CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026
Old Dominion logo

AwaySUN-BELT

2:3
Winthrop logo

HomeBIG-SOUTH

Winthrop def. Old Dominion 32

(25-16, 25-12, 17-25, 23-25, 15-13)
Set12345Sets
ODU16122525132
WINTHR25251723153

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WINTHR above 50 · ODU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100WINTHRODUBiggest swing +14.9% WINTHR · S5 13-15rally 196 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.9% to Winthrop — set 5, ODU 13-15 WINTHR. Old Dominion service error. WINTHR win probability 85%100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ODU 15.6%84.4% WINTHR

Old Dominion wins

3-0
2.4%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
8.2%

Winthrop wins

3-0
36.3%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
16.8%
ODU break %
38.8% vs this opp
WINTHR break %
46.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    ODU serverService error+14.9%

    Old Dominion service error

    Set 5 · ODU 13-15 WINTHR · WINTHR 85%100%

  2. 02
    ODU serverAce+12.5%

    Old Dominion ace on Paige Bennett

    Set 5 · ODU 8-6 WINTHR · ODU 46%59%

  3. 03
    Elisa MaggiAttack error+11.8%

    Elisa Maggi stuffed by Teagan Sychterz & Reece Rhoads

    Set 5 · ODU 12-14 WINTHR · WINTHR 80%92%

  4. 04
    WINTHR serverAce+11.7%

    Winthrop ace on Leilani Lawrence

    Set 5 · ODU 8-8 WINTHR · WINTHR 49%61%

  5. 05
    WINTHR serverAce+11.6%

    Winthrop ace on Team

    Set 5 · ODU 8-9 WINTHR · WINTHR 61%72%

  6. 06
    WINTHR serverAce+10.3%

    Winthrop ace on Ashlyn Gent

    Set 5 · ODU 8-10 WINTHR · WINTHR 72%83%

  7. 07

    Kill by Leilani Lawrence (set by Emma Schelah)

    Set 5 · ODU 12-13 WINTHR · ODU 10%20%

  8. 08
    ODU serverAce+10.1%

    Old Dominion ace on Team

    Set 4 · ODU 25-23 WINTHR · ODU 22%32%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518952.17323471031.522.5
57327.148401102111.58.5
55111.364201200216
5319.222000100425
2104.2501401200001
2000001330000
513328.35700020031.514.5
5001.0002101240001
50001031200000
44041.000231120111.56.5
Team totals5117136.250485125312214991
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
522545.37821111100023
58217.35315310010.513.5
59522.18200010010.59.5
56110.500000200217
5416.50042021800004
5000001310000
510535.1430002002111
51011.0008411510005
5000223810002
1238-.125100000002
1000000000000
Team totals6222144.278561211615063105

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 ODU · WINTHR 5

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 ODUWINTHR 4

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 3 ODUWINTHR 5

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 5 ODUWINTHR 3

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 ODUWINTHR 3

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 5 ODUWINTHR 5

Bars above the line = Winthrop leads, below = Old Dominion leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Old Dominion

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
35%6/17
2
38%9/24
59%13/22
3
62%8/13
25%3/12
4
44%8/18
47%7/15
5
57%8/14
20%2/10
6
67%8/12
50%8/16
All
50%52/104
42%39/92

Winthrop

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
36%5/14
2
45%9/20
55%12/22
3
64%9/14
59%13/22
4
67%8/12
38%5/13
5
62%8/13
58%11/19
6
62%8/13
43%6/14
All
58%53/92
50%52/104

