Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Volleyball: Cal Poly Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Cal Poly 83.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cal Poly won at UC San Diego 3-0 (25-21, 25-23, 25-14) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Cal Poly's Emma Fredrick led with 18 kills, and Alexis Haury added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CALPLY	25	25	25	3
UCSD	21	23	14	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

18 kills in 3 sets for Emma Fredrick. Cal Poly swept UC San Diego.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.2 points, and UC San Diego's high was 26% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Cal Poly went in as RallyIQ's 83% pick.

Cal PolyUC San Diego

Break %+14.7 pts
48.633.9
Points won on own serve: 36 of 74 vs 20 of 59. UC San Diego sided out 51.4% of the time.
Hitting+.213
.298.085
Kills and errors: 43–12 vs 34–24.
Longest run+1
65
Down 3–6 in the third set, Cal Poly scored 6 straight to lead 9–6. Final score of the set: 25–14.

UC San Diego above 50Cal Poly belowMax swing 4.2%

Cal PolyUC San Diego

Aces: Cal Poly 1·UC San Diego 3
Serve err: Cal Poly 9·UC San Diego 7
Blocks: Cal Poly 15·UC San Diego 31 BS · 28 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Cal Poly 47·UC San Diego 40

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UC San Diego above 50 · Cal Poly below

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Cal Poly — set 2, CALPLY 25-23 UCSD. Kill by Chloe Leluge. UCSD win probability 7% → 3%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALPLY 84.4%15.6% UCSD

Cal Poly wins

3-0

36.4%

3-1

31.2%

3-2

16.8%

UC San Diego wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-2

8.2%

CALPLY break %: 44.0% vs this opp
UCSD break %: 36.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Chloe LelugeKill+4.2%
Kill by Chloe Leluge
Set 2 · CALPLY 25-23 UCSD · CALPLY 93% → 97%
02
Emma FredrickKill+4.0%
Kill by Emma Fredrick (set by Alexis Haury)
Set 1 · CALPLY 21-20 UCSD · CALPLY 80% → 84%
03
Madison JohnsonAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Madison Johnson
Set 1 · CALPLY 20-20 UCSD · CALPLY 76% → 80%
04
Molly McCluskeyKill+3.8%
Kill by Molly McCluskey (set by Brynne McGhie)
Set 1 · CALPLY 17-19 UCSD · UCSD 22% → 25%
05
UC San DiegoAce+3.8%
UC San Diego ace on Elif Hurriyet
Set 2 · CALPLY 23-23 UCSD · UCSD 7% → 10%
06
Alexis Haury&Breklyn PullingBlock+3.5%
Gia Rivera stuffed by Alexis Haury & Breklyn Pulling
Set 1 · CALPLY 22-20 UCSD · CALPLY 84% → 88%
07
UC San DiegoService error+3.3%
UC San Diego service error
Set 2 · CALPLY 24-23 UCSD · CALPLY 90% → 93%
08
Lucia Barroso&Molly McCluskeyBlock+3.0%
Kendall Beshear stuffed by Lucia Barroso & Molly McCluskey
Set 1 · CALPLY 13-15 UCSD · UCSD 20% → 23%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Cal Polyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Emma FredrickOH	3	18	4	37	.378	2	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	18.5
13Kendall BeshearOH	3	9	3	33	.182	0	0	5	6	1	0	4	2	11
12Breklyn PullingMB	3	6	2	11	.364	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	9.5
2Chloe LelugeMB	3	4	2	10	.200	0	0	0	2	0	0	9	4.5	8.5
16Kayla MurdochOH	3	3	1	8	.250	1	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
8Alexis HauryS	3	3	0	5	.600	34	0	1	12	0	0	4	2	5
21Elif HurriyetL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	10	1	0	0	0	1
53Ella ScottL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Noelle VanachtL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	12	104	.298	41	1	9	47	3	1	28	15	75

UC San Diegohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Molly McCluskeyOH	3	9	5	24	.167	1	1	1	14	0	1	0.5	10.5
7Madison JohnsonMB	3	7	2	17	.294	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
8Kylie ParkerOH	3	5	6	19	-.053	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	5
23Lucia BarrosoMB	3	1	1	7	.000	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
5Dillyn GriffinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	3	0	0	0	1
13Marleena CatalanS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
4Brynne McGhieS	3	3	0	5	.600	21	0	0	5	0	1	0.5	3.5
30Hayden ShanafeltDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
9Paulina BaillieDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	6	0	0	0	0
11Katelyn HernandezOH	2	5	5	24	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
21Gia Rivera	2	4	5	21	-.048	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
3Kaliya NdiayeMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Jaedyn HoustonDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	24	118	.085	31	3	7	40	1	6	3	58

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CALPLY · UCSD 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 CALPLYUCSD 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 CALPLYUCSD 5

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 6 CALPLYUCSD 2

Bars above the line = UC San Diego leads, below = Cal Poly leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cal Poly

