+0.5
16	7-9	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Serve err	CLE ST server		+0.4
17	7-10	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Attack err	Alyssa Cerovac		+0.5
18	8-10	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	JeriLynn Koehler	set Allison Salazar	+0.3
19	8-11	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Sophia Bond		+0.3
20	9-11	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.3
21	9-12	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Mary Massias	set Sophia Bond	+0.3
22	10-12	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Addison Koppelman	+0.4
23	10-13	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Jaidyn Garcia	set Abby Felkai	+0.3
24	11-13	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.4
25	11-14	CLE ST	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Alysia Fingall	set Abby Felkai	+0.4
26	11-15	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Jaidyn Garcia	set Abby Felkai	+0.4
27	11-16	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Jaidyn Garcia	set Abby Felkai	+0.3
28	12-16	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Julia Jozefov	set Allison Salazar	+0.2
29	12-17	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Alysia Fingall	set Abby Felkai	+0.2
30	12-18	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Kill	Alysia Fingall	set Grace Slovensky	+0.2
31	13-18	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Attack err	Jana Jankowski	blk JeriLynn Koehler	+0.1
32	13-19	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Attack err	Addison Koppelman		+0.1
33	14-19	LEHIGH	CLE ST×3	Serve err	LEHIGH server		+0.1
34	15-19	CLE ST	CLE ST×3	Ace	CLE ST server	aced Team	+0.2
35	16-19	CLE ST	CLE ST×3	Ace	CLE ST server	aced Team	+0.4
36	16-20	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Serve err	CLE ST server		+0.3
37	16-21	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Kill	Alysia Fingall	set Grace Slovensky	+0.3
38	17-21	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Serve err	LEHIGH server		+0.1
39	17-22	CLE ST	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Mary Massias	set Grace Slovensky	+0.2
40	17-23	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Mary Massias	set Abby Felkai	+0.1
41	17-24	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Mary Massias	set Abby Felkai	+0.0
42	18-24	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Julia Jozefov	set Allison Salazar	+0.0
43	19-24	CLE ST	CLE ST	Kill	Allison Salazar	set Abby Felkai	+0.0
44	19-25	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Olivia Lasee	set Abby Felkai	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.3
2	1-1	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Olivia Lasee	set Grace Slovensky	+0.2
3	2-1	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Alyssa Cerovac	set Allison Salazar	+0.3
4	2-2	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Olivia Lasee	set Abby Felkai	+0.3
5	3-2	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.3
6	4-2	CLE ST	CLE ST	Kill	Julia Jozefov		+0.5
7	4-3	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Serve err	CLE ST server		+0.3
8	4-4	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Attack err	Julia Jozefov		+0.4
9	5-4	LEHIGH	CLE ST×3	Kill	Addison Koppelman	set Abigail Bartolo	+0.3
10	6-4	CLE ST	CLE ST×3	Kill	Allison Salazar	set Abby Felkai	+0.5
11	7-4	CLE ST	CLE ST×3	Ace	CLE ST server	aced Team	+0.6
12	7-5	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Serve err	CLE ST server		+0.4
13	7-6	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Attack err	Addison Koppelman		+0.5
14	8-6	LEHIGH	CLE ST×3	Serve err	LEHIGH server		+0.4
15	9-6	CLE ST	CLE ST×3	Attack err	Natalie Luscomb	blk JeriLynn Koehler, Alyssa Cerovac	+0.7
16	10-6	CLE ST	CLE ST×3	Attack err	Alysia Fingall	blk Addison Koppelman	+0.7
17	10-7	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Paighton Erb	set Grace Slovensky	+0.4
18	11-7	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Serve err	LEHIGH server		+0.6
19	11-8	CLE ST	LEHIGH×4	Kill	Mary Massias	set Grace Slovensky	+0.4
20	11-9	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×4	Bad set	JeriLynn Koehler		+0.6
21	11-10	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×4	Attack err	Bryn VanVleet	blk Natalie Luscomb, Olivia Lasee	+0.6
22	11-11	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×4	Attack err	Alyssa Cerovac	blk Mary Massias	+0.6
23	12-11	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Attack err	Mary Massias		+0.5
24	12-12	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Attack err	Bryn VanVleet		+0.4
25	13-12	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Julia Jozefov	set Allison Salazar	+0.5
26	13-13	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Mary Massias	set Abby Felkai	+0.4
27	14-13	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Serve err	LEHIGH server		+0.5
28	14-14	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Ufuoma Omene	set Abby Felkai	+0.5
29	14-15	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Ace	LEHIGH server	aced Team	+0.6
30	15-15	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.5
31	15-16	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Serve err	CLE ST server		+0.4
