Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Illinois St. def. UIC 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Illinois St. 71.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Illinois St. beat visiting UIC 3-1 (14-25, 25-21, 25-22, 25-20) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Emilija Arsic led Illinois St. with 12 kills; UIC's Gabi Peter had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
UIC252122201
ILL ST142525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ella Kohnen served 4 aces, and Illinois St. needed every one.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Illinois St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Illinois St. at 71%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · UIC 16–12 Illinois St.

    Down 12–16, Illinois St. scored 5 straight to lead 17–16. The match swung to Illinois St.

    Illinois St. 48% → 69%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · UIC 18–19 Illinois St.

    UIC scored 3 straight to turn an 18–19 deficit into a 21–19 lead.

    Illinois St. 70% → 51%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · UIC 21–19 Illinois St.

    4 straight Illinois St. points turned a 19–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead.

    Illinois St. 51% → 78%

Illinois St. above 50UIC belowMax swing 8.2%

UICIllinois St.

Sideout %
UIC 53.4·Illinois St. 53.9
Break %
UIC 46.1·Illinois St. 46.6
Hitting
UIC .185·Illinois St. .163
Longest run
UIC 4·Illinois St. 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Illinois St. above 50 · UIC below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.2% ILL STrally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.2% to Illinois St. — set 3, UIC 21-22 ILL ST. Kill by Ruth Ziegler (set by Ella Craggs). ILL ST win probability 63% → 71%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UIC 29.7%70.3% ILL ST

UIC wins

3-0
5.6%
3-1
10.4%
3-2
13.7%

Illinois St. wins

3-0
23.5%
3-1
27.0%
3-2
19.9%
UIC break %
40.1% vs this opp
ILL ST break %
44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ruth ZieglerKill+8.2%

    Kill by Ruth Ziegler (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 3 · UIC 21-22 ILL ST · ILL ST 63% → 71%

  2. 02
    Sasha PellettieriAttack error+7.5%

    Attack error by Sasha Pellettieri

    Set 3 · UIC 21-21 ILL ST · ILL ST 55% → 63%

  3. 03

    Kill by Jillian Gregory (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 3 · UIC 21-23 ILL ST · ILL ST 71% → 78%

  4. 04
    Gabi PeterKill+7.3%

    Kill by Gabi Peter (set by Paulina Ströh)

    Set 3 · UIC 21-19 ILL ST · UIC 42% → 49%

  5. 05
    UICAce+7.0%

    UIC ace on Jillian Gregory

    Set 3 · UIC 20-19 ILL ST · UIC 35% → 42%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jillian Gregory (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 3 · UIC 22-24 ILL ST · ILL ST 75% → 81%

  7. 07

    Ana Petrides stuffed by Jillian Ferrill & Addisyn Pohl

    Set 3 · UIC 16-17 ILL ST · ILL ST 64% → 69%

  8. 08
    Tamara KisicAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Tamara Kisic

    Set 3 · UIC 16-16 ILL ST · ILL ST 59% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UICaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415436.3060015102116
49527.148011111031.511.5
49216.43800000031.510.5
45317.118011200639
46521.04800060031.57.5
4000–1630400003
42312-.08300000010.52.5
27Ava YoungL/DS
4000–4011850000
4000–000420000
4000–2301600000
1001.000000100000
Team totals4622130.18543555711018988
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412636.1671019202113
411328.2860239200013
410631.12900020010.510.5
42210.000034102449
4125-.20000000031.52.5
4102.5002211400002
4000–110810001
4000–3001300000
3000–1841600004
3000–000200000
29417.29400000031.510.5
23312.00000000010.53.5
1000–301000000
Team totals4926141.163481111545214989

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UIC vs Illinois St.

Season series · Illinois St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UIC · ILL ST 7

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 4 UICILL ST 2

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 UICILL ST 7

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 UICILL ST 5

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 4 UICILL ST 4

Bars above the line = Illinois St. leads, below = UIC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UIC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
27%3/11
2
57%8/14
43%6/14
3
40%8/20
53%9/17
4
73%8/11
50%8/16
5
73%8/11
33%4/12
6
50%7/14
58%11/19
All
53%47/88
46%41/89

