Nebraska def. Texas 3–0
(25-19, 25-19, 25-16)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEXAS | 19 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| NEB | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.5% to Texas — set 1, TEXAS 8-5 NEB. Kill by Taylor Harvey (set by Rella Binney). NEB win probability 90% → 89%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Texas wins
Nebraska wins
- TEXAS break %
- 34.7% vs this opp
- NEB break %
- 45.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Taylor HarveyKill+1.5%
Kill by Taylor Harvey (set by Rella Binney)
Set 1 · TEXAS 8-5 NEB · TEXAS 10% → 11%
- 02
- 03NEB serverAce+1.2%
Nebraska ace on Rella Binney
Set 1 · TEXAS 8-8 NEB · NEB 91% → 92%
- 04Manaia OgbechieAttack error+1.1%
Manaia Ogbechie stuffed by Taylor Harvey & Henley Anderson
Set 1 · TEXAS 3-1 NEB · TEXAS 8% → 9%
- 05Cari SpearsAttack error+1.1%
Cari Spears stuffed by Teraya Sigler
Set 1 · TEXAS 8-9 NEB · NEB 92% → 93%
- 06Virginia AdrianoAttack error+1.0%
Virginia Adriano stuffed by Henley Anderson & Taylor Harvey
Set 1 · TEXAS 2-1 NEB · TEXAS 7% → 8%
- 07Torrey StaffordAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Torrey Stafford
Set 1 · TEXAS 8-10 NEB · NEB 93% → 94%
- 08NEB serverService error+0.9%
Nebraska service error
Set 1 · TEXAS 7-5 NEB · TEXAS 9% → 10%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 28 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 21 | .095 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .133 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 33 | 21 | 79 | .152 | 31 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 54 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 1 | 14 | .571 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | .357 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 13 | .308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 22 | .091 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .500 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 38 | 14 | 82 | .293 | 34 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10.5 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
19-25
Set 2
19-25
Set 3
16-25
Bars above the line = Nebraska leads, below = Texas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Texas
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54%7/13 | 55%6/11 |
| 2 | 38%6/16 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 67%6/9 | 33%3/9 |
| 4 | 75%6/8 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 50%5/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 22%4/18 | 29%2/7 |
| All | 46%34/74 | 36%20/55 |
Nebraska
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44%7/16 | 45%5/11 |
| 2 | 70%7/10 | 30%3/10 |
| 3 | 67%6/9 | 63%10/16 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 63%5/8 | 55%6/11 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 78%14/18 |
| All | 64%35/55 | 54%40/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
129 rallies
Rally log
| # | TEXAS-NEB | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NEB | NEB | Attack err | Taylor Harvey | blk Manaia Ogbechie | +0.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NEB | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Torrey Stafford | set Rella Binney | +0.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Attack err | Virginia Adriano | blk Henley Anderson, Taylor Harvey | +1.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Attack err | Manaia Ogbechie | blk Taylor Harvey, Henley Anderson | +1.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Manaia Ogbechie | set Bergen Reilly | +0.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NEB | TEXAS | Serve err | NEB server | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Teraya Sigler | set Bergen Reilly | +0.7 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TEXAS | NEB | Serve err | TEXAS server | +0.7 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Nya Bunton | set Rella Binney | +0.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Andi Jackson | set Bergen Reilly | +0.8 |
| 12 | 7-5 | NEB | TEXAS | Serve err | NEB server | +0.9 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | TEXAS | TEXAS | Kill | Taylor Harvey | set Rella Binney | +1.5 |
| 14 | 8-6 | TEXAS | NEB×10 | Kill | Bergen Reilly | set Bergen Reilly | +0.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NEB | NEB×10 | Attack err | Cari Spears | +1.3 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | NEB | NEB×10 | Ace | NEB server | aced Rella Binney | +1.2 |
| 17 | 8-9 | NEB | NEB×10 | Attack err | Cari Spears | blk Teraya Sigler | +1.1 |
| 18 | 8-10 | NEB | NEB×10 | Attack err | Torrey Stafford | +0.9 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | NEB | NEB×10 | Attack err | Cari Spears | +0.8 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | NEB | NEB×10 | Attack err | Torrey Stafford | blk Teraya Sigler, Manaia Ogbechie, Virginia Adriano | +0.6 |
| 21 | 8-13 | NEB | NEB×10 | Kill | Teraya Sigler | set Bergen Reilly | +0.4 |
