Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on SECN

Florida def. Texas A&M 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Florida 51.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Florida won at Texas A&M 3-1 (25-19, 23-25, 25-17, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Kamryn Chaney led Florida with 12 kills; Texas A&M's Kyndal Stowers had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
FLA252325253
TX A&M192517161

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Florida held Texas A&M to .112 hitting.

Win probability never moved more than 6.7 points on one rally; Texas A&M topped out at 51% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Florida at 52%.

FloridaTexas A&M
  • Break %+13.9 pts
    48.534.6

    On serve: 47/97 against 27/78 (Texas A&M sideout 51.5%).

  • Longest run+1
    54

    Down 9–10 in the first set, Florida scored 5 straight to lead 14–10. Final score of the set: 25–19.

Texas A&M above 50Florida belowMax swing 6.7%

FloridaTexas A&M

Hitting
Florida .186·Texas A&M .112
Aces
Florida 10·Texas A&M 5
Serve err
Florida 4·Texas A&M 11
Blocks
Florida 16·Texas A&M 116 BS · 20 BA vs 2 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Florida 57·Texas A&M 56

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Texas A&M above 50 · Florida below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.7% TX A&Mrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.7% to Texas A&M — set 2, FLA 23-25 TX A&M. Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Kirra Musgrove). TX A&M win probability 42% → 49%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FLA 60.8%39.2% TX A&M

Florida wins

3-0
17.6%
3-1
23.2%
3-2
19.9%

Texas A&M wins

3-0
8.5%
3-1
14.3%
3-2
16.5%
FLA break %
41.0% vs this opp
TX A&M break %
38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Natalie RingKill+6.7%

    Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Kirra Musgrove)

    Set 2 · FLA 23-25 TX A&M · TX A&M 42% → 49%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kyndal Stowers (set by Kirra Musgrove)

    Set 2 · FLA 19-21 TX A&M · TX A&M 35% → 40%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kyndal Stowers (set by Kirra Musgrove)

    Set 2 · FLA 22-24 TX A&M · TX A&M 39% → 44%

  4. 04
    Natalie RingAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Natalie Ring

    Set 2 · FLA 18-18 TX A&M · FLA 65% → 69%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kyndal Stowers (set by Gabi Rodriguez)

    Set 2 · FLA 20-23 TX A&M · TX A&M 41% → 45%

  6. 06
    Selena LebanBlock+4.5%

    Kaia Castle stuffed by Selena Leban

    Set 2 · FLA 22-23 TX A&M · FLA 56% → 61%

  7. 07
    FloridaAce+4.3%

    Florida ace on Megan Fitch

    Set 3 · FLA 14-11 TX A&M · FLA 59% → 64%

  8. 08

    Alec Rothe stuffed by Kaia Castle & Kyndal Stowers

    Set 3 · FLA 12-11 TX A&M · TX A&M 40% → 44%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412435.2290004010113
49216.4380006024413
410429.20711111102112
43113.15436416006310
43413-.077000211647
43315.00011162212.56.5
4428.25010020010.54.5
21Bella LeeL/DS
4000–130500003
4000–1111410001
4000–000100000
Team totals4420129.186411045756201698
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417641.26800111112219
48535.08602111010.510.5
48417.2350000004210
45718-.11111030052.58.5
4229.00037141001225
4014-.25000272010.50.5
48628.07100040031.59.5
4000–012200001
4000–6011310000
2000–000510000
1000–000000000
1000–200000000
Team totals4831152.1124651156102181177

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 FLA · TX A&M 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 FLATX A&M 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 FLATX A&M 4

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 FLATX A&M 2

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 4 FLATX A&M 3

Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
56%10/18
2
64%9/14
53%10/19
3
73%8/11
57%12/21
4
67%8/12
47%7/15
5
67%8/12
38%5/13
6
53%8/15
27%3/11
All
65%51/78
48%47/97