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

196 rallies

Rally log

#ODU-WINTHRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.4
21-1WINTHRODUAttack errLaila Glover+1.1
31-2ODUWINTHR×4Serve errODU server+1.0
41-3WINTHRWINTHR×4KillLexi Thatcherset Maggie Czajka+1.3
51-4WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.1
61-5WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errLeilani Lawrence+1.0
72-5WINTHRODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Erica Duffy+0.7
83-5ODUODUAttack errMaggie Czajkablk Emma DiRocco, Elisa Maggi+1.1
93-6ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+0.9
103-7WINTHRWINTHRAttack errElisa Maggi+1.0
114-7WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+0.7
124-8ODUWINTHRAttack errKatie Rakoski+0.8
135-8WINTHRODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Erica Duffy+0.7
145-9ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+0.8
155-10WINTHRWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.9
166-10WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+0.6
176-11ODUWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+0.6
187-11WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Erica Duffy+0.6
197-12ODUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.6
207-13WINTHRWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.7
218-13WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Erica Duffy+0.4
229-13ODUODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Erica Duffy+0.8
239-14ODUWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Addison Torain+0.7
249-15WINTHRWINTHRKillMaggie Czajka+0.7
2510-15WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+0.4
2610-16ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+0.5
2711-16WINTHRODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Erica Duffy+0.4
2812-16ODUODUKillElisa Maggiset Erica Duffy+0.7
2912-17ODUWINTHRKillMaggie Czajkaset Lexi Thatcher+0.7
3012-18WINTHRWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+0.6
3113-18WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+0.3
3213-19ODUWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+0.4
3313-20WINTHRWINTHR×3KillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+0.3
3413-21WINTHRWINTHR×3KillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.2
3514-21WINTHRODUKillElisa Maggiset Erica Duffy+0.1
3614-22ODUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.1
3714-23WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+0.0
3815-23WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Erica Duffy+0.0
3916-23ODUODUAttack errTeagan Sychterz+0.0
4016-24ODUWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+0.0
4116-25WINTHRWINTHRAceWINTHR serveraced Rita Benidio+0.0
Set 2
11-0ODUODUKillEmma Schelahset Erica Duffy+1.1
21-1ODUWINTHR×3KillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.8
31-2WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWINTHR serveraced Rita Benidio+1.0
41-3WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+0.9
52-3WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+0.7
62-4ODUWINTHR×4KillMaggie Czajkaset Lexi Thatcher+0.7
72-5WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+0.9
82-6WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errLeilani Lawrence+0.7
92-7WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.6
103-7WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+0.4
113-8ODUWINTHR×3KillMaggie Czajkaset Lexi Thatcher+0.4
123-9WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errKatie Rakoski+0.5
133-10WINTHRWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+0.4
144-10WINTHRODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Erica Duffy+0.2
155-10ODUODUAttack errReece Rhoadsblk Katie Rakoski, Emma Schelah+0.4
165-11ODUWINTHR×3KillMaggie Czajkaset Lexi Thatcher+0.3
175-12WINTHRWINTHR×3KillTeagan Sychterz+0.3
185-13WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWINTHR serveraced Ashlyn Gent+0.2
196-13WINTHRODUKillElisa Maggiset Erica Duffy+0.1
206-14ODUWINTHRKillLexi Thatcherset Lindsay Langner+0.2
217-14WINTHRODU×3KillLeilani Lawrenceset Erica Duffy+0.1
228-14ODUODU×3KillElisa Maggiset Erica Duffy+0.3
239-14ODUODU×3KillErica Duffyset Emma Schelah+0.4
249-15ODUWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Addison Torain+0.3
2510-15WINTHRODUAttack errLaila Gloverblk Leilani Lawrence, Emma Schelah+0.3
2610-16ODUWINTHR×5KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.3
2710-17WINTHRWINTHR×5KillLaila Gloverset Addison Torain+0.3
2810-18WINTHRWINTHR×5Attack errElisa Maggi+0.2
2910-19WINTHRWINTHR×5AceWINTHR serveraced Elisa Maggi+0.1
3010-20WINTHRWINTHR×5AceWINTHR serveraced Rita Benidio+0.0
3111-20WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Elisa Maggi+0.0
3211-21ODUWINTHR×4Attack errLeilani Lawrenceblk Maggie Czajka, Laila Glover+0.0
3311-22WINTHRWINTHR×4KillMaggie Czajka+0.0
3411-23WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errLeilani Lawrence+0.0
3511-24WINTHRWINTHR×4Bad setWiktoria Zagumny+0.0
3612-24WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.0
3712-25ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+0.0
Set 3
10-1WINTHRWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+0.5
21-1WINTHRODU×4Attack errLaila Glover+0.4
32-1ODUODU×4Attack errLaila Glover+0.6
43-1ODUODU×4Attack errMaggie Czajka+0.6
54-1ODUODU×4Attack errPaige Bennettblk Katie Rakoski, Emma DiRocco+0.7
64-2ODUWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.4
75-2WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Ashlyn Gent+0.5
86-2ODUODUAceODU serveraced Alyah Cadavid+0.7
96-3ODUWINTHRKillMaggie Czajkaset Lexi Thatcher+0.4
107-3WINTHRODUAttack errReece Rhoads+0.5
118-3ODUODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.7
128-4ODUWINTHRKillLexi Thatcherset Paige Bennett+0.4
138-5WINTHRWINTHRAttack errEmma Schelah+0.6
149-5WINTHRODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
1510-5ODUODUKillElisa Maggiset Ashlyn Gent+0.7
1610-6ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+0.4
1711-6WINTHRODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
1811-7ODUWINTHR×3KillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+0.4
1911-8WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+0.7