| 22 | 8-14 | NEB | NEB×10 | Attack err | Cari Spears | +0.3 | |
| 23 | 8-15 | NEB | NEB×10 | Kill | Virginia Adriano | set Bergen Reilly | +0.2 |
| 24 | 9-15 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Torrey Stafford | set Rella Binney | +0.1 |
| 25 | 10-15 | TEXAS | TEXAS | Kill | Cari Spears | set Ramsey Gary | +0.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Manaia Ogbechie | set Bergen Reilly | +0.2 |
| 27 | 11-16 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Taylor Harvey | set Rella Binney | +0.1 |
| 28 | 12-16 | TEXAS | TEXAS | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.3 |
| 29 | 12-17 | TEXAS | NEB | Attack err | Henley Anderson | blk Manaia Ogbechie, Virginia Adriano | +0.3 |
| 30 | 12-18 | NEB | NEB | Attack err | Cari Spears | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | NEB | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Henley Anderson | set Ramsey Gary | +0.1 |
| 32 | 14-18 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.3 |
| 33 | 15-18 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.5 |
| 34 | 15-19 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Bergen Reilly | set Harper Murray | +0.5 |
| 35 | 16-19 | NEB | TEXAS | Serve err | NEB server | +0.4 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | TEXAS | TEXAS | Attack err | Harper Murray | +0.9 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | TEXAS | NEB | Serve err | TEXAS server | +0.7 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Henley Anderson | set Rella Binney | +0.6 |
| 39 | 18-21 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Andi Jackson | set Bergen Reilly | +0.8 |
| 40 | 19-21 | NEB | TEXAS | Attack err | Harper Murray | +0.6 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | TEXAS | NEB×4 | Kill | Teraya Sigler | set Bergen Reilly | +0.8 |
| 42 | 19-23 | NEB | NEB×4 | Kill | Manaia Ogbechie | +0.7 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | NEB | NEB×4 | Attack err | Torrey Stafford | blk Virginia Adriano, Manaia Ogbechie | +0.2 |
| 44 | 19-25 | NEB | NEB×4 | Ace | NEB server | aced Ramsey Gary | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Taylor Harvey | set Rella Binney | +0.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Attack err | Harper Murray | blk Cari Spears, Taylor Harvey | +0.7 |
| 3 | 3-0 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.8 |
| 4 | 3-1 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Harper Murray | set Bergen Reilly | +0.5 |
| 5 | 4-1 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Torrey Stafford | set Rella Binney | +0.6 |
| 6 | 4-2 | TEXAS | NEB×6 | Kill | Andi Jackson | set Bergen Reilly | +0.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NEB | NEB×6 | Ace | NEB server | aced Torrey Stafford | +0.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NEB | NEB×6 | Attack err | Henley Anderson | +0.7 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | NEB | NEB×6 | Kill | Harper Murray | +0.6 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | NEB | NEB×6 | Bad set | Rella Binney | +0.5 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | NEB | NEB×6 | Attack err | Cari Spears | blk Andi Jackson, Harper Murray | +0.4 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Henley Anderson | set Rella Binney | +0.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Andi Jackson | set Bergen Reilly | +0.3 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NEB | TEXAS | Serve err | NEB server | +0.3 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Andi Jackson | set Bergen Reilly | +0.3 |
| 16 | 6-10 | NEB | NEB | Ace | NEB server | aced Ramsey Gary | +0.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | NEB | TEXAS | Attack err | Teraya Sigler | +0.2 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | TEXAS | NEB | Serve err | TEXAS server | +0.2 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Teraya Sigler | set Bergen Reilly | +0.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | NEB | TEXAS | Attack err | Teraya Sigler | +0.2 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Manaia Ogbechie | set Bergen Reilly | +0.3 |
| 23 | 9-14 | NEB | NEB | Kill | Virginia Adriano | set Olivia Mauch | +0.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.2 |
| 25 | 10-15 | TEXAS | NEB×4 | Kill | Virginia Adriano | set Bergen Reilly | +0.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | NEB | NEB×4 | Attack err | Henley Anderson | +0.2 | |
| 27 | 10-17 | NEB | NEB×4 | Kill | Harper Murray | set Bergen Reilly | +0.1 |
| 28 | 10-18 | NEB | NEB×4 | Kill | Andi Jackson | set Bergen Reilly | +0.1 |
| 29 | 11-18 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.0 |
| 30 | 11-19 | TEXAS | NEB | Serve err | TEXAS server | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 11-20 | NEB | NEB | Kill | Harper Murray | set Teraya Sigler | +0.0 |
