CollegeVolleyball
FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026
3:0

Arkansas def. Towson 30

(26-24, 25-16, 25-15)
Set123Sets
ARK2625253
TOWSON2416150

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TOWSON above 50 · ARK below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100TOWSONARKBiggest swing +8.0% ARK · S1 26-24rally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 8.0% to Arkansas — set 1, ARK 26-24 TOWSON. Kill by Parker Duncan (set by Kiki Remensperger). TOWSON win probability 25%17%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ARK 70.9%29.1% TOWSON

Arkansas wins

3-0
23.9%
3-1
27.2%
3-2
19.8%

Towson wins

3-0
5.5%
3-1
10.2%
3-2
13.5%
ARK break %
42.3% vs this opp
TOWSON break %
38.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Parker DuncanKill+8.0%

    Kill by Parker Duncan (set by Kiki Remensperger)

    Set 1 · ARK 26-24 TOWSON · ARK 75%83%

  2. 02
    Lakin LaurendineAttack error+6.7%

    Attack error by Lakin Laurendine

    Set 1 · ARK 23-23 TOWSON · TOWSON 24%30%

  3. 03

    Kill by Aleki Alexander (set by Kiki Remensperger)

    Set 1 · ARK 24-23 TOWSON · ARK 70%75%

  4. 04
    Anna RiceKill+5.9%

    Kill by Anna Rice (set by Taylor Pagan)

    Set 1 · ARK 24-24 TOWSON · TOWSON 25%30%

  5. 05
    TOWSON serverService error+5.9%

    Towson service error

    Set 1 · ARK 25-24 TOWSON · ARK 70%75%

  6. 06
    Ava DryeKill+3.8%

    Kill by Ava Drye (set by Peyton Meyer)

    Set 1 · ARK 17-17 TOWSON · TOWSON 27%30%

  7. 07
    Peyton MeyerBad set+3.8%

    Bad set by Peyton Meyer

    Set 1 · ARK 19-17 TOWSON · ARK 72%76%

  8. 08
    Taylor PaganKill+3.7%

    Kill by Taylor Pagan (set by Kaitlyn Moran)

    Set 1 · ARK 22-21 TOWSON · TOWSON 21%25%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315528.3571034002116
313431.29012250010.515.5
38416.25000260031.59.5
34111.273000000637
3406.667001000215
3203.66737101000214
22Ava RothL/DS
3000011200001
30005011020000
1000000000000
Team totals461495.33744410372016876
Towsonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36419.10500132010.56.5
35418.05600220010.55.5
34412.00000120031.55.5
3306.50000000010.53.5
32311-.09110020010.52.5
3001.000152060010.52.5
34212.167000000215
31011.0002011110001
3000000000000
30001000300000
2228.000000300002
2000000100000
1204.500000000213
Team totals291992.1092825334012655

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 ARK · TOWSON 3

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 ARKTOWSON 2

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 5 ARKTOWSON 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 5 ARKTOWSON 2

Bars above the line = Towson leads, below = Arkansas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Arkansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
40%4/10
2
70%7/10
46%6/13
3
88%7/8
0%0/7
4
88%7/8
53%8/15
5
75%6/8
63%10/16
6
67%6/9
54%7/13
All
72%41/57
47%35/74