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	22%2/9
2	70%7/10	46%6/13
3	54%7/13	22%2/9
4	64%7/11	53%8/15
5	71%5/7	69%11/16
6	71%5/7	58%7/12
All	66%39/59	49%36/74

UC San Diego

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	25%2/8
2	88%7/8	22%2/9
3	78%7/9	50%7/14
4	41%7/17	46%6/13
5	28%5/18	13%1/8
6	56%5/9	29%2/7
All	51%38/74	34%20/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#	CALPLY-UCSD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CALPLY	CALPLY	Blocked	Molly McCluskey	blk Kendall Beshear, Chloe Leluge	+1.5
2	1-1	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Kylie Parker	set Marleena Catalan	+1.1
3	2-1	UCSD	CALPLY	Blocked	Molly McCluskey	blk Chloe Leluge, Kendall Beshear	+1.0
4	2-2	CALPLY	UCSD	Serve err	Kendall Beshear		+1.1
5	3-2	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.1
6	3-3	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Kylie Parker	set Paulina Baillie	+1.1
7	3-4	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Emma Fredrick		+1.9
8	4-4	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.2
9	5-4	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Alexis Haury	set Elif Hurriyet	+1.7
10	5-5	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne McGhie	+1.2
11	6-5	UCSD	CALPLY	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Alexis Haury, Breklyn Pulling	+1.1
12	6-6	CALPLY	UCSD	Serve err	Emma Fredrick		+1.2
13	7-6	UCSD	CALPLY	Serve err	UC San Diego		+1.2
14	7-7	CALPLY	UCSD	Attack err	Chloe Leluge		+1.3
15	8-7	UCSD	CALPLY	Blocked	Kylie Parker	blk Chloe Leluge, Alexis Haury	+1.2
16	8-8	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Kylie Parker	set Marleena Catalan	+1.3
17	9-8	UCSD	CALPLY	Serve err	UC San Diego		+1.3
18	9-9	CALPLY	UCSD	Serve err	Kendall Beshear		+1.4
19	9-10	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Emma Fredrick		+2.3
20	10-10	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Kayla Murdoch	+1.4
21	10-11	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Brynne McGhie	+1.6
22	10-12	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne McGhie	+2.6
23	11-12	UCSD	CALPLY	Serve err	UC San Diego		+1.5
24	12-12	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Alexis Haury	set Elif Hurriyet	+2.4
25	12-13	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne McGhie	+1.8
26	13-13	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.6
27	13-14	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Brynne McGhie	set Gia Rivera	+1.9
28	13-15	UCSD	UCSD	Blocked	Kendall Beshear	blk Lucia Barroso, Molly McCluskey	+3.0
29	14-15	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+1.7
30	15-15	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Alexis Haury	set Elif Hurriyet	+2.8
31	15-16	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Paulina Baillie	+2.1
32	16-16	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.9
33	16-17	CALPLY	UCSD	Attack err	Kendall Beshear		+2.2
34	17-17	UCSD	CALPLY	Blocked	Kylie Parker	blk Chloe Leluge, Kayla Murdoch	+2.0
35	17-18	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+2.4
36	17-19	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Brynne McGhie	+3.8
37	18-19	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+2.1
38	18-20	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Kylie Parker	set Brynne McGhie	+2.8
39	19-20	UCSD	CALPLY×4	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+2.2
40	20-20	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Attack err	Madison Johnson		+3.9
41	21-20	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+4.0
42	22-20	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Alexis Haury, Breklyn Pulling	+3.5
43	22-21	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne McGhie	+1.9
44	23-21	UCSD	CALPLY×3	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+2.5
45	24-21	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Gia Rivera		+2.4
46	25-21	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Molly McCluskey	blk Breklyn Pulling, Kendall Beshear	+0.8
Set 2
1	1-0	UCSD	CALPLY×3	Serve err	UC San Diego		+0.7
2	2-0	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Lucia Barroso		+1.0
3	3-0	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Kylie Parker	blk Kayla Murdoch, Chloe Leluge	+0.9
4	3-1	CALPLY	UCSD	Serve err	Kendall Beshear		+0.6
5	4-1	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+0.6
6	4-2	CALPLY	UCSD×5	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.6
7	4-3	UCSD	UCSD×5	Attack err	Emma Fredrick		+1.1
8	4-4	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Kylie Parker		+1.3
9	4-5	UCSD	UCSD×5	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Kendall Beshear	+1.4
10	4-6	UCSD	UCSD×5	Blocked	Emma Fredrick	blk Madison Johnson, Brynne McGhie	+1.6
11	5-6	UCSD	CALPLY	Attack err	Kylie Parker		+0.9
12	5-7	CALPLY	UCSD	Attack err	Breklyn Pulling		+1.1
13	6-7	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.0
14	7-7	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+1.5
15	7-8	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne McGhie	+1.1
16	7-9	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Katelyn Hernandez	set Brynne McGhie	+1.7
17	8-9	UCSD	CALPLY×4	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Emma Fredrick	+1.0
18	9-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Emma Fredrick	+1.6
19	10-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Kendall Beshear		+1.5
20	11-9	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Chloe Leluge	set Alexis Haury	+1.4