Texas A&M

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
40%6/15
2
39%9/23
36%5/14
3
50%9/18
36%5/14
4
67%8/12
27%3/11
5
53%8/15
43%6/14
6
50%7/14
20%2/10
All
52%50/97
35%27/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#FLA-TX A&MSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TX A&MFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Lily Hayes+1.7
21-1FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+1.7
31-2TX A&MTX A&MKillKirra Musgroveset Logan King+2.7
42-2TX A&MFLA×3KillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.8
53-2FLAFLA×3KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.7
64-2FLAFLA×3BlockedKyndal Stowersblk Logan King, Alec Rothe+2.7
74-3FLATX A&MKillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+1.7
85-3TX A&MFLA×3Serve errTexas A&M+1.8
96-3FLAFLA×3Attack errTaryn Morris+2.6
107-3FLAFLA×3Attack errKyndal Stowers+2.4
117-4FLATX A&MAttack errLogan King+1.4
127-5TX A&MTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+2.5
138-5TX A&MFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.8
148-6FLATX A&M×3KillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+1.7
158-7TX A&MTX A&M×3KillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+2.8
168-8TX A&MTX A&M×3Attack errSelena Leban+3.1
179-8TX A&MFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.1
189-9FLATX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+2.1
199-10TX A&MTX A&MBlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Eliza Sharp, Kirra Musgrove+3.3
2010-10TX A&MFLA×5Serve errTexas A&M+2.2
2111-10FLAFLA×5AceLily Hayesaced Kyndal Stowers+3.4
2212-10FLAFLA×5BlockedNatalie Ringblk Alec Rothe, Taylor Parks+3.4
2313-10FLAFLA×5Attack errEliza Sharp+3.1
2414-10FLAFLA×5Attack errKirra Musgrove+2.7
2514-11FLATX A&MServe errLily Hayes+1.5
2615-11TX A&MFLAServe errTexas A&M+1.8
2715-12FLATX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+1.5
2816-12TX A&MFLA×4KillKamryn Chaneyset Selena Leban+1.9
2917-12FLAFLA×4BlockedKaia Castleblk Selena Leban+2.2
3018-12FLAFLA×4Attack errKaia Castle+1.6
3119-12FLAFLA×4KillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.0
3219-13FLATX A&MKillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+0.3
3319-14TX A&MTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kaia Castle+0.9
3420-14TX A&MFLA×3KillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+0.9
3521-14FLAFLA×3KillLogan Kingset Jordyn Byrd+0.7
3622-14FLAFLA×3BlockedKaia Castleblk Brooklyn Briscoe+0.3
3722-15FLATX A&MBlockedLogan Kingblk Kyndal Stowers+0.1
3822-16TX A&MTX A&MAttack errLogan King+0.2
3923-16TX A&MFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+0.3
4023-17FLATX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+0.1
4123-18TX A&MTX A&MAceMargot Manningaced Lily Hayes+0.3
4224-18TX A&MFLAKillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks+0.4
4324-19FLATX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Gabi Rodriguez+0.1
4425-19TX A&MFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+0.2
Set 2
11-0FLAFLAAceTaylor Parksaced Addi Applegate+2.6
22-0FLAFLABad setGabi Rodriguez+2.5
32-1FLATX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+1.6
43-1TX A&MFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+1.7
54-1FLAFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.5
64-2FLATX A&MKillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+1.5
75-2TX A&MFLAServe errTexas A&M+1.7
85-3FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+1.6
95-4TX A&MTX A&MBlockedSelena Lebanblk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris+2.6
106-4TX A&MFLAServe errTexas A&M+1.8
116-5FLATX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+1.8
127-5TX A&MFLAAttack errTaylor Parks+1.9
138-5FLAFLABlockedEliza Sharpblk Taylor Parks, Brooklyn Briscoe+2.7
148-6FLATX A&MServe errSelena Leban+1.6
159-6TX A&MFLABlockedNatalie Ringblk Brooklyn Briscoe, Taylor Parks+1.8
169-7FLATX A&M×3KillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+1.7
179-8TX A&MTX A&M×3KillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+2.9
189-9TX A&MTX A&M×3AceNatalie Ringaced Selena Leban+3.1
1910-9TX A&MFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.1
2011-9FLAFLAAceTaylor Parks+3.2
2111-10FLATX A&M×3KillKirra Musgrove+2.0
2211-11TX A&MTX A&M×3BlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Kaia Castle, Kirra Musgrove+3.3
2311-12TX A&MTX A&M×3KillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+3.5
2412-12TX A&MFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.3
2512-13FLATX A&M×4KillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+2.4
2612-14TX A&MTX A&M×4KillKyndal Stowersset Gabi Rodriguez+3.6
2712-15TX A&MTX A&M×4KillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+3.4
2812-16TX A&MTX A&M×4Attack errSelena Leban+2.9
2913-16TX A&MFLAServe errKirra Musgrove+1.5
3013-17FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+1.9
3114-17TX A&MFLA×3KillJordyn Byrdset Bella Lee+1.5
3215-17FLAFLA×3BlockedKaia Castleblk Brooklyn Briscoe, Taylor Parks+3.0
3316-17FLAFLA×3BlockedTaryn Morrisblk Jordyn Byrd, Brooklyn Briscoe+3.7
3416-18FLATX A&MBlockedJordyn Byrdblk Taryn Morris, Kaia Castle+2.9
3517-18TX A&MFLAKillTaylor Parksset Kirra Musgrove+2.5
3618-18FLAFLAAttack errNatalie Ring+4.6
3718-19FLATX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+3.4
3819-19TX A&MFLAServe errMegan Fitch+3.3
3919-20FLATX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+3.6
4019-21TX A&MTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+5.4
4120-21TX A&MFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.9
