FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayWCC

3:0

HomeMOUNTAIN-WEST

San Diego def. Hawaii 3–0

(25-16, 25-17, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
USD	25	25	25	3
HAWAII	16	17	18	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

HAWAII above 50 · USD below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Hawaii — set 2, USD 15-13 HAWAII. Kierstyn Barton stuffed by Miliana Sylvester & Adrianna Arquette. HAWAII win probability 16% → 19%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

USD 58.6%41.4% HAWAII

San Diego wins

3-0

16.5%

3-1

22.3%

3-2

19.8%

Hawaii wins

3-0

9.2%

3-1

15.2%

3-2

17.0%

USD break %: 44.4% vs this opp
HAWAII break %: 42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kierstyn BartonAttack error+2.4%
Kierstyn Barton stuffed by Miliana Sylvester & Adrianna Arquette
Set 2 · USD 15-13 HAWAII · HAWAII 16% → 19%
02
Panna RatkaiAttack error+2.4%
Panna Ratkai stuffed by Kierstyn Barton & BayLea Sparks
Set 2 · USD 17-13 HAWAII · USD 84% → 86%
03
BayLea SparksKill+2.3%
Kill by BayLea Sparks (set by Kylie Munday)
Set 1 · USD 1-0 HAWAII · USD 59% → 61%
04
Kierstyn BartonKill+2.3%
Kill by Kierstyn Barton (set by Kylie Munday)
Set 1 · USD 3-1 HAWAII · USD 61% → 63%
05
HAWAII serverAce+2.3%
Hawaii ace on Ryann Knuth
Set 1 · USD 4-3 HAWAII · HAWAII 36% → 38%
06
Cha'lei ReidAttack error+2.3%
Cha'lei Reid stuffed by Kierstyn Barton & Meghan Scholz
Set 1 · USD 6-3 HAWAII · USD 63% → 66%
07
Cha'lei ReidAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Cha'lei Reid
Set 1 · USD 4-1 HAWAII · USD 63% → 66%
08
BayLea SparksKill+2.2%
Kill by BayLea Sparks (set by Kylie Munday)
Set 2 · USD 16-13 HAWAII · USD 81% → 84%

Official NCAA box

Box score

San Diegoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Nemo BeachOH	3	11	3	30	.267	1	1	1	11	0	1	0.5	12.5
7Kierstyn BartonOH	3	9	6	25	.120	2	1	0	10	0	4	2	12
15Meghan ScholzMB	3	8	3	17	.294	0	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	10.5
8Ryann KnuthOH	3	6	3	18	.167	0	2	1	4	1	0	0	8
18BayLea SparksMB	3	5	1	10	.400	1	0	0	0	0	4	2	7
12Kylie MundayS	3	2	0	2	1.000	34	1	3	2	0	2	1	4
2Lauren LynchL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	17	1	0	0	1
13Emma BrewerOH	2	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	5
5Kalli LipoL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
4Reese BatesDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	16	109	.266	41	6	7	49	2	18	9	75

Hawaiihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Cha'lei ReidOH	3	11	6	32	.156	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	0	11
12Miliana SylvesterMB	3	2	2	13	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
19Rachel PurserMB	3	2	0	8	.250	1	0	2	2	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
11Maeli CormierOPP	3	3	3	12	.000	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
3Adrianna ArquetteS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	1	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
22Panna RatkaiOH	2	4	3	19	.053	1	0	0	4	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
9Tali HakasOH	3	4	4	15	.000	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	4
5Jaci MiyasakiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
2Victoria LeyvaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
8Manon BaudrillardS	2	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
6Marnie UrsemMB	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	18	103	.078	26	2	4	38	6	1	6	4	51

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 USD · HAWAII 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 9 USDHAWAII 2

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 6 USDHAWAII 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 USDHAWAII 4

Bars above the line = Hawaii leads, below = San Diego leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

San Diego

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	33%3/9
2	75%6/8	40%4/10
3	60%6/10	67%12/18
4	60%6/10	57%8/14
5	45%5/11	67%10/15
6	80%4/5	50%4/8
All	65%34/52	55%41/74

