FinalTue, Sep 1, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

3:0

HomeSEC

Rutgers def. Arkansas 3–0

(25-19, 25-20, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
RUTGER	25	25	25	3
ARK	19	20	16	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ARK above 50 · RUTGER below

Biggest swing: 5.1% to Rutgers — set 1, RUTGER 20-18 ARK. Rutgers ace on Gaby Cornier. ARK win probability 61% → 56%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

RUTGER 33.1%66.9% ARK

Rutgers wins

3-0

6.6%

3-1

11.8%

3-2

14.7%

Arkansas wins

3-0

21.2%

3-1

25.7%

3-2

20.0%

RUTGER break %: 37.9% vs this opp
ARK break %: 41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
RUTGER serverAce+5.1%
Rutgers ace on Gaby Cornier
Set 1 · RUTGER 20-18 ARK · RUTGER 39% → 44%
02
Malia RomesKill+4.9%
Kill by Malia Romes (set by Kenzie Dyrstad)
Set 1 · RUTGER 19-18 ARK · RUTGER 34% → 39%
03
Parker DuncanAttack error+4.5%
Attack error by Parker Duncan
Set 1 · RUTGER 21-18 ARK · RUTGER 44% → 49%
04
Skylar GeorgeKill+4.3%
Kill by Skylar George (set by Lily Bolen)
Set 1 · RUTGER 18-18 ARK · RUTGER 30% → 34%
05
Imani HowellKill+4.0%
Kill by Imani Howell (set by Brooke Baldwin)
Set 2 · RUTGER 21-17 ARK · RUTGER 71% → 75%
06
RUTGER serverAce+3.9%
Rutgers ace on Gaby Cornier
Set 2 · RUTGER 12-9 ARK · RUTGER 62% → 66%
07
Parker DuncanKill+3.9%
Kill by Parker Duncan (set by Kiki Remensperger)
Set 1 · RUTGER 15-16 ARK · ARK 65% → 69%
08
Aspen MaxwellAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Aspen Maxwell
Set 1 · RUTGER 16-18 ARK · ARK 69% → 72%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Rutgersaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
16Imani HowellMB	3	8	0	11	.727	0	2	1	2	0	2	1	11
8Skylar GeorgeOH	3	9	3	24	.250	2	0	1	4	2	0	0	9
0Aspen MaxwellOH	3	8	2	16	.375	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
9Natalie RobinsonMB	3	8	1	12	.583	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	9
4Karis WillowOH	3	5	4	15	.067	0	3	3	5	0	1	0.5	8.5
12Brooke BaldwinS	3	0	0	0	–	18	1	4	6	0	0	0	1
22Malia RomesMB	3	6	2	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
11Lily BolenS	3	0	0	0	–	19	2	1	6	0	0	0	2
3Kenzie DyrstadL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	13	1	0	0	1
10Kaila Kalama-BajetL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0
7Kami DyrstadL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	12	93	.344	41	9	10	41	5	8	4	75

Arkansashome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
30Romani ThurmanOPP	3	6	1	14	.357	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
16Layla SmithMB	3	3	0	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
13Kiki RemenspergerS	3	0	0	0	–	24	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	4
23Aleki AlexanderMB	3	1	1	7	.000	0	1	1	3	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
21Parker DuncanOH	2	5	4	19	.053	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	5
25Lakin LaurendineOH	1	2	2	13	.000	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	2
15Gaby CornierL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	5	3	0	0	0	1
6Madi BenneL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	11	2	0	0	0	0
18Paisley PavliskaOH	2	5	3	13	.154	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	5
1Laci BohannanOH	2	4	2	17	.118	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
22Ava RothL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
11Elsie LawMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		27	13	92	.152	27	5	9	32	9	1	8	5	55

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 RUTGER · ARK 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 6 RUTGERARK 6

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 RUTGERARK 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 5 RUTGERARK 3

Bars above the line = Arkansas leads, below = Rutgers leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Rutgers

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	46%6/13
2	70%7/10	50%7/14
3	86%6/7	65%11/17
4	60%6/10	54%7/13
5	33%5/15	50%5/10
6	100%5/5	29%2/7
All	66%37/56	51%38/74