32	16-16	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Addison Koppelman	set Allison Salazar	+0.5
33	16-17	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Mary Massias	set Grace Slovensky	+0.5
34	16-18	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Kill	Natalie Luscomb	set Alysia Fingall	+0.6
35	17-18	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Alyssa Cerovac	set Allison Salazar	+0.4
36	17-19	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Mary Massias	set Grace Slovensky	+0.4
37	18-19	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.4
38	18-20	CLE ST	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Mary Massias	set Grace Slovensky	+0.5
39	18-21	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Attack err	Bryn VanVleet		+0.5
40	18-22	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Attack err	Alyssa Cerovac		+0.3
41	19-22	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Vayda Delventhal	+0.1
42	19-23	CLE ST	LEHIGH×3	Attack err	Bryn VanVleet	blk Olivia Lasee, Mary Massias	+0.2
43	19-24	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Bad set	Allison Salazar		+0.1
44	19-25	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Attack err	Bryn VanVleet		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Paighton Erb	set Grace Slovensky	+0.1
2	1-1	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Addison Koppelman	set Allison Salazar	+0.1
3	1-2	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Attack err	Bryn VanVleet		+0.1
4	2-2	LEHIGH	CLE ST×4	Attack err	Ufuoma Omene		+0.1
5	3-2	CLE ST	CLE ST×4	Kill	Jazen Debina	set Allison Salazar	+0.2
6	4-2	CLE ST	CLE ST×4	Kill	Julia Jozefov	set Allison Salazar	+0.2
7	5-2	CLE ST	CLE ST×4	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.3
8	5-3	CLE ST	LEHIGH×3	Serve err	CLE ST server		+0.2
9	5-4	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Ufuoma Omene	set Abby Felkai	+0.2
10	5-5	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Ace	LEHIGH server	aced Team	+0.2
11	6-5	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Julia Jozefov	set Allison Salazar	+0.2
12	6-6	CLE ST	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Alysia Fingall	set Abby Felkai	+0.1
13	6-7	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Ufuoma Omene	set Abby Felkai	+0.2
14	6-8	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Attack err	Addison Koppelman		+0.2
15	7-8	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.1
16	7-9	CLE ST	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Ufuoma Omene	set Abby Felkai	+0.1
17	7-10	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Ace	LEHIGH server	aced Vayda Delventhal	+0.1
18	7-11	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×3	Kill	Alysia Fingall	set Grace Slovensky	+0.1
19	8-11	LEHIGH	CLE ST×3	Kill	Addison Koppelman	set Allison Salazar	+0.1
20	9-11	CLE ST	CLE ST×3	Kill	JeriLynn Koehler	set Allison Salazar	+0.1
21	10-11	CLE ST	CLE ST×3	Kill	Alyssa Cerovac	set Allison Salazar	+0.2
22	10-12	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Paighton Erb	set Grace Slovensky	+0.1
23	11-12	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Attack err	Alysia Fingall		+0.1
24	11-13	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Serve err	CLE ST server		+0.1
25	12-13	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Serve err	LEHIGH server		+0.1
26	13-13	CLE ST	CLE ST	Ace	CLE ST server	aced Team	+0.3
27	13-14	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Natalie Luscomb	set Grace Slovensky	+0.2
28	13-15	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Attack err	Alyssa Cerovac		+0.2
29	14-15	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Attack err	Ufuoma Omene		+0.2
30	15-15	CLE ST	CLE ST	Attack err	Ufuoma Omene		+0.3
31	15-16	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Serve err	CLE ST server		+0.2
32	15-17	LEHIGH	LEHIGH	Kill	Olivia Lasee	set Abby Felkai	+0.3
33	16-17	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Allison Salazar		+0.2
34	16-18	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Mary Massias	set Abby Felkai	+0.2
35	17-18	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Julia Jozefov	set Allison Salazar	+0.2
36	17-19	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Ufuoma Omene	set Abby Felkai	+0.2
37	18-19	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Addison Koppelman	set Allison Salazar	+0.2
38	18-20	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Attack err	Alyssa Cerovac	blk Paighton Erb	+0.2
39	19-20	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	Addison Koppelman	set Allison Salazar	+0.2
40	19-21	CLE ST	LEHIGH×4	Kill	Mary Massias	set Grace Slovensky	+0.2
41	19-22	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×4	Kill	Alysia Fingall	set Sophia Bond	+0.2
42	19-23	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×4	Attack err	Addison Koppelman		+0.1
43	19-24	LEHIGH	LEHIGH×4	Attack err	JeriLynn Koehler		+0.0
44	20-24	LEHIGH	CLE ST	Kill	JeriLynn Koehler	set Allison Salazar	+0.0
45	21-24	CLE ST	CLE ST	Kill	Bryn VanVleet	set Allison Salazar	+0.0
46	21-25	CLE ST	LEHIGH	Kill	Olivia Lasee	set Grace Slovensky	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Cleveland St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.