Illinois St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
90%9/10
56%9/16
2
42%8/19
33%4/12
3
53%8/15
58%11/19
4
62%8/13
50%8/16
5
42%8/19
20%2/10
6
54%7/13
47%7/15
All
54%48/89
47%41/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#UIC-ILL STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Ava Young+2.1
21-1ILL STUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+1.5
31-2UICILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs+1.5
42-2ILL STUICServe errIllinois St.+1.6
52-3UICILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+1.5
63-3ILL STUIC×3Serve errIllinois St.+1.6
74-3UICUIC×3Attack errRuth Ziegler+2.4
85-3UICUIC×3BlockedEmilija Arsicblk Nathàlia Souza da Silva, Ana Petrides+2.5
95-4UICILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+1.7
106-4ILL STUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+1.9
117-4UICUICAttack errLogan Grevengoed+2.6
127-5UICILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Audrey Clark+1.7
138-5ILL STUIC×3KillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+1.9
149-5UICUIC×3KillRobyn Wardset Paulina Ströh+2.6
1510-5UICUIC×3AceUICaced Samantha Bunch+2.4
1610-6UICILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+1.4
1711-6ILL STUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Paulina Ströh+1.8
1812-6UICUICKillRobyn Wardset Paulina Ströh+2.1
1912-7UICILL STBlockedGabi Peterblk Logan Grevengoed, Abby Reck+1.1
2012-8ILL STILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs+2.0
2113-8ILL STUICBlockedJillian Gregoryblk Sasha Pellettieri, Robyn Ward+1.8
2213-9UICILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+1.4
2314-9ILL STUIC×4KillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+1.8
2415-9UICUIC×4Attack errRuth Ziegler+2.1
2516-9UICUIC×4KillGabi Peterset Ava Young+1.6
2617-9UICUIC×4KillNathàlia Souza da Silvaset Mihaela Harizanova+1.1
2717-10UICILL STServe errUIC+0.5
2818-10ILL STUICServe errIllinois St.+0.7
2918-11UICILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+0.4
3019-11ILL STUICServe errIllinois St.+0.7
3119-12UICILL STServe errUIC+0.3
3220-12ILL STUIC×3KillNathàlia Souza da Silvaset Mihaela Harizanova+0.6
3321-12UICUIC×3Attack errAddisyn Pohl+0.4
3422-12UICUIC×3Attack errLogan Grevengoed+0.2
3522-13UICILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark·
3622-14ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Tamara Kisic+0.1
3723-14ILL STUIC×3KillSasha Pellettieriset Paulina Ströh+0.1
3824-14UICUIC×3AceUICaced Emilija Arsic·
3925-14UICUIC×3KillRobyn Wardset Paulina Ströh·
Set 2
10-1UICILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen+1.9
20-2ILL STILL STAttack errRobyn Ward+2.6
31-2ILL STUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+1.8
42-2UICUIC×3Attack errJillian Gregory+2.8
53-2UICUIC×3Attack errAbby Reck+3.1
63-3UICILL STServe errUIC+2.1
74-3ILL STUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.3
85-3UICUICKillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+3.3
95-4UICILL ST×7KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.2
105-5ILL STILL ST×7KillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+3.1
115-6ILL STILL ST×7KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+3.1
125-7ILL STILL ST×7BlockedNathàlia Souza da Silvablk Ruth Ziegler, Abby Reck+2.9
135-8ILL STILL ST×7Attack errGabi Peter+2.6
145-9ILL STILL ST×7Attack errGabi Peter+2.3
155-10ILL STILL ST×7AceIllinois St.aced Gabi Peter+1.9
166-10ILL STUICServe errIllinois St.+1.2
176-11UICILL STBad setMihaela Harizanova+1.4
187-11ILL STUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+1.2
197-12UICILL STKillElla Craggsset Peyton Turner+1.4
207-13ILL STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Kohnen+1.5
218-13ILL STUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+0.9
228-14UICILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Kohnen+1.1
238-15ILL STILL STAttack errTamara Kisic+1.1
249-15ILL STUICServe errIllinois St.+0.5
259-16UICILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen+0.7
2610-16ILL STUICKillGabi Peterset Ava Young+0.5
2710-17UICILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen+0.7
2811-17ILL STUIC×3Attack errRuth Ziegler+0.5
2912-17UICUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.0
3013-17UICUIC×3Attack errRuth Ziegler+1.5
3113-18UICILL STBlockedAna Petridesblk Abby Reck+1.4
3213-19ILL STILL STAttack errNathàlia Souza da Silva+1.3
3314-19ILL STUICServe errIllinois St.+0.6
3414-20UICILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.9
3515-20ILL STUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+0.5
3616-20UICUICKillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+1.2
3716-21UICILL ST×3KillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+1.3
3816-22ILL STILL ST×3Attack errTamara Kisic+1.0
3916-23ILL STILL ST×3AceIllinois St.+0.4
4017-23ILL STUIC×4KillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+0.1
4118-23UICUIC×4BlockedEmilija Arsicblk Sasha Pellettieri, Robyn Ward+0.3
4219-23UICUIC×4AceUICaced Emilija Arsic+0.6
4320-23UICUIC×4BlockedLogan Grevengoedblk Tamara Kisic, Robyn Ward+1.2
4420-24UICILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Kohnen+1.6
4521-24ILL STUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Ava Young+0.5
4621-25UICILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen+1.1
Set 3
10-1ILL STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+3.0
20-2ILL STILL STBlockedSasha Pellettieriblk Emilija Arsic, Abby Reck+2.8
31-2ILL STUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Emilija Arsic+2.0
41-3UICILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+2.0