| 32 | 12-20 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Nya Bunton | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 12-21 | TEXAS | NEB | Serve err | TEXAS server | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Henley Anderson | set Rella Binney | +0.0 |
| 35 | 14-21 | TEXAS | TEXAS | Attack err | Manaia Ogbechie | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | TEXAS | NEB | Serve err | TEXAS server | +0.0 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | NEB | TEXAS | Bad set | Bergen Reilly | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Manaia Ogbechie | set Bergen Reilly | +0.0 |
| 39 | 16-23 | NEB | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Rella Binney | set Bergen Reilly | +0.0 |
| 40 | 17-23 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Torrey Stafford | set Ramsey Gary | +0.0 |
| 41 | 18-23 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Torrey Stafford | set Rella Binney | +0.0 |
| 42 | 18-24 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Harper Murray | set Bergen Reilly | +0.0 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Torrey Stafford | set Rella Binney | +0.0 |
| 44 | 19-25 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Andi Jackson | set Bergen Reilly | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NEB | NEB | Ace | NEB server | aced Torrey Stafford | +0.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NEB | NEB | Kill | Manaia Ogbechie | +0.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | NEB | TEXAS | Attack err | Harper Murray | +0.1 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Manaia Ogbechie | set Bergen Reilly | +0.1 |
| 5 | 1-4 | NEB | NEB | Kill | Andi Jackson | set Bergen Reilly | +0.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Nya Bunton | set Rella Binney | +0.1 |
| 7 | 2-5 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Virginia Adriano | set Bergen Reilly | +0.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | NEB | TEXAS×3 | Serve err | NEB server | +0.1 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TEXAS | TEXAS×3 | Kill | Henley Anderson | set Ramsey Gary | +0.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Harper Murray | set Bergen Reilly | +0.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NEB | NEB | Kill | Andi Jackson | set Bergen Reilly | +0.2 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Torrey Stafford | set Rella Binney | +0.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | TEXAS | NEB×3 | Kill | Teraya Sigler | set Bergen Reilly | +0.2 |
| 15 | 6-9 | NEB | NEB×3 | Kill | Harper Murray | set Bergen Reilly | +0.2 |
| 16 | 6-10 | NEB | NEB×3 | Attack err | Taylor Harvey | +0.2 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | NEB | TEXAS | Serve err | NEB server | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | TEXAS | TEXAS | Attack err | Manaia Ogbechie | +0.2 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | TEXAS | NEB×3 | Serve err | TEXAS server | +0.1 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | NEB | NEB×3 | Kill | Teraya Sigler | set Olivia Mauch | +0.2 |
| 21 | 8-13 | NEB | NEB×3 | Attack err | Nya Bunton | blk Manaia Ogbechie, Teraya Sigler | +0.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Torrey Stafford | set Rella Binney | +0.1 |
| 23 | 9-14 | TEXAS | NEB×3 | Kill | Virginia Adriano | set Bergen Reilly | +0.1 |
| 24 | 9-15 | NEB | NEB×3 | Ace | NEB server | aced Torrey Stafford | +0.1 |
| 25 | 9-16 | NEB | NEB×3 | Attack err | Torrey Stafford | blk Harper Murray, Manaia Ogbechie | +0.1 |
| 26 | 10-16 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.0 |
| 27 | 11-16 | TEXAS | TEXAS | Attack err | Virginia Adriano | blk Nya Bunton, Henley Anderson | +0.1 |
| 28 | 11-17 | TEXAS | NEB | Serve err | TEXAS server | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | NEB | TEXAS | Attack err | Harper Murray | +0.0 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | TEXAS | TEXAS | Kill | Henley Anderson | set Anja Kujundzic | +0.1 |
| 31 | 13-18 | TEXAS | NEB×3 | Attack err | Henley Anderson | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | NEB | NEB×3 | Attack err | Cari Spears | blk Harper Murray, Andi Jackson | +0.1 |
| 33 | 13-20 | NEB | NEB×3 | Ace | NEB server | aced Henley Anderson | +0.0 |
| 34 | 14-20 | NEB | TEXAS | Kill | Cari Spears | set Rella Binney | +0.0 |
| 35 | 14-21 | TEXAS | NEB | Kill | Harper Murray | set Bergen Reilly | +0.0 |
| 36 | 15-21 | NEB | TEXAS | Attack err | Andi Jackson | +0.0 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | TEXAS | TEXAS | Attack err | Harper Murray | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | TEXAS | NEB×4 | Kill | Teraya Sigler | set Bergen Reilly | +0.0 |
| 39 | 16-23 | NEB | NEB×4 | Attack err | Cari Spears | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 16-24 | NEB | NEB×4 | Attack err | Torrey Stafford | blk Manaia Ogbechie, Bergen Reilly | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | NEB | NEB×4 | Attack err | Torrey Stafford | +0.0 | |
Score shown after each rally, Texas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.