Lipscomb vs Stetson Volleyball: Lipscomb Wins 3-0 (Oct 9)

FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Lipscomb 94.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lipscomb won at Stetson 3-0 (25-23, 25-22, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Lipscomb's Madyson McCarthy and Ella Durham led with 14 kills each, and Grace Jones added 16 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 10:45 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIPSCO	25	25	25	3
STETSN	23	22	21	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Madyson Mccarthy needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. Lipscomb swept Stetson.

Win probability never moved more than 1.9 points on one rally; Stetson topped out at 7% in Set 1. Lipscomb went in as RallyIQ's 95% pick.

LipscombStetson

Longest run+1
87
Down 4–5 in the third set, Lipscomb scored 8 straight to lead 12–5. That set ended 25–21.

Stetson above 50Lipscomb belowMax swing 1.9%

LipscombStetson

Hitting: Lipscomb .260·Stetson .209
Aces: Lipscomb 3·Stetson 2
Serve err: Lipscomb 7·Stetson 2
Blocks: Lipscomb 6·Stetson 42 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Lipscomb 56·Stetson 65

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stetson above 50 · Lipscomb below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Lipscomb — set 1, LIPSCO 25-23 STETSN. Attack error by Andrea Diaz Dominguez. STETSN win probability 4% → 3%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIPSCO 93.6%6.4% STETSN

Lipscomb wins

3-0

51.6%

3-1

30.6%

3-2

11.3%

Stetson wins

3-0

0.8%

3-1

1.9%

3-2

3.8%

LIPSCO break %: 49.1% vs this opp
STETSN break %: 37.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Andrea Diaz DominguezAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Andrea Diaz Dominguez
Set 1 · LIPSCO 25-23 STETSN · LIPSCO 96% → 97%
02
Madyson McCarthyKill+1.6%
Kill by Madyson McCarthy (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 1 · LIPSCO 24-22 STETSN · LIPSCO 95% → 97%
03
StetsonAce+1.3%
Stetson ace on Madyson McCarthy
Set 1 · LIPSCO 17-17 STETSN · STETSN 5% → 7%
04
Sydney StrengerKill+1.3%
Kill by Sydney Strenger (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 1 · LIPSCO 23-21 STETSN · LIPSCO 95% → 96%
05
Lexi GuinnAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Lexi Guinn
Set 1 · LIPSCO 22-21 STETSN · STETSN 4% → 5%
06
Karsu BayraktarAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Karsu Bayraktar
Set 1 · LIPSCO 19-17 STETSN · LIPSCO 94% → 95%
07
Soraya TestonKill+1.1%
Kill by Soraya Teston (set by Vanessa Shevchenko)
Set 1 · LIPSCO 23-22 STETSN · STETSN 4% → 5%
08
Ella DurhamKill+1.0%
Kill by Ella Durham (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 1 · LIPSCO 18-17 STETSN · LIPSCO 93% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Lipscombaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Sydney StrengerMB	3	13	0	22	.591	0	2	2	1	0	0	4	2	17
17Madyson McCarthyOH	3	14	3	31	.355	0	0	0	7	1	0	1	0.5	14.5
11Brooklyn FuchsMB	3	6	2	18	.222	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	7
10Kelsey SchenckS	3	2	1	10	.100	48	1	1	14	0	1	2	2	5
5Lexi GuinnOH	3	4	6	25	-.080	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
8Kenzie KucksL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
18Ella DurhamOH	3	14	4	36	.278	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
13Makenna KirlinS	3	1	1	3	.000	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	0	1
15Grace JonesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	16	0	0	0	0	0
7Anna Claire BrownOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		55	17	146	.260	52	3	7	56	2	2	8	6	75

Stetsonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Karsu BayraktarOH	3	9	3	30	.200	2	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	9
21Sofia TorcelloMB	3	7	2	18	.278	2	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
7Vanessa ShevchenkoS	3	5	1	11	.364	26	1	0	10	0	1	2	2	8
9Soraya TestonOH	3	7	5	27	.074	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
12Kayla BalfourMB	3	7	0	12	.583	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
33Maria OzaetaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
14Alessia BracchiMB	3	3	2	12	.083	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3
4Vitoria StedileL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	25	2	0	0	0	1
11Andrea Diaz Dominguez	3	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	0	0
8Larissa HiemerS	2	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Maia Keely PouS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	14	115	.209	36	2	2	65	3	1	6	4	66

