FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

Texas def. TCU 3–0

Texas beat TCU 3-0 (30-28, 25-23, 25-23) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Texas' Torrey Stafford led with 12 kills, and Rella Binney added 10 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
TCU2823230
TEXAS3025253

Win probability

Texas above 50 · TCU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.0% TEXASrally 154 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Texas — set 1, TCU 24-24 TEXAS. Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Rella Binney). TEXAS win probability 54% → 64%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TCU 32.6%67.4% TEXAS

TCU wins

3-0
6.4%
3-1
11.6%
3-2
14.6%

Texas wins

3-0
21.5%
3-1
25.9%
3-2
20.0%
TCU break %
38.3% vs this opp
TEXAS break %
41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Torrey StaffordKill+10.0%

    Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 1 · TCU 24-24 TEXAS · TEXAS 54% → 64%

  2. 02
    Jalyn GibsonKill+9.7%

    Kill by Jalyn Gibson (set by Alice Volpe)

    Set 1 · TCU 28-27 TEXAS · TCU 33% → 42%

  3. 03
    Becca KelleyAttack error+9.2%

    Attack error by Becca Kelley

    Set 1 · TCU 26-27 TEXAS · TEXAS 64% → 73%

  4. 04
    Jalyn GibsonAttack error+9.2%

    Attack error by Jalyn Gibson

    Set 1 · TCU 28-29 TEXAS · TEXAS 64% → 73%

  5. 05
    Cari SpearsKill+8.4%

    Kill by Cari Spears (set by Ramsey Gary)

    Set 1 · TCU 28-30 TEXAS · TEXAS 73% → 82%

  6. 06
    Becca KelleyKill+7.9%

    Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 1 · TCU 24-22 TEXAS · TCU 41% → 49%

  7. 07
    Evan HendrixKill+7.8%

    Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Mia Lee)

    Set 1 · TCU 23-22 TEXAS · TCU 33% → 41%

  8. 08

    Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 2 · TCU 23-25 TEXAS · TEXAS 86% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

TCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312842.0951115202114
310635.11401242132.513.5
38216.37501280031.510.5
35515.000001101649
3114.0002801110010.51.5
3012-.50010000031.51.5
3427.286000000004
3000–2001600000
3000–000000000
2000–500100000
1000–000200000
Team totals4025121.12437374842181174
Texashome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38834.0000205114313
312435.2291035100012
310114.64300010031.511.5
35515.00002220010.57.5
3001.00021011000000
1215.200000200002
36315.200000100217
3115.000000100001
3000–1500700000
3000–401900000
2000–000210000
Team totals4423124.1694147453110680

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TCU · TEXAS 4

Set 1

28-30

Longest run 3 TCUTEXAS 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 TCUTEXAS 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 TCUTEXAS 3

Bars above the line = Texas leads, below = TCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%6/10
33%2/6
2
60%6/10
14%1/7
3
50%6/12
45%5/11
4
63%5/8
25%2/8
5
71%5/7
29%2/7
6
50%4/8
58%7/12
All
58%32/55
37%19/51

Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
40%4/10
2
55%6/11
40%4/10
3
75%6/8
50%6/12
4
71%5/7
38%3/8
5
42%5/12
29%2/7
6
67%4/6
50%4/8
All
63%32/51
42%23/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

