FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayOVC

0:3

HomeSOCON

Tennessee Tech def. Tennessee St. 3–0

(25-20, 25-12, 25-15)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TENNST	20	12	15	0
TNTECH	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TNTECH above 50 · TENNST below

Biggest swing: 0.2% to Tennessee St. — set 1, TENNST 17-18 TNTECH. Kill by Melae Lacy (set by Triniti Jackson). TNTECH win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TENNST 0.6%99.4% TNTECH

Tennessee St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.4%

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0

78.8%

3-1

18.0%

3-2

2.6%

TENNST break %: 33.7% vs this opp
TNTECH break %: 53.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Melae LacyKill+0.2%
Kill by Melae Lacy (set by Triniti Jackson)
Set 1 · TENNST 17-18 TNTECH · TENNST 1% → 1%
02
Ava SchubertAttack error+0.2%
Ava Schubert stuffed by Gabrielle Washington & Sydney Robinson
Set 1 · TENNST 13-13 TNTECH · TENNST 1% → 1%
03
Carsyn StansberryKill+0.2%
Kill by Carsyn Stansberry (set by Jordan Imperial)
Set 1 · TENNST 9-8 TNTECH · TENNST 1% → 1%
04
Jordyn MilhouseAttack error+0.2%
Attack error by Jordyn Milhouse
Set 1 · TENNST 5-3 TNTECH · TENNST 1% → 1%
05
TENNST serverService error+0.2%
Tennessee St. service error
Set 1 · TENNST 17-19 TNTECH · TNTECH 99% → 99%
06
Sydney RobinsonKill+0.2%
Kill by Sydney Robinson (set by Italya Carter)
Set 1 · TENNST 7-5 TNTECH · TENNST 1% → 1%
07
Mallory JenkinsKill+0.2%
Kill by Mallory Jenkins (set by Bella Lineberger)
Set 1 · TENNST 17-20 TNTECH · TNTECH 99% → 100%
08
Sydney RobinsonAttack error+0.2%
Attack error by Sydney Robinson
Set 1 · TENNST 13-15 TNTECH · TNTECH 99% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Tennessee St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Wiktoria JakubikOH	3	8	0	12	.667	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
16Sydney RobinsonMB	3	4	4	15	.000	1	1	2	1	1	3	1.5	6.5
7Gabrielle WashingtonMB	3	4	0	7	.571	1	0	1	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
13Gabriella BlevinsMB	3	1	0	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
15Triniti JacksonS	3	1	0	4	.250	12	0	0	6	0	0	0	1
8Melae LacyOH	2	2	5	10	-.300	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	2.5
1Carsyn StansberryOH	3	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Italya CarterS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
4Jordan ImperialL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	6	3	0	0	0
3Sydni PostonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	0
5Savanna MooreMB	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
2Julia CulpepperOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		21	12	66	.136	20	1	7	28	8	12	6	47

Tennessee Techhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
24Alayna PierceOH	3	16	2	23	.609	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	17
7Audrey BerkebileOH	3	12	3	21	.429	0	3	2	4	0	0	0	15
1Ava SchubertOH	3	8	10	26	-.077	0	3	0	2	0	0	0	11
8Mallory JenkinsMB	3	4	0	9	.444	1	0	2	2	0	2	2	6
12Jordyn MilhouseMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
10Bella LinebergerS	1	0	0	2	.000	7	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
6Ella WatfordL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	14	0	0	0	1
11Morgan PetelinS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	32	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
3Brooklyn RappL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
14Ashlyn GambleOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		46	17	95	.305	42	8	8	33	1	2	2	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 TENNST · TNTECH 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 TENNSTTNTECH 4

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 TENNSTTNTECH 6

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 2 TENNSTTNTECH 5

Bars above the line = Tennessee Tech leads, below = Tennessee St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Tennessee St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%6/8	40%4/10
2	75%6/8	33%3/9
3	43%6/14	40%4/10
4	43%6/14	0%0/6
5	26%5/19	25%2/8
6	40%4/10	17%1/6
All	45%33/73	29%14/49

