FinalSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Queens (NC) def. Stetson 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Queens (NC) 65.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Queens (NC) won at Stetson 3-0 (25-17, 25-17, 25-22) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Queens (NC)'s Elizabeth Layson led with 15 kills, and Callie DeSchryver added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set123Sets
QUENNC2525253
STETSN1717220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Elizabeth Layson. Queens (NC) swept Stetson.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.7 points. Stetson peaked at 35% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Queens (NC) at 66%.

Queens (NC)Stetson
  • Break %+14.7 pts
    56.842.1

    Points won on own serve: 42 of 74 vs 24 of 57. Stetson sided out 43.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.120
    .165.045

    38 K / 18 E against 29 K / 24 E.

  • Longest run+-2
    57

    Up 10–7 in the second set, Queens (NC) scored 5 straight to make it 15–7. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Stetson above 50Queens (NC) belowMax swing 2.7%

Queens (NC)Stetson

Aces
Queens (NC) 7·Stetson 2
Serve err
Queens (NC) 7·Stetson 4
Blocks
Queens (NC) 6·Stetson 62 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Queens (NC) 52·Stetson 53

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stetson above 50 · Queens (NC) below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.7% QUENNCrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.7% to Queens (NC) — set 3, QUENNC 24-22 STETSN. Kill by Emma Norris (set by Tyler Peluso). STETSN win probability 5% → 2%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

QUENNC 70.1%29.9% STETSN

Queens (NC) wins

3-0
23.3%
3-1
26.9%
3-2
19.9%

Stetson wins

3-0
5.7%
3-1
10.5%
3-2
13.7%
QUENNC break %
47.5% vs this opp
STETSN break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma NorrisKill+2.7%

    Kill by Emma Norris (set by Tyler Peluso)

    Set 3 · QUENNC 24-22 STETSN · QUENNC 95% → 98%

  2. 02

    Kill by Sofia Torcello (set by Vanessa Shevchenko)

    Set 1 · QUENNC 13-12 STETSN · STETSN 29% → 32%

  3. 03
    Sofia TorcelloAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Sofia Torcello

    Set 1 · QUENNC 15-12 STETSN · QUENNC 70% → 73%

  4. 04
    Andrea Diaz DominguezAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Andrea Diaz Dominguez

    Set 1 · QUENNC 14-12 STETSN · QUENNC 68% → 70%

  5. 05
    Soraya TestonKill+2.4%

    Kill by Soraya Teston (set by Vanessa Shevchenko)

    Set 1 · QUENNC 16-14 STETSN · STETSN 26% → 29%

  6. 06
    Emma NorrisKill+2.4%

    Kill by Emma Norris (set by Megan Kelly)

    Set 1 · QUENNC 17-14 STETSN · QUENNC 71% → 74%

  7. 07

    Kill by Karsu Bayraktar (set by Vanessa Shevchenko)

    Set 1 · QUENNC 6-6 STETSN · STETSN 32% → 35%

  8. 08

    Kill by Callie DeSchryver (set by Megan Kelly)

    Set 1 · QUENNC 18-14 STETSN · QUENNC 74% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315834.2060003000015
38129.24100010132.510.5
34116.1881311010007
35518.000001600216
34315.067000101226
3000–1521500002
3208.25000020010.52.5
3001.000012600001
3000–010100001
3000–1202500000
3000–300910000
1000–500300000
Team totals3818121.165367752228675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38420.200001201019
35728-.071101800005
3218.12500000052.54.5
2129-.111121070010.52.5
2000–010300001
2011-1.000001200000
39524.16700040031.510.5
3000–0001460000
24420.000000400004
2000–150140010.50.5
2000–000410000
1002.000000100000
Team totals2924112.0452824537110656

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Queens (NC) vs Stetson

Season series · Queens (NC) leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 QUENNC · STETSN 7

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 4 QUENNCSTETSN 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 QUENNCSTETSN 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 QUENNCSTETSN 7

Bars above the line = Stetson leads, below = Queens (NC) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Queens (NC)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
57%8/14
2
78%7/9
63%12/19
3
32%6/19
54%7/13
4
100%5/5
55%6/11
5
80%4/5
64%7/11
6
67%4/6
33%2/6
All
58%33/57
57%42/74