52-3ILL STUICServe errIllinois St.+2.0
63-3UICUICAttack errRuth Ziegler+3.2
73-4UICILL STAttack errNathàlia Souza da Silva+2.2
83-5ILL STILL STAttack errTamara Kisic+3.0
94-5ILL STUIC×3Attack errEmilija Arsic+2.1
105-5UICUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+3.3
116-5UICUIC×3KillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+3.6
126-6UICILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.5
136-7ILL STILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Peyton Turner+3.4
147-7ILL STUICKillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+2.5
157-8UICILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.5
168-8ILL STUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.6
179-8UICUIC×3KillRobyn Wardset Paulina Ströh+3.9
1810-8UICUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+4.1
1910-9UICILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.7
2011-9ILL STUICKillRobyn Wardset Paulina Ströh+3.1
2111-10UICILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.8
2211-11ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Ava Young+4.1
2312-11ILL STUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+3.2
2413-11UICUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Ava Young+4.6
2513-12UICILL STAttack errSasha Pellettieri+3.0
2614-12ILL STUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+3.5
2715-12UICUIC×3Attack errEmilija Arsic+4.7
2816-12UICUIC×3KillAna Petrides+4.3
2916-13UICILL ST×5KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.4
3016-14ILL STILL ST×5KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+4.1
3116-15ILL STILL ST×5KillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch+4.7
3216-16ILL STILL ST×5Attack errTamara Kisic+5.1
3316-17ILL STILL ST×5BlockedAna Petridesblk Jillian Ferrill, Addisyn Pohl+5.2
3417-17ILL STUICBlockedEmilija Arsicblk Ana Petrides, Tamara Kisic+3.8
3517-18UICILL STAttack errAna Petrides+3.9
3618-18ILL STUICBlockedJillian Ferrillblk Ana Petrides, Gabi Peter+4.0
3718-19UICILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+4.2
3819-19ILL STUIC×3KillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+4.3
3920-19UICUIC×3AceUICaced Jillian Gregory+7.0
4021-19UICUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+7.3
4121-20UICILL ST×4KillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen+4.2
4221-21ILL STILL ST×4Attack errSasha Pellettieri+7.5
4321-22ILL STILL ST×4KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+8.2
4421-23ILL STILL ST×4KillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs+7.5
4522-23ILL STUICServe errIllinois St.+3.8
4622-24UICILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs+6.1
4722-25ILL STILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+4.4
Set 4
10-1UICILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+1.8
21-1ILL STUIC×4Attack errEmilija Arsic+1.9
32-1UICUIC×4BlockedRuth Zieglerblk Tamara Kisic, Ana Petrides+2.8
43-1UICUIC×4KillSasha Pellettieriset Samantha Bunch+2.9
54-1UICUIC×4BlockedAddisyn Pohlblk Ana Petrides, Sasha Pellettieri+3.0
64-2UICILL ST×4Attack errSasha Pellettieri+1.9
74-3ILL STILL ST×4AceElla Kohnenaced Lianna Ortiz+2.8
84-4ILL STILL ST×4AceElla Kohnenaced Ava Young+2.8
94-5ILL STILL ST×4KillAddisyn Pohlset Ella Kohnen+2.8
105-5ILL STUICServe errElla Kohnen+2.0
115-6UICILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Kohnen+2.0
126-6ILL STUIC×3Attack errJillian Gregory+2.1
137-6UICUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+3.2
148-6UICUIC×3Attack errJillian Ferrill+3.3
158-7UICILL STServe errTamara Kisic+2.2
169-7ILL STUICAttack errAbby Reck+2.5
179-8UICILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Emilija Arsic+2.2
1810-8ILL STUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.5
1910-9UICILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.3
2011-9ILL STUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Paulina Ströh+2.6
2111-10UICILL ST×4Serve errGabi Peter+2.4
2211-11ILL STILL ST×4AceAbby Reckaced Ava Young+3.5
2311-12ILL STILL ST×4AceAbby Reck+3.5
2411-13ILL STILL ST×4AceAbby Reckaced Lianna Ortiz+3.3
2512-13ILL STUICServe errAbby Reck+2.3
2612-14UICILL ST×4BlockedSasha Pellettieriblk Addisyn Pohl, Emilija Arsic+2.4
2712-15ILL STILL ST×4AceElla Kohnenaced Ava Young+3.0
2812-16ILL STILL ST×4KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.5
2912-17ILL STILL ST×4BlockedTamara Kisicblk Jillian Ferrill, Addisyn Pohl+1.9
3013-17ILL STUICAttack errJillian Ferrill+1.0
3113-18UICILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Kohnen+1.3
3214-18ILL STUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+1.0
3315-18UICUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.0
3416-18UICUIC×3BlockedJillian Ferrillblk Ana Petrides, Gabi Peter+2.8
3516-19UICILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Peyton Turner+2.5
3616-20ILL STILL ST×3BlockedGabi Peterblk Abby Reck, Jillian Ferrill+2.6
3716-21ILL STILL ST×3Bad setMihaela Harizanova+1.7
3817-21ILL STUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+0.7
3918-21UICUIC×3AceAna Petridesaced Jillian Gregory+1.7
4019-21UICUIC×3KillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+2.8
4119-22UICILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.8
4220-22ILL STUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.9
4320-23UICILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.9
4420-24ILL STILL ST×3KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+2.2
4520-25ILL STILL ST×3BlockedRobyn Wardblk Abby Reck+0.6

Score shown after each rally, UIC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).