Arkansas

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	14%1/7
2	50%6/12	11%1/9
3	33%6/18	25%2/8
4	55%6/11	33%3/9
5	50%5/10	45%5/11
6	71%5/7	58%7/12
All	49%36/74	34%19/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	RUTGER-ARK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+2.5
2	2-0	RUTGER	RUTGER	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Lakin Laurendine	+2.6
3	2-1	RUTGER	ARK	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.6
4	3-1	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.7
5	3-2	RUTGER	ARK	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.6
6	4-2	ARK	RUTGER×6	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.8
7	5-2	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Madi Benne	+2.7
8	6-2	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Skylar George	+2.6
9	7-2	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Skylar George	+2.4
10	8-2	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Parker Duncan	+2.1
11	9-2	RUTGER	RUTGER×6	Kill	Natalie Robinson		+1.8
12	9-3	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Lakin Laurendine	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.9
13	10-3	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.2
14	10-4	RUTGER	ARK×3	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.8
15	10-5	ARK	ARK×3	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.6
16	10-6	ARK	ARK×3	Ace	ARK server	aced Kaila Kalama-Bajet	+2.0
17	11-6	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+1.7
18	11-7	RUTGER	ARK×6	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.3
19	11-8	ARK	ARK×6	Ace	ARK server	aced Kenzie Dyrstad	+2.4
20	11-9	ARK	ARK×6	Attack err	Malia Romes		+2.8
21	11-10	ARK	ARK×6	Ace	ARK server	aced Skylar George	+3.0
22	11-11	ARK	ARK×6	Attack err	Karis Willow	blk Romani Thurman, Layla Smith	+3.2
23	11-12	ARK	ARK×6	Ace	ARK server	aced Skylar George	+3.2
24	12-12	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+2.1
25	12-13	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.2
26	13-13	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Lily Bolen	+2.2
27	14-13	RUTGER	RUTGER	Attack err	Lakin Laurendine		+3.7
28	14-14	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Layla Smith	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.3
29	15-14	ARK	RUTGER	Attack err	Lakin Laurendine		+2.6
30	15-15	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.4
31	15-16	ARK	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Kiki Remensperger	+3.9
32	16-16	ARK	RUTGER	Serve err	ARK server		+2.5
33	16-17	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Lakin Laurendine	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.6
34	16-18	ARK	ARK	Attack err	Aspen Maxwell		+3.8
35	17-18	ARK	RUTGER×5	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+2.3
36	18-18	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Skylar George	set Lily Bolen	+4.3
37	19-18	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Malia Romes	set Kenzie Dyrstad	+4.9
38	20-18	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Gaby Cornier	+5.1
39	21-18	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+4.5
40	21-19	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Aleki Alexander	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.0
41	22-19	ARK	RUTGER×4	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+3.1
42	23-19	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+3.1
43	24-19	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+1.4
44	25-19	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Kill	Karis Willow	set Kenzie Dyrstad	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	ARK	RUTGER	Attack err	Parker Duncan		+2.0
2	1-1	RUTGER	ARK	Attack err	Skylar George		+1.9
3	2-1	ARK	RUTGER	Serve err	ARK server		+2.0
4	3-1	RUTGER	RUTGER	Attack err	Romani Thurman		+3.2
5	3-2	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Layla Smith	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.0
6	4-2	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+2.2
7	5-2	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Lily Bolen	+3.3
8	5-3	RUTGER	ARK×3	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.9
9	5-4	ARK	ARK×3	Attack err	Skylar George	blk Aleki Alexander, Kiki Remensperger	+3.2
10	5-5	ARK	ARK×3	Kill	Laci Bohannan	set Kiki Remensperger	+3.3
11	6-5	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+2.3
12	7-5	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+3.5
13	7-6	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Laci Bohannan	set Madi Benne	+2.1
14	7-7	ARK	ARK	Attack err	Karis Willow	blk Kiki Remensperger, Aleki Alexander	+3.4
15	8-7	ARK	RUTGER	Attack err	Parker Duncan	blk Malia Romes, Natalie Robinson	+2.4
16	9-7	RUTGER	RUTGER	Attack err	Aleki Alexander	blk Karis Willow, Imani Howell	+3.7
17	9-8	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Parker Duncan	set Madi Benne	+2.3
18	10-8	ARK	RUTGER	Serve err	ARK server		+2.6
19	10-9	RUTGER	ARK	Serve err	RUTGER server		+2.3
20	11-9	ARK	RUTGER×3	Kill	Karis Willow	set Brooke Baldwin	+2.6
