FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayASUN

3:0

HomeSWAC

Stetson def. Bethune-Cookman 3–0

(25-22, 25-20, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
STETSN	25	25	25	3
BECOOK	22	20	22	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BECOOK above 50 · STETSN below

Biggest swing: 2.9% to Bethune-Cookman — set 1, STETSN 13-14 BECOOK. Kill by Kaleigh Williams (set by Nola Hemphill). BECOOK win probability 26% → 29%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STETSN 75.6%24.4% BECOOK

Stetson wins

3-0

27.6%

3-1

28.9%

3-2

19.2%

Bethune-Cookman wins

3-0

4.3%

3-1

8.3%

3-2

11.8%

STETSN break %: 49.4% vs this opp
BECOOK break %: 44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kaleigh WilliamsKill+2.9%
Kill by Kaleigh Williams (set by Nola Hemphill)
Set 1 · STETSN 13-14 BECOOK · BECOOK 26% → 29%
02
Sienna LawrenceAttack error+2.8%
Sienna Lawrence stuffed by Kayla Balfour & Maria Ozaeta
Set 1 · STETSN 24-21 BECOOK · STETSN 82% → 85%
03
Sienna LawrenceAttack error+2.7%
Sienna Lawrence stuffed by Kayla Balfour
Set 1 · STETSN 15-14 BECOOK · STETSN 74% → 77%
04
Maria OzaetaKill+2.6%
Kill by Maria Ozaeta (set by Vanessa Shevchenko)
Set 1 · STETSN 25-22 BECOOK · STETSN 84% → 87%
05
Maria OzaetaAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Maria Ozaeta
Set 1 · STETSN 13-13 BECOOK · BECOOK 23% → 26%
06
Alaya RhodesAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Alaya Rhodes
Set 1 · STETSN 16-14 BECOOK · STETSN 77% → 79%
07
Lelia FitzKill+2.5%
Kill by Lelia Fitz (set by Vanessa Shevchenko)
Set 1 · STETSN 18-16 BECOOK · STETSN 77% → 79%
08
STETSN serverAce+2.5%
Stetson ace on Moriah Johnson
Set 1 · STETSN 19-16 BECOOK · STETSN 79% → 82%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Stetsonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Andrea Diaz Dominguez	3	8	3	19	.263	0	1	0	10	0	0	0	0	9
21Sofia TorcelloMB	3	5	1	12	.333	1	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	9
17Lelia FitzMB	3	5	2	16	.188	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
12Kayla BalfourMB	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	0	4	1	1	3	2.5	6.5
7Vanessa ShevchenkoS	3	4	2	17	.118	22	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	4
33Maria OzaetaOH	2	4	6	17	-.118	0	0	1	5	1	0	2	1	5
2Jannelize PerezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	8	1	0	0	0	2
4Vitoria StedileL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
10Karsu BayraktarOH	2	9	2	18	.389	1	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	11
6Maia Keely PouS	2	0	0	0	–	9	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
8Larissa HiemerS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Alessia BracchiMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Eden BristowOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	18	111	.189	38	9	2	46	5	1	10	6	75

Bethune-Cookmanhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Moriah JohnsonOH	3	10	7	31	.097	1	0	3	7	4	0	2	1	11
11Alaya RhodesOH	3	6	5	18	.056	0	4	0	9	2	0	1	0.5	10.5
1Kaleigh WilliamsMB	3	7	1	13	.462	1	1	1	1	0	0	4	2	10
12Sienna LawrenceMB	3	5	4	19	.053	1	0	0	5	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
19Nola HemphillS	3	0	0	3	.000	15	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
8Kaycee PennieMB	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Sydnee RodriguezOH	3	6	1	15	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
4Kylynn WhiteS	3	1	0	2	.500	15	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
16Aaniya ThorntonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
5Taylor EllisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
9Talibah HamlettOPP	2	1	0	5	.200	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	4
2Laura Lino dos SantosOH	1	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
17Leila HargroveOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	21	115	.157	36	5	5	47	9	1	16	9	64

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 STETSN · BECOOK 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 STETSNBECOOK 5

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 STETSNBECOOK 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 STETSNBECOOK 4

