FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayMVC

3:0

HomeAMERICA-EAST

Illinois St. def. NJIT 3–0

(25-15, 25-18, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ILL ST	25	25	25	3
NJIT	15	18	13	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NJIT above 50 · ILL ST below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to NJIT — set 2, ILL ST 8-14 NJIT. Kill by Aries Fontaine (set by Finley McAndrew). NJIT win probability 3% → 3%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ILL ST 98.3%1.7% NJIT

Illinois St. wins

3-0

68.8%

3-1

24.2%

3-2

5.3%

NJIT wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.4%

3-2

1.1%

ILL ST break %: 52.0% vs this opp
NJIT break %: 35.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Aries FontaineKill+0.5%
Kill by Aries Fontaine (set by Finley McAndrew)
Set 2 · ILL ST 8-14 NJIT · NJIT 3% → 3%
02
Ella CraggsAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Ella Craggs
Set 2 · ILL ST 8-13 NJIT · NJIT 2% → 3%
03
Jillian GregoryAttack error+0.4%
Jillian Gregory stuffed by Aries Fontaine
Set 2 · ILL ST 8-12 NJIT · NJIT 2% → 2%
04
Jillian FerrillAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Jillian Ferrill
Set 2 · ILL ST 13-16 NJIT · NJIT 2% → 3%
05
ILL ST serverAce+0.4%
Illinois St. ace on Leah Devaraj
Set 2 · ILL ST 15-16 NJIT · ILL ST 98% → 98%
06
Leah DevarajKill+0.4%
Kill by Leah Devaraj (set by Finley McAndrew)
Set 2 · ILL ST 11-15 NJIT · NJIT 2% → 3%
07
Jillian FerrillKill+0.4%
Kill by Jillian Ferrill (set by Ella Craggs)
Set 2 · ILL ST 13-15 NJIT · ILL ST 98% → 98%
08
Sidney WrightKill+0.4%
Kill by Sidney Wright (set by Jillian Gregory)
Set 2 · ILL ST 16-16 NJIT · ILL ST 98% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Illinois St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Logan GrevengoedMB	3	7	0	14	.500	0	0	0	4	0	1	2	2	9
7Sidney WrightMB	3	6	2	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
1Ruth ZieglerOPP	3	6	1	10	.500	0	0	3	2	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
21Audrey ClarkS	3	0	0	0	–	15	3	2	5	0	0	0	0	3
10Oliwia CaputaOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	5	1	0	0	0	1
11Jillian GregoryOH	2	5	3	14	.143	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	5
14Jillian FerrillOH	3	14	1	22	.591	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
9Ella CraggsS	3	1	1	2	.000	14	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	3
5Samantha BunchS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	0
4Madison SmithL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Peyton TurnerDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
18Ayla KlingenbergMB	2	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	3
15Addisyn PohlMB	2	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
13Alaina KraemerOPP	2	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
2Emilija ArsicOH	1	3	0	5	.600	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
3Ella KohnenS	1	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		47	8	93	.419	41	7	9	36	3	5	8	9	75

NJIThome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Leah DevarajOH	3	8	5	18	.167	0	0	0	6	3	0	0	0	8
16Joaneliz MaisonetOH	3	5	3	15	.133	0	1	0	6	1	0	0	0	6
2Aries FontaineOH	3	4	3	18	.056	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
10Tereza MotalovaMB	3	2	1	7	.143	1	1	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Rowan SchreiberMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
18Finley McAndrewS	3	1	0	1	1.000	14	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
11Cece MarinoS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
3Ela AkayL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Mya Lei-ButtersL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	0
7Martina Gonzalo CortesOH	2	2	2	11	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
12Ema TorresOH	1	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		26	17	86	.105	25	3	4	29	7	1	2	2	46

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 ILL ST · NJIT 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 4 ILL STNJIT 2

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 9 ILL STNJIT 5

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 6 ILL STNJIT 2

Bars above the line = NJIT leads, below = Illinois St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Illinois St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	33%3/9
2	67%6/9	40%4/10
3	55%6/11	45%5/11
4	100%6/6	40%4/10
5	86%6/7	45%5/11
6	83%5/6	78%18/23
All	77%36/47	53%39/74

NJIT

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	14%1/7
2	67%6/9	33%3/9
3	46%6/13	45%5/11
4	67%6/9	14%1/7
5	33%6/18	0%0/6
6	33%5/15	14%1/7
All	47%35/74	23%11/47