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Lipscomb vs Stetson

Season series · Lipscomb leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026Lipscomb at Stetson · Lipscomb won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 24, 2026Stetson at Lipscomb · Lipscomb won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 LIPSCO · STETSN 7

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 LIPSCOSTETSN 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 LIPSCOSTETSN 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 8 LIPSCOSTETSN 7

Bars above the line = Stetson leads, below = Lipscomb leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lipscomb

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	54%7/13
2	73%8/11	0%0/8
3	67%8/12	53%9/17
4	78%7/9	53%8/15
5	75%6/8	33%3/9
6	36%5/14	55%6/11
All	62%42/68	45%33/73

Stetson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	36%4/11
2	62%8/13	33%4/12
3	40%8/20	20%2/10
4	75%6/8	33%4/12
5	45%5/11	33%3/9
6	56%5/9	64%9/14
All	55%40/73	38%26/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	LIPSCO-STETSN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	STETSN	LIPSCO	Attack err	Soraya Teston		+0.4
2	1-1	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
3	2-1	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
4	2-2	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Soraya Teston	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
5	3-2	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
6	3-3	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
7	4-3	STETSN	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
8	5-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Vitoria Stedile	+0.5
9	6-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Andrea Diaz Dominguez	+0.5
10	6-4	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.4
11	7-4	STETSN	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
12	8-4	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Grace Jones	+0.4
13	9-4	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
14	9-5	LIPSCO	STETSN×4	Attack err	Lexi Guinn		+0.2
15	9-6	STETSN	STETSN×4	Attack err	Lexi Guinn		+0.4
16	9-7	STETSN	STETSN×4	Blocked	Ella Durham	blk Vanessa Shevchenko, Sofia Torcello	+0.5
17	9-8	STETSN	STETSN×4	Attack err	Lexi Guinn		+0.7
18	10-8	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
19	11-8	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.6
20	11-9	LIPSCO	STETSN×3	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Larissa Hiemer	+0.5
21	11-10	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Larissa Hiemer	+0.7
22	11-11	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Soraya Teston	set Sofia Torcello	+0.9
23	12-11	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
24	12-12	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Larissa Hiemer	+0.8
25	13-12	STETSN	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
26	14-12	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.8
27	15-12	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
28	15-13	LIPSCO	STETSN	Serve err	Lipscomb		+0.5
29	16-13	STETSN	LIPSCO	Attack err	Soraya Teston		+0.5
30	16-14	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Alessia Bracchi	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
31	17-14	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.6
32	17-15	LIPSCO	STETSN×3	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.6
33	17-16	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.0
34	17-17	STETSN	STETSN×3	Ace	Stetson	aced Madyson McCarthy	+1.3
35	18-17	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.0
36	19-17	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Karsu Bayraktar		+1.2
37	19-18	LIPSCO	STETSN	Attack err	Ella Durham		+0.9
38	20-18	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.0
39	21-18	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.9
40	21-19	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.6
41	22-19	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.8
42	22-20	LIPSCO	STETSN	Bad set	Kelsey Schenck		+0.6
43	22-21	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Lexi Guinn		+1.3
44	23-21	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.3
45	23-22	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Soraya Teston	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.1
46	24-22	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.6
47	24-23	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Alessia Bracchi	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+1.0
48	25-23	STETSN	LIPSCO	Attack err	Andrea Diaz Dominguez		+1.9
Set 2
1	0-1	LIPSCO	STETSN×3	Blocked	Lexi Guinn	blk Sofia Torcello, Soraya Teston	+0.4
2	0-2	STETSN	STETSN×3	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Kayla Balfour	+0.5
3	0-3	STETSN	STETSN×3	Blocked	Madyson McCarthy	blk Kayla Balfour, Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.6
4	1-3	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
5	1-4	LIPSCO	STETSN	Attack err	Madyson McCarthy		+0.5
6	2-4	STETSN	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
7	3-4	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Kelsey Schenck	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
8	4-4	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
9	4-5	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Madyson McCarthy	+0.4
10	4-6	STETSN	STETSN	Serve err	Stetson		+0.6
11	5-6	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
12	5-7	LIPSCO	STETSN	Serve err	Lipscomb		+0.5
13	5-8	STETSN	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Karsu Bayraktar	+0.7
14	6-8	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
15	7-8	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Blocked	Sofia Torcello	blk Brooklyn Fuchs	+0.6
16	7-9	LIPSCO	STETSN	Attack err	Brooklyn Fuchs		+0.6
17	8-9	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
18	8-10	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.6
19	9-10	STETSN	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
20	10-10	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.6