Bars above the line = Bethune-Cookman leads, below = Stetson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Stetson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	58%7/12
2	60%6/10	40%4/10
3	55%6/11	60%9/15
4	40%6/15	40%4/10
5	67%6/9	50%6/12
6	46%6/13	57%8/14
All	56%37/66	52%38/73

Bethune-Cookman

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	13%1/8
2	33%6/18	40%4/10
3	60%6/10	33%3/9
4	60%6/10	45%5/11
5	55%6/11	60%9/15
6	36%5/14	54%7/13
All	48%35/73	44%29/66

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	STETSN-BECOOK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BECOOK	BECOOK	Attack err	Maria Ozaeta	blk Kaleigh Williams, Sienna Lawrence	+1.9
2	1-1	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Lelia Fitz	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.6
3	1-2	STETSN	BECOOK×4	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Nola Hemphill	+1.7
4	1-3	BECOOK	BECOOK×4	Kill	Alaya Rhodes	set Nola Hemphill	+2.1
5	1-4	BECOOK	BECOOK×4	Ace	BECOOK server	aced Kayla Balfour	+2.1
6	1-5	BECOOK	BECOOK×4	Kill	Sienna Lawrence	set Kaleigh Williams	+2.1
7	2-5	BECOOK	STETSN×5	Attack err	Alaya Rhodes		+1.6
8	3-5	STETSN	STETSN×5	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Sofia Torcello	+2.0
9	4-5	STETSN	STETSN×5	Attack err	Alaya Rhodes		+2.0
10	5-5	STETSN	STETSN×5	Ace	STETSN server	aced Alaya Rhodes	+2.0
11	6-5	STETSN	STETSN×5	Attack err	Alaya Rhodes	blk Lelia Fitz, Sofia Torcello	+1.9
12	6-6	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Kaycee Pennie	set Nola Hemphill	+1.8
13	7-6	BECOOK	STETSN×3	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.7
14	8-6	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Maia Keely Pou	+1.9
15	9-6	STETSN	STETSN×3	Ace	STETSN server	aced Taylor Ellis	+1.7
16	9-7	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Sydnee Rodriguez	set Kylynn White	+1.5
17	9-8	BECOOK	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Kylynn White	+2.0
18	10-8	BECOOK	STETSN×3	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Maia Keely Pou	+1.8
19	11-8	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Maria Ozaeta	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.8
20	12-8	STETSN	STETSN×3	Attack err	Kaycee Pennie	blk Sofia Torcello, Maria Ozaeta	+1.6
21	12-9	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Kylynn White	+1.3
22	13-9	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Maia Keely Pou	+1.4
23	13-10	STETSN	BECOOK×5	Kill	Sydnee Rodriguez	set Kylynn White	+1.3
24	13-11	BECOOK	BECOOK×5	Kill	Sienna Lawrence	set Nola Hemphill	+1.8
25	13-12	BECOOK	BECOOK×5	Kill	Sienna Lawrence	set Nola Hemphill	+2.2
26	13-13	BECOOK	BECOOK×5	Attack err	Maria Ozaeta		+2.6
27	13-14	BECOOK	BECOOK×5	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Nola Hemphill	+2.9
28	14-14	BECOOK	STETSN×3	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Maia Keely Pou	+2.4
29	15-14	STETSN	STETSN×3	Attack err	Sienna Lawrence	blk Kayla Balfour	+2.7
30	16-14	STETSN	STETSN×3	Attack err	Alaya Rhodes		+2.6
31	16-15	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Nola Hemphill	+2.2
32	17-15	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Maria Ozaeta	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+2.4
33	17-16	STETSN	BECOOK	Serve err	STETSN server		+2.3
34	18-16	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Lelia Fitz	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+2.5
35	19-16	STETSN	STETSN	Ace	STETSN server	aced Moriah Johnson	+2.5
36	19-17	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Nola Hemphill	+1.9
37	20-17	BECOOK	STETSN	Serve err	BECOOK server		+2.3
38	20-18	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Sydnee Rodriguez	set Kylynn White	+1.9
39	21-18	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Maia Keely Pou	+2.4
40	22-18	STETSN	STETSN	Ace	STETSN server	aced Alaya Rhodes	+2.0
41	22-19	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Kylynn White	+1.1