21	12-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Gaby Cornier	+3.9
22	13-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Gaby Cornier	+3.6
23	13-10	RUTGER	ARK	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.9
24	13-11	ARK	ARK	Attack err	Aspen Maxwell		+3.5
25	14-11	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Brooke Baldwin	+2.7
26	14-12	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Laci Bohannan	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.3
27	15-12	ARK	RUTGER×3	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Brooke Baldwin	+2.8
28	16-12	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+3.8
29	17-12	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Parker Duncan	+3.1
30	17-13	RUTGER	ARK	Attack err	Malia Romes	blk Laci Bohannan, Aleki Alexander	+1.4
31	18-13	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+2.0
32	18-14	RUTGER	ARK×3	Attack err	Karis Willow		+1.3
33	18-15	ARK	ARK×3	Ace	ARK server	aced Team	+2.9
34	18-16	ARK	ARK×3	Kill	Paisley Pavliska	set Kiki Remensperger	+3.8
35	19-16	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+3.3
36	19-17	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Paisley Pavliska	set Kiki Remensperger	+2.5
37	20-17	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Lily Bolen	+3.5
38	21-17	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Brooke Baldwin	+4.0
39	21-18	RUTGER	ARK	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.6
40	21-19	ARK	ARK	Kill	Paisley Pavliska	set Kiki Remensperger	+3.8
41	22-19	ARK	RUTGER	Serve err	ARK server		+3.8
42	23-19	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Brooke Baldwin	+3.7
43	23-20	RUTGER	ARK	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.0
44	24-20	ARK	RUTGER	Serve err	ARK server		+2.2
45	25-20	RUTGER	RUTGER	Attack err	Laci Bohannan	blk Aspen Maxwell, Natalie Robinson	+0.9
Set 3
1	0-1	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.4
2	1-1	ARK	RUTGER×4	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.5
3	2-1	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Kill	Imani Howell	set Brooke Baldwin	+2.4
4	3-1	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Attack err	Paisley Pavliska		+2.5
5	4-1	RUTGER	RUTGER×4	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Madi Benne	+2.5
6	4-2	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Paisley Pavliska	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.5
7	4-3	ARK	ARK	Bad set	Brooke Baldwin		+2.4
8	5-3	ARK	RUTGER	Serve err	ARK server		+1.8
9	5-4	RUTGER	ARK	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.6
10	6-4	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.8
11	6-5	RUTGER	ARK	Serve err	RUTGER server		+1.6
12	7-5	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Malia Romes	set Lily Bolen	+1.8
13	8-5	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Karis Willow	set Lily Bolen	+2.8
14	8-6	RUTGER	ARK	Attack err	Skylar George		+1.6
15	9-6	ARK	RUTGER	Serve err	ARK server		+1.9
16	10-6	RUTGER	RUTGER	Ace	RUTGER server	aced Laci Bohannan	+2.7
17	10-7	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.5
18	11-7	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Imani Howell	set Lily Bolen	+1.8
19	11-8	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+1.5
20	12-8	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.8
21	13-8	RUTGER	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+2.4
22	13-9	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Paisley Pavliska	set Madi Benne	+1.2
23	14-9	ARK	RUTGER×5	Attack err	Laci Bohannan		+1.6
24	15-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Kaila Kalama-Bajet	+2.0
25	16-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.4
26	17-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Skylar George	set Brooke Baldwin	+1.0
27	18-9	RUTGER	RUTGER×5	Kill	Aspen Maxwell	set Brooke Baldwin	+0.6
28	18-10	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Elsie Law	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.2
29	19-10	ARK	RUTGER	Serve err	ARK server		+0.3
30	19-11	RUTGER	ARK	Kill	Laci Bohannan	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.1
31	20-11	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Skylar George	set Lily Bolen	+0.3
32	20-12	RUTGER	ARK×3	Kill	Layla Smith	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.1
33	20-13	ARK	ARK×3	Kill	Romani Thurman	set Kiki Remensperger	+0.3
34	20-14	ARK	ARK×3	Attack err	Natalie Robinson	blk Layla Smith	+0.5
35	21-14	ARK	RUTGER	Kill	Natalie Robinson	set Lily Bolen	+0.6
36	21-15	RUTGER	ARK	Attack err	Karis Willow		+0.2
37	22-15	ARK	RUTGER×3	Kill	Imani Howell	set Lily Bolen	+0.5
38	23-15	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Attack err	Paisley Pavliska	blk Aspen Maxwell, Imani Howell	+0.3
39	24-15	RUTGER	RUTGER×3	Attack err	Paisley Pavliska		+0.1
40	24-16	RUTGER	ARK	Serve err	RUTGER server		+0.0
41	25-16	ARK	RUTGER	Serve err	ARK server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Rutgers first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.