154 rallies

#TCU-TEXASSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TEXASTCUBlockedAbby Vander Walblk Jalyn Gibson, Kinsley Young+1.6
22-0TCUTCUBlockedCari Spearsblk Mia Lee, Evan Hendrix+2.5
32-1TCUTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.6
42-2TEXASTEXASKillAbby Vander Walset Rella Binney+2.4
53-2TEXASTCUServe errTexas+1.7
63-3TCUTEXAS×4Attack errEvan Hendrix+1.6
73-4TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errEvan Hendrix+2.5
83-5TEXASTEXAS×4BlockedEvan Hendrixblk Nya Bunton, Henley Anderson+2.3
93-6TEXASTEXAS×4KillTorrey Stafford+2.1
104-6TEXASTCUAttack errHenley Anderson+1.3
114-7TCUTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+1.4
124-8TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errEvan Hendrix+1.9
134-9TEXASTEXAS×3BlockedBecca Kelleyblk Taylor Harvey, Henley Anderson+1.6
145-9TEXASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.9
156-9TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.7
166-10TCUTEXASKillAbby Vander Walset Genevieve Harris+1.3
176-11TEXASTEXASBlockedBecca Kelleyblk Cari Spears, Taylor Harvey+1.6
187-11TEXASTCUKillEvan Hendrix+0.9
198-11TCUTCUBlockedCari Spearsblk Becca Kelley+1.8
208-12TCUTEXASServe errTCU+1.4
219-12TEXASTCUServe errTexas+1.2
2210-12TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.2
2310-13TCUTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris+1.7
2411-13TEXASTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.5
2511-14TCUTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+1.7
2611-15TEXASTEXASAceTexasaced Becca Kelley+2.2
2712-15TEXASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.2
2813-15TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Becca Kelley+2.4
2913-16TCUTEXASServe errTCU+1.9
3014-16TEXASTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.6
3115-16TCUTCUAceTCUaced Callie Krueger+3.1
3215-17TCUTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+2.3
3316-17TEXASTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.2
3417-17TCUTCUAttack errTorrey Stafford+4.0
3517-18TCUTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Genevieve Harris+2.8
3618-18TEXASTCUKillRosemary Archer+2.8
3719-18TCUTCUAttack errCari Spears+4.8
3819-19TCUTEXASAttack errKinsley Young+3.1
3920-19TEXASTCUServe errTexas+3.6
4020-20TCUTEXASAttack errKinsley Young+3.3
4120-21TEXASTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rosemary Archer+5.5
4221-21TEXASTCUBlockedCari Spearsblk Kinsley Young, Evan Hendrix+3.6
4321-22TCUTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+4.1
4422-22TEXASTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+4.1
4523-22TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Mia Lee+7.8
4624-22TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+7.9
4724-23TCUTEXASAttack errEvan Hendrix+2.7
4824-24TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+10.0
4925-24TEXASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+6.6
5025-25TCUTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+6.6
5126-25TEXASTCUKillReese Robinsset Rosemary Archer+6.6
5226-26TCUTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+6.6
5326-27TEXASTEXASAttack errBecca Kelley+9.2
5427-27TEXASTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+6.0
5528-27TCUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Alice Volpe+9.7
5628-28TCUTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+6.6
5728-29TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errJalyn Gibson+9.2
5828-30TEXASTEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Ramsey Gary+8.4
Set 2
11-0TCUTCUAceTCUaced Torrey Stafford+2.1
21-1TCUTEXASServe errTCU+1.3
32-1TEXASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.4
43-1TCUTCUAttack errAddy Gaido+2.2
53-2TCUTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.4
64-2TEXASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.5
74-3TCUTEXASServe errTCU+1.4
84-4TEXASTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris+2.2
95-4TEXASTCUBlockedHenley Andersonblk Mia Lee, Rosemary Archer+1.5
105-5TCUTEXASServe errTCU+1.5
115-6TEXASTEXASAttack errEvan Hendrix+2.2
126-6TEXASTCUBlockedTorrey Staffordblk Becca Kelley, Mia Lee+1.5
137-6TCUTCUAttack errHenley Anderson+2.4
147-7TCUTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+1.5
157-8TEXASTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+2.3
167-9TEXASTEXAS×3BlockedRosemary Archerblk Henley Anderson+2.2
178-9TEXASTCUServe errTexas+1.4
189-9TCUTCUBlockedHenley Andersonblk Becca Kelley, Kinsley Young+2.4
199-10TCUTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris+1.6
2010-10TEXASTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.7