Towson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
42%5/12
2
64%7/11
38%5/13
3
50%7/14
13%1/8
4
55%6/11
13%1/8
5
32%6/19
25%2/8
6
63%5/8
25%2/8
All
53%39/74
28%16/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#ARK-TOWSONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TOWSONTOWSONAttack errLakin Laurendine+2.3
21-1TOWSONARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
31-2ARKTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Kaitlyn Moran+1.6
42-2TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
52-3ARKTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.7
63-3TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Madi Benne+1.6
73-4ARKTOWSONKillEvi Priniotakiset Kaitlyn Moran+1.7
84-4TOWSONARKServe errTOWSON server+1.6
94-5ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+1.8
104-6TOWSONTOWSONAttack errJourney Peppers+2.7
115-6TOWSONARK×4KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.7
126-6ARKARK×4Attack errTaylor Pagan+2.6
137-6ARKARK×4KillKiki Remenspergerset Lakin Laurendine+2.5
148-6ARKARK×4Attack errAva Dryeblk Journey Peppers, Parker Duncan+2.4
158-7ARKTOWSONAttack errParker Duncanblk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Ava Drye+1.6
169-7TOWSONARKKillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+1.6
179-8ARKTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+1.6
189-9TOWSONTOWSONAttack errRomani Thurman+2.7
1910-9TOWSONARKAttack errAnna Riceblk Journey Peppers, Lakin Laurendine+1.8
2010-10ARKTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.9
2110-11TOWSONTOWSONKillEvi Priniotakiset Megan Platt+3.1
2211-11TOWSONARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+2.0
2311-12ARKTOWSONKillEvi Priniotakiset Kaitlyn Moran+2.2
2412-12TOWSONARK×3Serve errTOWSON server+2.1
2513-12ARKARK×3Attack errEvi Priniotaki+3.1
2614-12ARKARK×3Attack errMalinah Purcell-Telefoni+2.9
2714-13ARKTOWSONKillEvi Priniotakiset Megan Platt+1.9
2814-14TOWSONTOWSONAttack errParker Duncanblk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Kaitlyn Moran+3.3
2915-14TOWSONARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.3
3016-14ARKARKAttack errMalinah Purcell-Telefoniblk Journey Peppers, Parker Duncan+3.2
3116-15ARKTOWSONKillEvi Priniotakiset Peyton Meyer+2.0
3217-15TOWSONARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.2
3317-16ARKTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.1
3417-17TOWSONTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+3.8
3518-17TOWSONARK×3KillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+2.7
3619-17ARKARK×3Bad setPeyton Meyer+3.8
3720-17ARKARK×3Attack errTaylor Paganblk Romani Thurman, Journey Peppers+3.1
3820-18ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+1.6
3920-19TOWSONTOWSONAceTOWSON serveraced Madi Benne+3.5
4021-19TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+2.9
4122-19ARKARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+3.4
4222-20ARKTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.5
4322-21TOWSONTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Kaitlyn Moran+3.7
4423-21TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+3.6
4523-22ARKTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Kaitlyn Moran+2.5
4623-23TOWSONTOWSONAttack errLakin Laurendine+6.7
4724-23TOWSONARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+5.9
4824-24ARKTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Taylor Pagan+5.9
4925-24TOWSONARKServe errTOWSON server+5.9
5026-24ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+8.0
Set 2
10-1ARKTOWSON×3KillTaylor Paganset Kaitlyn Moran+1.3
20-2TOWSONTOWSON×3Attack errLakin Laurendine+2.0
30-3TOWSONTOWSON×3Attack errRomani Thurmanblk Evi Priniotaki, Clara Vorel+2.0
41-3TOWSONARKKillJourney Peppersset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
51-4ARKTOWSONKillEvi Priniotakiset Kaitlyn Moran+1.4
62-4TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.3
72-5ARKTOWSONKillDestini Pickettset Kaitlyn Moran+1.5
83-5TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.3
94-5ARKARKAttack errEvi Priniotakiblk Aleki Alexander, Kiki Remensperger+2.0
104-6ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+1.5
115-6TOWSONARK×5Serve errTOWSON server+1.4
126-6ARKARK×5KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.1
137-6ARKARK×5Bad setPeyton Meyer+2.1
148-6ARKARK×5Attack errDestini Pickett+1.9
159-6ARKARK×5Attack errDestini Pickettblk Journey Peppers, Kiki Remensperger+1.8
169-7ARKTOWSONAttack errParker Duncanblk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni, Ava Drye+1.1
1710-7TOWSONARKServe errTOWSON server+1.2
1810-8ARKTOWSONKillDestini Pickettset Peyton Meyer+1.1
1910-9TOWSONTOWSONAceTOWSON serveraced Madi Benne+2.0
2011-9TOWSONARKKillJourney Peppersset Kiki Remensperger+1.4
2112-9ARKARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.9
2212-10ARKTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.2
2313-10TOWSONARK×5KillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.3
2414-10ARKARK×5KillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.6
2515-10ARKARK×5Attack errAnna Rice+1.3
2616-10ARKARK×5KillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
2717-10ARKARK×5Attack errEvi Priniotakiblk Romani Thurman, Aleki Alexander+0.6
2817-11ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+0.3
2918-11TOWSONARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+0.4
3018-12ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+0.2
3119-12TOWSONARKAttack errEvi Priniotaki+0.3
3219-13ARKTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+0.2
3320-13TOWSONARK×3KillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
3421-13ARKARK×3Attack errMalinah Purcell-Telefoni+0.2
3522-13ARKARK×3AceARK serveraced Megan Platt+0.1
3622-14ARKTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+0.0
3723-14TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.0
3823-15ARKTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Peyton Meyer+0.0
3924-15TOWSONARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.0
4024-16ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+0.0
4125-16TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.0
Set 3
11-0TOWSONARKKillRomani Thurmanset Parker Duncan+0.7
21-1ARKTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+0.7
32-1TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.7
42-2ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+0.7
53-2TOWSONARK×5KillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.7
64-2ARKARK×5AceARK serveraced Evi Priniotaki+1.0
75-2ARKARK×5Attack errAnna Rice+0.9
86-2ARKARK×5KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+0.8
97-2ARKARK×5AceARK serveraced Evi Priniotaki+0.7
107-3ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+0.4
118-3TOWSONARKKillKiki Remenspergerset Madi Benne+0.5
129-3ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.5
139-4ARKTOWSONKillTshilanda Dioufset Peyton Meyer+0.3
1410-4TOWSONARKKillJourney Peppersset Kiki Remensperger+0.4
1510-5ARKTOWSONKillTshilanda Dioufset Peyton Meyer+0.3
1611-5TOWSONARKKillRomani Thurmanset Taylor Pagan+0.4
1712-5ARKARKAttack errTaylor Paganblk Journey Peppers, Romani Thurman+0.4
1812-6ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+0.2
1912-7TOWSONTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+0.4
2013-7TOWSONARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.4
2114-7ARKARKAttack errAnna Rice+0.4
2214-8ARKTOWSONAttack errRomani Thurman+0.2
2314-9TOWSONTOWSONAttack errParker Duncan+0.4
2415-9TOWSONARKAttack errMalinah Purcell-Telefoni+0.3
2515-10ARKTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+0.3
2616-10TOWSONARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
2717-10ARKARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
2817-11ARKTOWSONAttack errParker Duncanblk Anna Rice, Tshilanda Diouf+0.1
2918-11TOWSONARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.2
3019-11ARKARKAttack errAva Drye+0.2
3119-12ARKTOWSONServe errARK server+0.1
3219-13TOWSONTOWSONAttack errLakin Laurendineblk Taylor Pagan, Tshilanda Diouf+0.2
3320-13TOWSONARK×5KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+0.2
3421-13ARKARK×5KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.1
3522-13ARKARK×5AceARK serveraced Team+0.0
3623-13ARKARK×5KillJourney Peppersset Peyton Meyer+0.0
3724-13ARKARK×5KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.0
3824-14ARKTOWSONAttack errRomani Thurman+0.0
3924-15TOWSONTOWSONKillMegan Plattset Kiki Remensperger+0.0
4025-15TOWSONARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.