FinalTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

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Sacred Heart def. FDU 3–0

(26-24, 25-19, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FDU	24	19	14	0
SACHRT	26	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SACHRT above 50 · FDU below

Biggest swing: 5.8% to FDU — set 1, FDU 24-23 SACHRT. Ryleigh Short stuffed by Isabella Scarfone & Alessia Zampieri. SACHRT win probability 88% → 82%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FDU 9.5%90.5% SACHRT

FDU wins

3-0

1.2%

3-1

2.9%

3-2

5.4%

Sacred Heart wins

3-0

45.3%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

13.6%

FDU break %: 39.4% vs this opp
SACHRT break %: 49.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ryleigh ShortAttack error+5.8%
Ryleigh Short stuffed by Isabella Scarfone & Alessia Zampieri
Set 1 · FDU 24-23 SACHRT · FDU 12% → 18%
02
Raissa AntonioKill+4.8%
Kill by Raissa Antonio
Set 1 · FDU 24-25 SACHRT · SACHRT 87% → 91%
03
Ryleigh ShortKill+4.7%
Kill by Ryleigh Short (set by Addy Franz)
Set 1 · FDU 24-24 SACHRT · SACHRT 82% → 87%
04
SACHRT serverAce+3.8%
Sacred Heart ace on Team
Set 1 · FDU 24-26 SACHRT · SACHRT 91% → 95%
05
FDU serverAce+3.7%
FDU ace on Sofia Hechavarria
Set 1 · FDU 23-23 SACHRT · FDU 9% → 12%
06
Ava DeGuzmanAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Ava DeGuzman
Set 1 · FDU 21-23 SACHRT · SACHRT 91% → 93%
07
Abbie HagedornAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Abbie Hagedorn
Set 1 · FDU 21-22 SACHRT · FDU 7% → 9%
08
SACHRT serverService error+1.6%
Sacred Heart service error
Set 1 · FDU 22-23 SACHRT · FDU 7% → 9%

Official NCAA box

Box score

FDUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Alessia ZampieriMB	3	5	0	8	.625	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	4.5	9.5
14Mila SamardzijaOH	3	7	3	32	.125	0	0	0	13	2	0	1	0.5	7.5
7Ava DeGuzmanOH	3	4	1	25	.120	1	0	2	6	1	0	5	2.5	6.5
16Angela MarchettoMB	3	4	2	15	.133	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
17Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez SanchezOH	3	2	2	18	.000	0	1	2	5	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
1Isabella ScarfoneS	3	0	0	2	.000	19	1	1	5	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
21Jelena JevticL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Madeline JoyceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	9	4	0	0	0	0
4Nina JasieckaOH	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Nora MargineanS	2	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Katarina TrutinaOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	8	101	.149	23	2	8	39	8	1	24	13	57

Sacred Hearthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Lauren HubertOH	3	19	5	38	.368	1	2	3	10	1	0	2	1	22
14Ryleigh ShortOH	3	11	4	31	.226	2	2	1	9	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
27Abbie HagedornOH	3	8	5	26	.115	0	1	1	11	0	0	0	0	9
16Molly NewtonMB	3	5	2	11	.273	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	7
6Addy FranzS	3	2	0	4	.500	32	1	3	17	0	0	0	0	3
11Raissa AntonioMB	3	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
5Miliani VillarrealL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	12	2	2	11	0	0	0	0	2
13Kelli EnnisDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Taylor PrattL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Sofia HechavarriaOH	1	3	3	11	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
9Kayla JonesOH	1	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		51	21	130	.231	47	8	11	62	2	1	6	4	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 FDU · SACHRT 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 3 FDUSACHRT 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 FDUSACHRT 3

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 FDUSACHRT 5

Bars above the line = Sacred Heart leads, below = FDU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

FDU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	27%3/11
2	54%7/13	11%1/9
3	47%7/15	36%4/11
4	50%6/12	42%5/12
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	50%6/12	0%0/6
All	54%40/74	29%17/59

Sacred Heart

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	42%5/12
2	78%7/9	46%6/13
3	54%7/13	53%8/15
4	70%7/10	50%7/14
5	67%6/9	45%5/11
6	86%6/7	33%3/9
All	71%42/59	46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