Tennessee Tech

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	55%6/11
2	67%6/9	33%3/9
3	67%6/9	54%7/13
4	100%6/6	50%6/12
5	71%5/7	62%8/13
6	83%5/6	67%10/15
All	71%35/49	55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

122 rallies

Rally log

#	TENNST-TNTECH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	TENNST	TENNST	Attack err	Ava Schubert	blk Gabrielle Washington, Melae Lacy	+0.1
2	1-1	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Bella Lineberger	+0.1
3	1-2	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse		+0.1
4	2-2	TNTECH	TENNST	Serve err	TNTECH server		+0.1
5	2-3	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Bella Lineberger	+0.1
6	3-3	TNTECH	TENNST×3	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Triniti Jackson	+0.1
7	4-3	TENNST	TENNST×3	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Gabrielle Washington	+0.1
8	5-3	TENNST	TENNST×3	Attack err	Jordyn Milhouse		+0.2
9	5-4	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.1
10	6-4	TNTECH	TENNST	Attack err	Alayna Pierce		+0.1
11	6-5	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.1
12	7-5	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Italya Carter	+0.2
13	7-6	TENNST	TNTECH×3	Serve err	TENNST server		+0.1
14	7-7	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Melae Lacy		+0.2
15	7-8	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Melae Lacy		+0.1
16	8-8	TNTECH	TENNST	Attack err	Ava Schubert		+0.1
17	9-8	TENNST	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Jordan Imperial	+0.2
18	9-9	TENNST	TNTECH×4	Serve err	TENNST server		+0.1
19	9-10	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Attack err	Carsyn Stansberry		+0.1
20	9-11	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Melae Lacy	+0.1
21	9-12	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Attack err	Melae Lacy	blk Mallory Jenkins	+0.1
22	10-12	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Melae Lacy	set Triniti Jackson	+0.1
23	10-13	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Bella Lineberger	+0.1
24	11-13	TNTECH	TENNST×3	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Sydney Robinson	+0.1
25	12-13	TENNST	TENNST×3	Attack err	Ava Schubert	blk Gabrielle Washington, Sydney Robinson	+0.1
26	13-13	TENNST	TENNST×3	Attack err	Ava Schubert	blk Gabrielle Washington, Sydney Robinson	+0.2
27	13-14	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Ava Schubert	set Bella Lineberger	+0.1
28	13-15	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Sydney Robinson		+0.2
29	14-15	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson	+0.1
30	14-16	TENNST	TNTECH	Serve err	TENNST server		+0.1
31	14-17	TNTECH	TNTECH	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Sydni Poston	+0.1
32	15-17	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson	+0.1
33	15-18	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+0.1
34	16-18	TNTECH	TENNST	Serve err	TNTECH server		+0.1
35	17-18	TENNST	TENNST	Kill	Melae Lacy	set Triniti Jackson	+0.2
36	17-19	TENNST	TNTECH×3	Serve err	TENNST server		+0.2
37	17-20	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Mallory Jenkins	set Bella Lineberger	+0.2
38	17-21	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Bad set	Italya Carter		+0.1
39	18-21	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Triniti Jackson	set Bella Lineberger	+0.1
40	18-22	TENNST	TNTECH×3	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Bella Lineberger	+0.1
41	18-23	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Melae Lacy		+0.0
42	18-24	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Ava Schubert	set Mallory Jenkins	+0.0
43	19-24	TNTECH	TENNST	Attack err	Ava Schubert		+0.0
44	20-24	TENNST	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson	+0.0
45	20-25	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Bella Lineberger	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Triniti Jackson	+0.1
2	2-0	TENNST	TENNST	Attack err	Ava Schubert		+0.1
3	2-1	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.1
4	2-2	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Sydney Robinson		+0.1
5	3-2	TNTECH	TENNST	Serve err	TNTECH server		+0.1
6	3-3	TENNST	TNTECH×6	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
7	3-4	TNTECH	TNTECH×6	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Sydney Robinson	+0.1
8	3-5	TNTECH	TNTECH×6	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
9	3-6	TNTECH	TNTECH×6	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Sydni Poston	+0.0
10	3-7	TNTECH	TNTECH×6	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
11	3-8	TNTECH	TNTECH×6	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Jordan Imperial	+0.0
12	4-8	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson	+0.0
13	4-9	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
14	5-9	TNTECH	TENNST	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile		+0.0