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

121 rallies

Rally log

#	ILL ST-NJIT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory		+0.2
2	2-0	ILL ST	ILL ST	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Joaneliz Maisonet	+0.2
3	2-1	ILL ST	NJIT	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.2
4	2-2	NJIT	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Finley McAndrew	+0.3
5	3-2	NJIT	ILL ST	Attack err	Aries Fontaine	blk Sidney Wright	+0.2
6	3-3	ILL ST	NJIT	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.2
7	3-4	NJIT	NJIT	Kill	Rowan Schreiber		+0.3
8	4-4	NJIT	ILL ST×4	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+0.2
9	5-4	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Attack err	Leah Devaraj	blk Ruth Ziegler, Addisyn Pohl	+0.3
10	6-4	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Craggs	+0.2
11	7-4	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Mya Lei-Butters	+0.2
12	7-5	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+0.1
13	8-5	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Addisyn Pohl	set Ella Craggs	+0.1
14	8-6	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Cece Marino	+0.2
15	9-6	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Samantha Bunch	+0.1
16	10-6	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Craggs	+0.1
17	10-7	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Joaneliz Maisonet	set Cece Marino	+0.1
18	11-7	NJIT	ILL ST×4	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Ella Craggs	+0.1
19	12-7	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Audrey Clark	+0.1
20	13-7	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Attack err	Ema Torres	blk Jillian Ferrill, Sidney Wright	+0.1
21	14-7	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Audrey Clark	+0.1
22	14-8	ILL ST	NJIT	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.0
23	14-9	NJIT	NJIT	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+0.1
24	15-9	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Peyton Turner	+0.1
25	15-10	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Joaneliz Maisonet	set Finley McAndrew	+0.1
26	16-10	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+0.1
27	16-11	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Finley McAndrew	+0.1
28	17-11	NJIT	ILL ST	Serve err	NJIT server		+0.1
29	17-12	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Finley McAndrew	+0.1
30	18-12	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+0.1
31	19-12	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Samantha Bunch	+0.0
32	19-13	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Cece Marino	+0.0
33	20-13	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Craggs	+0.0
34	20-14	ILL ST	NJIT	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.0
35	21-14	NJIT	ILL ST×3	Kill	Addisyn Pohl	set Ella Craggs	+0.0
36	22-14	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Ema Torres		+0.0
37	23-14	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Cece Marino	+0.0
38	23-15	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Tereza Motalova	+0.0
39	24-15	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Audrey Clark	+0.0
40	25-15	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Madison Smith	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Audrey Clark	+0.1
2	1-1	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Joaneliz Maisonet	set Finley McAndrew	+0.1
3	1-2	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Sidney Wright		+0.2
4	2-2	NJIT	ILL ST	Attack err	Leah Devaraj	blk Ruth Ziegler	+0.1
5	2-3	ILL ST	NJIT	Attack err	Jillian Gregory	blk Tereza Motalova, Aries Fontaine	+0.2
6	3-3	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Ella Craggs	set Oliwia Caputa	+0.1
7	3-4	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Rowan Schreiber	set Finley McAndrew	+0.2
8	4-4	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+0.1
9	4-5	ILL ST	NJIT	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.2
10	5-5	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Ella Craggs	+0.1
11	5-6	ILL ST	NJIT	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.2
12	6-6	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Audrey Clark	+0.2
13	6-7	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Tereza Motalova	set Cece Marino	+0.2
14	7-7	NJIT	ILL ST	Serve err	NJIT server		+0.2
15	7-8	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Tereza Motalova	set Finley McAndrew	+0.2
16	7-9	NJIT	NJIT	Ace	NJIT server	aced Oliwia Caputa	+0.3
17	8-9	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+0.2
18	8-10	ILL ST	NJIT×5	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Finley McAndrew	+0.3
19	8-11	NJIT	NJIT×5	Ace	NJIT server	aced Jillian Gregory	+0.4
20	8-12	NJIT	NJIT×5	Attack err	Jillian Gregory	blk Aries Fontaine	+0.4
21	8-13	NJIT	NJIT×5	Attack err	Ella Craggs		+0.5
22	8-14	NJIT	NJIT×5	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+0.5