133 rallies

Rally log

#	FDU-SACHRT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU server	aced Lauren Hubert	+1.1
2	2-0	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Abbie Hagedorn	blk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Angela Marchetto	+1.2
3	2-1	FDU	SACHRT	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+0.9
4	3-1	SACHRT	FDU	Serve err	SACHRT server		+1.1
5	4-1	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Sofia Hechavarria		+1.4
6	4-2	FDU	SACHRT×3	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Miliani Villarreal	+1.0
7	4-3	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Ace	SACHRT server	aced Madeline Joyce	+1.2
8	4-4	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Kill	Sofia Hechavarria	set Addy Franz	+1.1
9	5-4	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.0
10	6-4	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Lauren Hubert	blk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman	+1.4
11	6-5	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+1.0
12	6-6	SACHRT	SACHRT	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+1.2
13	7-6	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.1
14	7-7	FDU	SACHRT×3	Kill	Sofia Hechavarria	set Addy Franz	+1.0
15	7-8	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Ace	SACHRT server	aced Mila Samardzija	+1.2
16	7-9	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+1.0
17	8-9	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.9
18	9-9	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Lauren Hubert	blk Alessia Zampieri	+1.3
19	9-10	FDU	SACHRT	Serve err	FDU server		+1.0
20	10-10	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.1
21	10-11	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Abbie Hagedorn	set Addy Franz	+1.0
22	11-11	SACHRT	FDU	Serve err	SACHRT server		+1.2
23	11-12	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+1.1
24	12-12	SACHRT	FDU	Attack err	Sofia Hechavarria	blk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Angela Marchetto	+1.2
25	12-13	FDU	SACHRT×3	Kill	Sofia Hechavarria	set Miliani Villarreal	+1.1
26	12-14	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Ace	SACHRT server	aced Madeline Joyce	+1.3
27	12-15	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+1.1
28	13-15	SACHRT	FDU	Attack err	Sofia Hechavarria	blk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Angela Marchetto	+0.8
29	13-16	FDU	SACHRT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.9
30	14-16	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.9
31	14-17	FDU	SACHRT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.9
32	15-17	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.9
33	15-18	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Addy Franz	set Miliani Villarreal	+1.0
34	16-18	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.9
35	16-19	FDU	SACHRT	Serve err	FDU server		+1.0
36	16-20	SACHRT	SACHRT	Kill	Abbie Hagedorn	set Miliani Villarreal	+1.0
37	17-20	SACHRT	FDU	Attack err	Abbie Hagedorn	blk Angela Marchetto, Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
38	17-21	FDU	SACHRT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.8
39	18-21	SACHRT	FDU	Attack err	Molly Newton		+0.6
40	18-22	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Molly Newton	set Addy Franz	+0.8
41	19-22	SACHRT	FDU×3	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.5
42	20-22	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Lauren Hubert	blk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman	+1.1
43	21-22	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Abbie Hagedorn		+2.0
44	21-23	FDU	SACHRT	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+2.1
45	22-23	SACHRT	FDU×3	Serve err	SACHRT server		+1.6
46	23-23	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU server	aced Sofia Hechavarria	+3.7
47	24-23	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Ryleigh Short	blk Isabella Scarfone, Alessia Zampieri	+5.8
48	24-24	FDU	SACHRT×3	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Addy Franz	+4.7
49	24-25	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Kill	Raissa Antonio		+4.8
50	24-26	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Ace	SACHRT server	aced Team	+3.8
Set 2
1	1-0	SACHRT	FDU	Attack err	Ryleigh Short	blk Angela Marchetto, Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
2	1-1	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Miliani Villarreal	+0.5
3	2-1	SACHRT	FDU	Serve err	SACHRT server		+0.6
4	2-2	FDU	SACHRT×3	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.6
5	2-3	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Ace	SACHRT server	aced Mila Samardzija	+0.7
6	2-4	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Kill	Kayla Jones	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
7	3-4	SACHRT	FDU	Serve err	SACHRT server		+0.5
8	3-5	FDU	SACHRT×3	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Addy Franz	+0.5
9	3-6	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Kill	Abbie Hagedorn	set Addy Franz	+0.5
10	3-7	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Miliani Villarreal	+0.4
11	4-7	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
12	4-8	FDU	SACHRT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.4
13	5-8	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.4