Hawaii

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	29%2/7
2	75%6/8	0%0/6
3	32%6/19	45%5/11
4	33%6/18	25%2/8
5	38%5/13	33%3/9
6	67%4/6	55%6/11
All	45%33/74	35%18/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	USD-HAWAII	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	USD	USD	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+2.3
2	1-1	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Victoria Leyva	+1.8
3	2-1	HAWAII	USD×3	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+1.8
4	3-1	USD	USD×3	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+2.3
5	4-1	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Cha'lei Reid		+2.2
6	4-2	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Maeli Cormier	+1.6
7	4-3	HAWAII	HAWAII	Ace	HAWAII server	aced Ryann Knuth	+2.3
8	5-3	HAWAII	USD×9	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Lauren Lynch	+1.9
9	6-3	USD	USD×9	Attack err	Cha'lei Reid	blk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz	+2.3
10	7-3	USD	USD×9	Attack err	Maeli Cormier		+2.1
11	8-3	USD	USD×9	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Kylie Munday	+1.9
12	9-3	USD	USD×9	Attack err	Cha'lei Reid	blk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz	+1.6
13	10-3	USD	USD×9	Attack err	Cha'lei Reid		+1.3
14	11-3	USD	USD×9	Ace	USD server	aced Cha'lei Reid	+1.0
15	12-3	USD	USD×9	Kill	Ryann Knuth		+0.7
16	13-3	USD	USD×9	Bad set	Adrianna Arquette		+0.5
17	13-4	USD	HAWAII	Serve err	USD server		+0.3
18	13-5	HAWAII	HAWAII	Kill	Panna Ratkai	set Adrianna Arquette	+0.5
19	14-5	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Kylie Munday	+0.5
20	15-5	USD	USD	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Kierstyn Barton	+0.4
21	15-6	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Panna Ratkai	set Adrianna Arquette	+0.2
22	15-7	HAWAII	HAWAII	Attack err	Meghan Scholz		+0.4
23	16-7	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.4
24	17-7	USD	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
25	17-8	USD	HAWAII	Attack err	Meghan Scholz	blk Panna Ratkai, Miliana Sylvester	+0.2
26	17-9	HAWAII	HAWAII	Ace	HAWAII server	aced Lauren Lynch	+0.3
27	18-9	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Kylie Munday	set Nemo Beach	+0.4
28	18-10	USD	HAWAII	Serve err	USD server		+0.2
29	19-10	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
30	19-11	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Adrianna Arquette	+0.2
31	20-11	HAWAII	USD	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
32	20-12	USD	HAWAII	Attack err	Ryann Knuth		+0.1
33	20-13	HAWAII	HAWAII	Attack err	Ryann Knuth		+0.3
34	21-13	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set BayLea Sparks	+0.4
35	21-14	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Rachel Purser	set Adrianna Arquette	+0.2
36	22-14	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Lauren Lynch	+0.3
37	23-14	USD	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.1
38	23-15	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Panna Ratkai	set Victoria Leyva	+0.0
39	23-16	HAWAII	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Rachel Purser	+0.1
40	24-16	HAWAII	USD	Serve err	HAWAII server		+0.1
41	25-16	USD	USD	Ace	USD server	aced Tali Hakas	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	HAWAII	USD×3	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.7
2	2-0	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Tali Hakas	blk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz	+2.1
3	3-0	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Maeli Cormier	blk Meghan Scholz, Nemo Beach	+2.0
4	3-1	USD	HAWAII	Serve err	USD server		+1.5
5	4-1	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.6
6	4-2	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.5
7	5-2	HAWAII	USD	Serve err	HAWAII server		+1.6
8	6-2	USD	USD	Ace	USD server	aced Panna Ratkai	+1.9
9	6-3	USD	HAWAII	Serve err	USD server		+1.4
10	7-3	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Lauren Lynch	+1.5
11	7-4	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.4
12	8-4	HAWAII	USD×3	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.5
13	9-4	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Cha'lei Reid		+1.7
14	10-4	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Panna Ratkai		+1.5
15	10-5	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Miliana Sylvester	set Adrianna Arquette	+0.9
16	11-5	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+1.1
17	12-5	USD	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+1.1
18	12-6	USD	HAWAII	Attack err	Ryann Knuth		+0.7
19	13-6	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Kylie Munday	+0.9