23	9-14	NJIT	ILL ST×3	Serve err	NJIT server		+0.2
24	10-14	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Rowan Schreiber	blk Ayla Klingenberg	+0.4
25	11-14	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Leah Devaraj		+0.4
26	11-15	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Finley McAndrew	+0.4
27	12-15	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Craggs	+0.3
28	13-15	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Craggs	+0.4
29	13-16	ILL ST	NJIT	Attack err	Jillian Ferrill		+0.4
30	14-16	NJIT	ILL ST×9	Attack err	Joaneliz Maisonet		+0.3
31	15-16	ILL ST	ILL ST×9	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Leah Devaraj	+0.4
32	16-16	ILL ST	ILL ST×9	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Jillian Gregory	+0.4
33	17-16	ILL ST	ILL ST×9	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Leah Devaraj	+0.4
34	18-16	ILL ST	ILL ST×9	Attack err	Joaneliz Maisonet	blk Logan Grevengoed, Sidney Wright	+0.3
35	19-16	ILL ST	ILL ST×9	Attack err	Joaneliz Maisonet	blk Logan Grevengoed	+0.2
36	20-16	ILL ST	ILL ST×9	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Peyton Turner	+0.1
37	21-16	ILL ST	ILL ST×9	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Audrey Clark	+0.1
38	22-16	ILL ST	ILL ST×9	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Leah Devaraj	+0.0
39	22-17	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Martina Gonzalo Cortes	set Cece Marino	+0.0
40	23-17	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Audrey Clark	+0.0
41	23-18	ILL ST	NJIT	Attack err	Jillian Gregory		+0.0
42	24-18	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Alaina Kraemer	set Audrey Clark	+0.0
43	25-18	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Audrey Clark	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	ILL ST	NJIT	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+0.1
2	1-1	NJIT	ILL ST×4	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Samantha Bunch	+0.1
3	2-1	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Attack err	Aries Fontaine	blk Ayla Klingenberg	+0.1
4	3-1	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Craggs	+0.0
5	4-1	ILL ST	ILL ST×4	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Finley McAndrew	+0.0
6	4-2	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Finley McAndrew	set Mya Lei-Butters	+0.0
7	5-2	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Ella Craggs	+0.0
8	6-2	ILL ST	ILL ST	Attack err	Leah Devaraj	blk Logan Grevengoed, Sidney Wright	+0.0
9	6-3	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+0.0
10	6-4	NJIT	NJIT	Ace	NJIT server	aced Team	+0.0
11	7-4	NJIT	ILL ST	Serve err	NJIT server		+0.0
12	7-5	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Rowan Schreiber	set Cece Marino	+0.0
13	8-5	NJIT	ILL ST×3	Kill	Logan Grevengoed	set Audrey Clark	+0.0
14	9-5	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Martina Gonzalo Cortes		+0.0
15	10-5	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Emilija Arsic	set Audrey Clark	+0.0
16	10-6	ILL ST	NJIT	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.0
17	11-6	NJIT	ILL ST×6	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Audrey Clark	+0.0
18	12-6	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Samantha Bunch	+0.0
19	13-6	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Attack err	Tereza Motalova		+0.0
20	14-6	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+0.0
21	15-6	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Mya Lei-Butters	+0.0
22	16-6	ILL ST	ILL ST×6	Attack err	Leah Devaraj		+0.0
23	16-7	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Martina Gonzalo Cortes	set Cece Marino	+0.0
24	17-7	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Emilija Arsic	set Ella Craggs	+0.0
25	17-8	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Joaneliz Maisonet	set Finley McAndrew	+0.0
26	18-8	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Craggs	+0.0
27	18-9	ILL ST	NJIT	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.0
28	19-9	NJIT	ILL ST	Attack err	Aries Fontaine		+0.0
29	20-9	ILL ST	ILL ST	Ace	ILL ST server	aced Team	+0.0
30	20-10	ILL ST	NJIT	Serve err	ILL ST server		+0.0
31	21-10	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Emilija Arsic	+0.0
32	22-10	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Alaina Kraemer	set Ella Kohnen	+0.0
33	22-11	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Cece Marino	+0.0
34	23-11	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Sidney Wright	set Ella Kohnen	+0.0
35	24-11	ILL ST	ILL ST	Attack err	Martina Gonzalo Cortes		+0.0
36	24-12	ILL ST	NJIT	Kill	Joaneliz Maisonet	set Mya Lei-Butters	+0.0
37	24-13	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Sidney Wright		+0.0
38	25-13	NJIT	ILL ST	Kill	Emilija Arsic	set Ella Kohnen	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Illinois St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.