14	5-9	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Molly Newton	set Addy Franz	+0.4
15	5-10	SACHRT	SACHRT	Ace	SACHRT server	aced Madeline Joyce	+0.4
16	6-10	SACHRT	FDU	Serve err	SACHRT server		+0.3
17	7-10	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Molly Newton		+0.5
18	7-11	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Abbie Hagedorn	set Addy Franz	+0.4
19	7-12	SACHRT	SACHRT	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Miliani Villarreal	+0.4
20	8-12	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
21	8-13	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.3
22	8-14	SACHRT	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.3
23	9-14	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Ava DeGuzman	+0.2
24	10-14	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Abbie Hagedorn		+0.3
25	10-15	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Miliani Villarreal	+0.3
26	10-16	SACHRT	SACHRT	Attack err	Angela Marchetto		+0.3
27	11-16	SACHRT	FDU×4	Serve err	SACHRT server		+0.2
28	12-16	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Kayla Jones	blk Alessia Zampieri, Ava DeGuzman	+0.3
29	13-16	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Ryleigh Short		+0.5
30	14-16	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.7
31	14-17	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.6
32	15-17	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
33	16-17	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Kayla Jones		+1.0
34	16-18	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Abbie Hagedorn	set Addy Franz	+0.9
35	16-19	SACHRT	SACHRT	Kill	Molly Newton	set Addy Franz	+0.9
36	17-19	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
37	17-20	FDU	SACHRT×3	Kill	Molly Newton	set Addy Franz	+0.7
38	17-21	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Kill	Molly Newton		+0.7
39	17-22	SACHRT	SACHRT×3	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.4
40	18-22	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.2
41	18-23	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Addy Franz	set Ryleigh Short	+0.3
42	18-24	SACHRT	SACHRT	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Addy Franz	+0.1
43	19-24	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Nora Marginean	+0.0
44	19-25	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Abbie Hagedorn	set Addy Franz	+0.2
2	1-1	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
3	1-2	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Miliani Villarreal	+0.2
4	2-2	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
5	2-3	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.2
6	3-3	SACHRT	FDU	Attack err	Lauren Hubert	blk Ava DeGuzman, Alessia Zampieri	+0.3
7	3-4	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Addy Franz	+0.3
8	4-4	SACHRT	FDU	Attack err	Ryleigh Short	blk Ava DeGuzman, Alessia Zampieri	+0.3
9	5-4	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Lauren Hubert	blk Mila Samardzija, Alessia Zampieri	+0.4
10	5-5	FDU	SACHRT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.3
11	6-5	SACHRT	FDU	Serve err	SACHRT server		+0.3
12	6-6	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Abbie Hagedorn	set Addy Franz	+0.3
13	6-7	SACHRT	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Miliani Villarreal	+0.4
14	7-7	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
15	7-8	FDU	SACHRT×5	Attack err	Angela Marchetto	blk Molly Newton	+0.3
16	7-9	SACHRT	SACHRT×5	Ace	SACHRT server	aced Ava DeGuzman	+0.3
17	7-10	SACHRT	SACHRT×5	Attack err	Mila Samardzija	blk Ryleigh Short, Molly Newton	+0.3
18	7-11	SACHRT	SACHRT×5	Attack err	Mila Samardzija	blk Molly Newton, Lauren Hubert	+0.2
19	7-12	SACHRT	SACHRT×5	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.2
20	8-12	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.1
21	8-13	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Ryleigh Short	+0.1
22	8-14	SACHRT	SACHRT	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Miliani Villarreal	+0.1
23	9-14	SACHRT	FDU	Serve err	SACHRT server		+0.1
24	9-15	FDU	SACHRT×5	Attack err	Mila Samardzija	blk Raissa Antonio, Lauren Hubert	+0.1
25	9-16	SACHRT	SACHRT×5	Kill	Ryleigh Short	set Lauren Hubert	+0.1
26	9-17	SACHRT	SACHRT×5	Kill	Raissa Antonio	set Addy Franz	+0.1
27	9-18	SACHRT	SACHRT×5	Ace	SACHRT server	aced Madeline Joyce	+0.0
28	9-19	SACHRT	SACHRT×5	Bad set	Isabella Scarfone		+0.0
29	10-19	SACHRT	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Nora Marginean	+0.0
30	10-20	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Abbie Hagedorn	set Addy Franz	+0.0
31	11-20	SACHRT	FDU	Serve err	SACHRT server		+0.0
32	12-20	FDU	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+0.0
33	12-21	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.0
34	13-21	SACHRT	FDU	Attack err	Abbie Hagedorn		+0.0
35	13-22	FDU	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Miliani Villarreal	+0.0
36	13-23	SACHRT	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert	set Addy Franz	+0.0
37	14-23	SACHRT	FDU	Serve err	SACHRT server		+0.0
38	14-24	FDU	SACHRT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.0
39	14-25	SACHRT	SACHRT	Kill	Lauren Hubert		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, FDU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.