42	23-19	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Maria Ozaeta	set Maia Keely Pou	+1.7
43	23-20	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Kylynn White	set Moriah Johnson	+0.9
44	23-21	BECOOK	BECOOK	Attack err	Maria Ozaeta	blk Kaleigh Williams, Sienna Lawrence	+2.0
45	24-21	BECOOK	STETSN	Attack err	Sienna Lawrence	blk Kayla Balfour, Maria Ozaeta	+2.8
46	24-22	STETSN	BECOOK	Attack err	Maria Ozaeta		+1.3
47	25-22	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Maria Ozaeta	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+2.6
Set 2
1	1-0	STETSN	STETSN	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.3
2	2-0	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Moriah Johnson		+1.3
3	2-1	STETSN	BECOOK	Attack err	Andrea Diaz Dominguez		+1.1
4	3-1	BECOOK	STETSN	Serve err	BECOOK server		+1.1
5	3-2	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Sienna Lawrence	set Nola Hemphill	+1.2
6	4-2	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Lelia Fitz	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.2
7	4-3	STETSN	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Maria Ozaeta		+1.2
8	4-4	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Aaniya Thornton	+1.5
9	4-5	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Kill	Sydnee Rodriguez	set Kylynn White	+1.6
10	5-5	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Maia Keely Pou	+1.4
11	5-6	STETSN	BECOOK×5	Attack err	Maria Ozaeta	blk Talibah Hamlett, Alaya Rhodes	+1.5
12	5-7	BECOOK	BECOOK×5	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Talibah Hamlett	+1.8
13	5-8	BECOOK	BECOOK×5	Ace	BECOOK server	aced Maria Ozaeta	+1.8
14	5-9	BECOOK	BECOOK×5	Attack err	Vanessa Shevchenko		+1.8
15	5-10	BECOOK	BECOOK×5	Attack err	Vanessa Shevchenko	blk Talibah Hamlett, Moriah Johnson	+1.8
16	6-10	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Maia Keely Pou	+1.3
17	7-10	STETSN	STETSN	Ace	STETSN server	aced Team	+1.6
18	7-11	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Sydnee Rodriguez	set Kylynn White	+1.7
19	8-11	BECOOK	STETSN×4	Attack err	Moriah Johnson		+1.4
20	9-11	STETSN	STETSN×4	Attack err	Moriah Johnson		+1.8
21	10-11	STETSN	STETSN×4	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.9
22	11-11	STETSN	STETSN×4	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.9
23	11-12	STETSN	BECOOK	Attack err	Karsu Bayraktar	blk Kaleigh Williams, Sydnee Rodriguez	+1.8
24	12-12	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.7
25	13-12	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Moriah Johnson	blk Lelia Fitz, Kayla Balfour	+2.0
26	13-13	STETSN	BECOOK	Attack err	Lelia Fitz		+1.8
27	14-13	BECOOK	STETSN×4	Serve err	BECOOK server		+1.8
28	15-13	STETSN	STETSN×4	Attack err	Kaleigh Williams		+1.9
29	16-13	STETSN	STETSN×4	Kill	Lelia Fitz	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.7
30	17-13	STETSN	STETSN×4	Attack err	Sienna Lawrence		+1.4
31	17-14	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Nola Hemphill	+1.1
32	18-14	BECOOK	STETSN	Serve err	BECOOK server		+1.3
33	18-15	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Talibah Hamlett	set Nola Hemphill	+1.1
34	19-15	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Maia Keely Pou	+1.3
35	19-16	STETSN	BECOOK×3	Kill	Alaya Rhodes	set Kylynn White	+1.1
36	19-17	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Ace	BECOOK server	aced Jannelize Perez	+1.7
37	19-18	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Sofia Torcello		+2.3
38	20-18	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Larissa Hiemer	+2.3
39	21-18	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Moriah Johnson		+2.2
40	21-19	STETSN	BECOOK	Attack err	Vitoria Stedile	blk Talibah Hamlett, Moriah Johnson	+1.5
41	22-19	BECOOK	STETSN×3	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Alaya Rhodes	+2.0
42	23-19	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.5
