Final · 4 setsSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on SECN+

Arkansas def. Ole Miss 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Arkansas 74.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arkansas won at Ole Miss 3-1 (25-20, 22-25, 25-22, 25-14) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Arkansas' Parker Duncan led with 20 kills, and Madi Benne added 12 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set1234Sets
ARK252225253
MISS202522141

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Arkansas led every phase, and nothing ever turned.

The biggest single-rally swing was 6.4 points, and Ole Miss's high was 33% in Set 3. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Arkansas at 75%.

ArkansasOle Miss
  • Break %+11.2 pts
    41.730.5

    On serve: 40/96 against 25/82 (Ole Miss sideout 58.3%).

  • Hitting+.084
    .271.187

    Kills and errors: 54–19 vs 52–27.

Ole Miss above 50Arkansas belowMax swing 6.4%

ArkansasOle Miss

Aces
Arkansas 5·Ole Miss 3
Serve err
Arkansas 5·Ole Miss 10
Blocks
Arkansas 14·Ole Miss 9.50 BS · 28 BA vs 1 BS · 17 BA
Digs
Arkansas 47·Ole Miss 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ole Miss above 50 · Arkansas below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.4% ARKrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.4% to Arkansas — set 3, ARK 22-20 MISS. Jorda Crook stuffed by Kiki Remensperger & Aleki Alexander. MISS win probability 27% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK 76.4%23.6% MISS

Arkansas wins

3-0
28.2%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
19.1%

Ole Miss wins

3-0
4.1%
3-1
8.0%
3-2
11.5%
ARK break %
43.4% vs this opp
MISS break %
38.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Jorda Crook stuffed by Kiki Remensperger & Aleki Alexander

    Set 3 · ARK 22-20 MISS · ARK 73% → 79%

  2. 02
    Aleki AlexanderAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by Aleki Alexander

    Set 3 · ARK 20-20 MISS · MISS 26% → 32%

  3. 03
    Parker DuncanKill+5.6%

    Kill by Parker Duncan (set by Kiki Remensperger)

    Set 3 · ARK 24-22 MISS · ARK 77% → 83%

  4. 04

    Kill by Paisley Pavliska (set by Kiki Remensperger)

    Set 3 · ARK 23-21 MISS · ARK 76% → 81%

  5. 05
    Jorda CrookAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Jorda Crook

    Set 3 · ARK 21-20 MISS · ARK 68% → 73%

  6. 06
    Jorda CrookKill+4.6%

    Kill by Jorda Crook (set by Rileigh Butler)

    Set 3 · ARK 20-19 MISS · MISS 21% → 26%

  7. 07

    Jorda Crook stuffed by Parker Duncan & Layla Smith

    Set 3 · ARK 25-22 MISS · ARK 83% → 87%

  8. 08

    Aleki Alexander stuffed by Ryea Jackson & Jaidyn Hartsfield

    Set 3 · ARK 15-14 MISS · MISS 23% → 27%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420447.3401117002122
47213.3850021006310
46110.5001000008410
46422.091000500428
4012-.5004511100073.54.5
26618.00000030010.56.5
4000–021500002
4000–3101220001
39117.471000400009
Team totals5419129.27150554730281497
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412329.310100112010.512.5
4508.625011000428
47617.059100200007
4228.000000101435
1214.250000000002
1000–601200000
413938.10502150031.516.5
42021.0003704100010.52.5
4000–002000000
4000–6001510000
39628.1070012204211
Team totals5227134.187513104851179.581

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ARK · MISS 3

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 ARKMISS 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 ARKMISS 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 ARKMISS 3

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 6 ARKMISS 2

Bars above the line = Ole Miss leads, below = Arkansas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
47%7/15
2
64%9/14
18%2/11
3
89%8/9
38%5/13
4
73%8/11
11%1/9
5
60%6/10
50%7/14
6
67%6/9
40%4/10
All
69%46/67
36%26/72

