FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

Xavier def. Bowling Green 3–0

Xavier beat visiting Bowling Green 3-0 (27-25, 25-22, 25-18) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Xavier's Margo Kemp led with 9 kills, and Kelsey Niesen added 21 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
BGSU2522180
XAVIER2725253

Win probability

Xavier above 50 · Bowling Green below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.0% BGSUrally 142 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Bowling Green — set 1, BGSU 24-24 XAVIER. Attack error by Margo Kemp. XAVIER win probability 62% → 52%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BGSU 49.2%50.8% XAVIER

Bowling Green wins

3-0
12.2%
3-1
18.4%
3-2
18.6%

Xavier wins

3-0
12.8%
3-1
19.1%
3-2
18.9%
BGSU break %
41.9% vs this opp
XAVIER break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Margo KempAttack error+10.0%

    Attack error by Margo Kemp

    Set 1 · BGSU 24-24 XAVIER · BGSU 38% → 48%

  2. 02

    Anastasija Bozic stuffed by Macy Hatkevich & McKinley Boehm

    Set 1 · BGSU 25-27 XAVIER · XAVIER 60% → 70%

  3. 03
    Ava TildenKill+7.3%

    Kill by Ava Tilden (set by Macy Hatkevich)

    Set 1 · BGSU 24-25 XAVIER · XAVIER 52% → 60%

  4. 04

    Kill by Anastasija Bozic (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 1 · BGSU 25-25 XAVIER · BGSU 40% → 48%

  5. 05
    Bowling GreenService error+7.3%

    Bowling Green service error

    Set 1 · BGSU 25-26 XAVIER · XAVIER 52% → 60%

  6. 06

    Kill by Macy Hatkevich (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 1 · BGSU 21-22 XAVIER · XAVIER 50% → 57%

  7. 07
    Margo KempKill+6.5%

    Kill by Margo Kemp (set by Macy Hatkevich)

    Set 1 · BGSU 21-23 XAVIER · XAVIER 57% → 63%

  8. 08
    Charlotte MoriartyAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Charlotte Moriarty

    Set 1 · BGSU 21-20 XAVIER · BGSU 48% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39135.22900130010.59.5
34415.000000010426
35623-.04310051010.55.5
3307.42902210010.55.5
3214.2502210100010.53.5
26327.111001300006
3000–3011310000
2407.57100000010.54.5
2016-.167000100000
2011-1.000602200000
2000–001200000
2000–000110000
2000–000100000
1227.00000000010.52.5
1112.000000000001
1011-1.000000100000
Team totals3621135.1113238437010565
Xavierhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39218.38900010052.511.5
38111.6361011022311
36933-.0910101900218
36212.333000000217
3305.600210190010.53.5
3000–121600002
35416.063000100216
34313.077000100004
3000–1320300002
3000–2202120002
1000–000100000
1000–001000000
Team totals4121108.1853874633214977

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 BGSU · XAVIER 11

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 3 BGSUXAVIER 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 6 BGSUXAVIER 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 BGSUXAVIER 11

Bars above the line = Xavier leads, below = Bowling Green leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
54%7/13
2
54%7/13
20%2/10
3
41%7/17
42%5/12
4
38%6/16
22%2/9
5
46%6/13
45%5/11
6
83%5/6
45%5/11
All
51%39/76
39%26/66

Xavier

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
30%3/10
2
62%8/13
33%4/12
3
70%7/10
63%12/19
4
60%6/10
33%3/9
5
55%6/11
67%12/18
6
63%5/8
38%3/8
All
61%40/66
49%37/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