21	11-10	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Katelyn Hernandez	set Brynne McGhie	+0.9
22	12-10	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.9
23	13-10	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Katelyn Hernandez		+1.2
24	13-11	CALPLY	UCSD	Serve err	Alexis Haury		+0.7
25	14-11	UCSD	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Kylie Parker	blk Chloe Leluge, Kayla Murdoch	+0.8
26	15-11	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Kylie Parker	blk Kayla Murdoch, Chloe Leluge	+1.0
27	16-11	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+0.7
28	16-12	CALPLY	UCSD	Serve err	Kendall Beshear		+0.4
29	17-12	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.5
30	17-13	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Dillyn Griffin	+0.4
31	18-13	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.5
32	18-14	CALPLY	UCSD×5	Serve err	Noelle Vanacht		+0.3
33	18-15	UCSD	UCSD×5	Blocked	Breklyn Pulling	blk Katelyn Hernandez, Madison Johnson	+0.8
34	18-16	UCSD	UCSD×5	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Noelle Vanacht	+1.2
35	18-17	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Katelyn Hernandez	set Brynne McGhie	+1.7
36	18-18	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Brynne McGhie	set Molly McCluskey	+2.3
37	19-18	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+1.6
38	20-18	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+2.2
39	20-19	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Brynne McGhie	set Paulina Baillie	+1.3
40	21-19	UCSD	CALPLY	Serve err	UC San Diego		+1.5
41	22-19	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Chloe Leluge	set Alexis Haury	+1.7
42	22-20	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Katelyn Hernandez	set Brynne McGhie	+0.8
43	22-21	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Brynne McGhie	+2.0
44	23-21	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+1.9
45	23-22	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Brynne McGhie	+1.4
46	23-23	UCSD	UCSD	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Elif Hurriyet	+3.8
47	24-23	UCSD	CALPLY	Serve err	UC San Diego		+3.3
48	25-23	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Chloe Leluge		+4.2
Set 3
1	0-1	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne McGhie	+0.4
2	0-2	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson		+0.7
3	1-2	UCSD	CALPLY	Blocked	Molly McCluskey	blk Chloe Leluge, Kendall Beshear	+0.4
4	1-3	CALPLY	UCSD	Attack err	Chloe Leluge		+0.5
5	1-4	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Kayla Murdoch		+0.7
6	2-4	UCSD	CALPLY	Serve err	UC San Diego		+0.4
7	2-5	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne McGhie	+0.5
8	3-5	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.4
9	3-6	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Katelyn Hernandez	set Brynne McGhie	+0.5
10	4-6	UCSD	CALPLY×6	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.5
11	5-6	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+0.7
12	6-6	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Attack err	Katelyn Hernandez		+0.7
13	7-6	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+0.7
14	8-6	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.6
15	9-6	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Blocked	Molly McCluskey	blk Breklyn Pulling	+0.5
16	9-7	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Lucia Barroso	set Brynne McGhie	+0.3
17	10-7	UCSD	CALPLY×3	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury	+0.3
18	11-7	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Ace	Elif Hurriyet	aced Kylie Parker	+0.4
19	12-7	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.3
20	12-8	CALPLY	UCSD	Serve err	Elif Hurriyet		+0.2
21	12-9	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Kendall Beshear		+0.4
22	13-9	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.3
23	13-10	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Brynne McGhie	+0.3
24	13-11	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne McGhie	+0.5
25	14-11	UCSD	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	+0.4
26	15-11	CALPLY	CALPLY	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Chloe Leluge, Kayla Murdoch	+0.5
27	15-12	CALPLY	UCSD	Serve err	Kendall Beshear		+0.3
28	16-12	UCSD	CALPLY×3	Kill	Chloe Leluge	set Alexis Haury	+0.3
29	17-12	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Ella Scott	+0.3
30	18-12	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Gia Rivera		+0.2
31	18-13	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Brynne McGhie	+0.1
32	19-13	UCSD	CALPLY×4	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury	+0.1
33	20-13	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Blocked	Madison Johnson	blk Breklyn Pulling, Emma Fredrick	+0.1
34	21-13	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury	+0.1
35	22-13	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Attack err	Katelyn Hernandez		·
36	22-14	CALPLY	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Brynne McGhie	·
37	23-14	UCSD	CALPLY×3	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury	·
38	24-14	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Katelyn Hernandez		·
39	25-14	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Katelyn Hernandez	blk Breklyn Pulling, Alexis Haury	·

Score shown after each rally, Cal Poly first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Cal Poly def. UC San Diego 3–0

18 kills in 3 sets for Emma Fredrick. Cal Poly swept UC San Diego.