20	13-7	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Panna Ratkai	+0.7
21	14-7	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.9
22	14-8	USD	HAWAII×4	Kill	Panna Ratkai	set Adrianna Arquette	+0.6
23	14-9	HAWAII	HAWAII×4	Attack err	Nemo Beach		+1.1
24	14-10	HAWAII	HAWAII×4	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+1.5
25	14-11	HAWAII	HAWAII×4	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+1.9
26	15-11	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.8
27	15-12	USD	HAWAII	Serve err	USD server		+1.5
28	15-13	HAWAII	HAWAII	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton	blk Miliana Sylvester, Adrianna Arquette	+2.4
29	16-13	HAWAII	USD×6	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+2.2
30	17-13	USD	USD×6	Attack err	Panna Ratkai	blk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks	+2.4
31	18-13	USD	USD×6	Attack err	Miliana Sylvester	blk BayLea Sparks, Emma Brewer	+1.9
32	19-13	USD	USD×6	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.3
33	20-13	USD	USD×6	Attack err	Panna Ratkai	blk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks	+0.8
34	21-13	USD	USD×6	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+0.4
35	21-14	USD	HAWAII	Serve err	USD server		+0.2
36	22-14	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
37	23-14	USD	USD	Attack err	Cha'lei Reid		+0.1
38	23-15	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Manon Baudrillard	+0.0
39	24-15	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.1
40	24-16	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Victoria Leyva	+0.0
41	24-17	HAWAII	HAWAII	Kill	Maeli Cormier	set Manon Baudrillard	+0.0
42	25-17	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	USD	USD	Ace	USD server	aced Tali Hakas	+1.3
2	1-1	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.0
3	2-1	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.0
4	2-2	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.0
5	3-2	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+1.0
6	3-3	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.1
7	4-3	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+1.1
8	5-3	USD	USD	Ace	USD server	aced Tali Hakas	+1.4
9	5-4	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+1.0
10	6-4	HAWAII	USD×4	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+1.1
11	7-4	USD	USD×4	Attack err	BayLea Sparks		+1.3
12	8-4	USD	USD×4	Kill	BayLea Sparks		+1.2
13	9-4	USD	USD×4	Attack err	Tali Hakas	blk BayLea Sparks, Kylie Munday	+1.1
14	9-5	USD	HAWAII×4	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Manon Baudrillard	+0.7
15	9-6	HAWAII	HAWAII×4	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Victoria Leyva	+1.1
16	9-7	HAWAII	HAWAII×4	Kill	Rachel Purser	set Manon Baudrillard	+1.3
17	9-8	HAWAII	HAWAII×4	Attack err	BayLea Sparks	blk Miliana Sylvester, Rachel Purser	+1.5
18	10-8	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.2
19	10-9	USD	HAWAII	Serve err	USD server		+1.2
20	10-10	HAWAII	HAWAII	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+1.7
21	11-10	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.3
22	11-11	USD	HAWAII	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+1.3
23	12-11	HAWAII	USD	Serve err	HAWAII server		+1.4
24	12-12	USD	HAWAII	Attack err	Meghan Scholz		+1.4
25	13-12	HAWAII	USD×5	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+1.4
26	14-12	USD	USD×5	Kill	Kylie Munday	set Kierstyn Barton	+1.8
27	15-12	USD	USD×5	Ace	USD server	aced Cha'lei Reid	+1.6
28	16-12	USD	USD×5	Attack err	Maeli Cormier	blk Emma Brewer, Meghan Scholz	+1.4
29	17-12	USD	USD×5	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.1
30	17-13	USD	HAWAII	Kill	Tali Hakas	set Adrianna Arquette	+0.7
31	18-13	HAWAII	USD×5	Serve err	HAWAII server		+0.9
32	19-13	USD	USD×5	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.8
33	20-13	USD	USD×5	Attack err	Tali Hakas		+0.5
34	21-13	USD	USD×5	Attack err	Tali Hakas		+0.3
35	22-13	USD	USD×5	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Cha'lei Reid	+0.1
36	22-14	USD	HAWAII	Attack err	Nemo Beach		+0.0
37	22-15	HAWAII	HAWAII	Attack err	Nemo Beach	blk Rachel Purser	+0.1
38	23-15	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.1
39	23-16	USD	HAWAII×3	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Manon Baudrillard	+0.0
40	23-17	HAWAII	HAWAII×3	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+0.1
41	23-18	HAWAII	HAWAII×3	Kill	Cha'lei Reid	set Manon Baudrillard	+0.2
42	24-18	HAWAII	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
43	25-18	USD	USD	Attack err	Miliana Sylvester		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, San Diego first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.