Ole Miss

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
53%8/15
2
82%9/11
0%0/9
3
57%8/14
36%5/14
4
67%8/12
27%3/11
5
67%6/9
30%3/10
6
55%6/11
25%2/8
All
64%46/72
31%21/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#ARK-MISSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ARKARKAttack errKeirstyn Carlton+1.9
21-1ARKMISSKillSophie Taylorset Coco Natarajan+1.4
32-1MISSARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+1.4
43-1ARKARKAttack errMelia Johnson+1.9
53-2ARKMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Coco Natarajan+1.3
64-2MISSARKKillLakin Laurendineset Parker Duncan+1.3
74-3ARKMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Coco Natarajan+1.3
85-3MISSARKAttack errMelia Johnson+1.3
95-4ARKMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+1.4
106-4MISSARK×3KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+1.4
117-4ARKARK×3BlockedJorda Crookblk Layla Smith, Parker Duncan+1.8
128-4ARKARK×3BlockedShayla Meyerblk Romani Thurman, Layla Smith+1.6
138-5ARKMISS×3Serve errKiki Remensperger+1.0
148-6MISSMISS×3BlockedRomani Thurmanblk Keirstyn Carlton+1.7
158-7MISSMISS×3AceRyea Jacksonaced Madi Benne+2.1
169-7MISSARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
1710-7ARKARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+2.0
1810-8ARKMISS×3KillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+1.3
1910-9MISSMISS×3Bad setKiki Remensperger+2.2
2010-10MISSMISS×3BlockedRomani Thurmanblk Shayla Meyer, Keirstyn Carlton+2.6
2111-10MISSARK×4Serve errCoco Natarajan+1.8
2212-10ARKARK×4KillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+2.4
2313-10ARKARK×4Attack errShayla Meyer+2.1
2414-10ARKARK×4KillRomani Thurmanset Sophie Taylor+1.8
2514-11ARKMISSKillSophie Taylorset Coco Natarajan+1.1
2615-11MISSARKAttack errMelia Johnson+1.2
2716-11ARKARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.4
2816-12ARKMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Coco Natarajan+0.7
2917-12MISSARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
3018-12ARKARKBlockedMelia Johnsonblk Kiki Remensperger, Aleki Alexander+0.9
3118-13ARKMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Coco Natarajan+0.4
3218-14MISSMISSAttack errParker Duncan+1.0
3319-14MISSARKServe errVivianna Samaniego+0.9
3419-15ARKMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.6
3520-15MISSARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
3620-16ARKMISSBlockedLayla Smithblk Ryea Jackson, Jorda Crook+0.6
3721-16MISSARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.8
3821-17ARKMISSServe errParker Duncan+0.5
3921-18MISSMISSKillShayla Meyer+1.2
4022-18MISSARKAttack errSophie Taylor+1.3
4123-18ARKARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.0
4223-19ARKMISSAttack errLakin Laurendine+0.3
4324-19MISSARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.5
4424-20ARKMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.1
4525-20MISSARKBlockedMelia Johnsonblk Kiki Remensperger, Aleki Alexander+0.3
Set 2
10-1MISSMISSAceJorda Crook+1.7
21-1MISSARKBlockedShayla Meyerblk Romani Thurman, Aleki Alexander+1.1
31-2ARKMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.2
42-2MISSARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
52-3ARKMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.3
63-3MISSARKAttack errKeirstyn Carlton+1.2
73-4ARKMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.3
84-4MISSARK×3Serve errVivianna Samaniego+1.2
95-4ARKARK×3KillParker Duncan+1.7
106-4ARKARK×3KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.6
116-5ARKMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.1
126-6MISSMISSAttack errParker Duncan+1.8
137-6MISSARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
147-7ARKMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.3
158-7MISSARKServe errBella Bonanno+1.3
168-8ARKMISS×3KillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+1.3
178-9MISSMISS×3Attack errLakin Laurendine+2.1
188-10MISSMISS×3BlockedLakin Laurendineblk Ryea Jackson, Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
199-10MISSARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+1.4
209-11ARKMISSServe errGaby Cornier+1.6
2110-11MISSARKBlockedJorda Crookblk Aleki Alexander, Lakin Laurendine+1.5
2210-12ARKMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+1.7
2311-12MISSARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
2412-12ARKARKBlockedMelia Johnsonblk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith+2.3
2512-13ARKMISS×3KillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+1.7
2612-14MISSMISS×3BlockedParker Duncanblk Jorda Crook, Keirstyn Carlton+2.6
2712-15MISSMISS×3BlockedLakin Laurendineblk Keirstyn Carlton, Jaidyn Hartsfield+2.6
2813-15MISSARKBlockedJaidyn Hartsfieldblk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith+1.5
2913-16ARKMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.9
3013-17MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Rileigh Butler+2.4
3114-17MISSARKServe errJaidyn Hartsfield+1.3
3214-18ARKMISSKillShayla Meyerset Rileigh Butler+1.8
3315-18MISSARKServe errBella Bonanno+1.2
3416-18ARKARKKillRomani Thurmanset Madi Benne+2.3
3516-19ARKMISS×3Attack errLakin Laurendine+2.2
3616-20MISSMISS×3Attack errLakin Laurendine+2.6
3716-21MISSMISS×3KillVivianna Samaniegoset Melia Johnson+1.9
3817-21MISSARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+0.7
3917-22ARKMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.2
4018-22MISSARKBlockedJaidyn Hartsfieldblk Aleki Alexander, Kiki Remensperger+0.6
4118-23ARKMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+1.1
4219-23MISSARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+0.4