142 rallies

#BGSU-XAVIERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1XAVIERXAVIERBlockedAmanda Ottenblk Charlotte Moriarty, Margo Kemp+2.5
21-1XAVIERBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.8
31-2BGSUXAVIERBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Charlotte Moriarty, Margo Kemp+1.9
42-2XAVIERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.9
53-2BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Tilden+2.6
63-3BGSUXAVIERServe errBowling Green+1.9
74-3XAVIERBGSUBlockedAva Tildenblk Karli Molnau, Helen Wilford+1.9
84-4BGSUXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+1.9
94-5XAVIERXAVIERAttack errFetia Rovira+2.8
105-5XAVIERBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+2.0
116-5BGSUBGSU×3Attack errMcKinley Boehm+2.8
127-5BGSUBGSU×3Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+2.8
137-6BGSUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+2.0
147-7XAVIERXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+2.9
158-7XAVIERBGSUServe errXavier+2.2
169-7BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobson+3.0
179-8BGSUXAVIERServe errBowling Green+2.0
189-9XAVIERXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+3.1
1910-9XAVIERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Molly Beatty+2.3
2011-9BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+3.2
2111-10BGSUXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.2
2212-10XAVIERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Sydnie Hernandez+2.4
2312-11BGSUXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+2.2
2412-12XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Sydnie Hernandez+3.4
2513-12XAVIERBGSUAttack errQuinci Thomas+2.6
2613-13BGSUXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+2.5
2714-13XAVIERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.7
2815-13BGSUBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Molly Beatty+3.7
2915-14BGSUXAVIERServe errBowling Green+2.5
3016-14XAVIERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+2.8
3117-14BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Molly Beatty+3.5
3217-15BGSUXAVIER×5KillCatherine Flahartyset Jenna Barhorst+2.1
3317-16XAVIERXAVIER×5AceXavieraced Helen Wilford+3.7
3417-17XAVIERXAVIER×5KillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+4.3
3517-18XAVIERXAVIER×5BlockedHelen Wilfordblk McKinley Boehm+4.6
3617-19XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errMolly Beatty+4.5
3718-19XAVIERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.9
3819-19BGSUBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Anastasija Bozic+4.8
3919-20BGSUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Jenna Barhorst+3.9
4020-20XAVIERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+3.8
4121-20BGSUBGSUAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+6.0
4221-21BGSUXAVIER×3KillCatherine Flahartyset Jenna Barhorst+4.2
4321-22XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMacy Hatkevichset Amanda Otten+6.8
4421-23XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+6.5
4522-23XAVIERBGSUBad setMacy Hatkevich+3.3
4622-24BGSUXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+5.5
4723-24XAVIERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+3.0
4824-24BGSUBGSUAttack errMargo Kemp+10.0
4924-25BGSUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+7.3
5025-25XAVIERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+7.3
5125-26BGSUXAVIERServe errBowling Green+7.3
5225-27XAVIERXAVIERBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Macy Hatkevich, McKinley Boehm+10.0
Set 2
10-1BGSUXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevich+1.8
21-1XAVIERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.8
31-2BGSUXAVIERServe errBowling Green+1.8
42-2XAVIERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.8
52-3BGSUXAVIERServe errBowling Green+1.9
63-3XAVIERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Sydnie Hernandez+1.9
73-4BGSUXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.9
83-5XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+2.6
93-6XAVIERXAVIER×4Attack errAvery Hobson+2.5
103-7XAVIERXAVIER×4KillQuinci Thomasset McKinley Boehm+2.4
114-7XAVIERBGSUAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+1.5
124-8BGSUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Jenna Barhorst+1.7
135-8XAVIERBGSUKillVivian Jonesset Molly Beatty+1.5
145-9BGSUXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Jenna Barhorst+1.8
156-9XAVIERBGSUServe errXavier+1.5
166-10BGSUXAVIERBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Quinci Thomas, Margo Kemp+1.8
177-10XAVIERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.6
188-10BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Sydnie Hernandez+2.5