2011-9WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errLeilani Lawrence+0.7
2112-9WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.6
2212-10ODUWINTHRAttack errLeilani Lawrence+0.5
2313-10WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Elisa Maggi+0.7
2413-11ODUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.5
2514-11WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+0.7
2614-12ODUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.6
2714-13WINTHRWINTHRAceWINTHR serveraced Ashlyn Gent+0.8
2815-13WINTHRODU×3Attack errPaige Bennettblk Elisa Maggi+0.7
2916-13ODUODU×3Attack errReece Rhoadsblk Wiktoria Zagumny, Katie Rakoski+1.0
3017-13ODUODU×3KillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.9
3117-14ODUWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+0.5
3218-14WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.7
3318-15ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+0.5
3419-15WINTHRODU×5KillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.8
3520-15ODUODU×5Attack errPaige Bennett+0.8
3621-15ODUODU×5KillWiktoria Zagumnyset Lexi Thatcher+0.6
3722-15ODUODU×5Attack errReece Rhoads+0.3
3823-15ODUODU×5Attack errReece Rhoads+0.1
3923-16ODUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+0.0
4024-16WINTHRODUKillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+0.1
4124-17ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+0.0
4225-17WINTHRODUAttack errLexi Thatcher+0.0
Set 4
11-0ODUODU×3KillEmma Schelahset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.0
22-0ODUODU×3Attack errPaige Bennettblk Wiktoria Zagumny+2.2
33-0ODUODU×3Attack errLaila Gloverblk Emma DiRocco, Leilani Lawrence+2.3
43-1ODUWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+1.5
54-1WINTHRODU×4KillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+1.8
65-1ODUODU×4KillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.5
76-1ODUODU×4Bad setLexi Thatcher+2.4
87-1ODUODU×4Attack errKeAra Bowen+2.3
97-2ODUWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.4
107-3WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errLeilani Lawrence+2.1
117-4WINTHRWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.2
128-4WINTHRODUKillEmma DiRoccoset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.0
139-4ODUODUAceODU serveraced Lindsay Langner+2.6
149-5ODUWINTHRKillAddison Torain+1.5
1510-5WINTHRODUKillElisa Maggiset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.0
1610-6ODUWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Addison Torain+1.5
1710-7WINTHRWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+2.3
1810-8WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWINTHR serveraced Ashlyn Gent+2.5
1911-8WINTHRODUKillElisa Maggiset Leilani Lawrence+2.2
2011-9ODUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.9
2111-10WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.7
2212-10WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+2.3
2313-10ODUODUKillLeilani Lawrence+3.1
2413-11ODUWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+2.0
2514-11WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.5
2614-12ODUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.0
2714-13WINTHRWINTHRBad setWiktoria Zagumny+3.0
2815-13WINTHRODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.6
2916-13ODUODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+3.5
3016-14ODUWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Paige Bennett+2.1
3117-14WINTHRODUKillEmma DiRoccoset Wiktoria Zagumny+2.8
3217-15ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+2.2
3317-16WINTHRWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+3.4
3418-16WINTHRODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Leilani Lawrence+3.1
3519-16ODUODUAceODU serveraced Addison Torain+4.1
3619-17ODUWINTHRKillMaggie Czajkaset Lexi Thatcher+2.3
3720-17WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+3.3
3820-18ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+2.3
3920-19WINTHRWINTHRKillKeAra Bowenset Addison Torain+4.0
4021-19WINTHRODUAttack errKeAra Bowen+4.0
4121-20ODUWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+3.1
4221-21WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset KeAra Bowen+5.1
4322-21WINTHRODUBad setAddison Torain+4.6
4423-21ODUODUAttack errKeAra Bowenblk Leilani Lawrence, Emma DiRocco+6.6
4523-22ODUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+3.4
4623-23WINTHRWINTHRAttack errLeilani Lawrence+6.9
4724-23WINTHRODUKillWiktoria Zagumnyset Elisa Maggi+7.0
4825-23ODUODUAceODU serveraced Team+10.1
Set 5
10-1ODUWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+5.3
21-1WINTHRODU×5KillWiktoria Zagumnyset Laila Glover+5.8
32-1ODUODU×5KillLeilani Lawrenceset Wiktoria Zagumny+8.8
43-1ODUODU×5Attack errPaige Bennett+9.6
54-1ODUODU×5KillLeilani Lawrenceset Adrienne Peji+9.9
65-1ODUODU×5KillEmma DiRoccoset Wiktoria Zagumny+9.7
75-2ODUWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+5.6
85-3WINTHRWINTHR×4AceWINTHR serveraced Elisa Maggi+8.7
95-4WINTHRWINTHR×4AceWINTHR serveraced Team+9.4
105-5WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errLeilani Lawrence+9.7
116-5WINTHRODUKillWiktoria Zagumnyset Elisa Maggi+8.2
126-6ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+7.4
137-6WINTHRODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+8.7
148-6ODUODUAceODU serveraced Paige Bennett+12.5
158-7ODUWINTHR×5KillLexi Thatcherset Lindsay Langner+7.9
168-8WINTHRWINTHR×5AceWINTHR serveraced Leilani Lawrence+11.7
178-9WINTHRWINTHR×5AceWINTHR serveraced Team+11.6
188-10WINTHRWINTHR×5AceWINTHR serveraced Ashlyn Gent+10.3
198-11WINTHRWINTHR×5Attack errEmma DiRocco+8.1
209-11WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+4.6
2110-11ODUODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+9.7
2210-12ODUWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher+9.0
2310-13WINTHRWINTHRAttack errKatie Rakoskiblk Reece Rhoads, Teagan Sychterz+8.8
2411-13WINTHRODUKillKatie Rakoskiset Wiktoria Zagumny+3.9
2512-13ODUODUKillLeilani Lawrenceset Emma Schelah+10.2
2612-14ODUWINTHRAttack errElisa Maggiblk Teagan Sychterz, Reece Rhoads+11.8
2713-14WINTHRODUServe errWINTHR server+6.9
2813-15ODUWINTHRServe errODU server+14.9

Score shown after each rally, Old Dominion first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.