Stetson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
38%3/8
2
35%6/17
46%6/13
3
50%6/12
33%3/9
4
56%5/9
65%11/17
5
33%4/12
0%0/5
6
67%4/6
20%1/5
All
43%32/74
42%24/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#QUENNC-STETSNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0QUENNCQUENNCAceQueens (NC)aced Jannelize Perez+2.1
22-0QUENNCQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Megan Kelly+2.0
32-1QUENNCSTETSNServe errQueens (NC)+1.7
42-2STETSNSTETSNBlockedEmma Norrisblk Sofia Torcello+2.2
53-2STETSNQUENNC×3KillKyla Coffeyset Megan Kelly+1.9
64-2QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errSoraya Teston+2.1
75-2QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errSofia Torcello+2.0
85-3QUENNCSTETSNAttack errElizabeth Layson+1.6
96-3STETSNQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Tilley Collins+1.7
106-4QUENNCSTETSN×3KillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.7
116-5STETSNSTETSN×3AceStetsonaced Tilley Collins+2.2
126-6STETSNSTETSN×3KillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko+2.4
137-6STETSNQUENNCKillNaomi Coleset Megan Kelly+2.1
148-6QUENNCQUENNCAttack errKayla Balfour+2.3
158-7QUENNCSTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko+2.0
169-7STETSNQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Grace Hargis+2.0
1710-7QUENNCQUENNC×3Bad setVanessa Shevchenko+2.2
1811-7QUENNCQUENNC×3Bad setVanessa Shevchenko+2.0
1911-8QUENNCSTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.6
2011-9STETSNSTETSNKillSofia Torcelloset Vanessa Shevchenko+2.1
2112-9STETSNQUENNCKillLayni Tobiasset Grace Hargis+2.0
2213-9QUENNCQUENNCAttack errKarsu Bayraktar+2.1
2313-10QUENNCSTETSN×3Attack errKyla Coffey+1.6
2413-11STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errKyla Coffey+2.2
2513-12STETSNSTETSN×3KillSofia Torcelloset Vanessa Shevchenko+2.6
2614-12STETSNQUENNC×3Attack errAndrea Diaz Dominguez+2.4
2715-12QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errSofia Torcello+2.6
2816-12QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errAndrea Diaz Dominguez+2.2
2916-13QUENNCSTETSNAttack errCallie DeSchryver+1.7
3016-14STETSNSTETSNKillSoraya Testonset Vanessa Shevchenko+2.4
3117-14STETSNQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Megan Kelly+2.4
3218-14QUENNCQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Megan Kelly+2.3
3318-15QUENNCSTETSNKillSofia Torcelloset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.7
3419-15STETSNQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Megan Kelly+2.1
3519-16QUENNCSTETSNAttack errNaomi Cole+1.6
3620-16STETSNQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Megan Kelly+2.1
3721-16QUENNCQUENNCBlockedKarsu Bayraktarblk Naomi Cole+1.7
3821-17QUENNCSTETSNBlockedElizabeth Laysonblk Kayla Balfour, Soraya Teston+1.0
3922-17STETSNQUENNC×4KillElizabeth Laysonset Grace Hargis+1.4
4023-17QUENNCQUENNC×4KillLayni Tobiasset Grace Hargis+0.9
4124-17QUENNCQUENNC×4AceQueens (NC)aced Jannelize Perez+0.3
4225-17QUENNCQUENNC×4Attack errKarsu Bayraktar+0.1
Set 2
10-1STETSNSTETSNAttack errKyla Coffey+1.9
21-1STETSNQUENNCServe errStetson+1.6
31-2QUENNCSTETSNKillSofia Torcelloset Maia Keely Pou+1.7
42-2STETSNQUENNCKillKyla Coffeyset Megan Kelly+1.6
53-2QUENNCQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Callie DeSchryver+1.9
63-3QUENNCSTETSNKillSoraya Testonset Maia Keely Pou+1.7
74-3STETSNQUENNC×3Serve errStetson+1.6
85-3QUENNCQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Grace Hargis+1.8
96-3QUENNCQUENNC×3KillNaomi Cole+1.7
106-4QUENNCSTETSNServe errQueens (NC)+1.4
117-4STETSNQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Tilley Collins+1.5
127-5QUENNCSTETSNServe errQueens (NC)+1.5
138-5STETSNQUENNCKillNaomi Coleset Grace Hargis+1.6
149-5QUENNCQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Grace Hargis+1.6
159-6QUENNCSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.3
1610-6STETSNQUENNCKillKyla Coffeyset Grace Hargis+1.4
1710-7QUENNCSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko+1.3
1811-7STETSNQUENNC×5Attack errVanessa Shevchenko+1.5
1912-7QUENNCQUENNC×5Attack errEden Bristow+1.5
2013-7QUENNCQUENNC×5AceQueens (NC)aced Jannelize Perez+1.2
2114-7QUENNCQUENNC×5KillEmma Norrisset Megan Kelly+0.9
2215-7QUENNCQUENNC×5AceQueens (NC)aced Maria Ozaeta+0.7
2315-8QUENNCSTETSNKillVanessa Shevchenkoset Maia Keely Pou+0.4
2416-8STETSNQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Megan Kelly+0.6