2111-10TCUTCU×3BlockedHenley Andersonblk Jalyn Gibson, Kinsley Young+2.7
2212-10TCUTCU×3BlockedHenley Andersonblk Jalyn Gibson, Kinsley Young+2.8
2312-11TCUTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.7
2412-12TEXASTEXASAttack errEvan Hendrix+2.8
2513-12TEXASTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+2.0
2613-13TCUTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+1.9
2713-14TEXAS
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.9
2813-15TEXASTEXAS×3AceTexasaced Evan Hendrix+2.7
2914-15TEXASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.7
3014-16TCUTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+1.9
3114-17TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+2.5
3215-17TEXASTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.4
3316-17TCUTCU×3Attack errTaylor Harvey+2.7
3417-17TCUTCU×3Attack errTorrey Stafford+3.4
3517-18TCUTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+2.4
3618-18TEXASTCU×3Serve errTexas+2.4
3719-18TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+4.1
3820-18TCUTCU×3KillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+4.2
3920-19TCUTEXASKillCari Spearsset Genevieve Harris+2.3
4020-20TEXASTEXASAttack errReese Robins+4.3
4121-20TEXASTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+3.4
4221-21TCUTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris+3.1
4322-21TEXASTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+3.8
4422-22TCUTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+3.5
4522-23TEXASTEXASAceTexasaced Evan Hendrix+6.3
4623-23TEXASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+4.0
4723-24TCUTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+5.1
4823-25TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+7.2
Set 3
10-1TEXASTEXASAttack errKinsley Young+1.1
21-1TEXASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+0.7
31-2TCUTEXAS×3Serve errTCU+0.7
41-3TEXASTEXAS×3BlockedJalyn Gibsonblk Nya Bunton, Henley Anderson+1.1
51-4TEXASTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Torrey Stafford+1.0
62-4TEXASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.6
73-4TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.0
83-5TCUTEXASAttack errBecca Kelley+0.7
93-6TEXASTEXASAttack errMia Lee+1.0
104-6TEXASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.6
114-7TCUTEXASKillAddy Gaidoset Rella Binney+0.7
124-8TEXASTEXASAttack errBecca Kelley+0.9
135-8TEXASTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+0.5
145-9TCUTEXASAttack errReese Robins+0.6
156-9TEXASTCU×5Attack errTaylor Harvey+0.5
167-9TCUTCU×5KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.0
178-9TCUTCU×5Attack errTorrey Stafford+1.2
189-9TCUTCU×5Attack errTaylor Harvey+1.3
1910-9TCUTCU×5Attack errCari Spears+1.5
2010-10TCUTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+0.9
2111-10TEXASTCUAttack errHenley Anderson+1.0
2211-11TCUTEXASServe errTCU+1.0
2312-11TEXASTCUBlockedNya Buntonblk Kinsley Young+1.1
2412-12TCUTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+1.0
2513-12TEXASTCUServe errTexas+1.1
2614-12TCUTCUAceTCUaced Henley Anderson+1.7
2714-13TCUTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.0
2814-14TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+1.7
2915-14TEXASTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.2
3015-15TCUTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.1
3116-15TEXASTCUBad setGenevieve Harris+1.3
3216-16TCUTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris+1.2
3317-16TEXASTCUKillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+1.3
3417-17TCUTEXAS×3Attack errBecca Kelley+1.3
3517-18TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errKinsley Young+2.0
3617-19TEXASTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+1.9
3718-19TEXASTCUBlockedHenley Andersonblk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley+1.1
3819-19TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.1
3919-20TCUTEXAS×3KillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris+1.5
4019-21TEXASTEXAS×3KillNya Buntonset Rosemary Archer+2.2
4119-22TEXASTEXAS×3BlockedKinsley Youngblk Nya Bunton, Henley Anderson+1.7
4220-22TEXASTCUServe errTexas+0.7
4320-23TCUTEXASAttack errEvan Hendrix+1.1
4421-23TEXASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.6
4521-24TCUTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+1.1
4622-24TEXASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.4
4723-24TCUTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+1.6
4823-25TCUTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+2.6

Score shown after each rally, TCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).