198-11BGSUXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+2.1
208-12XAVIERXAVIERBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Catherine Flaharty, Margo Kemp+2.6
219-12XAVIERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.6
2210-12BGSUBGSUAttack errCatherine Flaharty+2.6
2310-13BGSUXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+2.2
2411-13XAVIERBGSUBlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Helen Wilford, Anastasija Bozic+1.9
2511-14BGSUXAVIER×5Serve errBowling Green+2.3
2611-15XAVIERXAVIER×5AceXavieraced Anastasija Bozic+2.7
2711-16XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errVivian Jones+2.2
2811-17XAVIERXAVIER×5AceXavier+1.7
2911-18XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errAnastasija Bozic+1.1
3012-18XAVIERBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+0.5
3113-18BGSUBGSUBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+1.1
3213-19BGSUXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehmset Jenna Barhorst+1.1
3313-20XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errHelen Wilford+0.9
3413-21XAVIERXAVIER×3BlockedAvery Hobsonblk McKinley Boehm, Quinci Thomas+0.5
3514-21XAVIERBGSUKillAva Buddelmeyerset Amanda Otten+0.2
3615-21BGSUBGSUAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+0.4
3715-22BGSUXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Jenna Barhorst+0.5
3816-22XAVIERBGSU×6KillAva Buddelmeyer+0.2
3917-22BGSUBGSU×6Attack errAva Tilden+0.5
4018-22BGSUBGSU×6KillAva Buddelmeyerset Amanda Otten+0.9
4119-22BGSUBGSU×6AceBowling Greenaced Kelsey Niesen+1.7
4220-22BGSUBGSU×6KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.8
4321-22BGSUBGSU×6KillAva Buddelmeyerset Amanda Otten+4.5
4421-23BGSUXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+4.7
4522-23XAVIERBGSUServe errXavier+3.3
4622-24BGSUXAVIERServe errBowling Green+5.4
4722-25XAVIERXAVIERKillCatherine Flahartyset Macy Hatkevich+4.2
Set 3
11-0XAVIERBGSUAttack errMargo Kemp+1.2
21-1BGSUXAVIER×4KillMacy Hatkevich+1.2
31-2XAVIERXAVIER×4AceXavieraced Avery Anders+1.7
41-3XAVIERXAVIER×4KillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+1.6
51-4XAVIERXAVIER×4BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Catherine Flaharty+1.6
62-4XAVIERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.1
73-4BGSUBGSUAceBowling Green+1.6
83-5BGSUXAVIER×11Attack errAnastasija Bozic+1.2
93-6XAVIERXAVIER×11Attack errKarli Molnau+1.7
103-7XAVIERXAVIER×11KillCatherine Flahartyset Kelsey Niesen+1.5
113-8XAVIERXAVIER×11BlockedHelen Wilfordblk McKinley Boehm+1.4
123-9XAVIERXAVIER×11KillCatherine Flahartyset Kasey Quenichet+1.2
133-10XAVIERXAVIER×11KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+0.9
143-11XAVIERXAVIER×11KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+0.7
153-12XAVIERXAVIER×11AceXavier+0.5
163-13XAVIERXAVIER×11KillCharlotte Moriartyset Kelsey Niesen+0.4
173-14XAVIERXAVIER×11AceXavier+0.2
183-15XAVIERXAVIER×11Attack errMarin Dunaway+0.1
194-15XAVIERBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+0.1
205-15BGSUBGSUBlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Marin Dunaway, Helen Wilford+0.1
215-16BGSUXAVIERAttack errMarin Dunaway+0.1
225-17XAVIERXAVIERAttack errHelen Wilford+0.1
236-17XAVIERBGSUKillMarin Dunawayset Amanda Otten·
247-17BGSUBGSUAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+0.1
257-18BGSUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Jenna Barhorst+0.1
268-18XAVIERBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten·
279-18BGSUBGSUAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+0.1
289-19BGSUXAVIERAttack errEdyta Waclawczyk+0.1
2910-19XAVIERBGSUServe errXavier+0.1
3010-20BGSUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Jenna Barhorst+0.1
3111-20XAVIERBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten·
3212-20BGSUBGSUAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+0.1
3312-21BGSUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
3413-21XAVIERBGSUKillMarin Dunawayset Amanda Otten+0.1
3514-21BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Kelsey Niesen+0.1
3614-22BGSUXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.2
3715-22XAVIERBGSUAttack errCatherine Flaharty+0.1
3815-23BGSUXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
3916-23XAVIERBGSUAttack errCharlotte Moriarty·
4016-24BGSUXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Jenna Barhorst+0.1
4117-24XAVIERBGSUKillAmanda Otten·
4218-24BGSUBGSUBlockedQuinci Thomasblk Ava Buddelmeyer, Cecily Waynar·
4318-25BGSUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Jenna Barhorst+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Bowling Green first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).