2516-9QUENNCSTETSN×3KillSofia Torcelloset Maia Keely Pou+0.4
2616-10STETSNSTETSN×3BlockedNaomi Coleblk Kayla Balfour, Vanessa Shevchenko+0.6
2716-11STETSNSTETSN×3KillKayla Balfourset Maia Keely Pou+0.9
2817-11STETSNQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Megan Kelly+1.0
2917-12QUENNCSTETSNServe errQueens (NC)+0.8
3018-12STETSNQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Grace Hargis+1.0
3118-13QUENNCSTETSNKillSoraya Testonset Vanessa Shevchenko+0.7
3219-13STETSNQUENNCServe errStetson+1.0
3319-14QUENNCSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko+0.7
3420-14STETSNQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Tilley Collins+0.9
3521-14QUENNCQUENNCAttack errAndrea Diaz Dominguez+0.6
3621-15QUENNCSTETSNAttack errKyla Coffey+0.3
3722-15STETSNQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Megan Kelly+0.5
3822-16QUENNCSTETSNAttack errElizabeth Layson+0.2
3922-17STETSNSTETSNKillSoraya Testonset Maia Keely Pou+0.5
4023-17STETSNQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Megan Kelly+0.6
4124-17QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedSoraya Testonblk Emma Norris, Naomi Cole+0.3
4225-17QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errVanessa Shevchenko+0.1
Set 3
11-0QUENNCQUENNCKillKyla Coffeyset Grace Hargis+1.0
21-1QUENNCSTETSN×3KillSofia Torcelloset Maia Keely Pou+0.9
31-2STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errKyla Coffey+1.1
41-3STETSNSTETSN×3KillSoraya Testonset Maia Keely Pou+1.1
52-3STETSNQUENNC×4KillEmma Norrisset Grace Hargis+0.9
63-3QUENNCQUENNC×4AceQueens (NC)aced Jannelize Perez+1.1
74-3QUENNCQUENNC×4Attack errSoraya Teston+1.1
85-3QUENNCQUENNC×4BlockedSoraya Testonblk Emma Norris, Kyla Coffey+1.1
95-4QUENNCSTETSNKillSofia Torcelloset Maia Keely Pou+0.9
106-4STETSNQUENNCKillKyla Coffeyset Grace Hargis+0.9
116-5QUENNCSTETSN×7Serve errQueens (NC)+0.9
126-6STETSNSTETSN×7BlockedElizabeth Laysonblk Kayla Balfour, Soraya Teston+1.2
136-7STETSNSTETSN×7BlockedElizabeth Laysonblk Kayla Balfour, Soraya Teston+1.3
146-8STETSNSTETSN×7Attack errElizabeth Layson+1.3
156-9STETSNSTETSN×7KillSoraya Testonset Maia Keely Pou+1.3
166-10STETSNSTETSN×7AceStetsonaced Callie DeSchryver+1.2
176-11STETSNSTETSN×7KillSoraya Testonset Maia Keely Pou+1.2
187-11STETSNQUENNCAttack errAndrea Diaz Dominguez+0.8
198-11QUENNCQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Megan Kelly+1.1
208-12QUENNCSTETSNBlockedElizabeth Laysonblk Maia Keely Pou, Kayla Balfour+1.1
219-12STETSNQUENNC×3KillNaomi Coleset Megan Kelly+1.0
2210-12QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errAndrea Diaz Dominguez+1.3
2311-12QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedAndrea Diaz Dominguezblk Layni Tobias, Naomi Cole+1.4
2411-13QUENNCSTETSNServe errQueens (NC)+1.3
2512-13STETSNQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Megan Kelly+1.2
2612-14QUENNCSTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Maia Keely Pou+1.4
2713-14STETSNQUENNC×3Attack errAndrea Diaz Dominguez+1.3
2814-14QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedSofia Torcelloblk Emma Norris+1.6
2915-14QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedKarsu Bayraktarblk Emma Norris, Kyla Coffey+1.6
3015-15QUENNCSTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Maia Keely Pou+1.4
3115-16STETSNSTETSNKillSofia Torcelloset Maia Keely Pou+1.8
3216-16STETSNQUENNC×3Serve errStetson+1.5
3317-16QUENNCQUENNC×3KillElizabeth Laysonset Tyler Peluso+1.8
3418-16QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errSofia Torcello+1.7
3518-17QUENNCSTETSNServe errQueens (NC)+1.4
3618-18STETSNSTETSNKillKayla Balfourset Maia Keely Pou+1.9
3719-18STETSNQUENNC×5KillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+1.8
3820-18QUENNCQUENNC×5KillElizabeth Laysonset Tyler Peluso+2.0
3921-18QUENNCQUENNC×5KillElizabeth Laysonset Tyler Peluso+1.7
4022-18QUENNCQUENNC×5AceQueens (NC)aced Jannelize Perez+1.2
4123-18QUENNCQUENNC×5Attack errSoraya Teston+0.7
4223-19QUENNCSTETSN×4Attack errElizabeth Layson+0.3
4323-20STETSNSTETSN×4Attack errNaomi Cole+0.6
4423-21STETSNSTETSN×4KillSoraya Teston+1.2
4523-22STETSNSTETSN×4KillSoraya Testonset Andrea Diaz Dominguez+2.1
4624-22STETSNQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Tyler Peluso+2.7
4725-22QUENNCQUENNCAceQueens (NC)aced Jannelize Perez+1.8

Score shown after each rally, Queens (NC) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).