4220-22FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+3.9
4320-23TX A&MTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Gabi Rodriguez+4.5
4421-23TX A&MFLAServe errTexas A&M+1.6
4522-23FLAFLABlockedKaia Castleblk Selena Leban+4.5
4622-24FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+5.1
4723-24TX A&MFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.7
4823-25FLATX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+6.7
Set 3
11-0TX A&MFLAAttack errKyndal Stowers+2.3
22-0FLAFLABlockedKirra Musgroveblk Alec Rothe+3.5
32-1FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+2.2
43-1TX A&MFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.3
54-1FLAFLAAceFlorida+3.4
64-2FLATX A&MAttack errAlec Rothe+2.1
74-3TX A&MTX A&MAceTexas A&Maced Logan King+3.5
85-3TX A&MFLAServe errTexas A&M+2.4
95-4FLATX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+2.3
106-4TX A&MFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.5
116-5FLATX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+2.4
126-6TX A&MTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+3.9
137-6TX A&MFLA×3KillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+2.7
148-6FLAFLA×3BlockedNatalie Ringblk Taylor Parks, Brooklyn Briscoe+4.0
159-6FLAFLA×3KillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+3.8
169-7FLATX A&MServe errFlorida+2.3
179-8TX A&MTX A&MBlockedBrooklyn Briscoeblk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring+3.9
1810-8TX A&MFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.8
1910-9FLATX A&MBlockedBrooklyn Briscoeblk Kirra Musgrove+2.6
2011-9TX A&MFLAKillTaylor Parks+2.9
2112-9FLAFLABlockedEliza Sharpblk Kamryn Chaney+4.1
2212-10FLATX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+2.4
2312-11TX A&MTX A&MBlockedAlec Rotheblk Kaia Castle, Kyndal Stowers+4.2
2413-11TX A&MFLAAttack errKaia Castle+3.1
2514-11FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Megan Fitch+4.3
2614-12FLATX A&MServe errFlorida+2.5
2715-12TX A&MFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.9
2815-13FLATX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+2.5
2916-13TX A&MFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+3.0
3017-13FLAFLAAttack errTaryn Morris+3.8
3117-14FLATX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Gabi Rodriguez+1.9
3218-14TX A&MFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.6
3319-14FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Natalie Ring+2.9
3419-15FLATX A&MBlockedBrooklyn Briscoeblk Eliza Sharp, Megan Fitch+1.2
3520-15TX A&MFLA×4Serve errTexas A&M+1.8
3621-15FLAFLA×4Attack errMegan Fitch+1.6
3722-15FLAFLA×4AceFlorida+0.8
3823-15FLAFLA×4KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+0.3
3923-16FLATX A&MAttack errTaylor Parks·
4023-17TX A&MTX A&MAttack errKamryn Chaney+0.2
4124-17TX A&MFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+0.2
4225-17FLAFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+0.1
Set 4
10-1FLATX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+2.3
21-1TX A&MFLA×3KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.3
32-1FLAFLA×3Attack errTaryn Morris+3.5
43-1FLAFLA×3Attack errKyndal Stowers+3.5
53-2FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+2.2
64-2TX A&MFLA×3KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.3
75-2FLAFLA×3BlockedTaryn Morrisblk Selena Leban, Alec Rothe+3.4
86-2FLAFLA×3AceFloridaaced Gabi Rodriguez+3.1
96-3FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Gabi Rodriguez+1.8
107-3TX A&MFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.1
118-3FLAFLAAttack errTaryn Morris+2.8
128-4FLATX A&MKillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+1.5
138-5TX A&MTX A&MAceTexas A&Maced Brooklyn Briscoe+2.8
149-5TX A&MFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.2
159-6FLATX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+1.9
1610-6TX A&MFLAServe errTexas A&M+2.2
1710-7FLATX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+1.9
1811-7TX A&MFLABad setGabi Rodriguez+2.2
1911-8FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Kirra Musgrove+1.9
2012-8TX A&MFLA×4KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.3
2113-8FLAFLA×4KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.9
2214-8FLAFLA×4Attack errKyndal Stowers+2.3
2315-8FLAFLA×4BlockedKaia Castleblk Alec Rothe+1.6
2415-9FLATX A&MBlockedLogan Kingblk Kaia Castle, Kyndal Stowers+0.7
2516-9TX A&MFLA×4KillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.0
2617-9FLAFLA×4AceBella Lee+1.0
2718-9FLAFLA×4AceBella Leeaced Megan Fitch+0.6
2819-9FLAFLA×4BlockedKyndal Stowersblk Alec Rothe, Logan King+0.3
2919-10FLATX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Lily Nicholson+0.1
3020-10TX A&MFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+0.2
3120-11FLATX A&MKillKaia Castleset Lily Nicholson+0.1
3220-12TX A&MTX A&MBlockedJordyn Byrdblk Taryn Morris, Eliza Sharp+0.2
3321-12TX A&MFLA×3KillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks+0.2
3422-12FLAFLA×3KillTaylor Parks+0.1
3523-12FLAFLA×3Attack errEliza Sharp·
3623-13FLATX A&MAttack errBrooklyn Briscoe·
3724-13TX A&MFLAKillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks·
3824-14FLATX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Gabi Rodriguez·
3924-15TX A&MTX A&M×3AceNatalie Ringaced Selena Leban·
4024-16TX A&MTX A&M×3Attack errKamryn Chaney·
4125-16TX A&MFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Logan King·

Score shown after each rally, Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).