4319-24ARKMISSServe errAleki Alexander+0.8
4420-24MISSARK×3KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.2
4521-24ARKARK×3BlockedJorda Crookblk Romani Thurman, Layla Smith+0.6
4622-24ARKARK×3BlockedJorda Crookblk Romani Thurman, Layla Smith+1.4
4722-25ARKMISSBlockedParker Duncanblk Jaidyn Hartsfield, Jorda Crook+2.5
Set 3
11-0ARKARKAceArkansasaced Jaidyn Hartsfield+2.8
21-1ARKMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.1
32-1MISSARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+2.0
42-2ARKMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+2.1
52-3MISSMISSBad setKiki Remensperger+3.3
63-3MISSARK×3KillPaisley Pavliskaset Kiki Remensperger+2.2
74-3ARKARK×3KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+3.1
85-3ARKARK×3AceArkansasaced Jaidyn Hartsfield+2.9
95-4ARKMISSKillKeirstyn Carltonset Vivianna Samaniego+2.0
106-4MISSARKKillPaisley Pavliskaset Kiki Remensperger+2.0
116-5ARKMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+2.0
127-5MISSARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+2.1
137-6ARKMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+2.1
148-6MISSARK×3KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.1
159-6ARKARK×3KillParker Duncanset Layla Smith+2.8
1610-6ARKARK×3Bad setVivianna Samaniego+2.4
1710-7ARKMISSBlockedRomani Thurmanblk Ryea Jackson, Jaidyn Hartsfield+1.5
1811-7MISSARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.7
1911-8ARKMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+1.5
2012-8MISSARKServe errRyea Jackson+1.7
2112-9ARKMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.5
2212-10MISSMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Rileigh Butler+2.8
2312-11MISSMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+3.4
2413-11MISSARKServe errVivianna Samaniego+2.5
2514-11ARKARKKillPaisley Pavliskaset Kiki Remensperger+3.2
2614-12ARKMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+2.0
2715-12MISSARKKillPaisley Pavliskaset Kiki Remensperger+2.3
2815-13ARKMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.1
2915-14MISSMISSBlockedAleki Alexanderblk Ryea Jackson, Jaidyn Hartsfield+3.8
3016-14MISSARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.9
3116-15ARKMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+2.8
3217-15MISSARKAttack errJaidyn Hartsfield+3.0
3318-15ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+3.7
3418-16ARKMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
3519-16MISSARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.7
3619-17ARKMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
3720-17MISSARKKillPaisley Pavliskaset Kiki Remensperger+2.8
3820-18ARKMISS×3KillShayla Meyerset Rileigh Butler+2.2
3920-19MISSMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Rileigh Butler+4.6
4020-20MISSMISS×3Attack errAleki Alexander+6.3
4121-20MISSARKAttack errJorda Crook+4.8
4222-20ARKARKBlockedJorda Crookblk Kiki Remensperger, Aleki Alexander+6.4
4322-21ARKMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+3.5
4423-21MISSARKKillPaisley Pavliskaset Kiki Remensperger+4.9
4523-22ARKMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+3.5
4624-22MISSARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+5.6
4725-22ARKARKBlockedJorda Crookblk Parker Duncan, Layla Smith+4.1
Set 4
10-1MISSMISSAceJorda Crookaced Madi Benne+2.6
20-2MISSMISSAttack errPaisley Pavliska+2.7
31-2MISSARK×4KillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.8
42-2ARKARK×4KillPaisley Pavliskaset Kiki Remensperger+2.6
53-2ARKARK×4KillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+2.5
64-2ARKARK×4AceArkansasaced Shayla Meyer+2.3
74-3ARKMISSAttack errRyea Jackson+1.6
85-3MISSARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.6
95-4ARKMISSKillShayla Meyerset Rileigh Butler+1.7
105-5MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+2.6
116-5MISSARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.8
126-6ARKMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+1.9
137-6MISSARKServe errVivianna Samaniego+1.9
148-6ARKARKAttack errJorda Crook+2.6
158-7ARKMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+1.8
169-7MISSARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.8
1710-7ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.4
1810-8ARKMISSKillKeirstyn Carltonset Vivianna Samaniego+1.6
1911-8MISSARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.7
2011-9ARKMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+1.6
2112-9MISSARKServe errJorda Crook+1.7
2213-9ARKARKAttack errJaidyn Hartsfield+2.1
2313-10ARKMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+1.3
2414-10MISSARK×3KillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
2515-10ARKARK×3AceArkansasaced Rileigh Butler+1.7
2616-10ARKARK×3KillPaisley Pavliskaset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
2716-11ARKMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.6
2817-11MISSARKKillPaisley Pavliskaset Kiki Remensperger+0.8
2918-11ARKARKAttack errJorda Crook+0.7
3018-12ARKMISSKillVivianna Samaniego+0.3
3118-13MISSMISSAttack errKiki Remensperger+0.7
3219-13MISSARKKillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+0.7
3319-14ARKMISSServe errAleki Alexander+0.5
3420-14MISSARK×6BlockedJaidyn Hartsfieldblk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith+0.7
3521-14ARKARK×6KillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+0.5
3622-14ARKARK×6KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.2
3723-14ARKARK×6KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.1
3824-14ARK
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3925-14ARKARK×6Attack errJaidyn Hartsfield·

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).