21	11-10	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Grace Jones	+0.6
22	12-10	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
23	13-10	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Blocked	Vanessa Shevchenko	blk Sydney Strenger, Madyson McCarthy	+0.4
24	13-11	LIPSCO	STETSN	Serve err	Lipscomb		+0.3
25	14-11	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
26	14-12	LIPSCO	STETSN	Serve err	Lipscomb		+0.3
27	15-12	STETSN	LIPSCO	Attack err	Soraya Teston		+0.3
28	15-13	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.3
29	15-14	STETSN	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.6
30	16-14	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
31	16-15	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
32	17-15	STETSN	LIPSCO	Attack err	Alessia Bracchi		+0.5
33	17-16	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
34	18-16	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
35	19-16	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Brooklyn Fuchs	+0.5
36	19-17	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Karsu Bayraktar	+0.4
37	20-17	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
38	20-18	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Soraya Teston	set Sofia Torcello	+0.4
39	21-18	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
40	21-19	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.4
41	21-20	STETSN	STETSN	Kill	Soraya Teston	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.8
42	22-20	STETSN	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Makenna Kirlin	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
43	23-20	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Soraya Teston		+0.7
44	24-20	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Blocked	Alessia Bracchi	blk Sydney Strenger, Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
45	24-21	LIPSCO	STETSN	Attack err	Kelsey Schenck		+0.1
46	24-22	STETSN	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.3
47	25-22	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
Set 3
1	0-1	STETSN	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.2
2	1-1	STETSN	LIPSCO	Serve err	Stetson		+0.1
3	1-2	LIPSCO	STETSN	Bad set	Kelsey Schenck		+0.2
4	1-3	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Lexi Guinn		+0.3
5	2-3	STETSN	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.2
6	3-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.2
7	4-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Sofia Torcello		+0.2
8	4-4	LIPSCO	STETSN	Serve err	Lipscomb		+0.2
9	4-5	STETSN	STETSN	Blocked	Madyson McCarthy	blk Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.2
10	5-5	STETSN	LIPSCO×8	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.2
11	6-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×8	Kill	Kelsey Schenck	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.2
12	7-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×8	Bad set	Maria Ozaeta		+0.2
13	8-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×8	Blocked	Karsu Bayraktar	blk Sydney Strenger, Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
14	9-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×8	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
15	10-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×8	Blocked	Karsu Bayraktar	blk Sydney Strenger, Ella Durham	+0.1
16	11-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×8	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
17	12-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×8	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	·
18	12-6	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Maia Keely Pou	·
19	12-7	STETSN	STETSN	Attack err	Ella Durham		+0.1
20	13-7	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
21	13-8	LIPSCO	STETSN	Serve err	Lipscomb		·
22	14-8	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
23	14-9	LIPSCO	STETSN×7	Serve err	Lipscomb		·
24	14-10	STETSN	STETSN×7	Kill	Soraya Teston	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.1
25	14-11	STETSN	STETSN×7	Attack err	Ella Durham		+0.1
26	14-12	STETSN	STETSN×7	Kill	Kayla Balfour		+0.2
27	14-13	STETSN	STETSN×7	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.2
28	14-14	STETSN	STETSN×7	Attack err	Brooklyn Fuchs		+0.3
29	14-15	STETSN	STETSN×7	Ace	Stetson	aced Brooklyn Fuchs	+0.4
30	15-15	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
31	16-15	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Grace Jones	+0.3
32	16-16	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Soraya Teston	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.3
33	16-17	STETSN	STETSN	Kill	Alessia Bracchi	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.5
34	17-17	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
35	17-18	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Kayla Balfour	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.4
36	18-18	STETSN	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
37	19-18	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
38	19-19	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Sofia Torcello	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.4
39	20-19	STETSN	LIPSCO	Serve err	Stetson		+0.4
40	21-19	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger		+0.4
41	21-20	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Karsu Bayraktar	set Vanessa Shevchenko	+0.3
42	22-20	STETSN	LIPSCO	Blocked	Soraya Teston	blk Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
43	22-21	LIPSCO	STETSN	Kill	Vanessa Shevchenko	set Vitoria Stedile	+0.3
44	23-21	STETSN	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
45	24-21	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
46	25-21	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Vitoria Stedile	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Lipscomb first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Lipscomb def. Stetson 3–0

Madyson Mccarthy needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. Lipscomb swept Stetson.