43	24-19	STETSN	STETSN×3	Attack err	Moriah Johnson		+0.7
44	24-20	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Kylynn White	+0.2
45	25-20	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.4
Set 3
1	1-0	BECOOK	STETSN	Bad set	Nola Hemphill		+0.6
2	1-1	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson		+0.7
3	1-2	BECOOK	BECOOK	Kill	Alaya Rhodes	set Sienna Lawrence	+0.8
4	2-2	BECOOK	STETSN×3	Serve err	BECOOK server		+0.7
5	3-2	STETSN	STETSN×3	Ace	STETSN server	aced Moriah Johnson	+0.8
6	4-2	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Lelia Fitz	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.7
7	4-3	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Alaya Rhodes	set Nola Hemphill	+0.6
8	5-3	BECOOK	STETSN×3	Attack err	Alaya Rhodes		+0.6
9	6-3	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.7
10	7-3	STETSN	STETSN×3	Attack err	Leila Hargrove		+0.6
11	7-4	STETSN	BECOOK×3	Kill	Alaya Rhodes		+0.5
12	7-5	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Attack err	Lelia Fitz	blk Talibah Hamlett	+0.7
13	7-6	BECOOK	BECOOK×3	Kill	Sydnee Rodriguez	set Aaniya Thornton	+0.8
14	8-6	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.7
15	8-7	STETSN	BECOOK	Serve err	STETSN server		+0.7
16	9-7	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Larissa Hiemer	+0.7
17	9-8	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson	set Kylynn White	+0.7
18	9-9	BECOOK	BECOOK	Kill	Moriah Johnson		+0.9
19	10-9	BECOOK	STETSN×3	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Larissa Hiemer	+0.8
20	11-9	STETSN	STETSN×3	Ace	STETSN server	aced Moriah Johnson	+0.9
21	12-9	STETSN	STETSN×3	Ace	STETSN server	aced Moriah Johnson	+0.8
22	12-10	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Kylynn White	+0.7
23	13-10	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Larissa Hiemer	+0.7
24	14-10	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Moriah Johnson		+0.7
25	14-11	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Nola Hemphill	+0.6
26	15-11	BECOOK	STETSN×3	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.6
27	16-11	STETSN	STETSN×3	Ace	STETSN server	aced Laura Lino dos Santos	+0.6
28	17-11	STETSN	STETSN×3	Attack err	Sienna Lawrence		+0.4
29	17-12	STETSN	BECOOK×4	Kill	Kaleigh Williams	set Nola Hemphill	+0.3
30	17-13	BECOOK	BECOOK×4	Attack err	Kayla Balfour		+0.5
31	17-14	BECOOK	BECOOK×4	Attack err	Andrea Diaz Dominguez		+0.7
32	17-15	BECOOK	BECOOK×4	Attack err	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	blk Sienna Lawrence, Talibah Hamlett	+0.9
33	18-15	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.9
34	18-16	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Sienna Lawrence	set Nola Hemphill	+0.8
35	19-16	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Andrea Diaz Dominguez	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.9
36	20-16	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Sydnee Rodriguez		+0.8
37	20-17	STETSN	BECOOK×4	Kill	Alaya Rhodes	set Kylynn White	+0.6
38	20-18	BECOOK	BECOOK×4	Kill	Laura Lino dos Santos	set Kylynn White	+0.9
39	20-19	BECOOK	BECOOK×4	Ace	BECOOK server	aced Vitoria Stedile	+1.3
40	20-20	BECOOK	BECOOK×4	Ace	BECOOK server	aced Karsu Bayraktar	+1.7
41	21-20	BECOOK	STETSN×4	Attack err	Laura Lino dos Santos		+1.6
42	22-20	STETSN	STETSN×4	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Karsu Bayraktar	+1.7
43	23-20	STETSN	STETSN×4	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.3
44	24-20	STETSN	STETSN×4	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Jannelize Perez	+0.8
45	24-21	STETSN	BECOOK	Kill	Laura Lino dos Santos	set Kylynn White	+0.2
46	24-22	BECOOK	BECOOK	Attack err	Karsu Bayraktar	blk Kaleigh Williams, Sydnee Rodriguez	+0.6
47	25-22	BECOOK	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.1

Score shown after each rally, Stetson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.