15	5-10	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
16	6-10	TNTECH	TENNST	Attack err	Morgan Petelin		+0.0
17	6-11	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
18	7-11	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Triniti Jackson	+0.0
19	7-12	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Ava Schubert	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
20	8-12	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson	+0.0
21	8-13	TENNST	TNTECH	Serve err	TENNST server		+0.0
22	9-13	TNTECH	TENNST	Attack err	Ava Schubert		+0.0
23	10-13	TENNST	TENNST	Attack err	Ava Schubert	blk Gabriella Blevins, Sydney Robinson	+0.0
24	10-14	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
25	10-15	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
26	11-15	TNTECH	TENNST	Attack err	Alayna Pierce		+0.0
27	11-16	TENNST	TNTECH×5	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
28	11-17	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
29	11-18	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
30	11-19	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
31	11-20	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Attack err	Melae Lacy		+0.0
32	12-20	TNTECH	TENNST	Serve err	TNTECH server		+0.0
33	12-21	TENNST	TNTECH×5	Serve err	TENNST server		+0.0
34	12-22	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Jordan Imperial	+0.0
35	12-23	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Kill	Mallory Jenkins		+0.0
36	12-24	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Attack err	Carsyn Stansberry		+0.0
37	12-25	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	TENNST	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Wiktoria Jakubik	+0.0
2	1-1	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
3	1-2	TNTECH	TNTECH	Bad set	Triniti Jackson		+0.0
4	2-2	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson	+0.0
5	2-3	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
6	3-3	TNTECH	TENNST	Serve err	TNTECH server		+0.0
7	3-4	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
8	3-5	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Sydney Robinson		+0.0
9	4-5	TNTECH	TENNST	Serve err	TNTECH server		+0.0
10	4-6	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
11	4-7	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Ella Watford	+0.0
12	5-7	TNTECH	TENNST	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile	blk Savanna Moore, Gabriella Blevins	+0.0
13	5-8	TENNST	TNTECH×3	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
14	5-9	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Carsyn Stansberry		+0.0
15	5-10	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Jordan Imperial	+0.0
16	6-10	TNTECH	TENNST	Serve err	TNTECH server		+0.0
17	6-11	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Ava Schubert	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
18	7-11	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Italya Carter	+0.0
19	8-11	TENNST	TENNST	Attack err	Ava Schubert		+0.0
20	8-12	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
21	9-12	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Jordan Imperial	+0.0
22	9-13	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
23	10-13	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Sydni Poston	+0.0
24	11-13	TENNST	TENNST	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile	blk Wiktoria Jakubik, Gabriella Blevins	+0.0
25	11-14	TENNST	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
26	12-14	TNTECH	TENNST	Kill	Gabriella Blevins	set Triniti Jackson	+0.0
27	12-15	TENNST	TNTECH×4	Kill	Mallory Jenkins	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
28	12-16	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Kill	Ava Schubert	set Italya Carter	+0.0
29	12-17	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
30	12-18	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Kill	Ava Schubert	set Ella Watford	+0.0
31	13-18	TNTECH	TENNST	Attack err	Ava Schubert		+0.0
32	14-18	TENNST	TENNST	Ace	TENNST server	aced Alayna Pierce	+0.0
33	14-19	TENNST	TNTECH×5	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
34	14-20	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Kill	Ava Schubert		+0.0
35	14-21	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Kill	Ava Schubert	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0
36	14-22	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Attack err	Sydney Robinson	blk Mallory Jenkins	+0.0
37	14-23	TNTECH	TNTECH×5	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Italya Carter	+0.0
38	15-23	TNTECH	TENNST	Serve err	TNTECH server		+0.0
39	15-24	TENNST	TNTECH	Serve err	TENNST server		+0.0
40	15-25	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Mallory Jenkins	set Morgan Petelin	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.